bluehenbillk wrote:BDKJMU wrote:
Yep.
Key to the game when UD has the ball will be pressure on Hurley. JMU is pretty stout against the run. Unless UD busts a long run (Akron did and StFU did on a trick play) JMU will likely hold Pierce & UD's running game in check. Where UD can and likely will do damage is through the air. JMU has compiled 14 sacks in the last 3 games. New DL coach is from UVA. JMU doesn't get pressure on Hurley then he could throw for 300+. JMU's achilles heel on defense is the corners. Both starters are rFr. That includes Taylor Reynolds from Newark.
One thing that hurts JMU and helps UD is 2nd quarter on Sat vs UNCC JMU lost Sage Harold, starting DE a probably best pass rusher to high ankle sprain. Reportedly out for 2-6 weeks. I wouldn't be surprised if was longer. JMU will now be 6 deep on the DL: 3 DTs and 3 DEs.
UD had a big problem last season in CAA games of protecting the QB. It has seemed to be much better so far this season so we'll see come Saturday night how they fare. UD's line is experienced, they had 4 returning starters this year. But when pressure gets to Hurley his chances of making a poor decision increase big time. If JMU gets no pressure it could be a long night for JMU. Opponents have done what you've outlined - stack the box & try to stop run 1st & UD has successfully passed to open the run. Michael Johnson may be the best WR in the CAA - he should be & would be in the SEC if he doesn't hurt his knee in HS, he's been dominant so far. Nick Boyle (TE) and Rob Jones (WR) have been very effective as well.
UD also runs an Oregon style offensive attack now - Keeler used to preach it, but Brock actually runs one. The play clock will rarely get under 20 seconds. They no huddle & snap quickly - if JMU's thin on the DL I'd expect to see a lot of that offensive style then.
UD has a big & deep DL that does OK against the run but generates not a ton of pass rush. Kerr & Wallschleger are the best DL we have. LB's we're thin but the group is OK. DB is our most suspect position - I'm not sure I'd be worried about JMU throwing in obvious passing situations but I could see them hurting us on play action on 1st & 2nd downs - Navy made us look bad on those kind of plays.
Special teams sound like a draw - both Kickers sound very similar.
JMU is also running the up tempo with new OC Mike O'Cain. If the name sounds familiar, that's because he has been OC at UNC and Clempson, head coach at NC State for 7 years, and OC at VA Tech:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_O%27Cain" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
JMU has run 325 plays in 4 games- avg of 81 plays a game. Its not Oregon up tempo, but it is up tempo.
Already mentioned JMU's DL and inexperience at the corners. Anyone who follows the CAA knows about the 2 All American studs in Roberstson at MLB and Marlowe at FS.
Robertson, #27, in 2010 was CAA rookie defensive POY/3rd team All CAA, and was 1st team All CAA each of the last 2 seasons, along with being the CAA defensive POY of the year and an All American last season. Buchanon candidate this season. Don't know if he'll make it at the next level with his size-listed 5'11"/230.
Marlowe, #16, in 2011 was CAA rookie defensive POY/3rd team All CAA and 1st team All CAA last season. Preseason All American this season. Big safety at 6'2"/205.