Top 25 Summary 10/24

Rob Weiss, FCS Update

1. Richmond Spiders vs. 12. Massachusetts Minutemen     

 My Prediction: Richmond Spiders 27       Massachusetts Minutemen 21     

Reality:        Richmond Spiders 34      Massachusetts Minutemen 12

Richmond shows up ready to play and starts putting the Minutemen to bed. Another UMass loss will seal their playoff fate. Richmond still has to face William and Mary and Villanova before claiming the #1 seed.

2. Montana Grizzlies at Sacramento State Hornets

My Prediction: Montana Grizzlies 38   Sacramento State Hornets 10

Reality: Montana Grizzlies 45   Sacramento State Hornets 30

Montana offense puts up big numbers, but the defense allowed more than I expected. Montana stays undefeated heading into a big Halloween match-up with Weber State.

3. Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Youngstown State Penguins

My Prediction: Southern Illinois Salukis 31  Youngstown State Penguins 20

Reality: Southern Illinois Salukis 27  Youngstown State Penguins 8

Salukis stay undefeated in MVFC play, but lose their starting QB for the season.

4. VillanovaWildcats vs. Rhode Island Rams

My Prediction: Villanova Wildcats 35  Rhode Island Rams 3

Reality: Villanova Wildcats 36  Rhode Island Rams 7

A good prediction score wise. Not sure anyone thought the Rams would compete. Wildcats are almost locked into a playoff spot.

5. Northern Iowa Panthers at 11. South Dakota State Jackrabbits

My Prediction: Northern Iowa Panthers 34  South Dakota State Jackrabbits 24

Reality: South Dakota State Jackrabbits 24 Northern Iowa Panthers 14

Panther offense is shut down, and the Jackrabbits get their biggest win to date. Barring a meltdown we should see the Jacks in the playoffs. UNI is now looking for a lot of help.

6. William & Mary Tribe vs. James Madison Dukes

My Prediction: William & Mary Tribe 28  James Madison Dukes 10

Reality: William & Mary Tribe 24  James Madison Dukes 3

Rough year for the Dukes. Reminds me of their 2005 season coming off of their championship.  Tribe looks like they are ready for a playoff run after being left out last year.
7. Elon Phoenix at Chattanooga Mocs

My Prediction: Elon Phoenix 35  Chattanooga Mocs 14

Reality: Elon Phoenix 45  Chattanooga Mocs 10

Elon continues the march towards it’s first FCS playoff bid. Barring a meltdown, their game with App st should decide the SoCon.

8. New Hampshire Wildcats at Hofsta Pride

My Prediction: New Hampshire Wildcats 38  Hofsta Pride 7

Reality: New Hampshire Wildcats 18 Hofsta Pride 10

New Hampshire gets a little scare from Hofstra. UNH looks like they will continue their playoff streak.

9. Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Georgia Southern Eagles

Prediction: Appalachian State Mountaineers 38 Georgia Southern Eagles  24

Reality: Appalachian State Mountaineers 52 Georgia Southern Eagles  16

A little more lopsided than I expected. Rough year for GSU. App St-Elon for SoCon title.

10. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats

My Prediction: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 45  Sam Houston State Bearkats 21

Reality: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 42  Sam Houston State Bearkats 3

Wow. Not exactly what I predicted. SFA is looking like they are playoff bound.

11. South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. 5. Northern Iowa Panthers

See 5. Northern Iowa Panthers
12. Massachusetts Minutemen at 1. Richmond Spiders

See 1. Richmond Spiders
13. Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

My Prediction: Jacksonville State Gamecocks 31   Eastern Illinois Panthers  14

Reality:  Eastern Illinois Panthers  28  Jacksonville State Gamecocks 20

Eastern Illinois takes a big step towards the OVC autobid.

14. South Carolina State Bulldogs at Hampton Pirates

My Prediction: South Carolina State Bulldogs 35  Hampton Pirates 21

Reality: South Carolina State Bulldogs 21  Hampton Pirates 9

The Bulldogs win a lower scoring game than I expected. SCSU is undefeated in FCS play and may have an outside shot at a seed.

15. McNeese State Cowboys vs Southeast Louisiana Lions

My Prediction: McNeese State Cowboys 24  Southeast Louisiana Lions 10

Reality: McNeese State Cowboys 36  Southeast Louisiana Lions 35

A 4th quarter comeback keeps the Cowboys playoff plans on track.

16. Central Arkansas Bears vs. Nicholls State Colonels

My Prediction: Central Arkansas Bears 38  Nicholls State Colonels 7

Reality: Central Arkansas Bears 42 Nicholls State Colonels 13

About as predicted. The Bears look like they will be a power to be reckoned with once they are playoff eligible.

17. Weber State Wildcats at Northern Colorado Bears

My Prediction: Weber State Wildcats 35  Northern Colorado Bears 7

Reality: Weber State Wildcats 28  Northern Colorado Bears 20

A Win is a win, but those of you who predicted a much better game out of Northern Colorado were right on.  I knew UNC was improved, but didn’t think they’d make a game of it.
18. Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens  BYE

19. Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Dixie State (D-II)

My Prediction: Cal Poly Mustangs 28  Dixie State 7

Reality: Cal Poly Mustangs 44 Dixie State 14

Cal Poly picks up the D-II win. The Mustangs need to win out and get a lot of help in order to make the playoffs.

20. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs Idaho State Bengals

My Prediction: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 45  Idaho State Bengals 10

Reality: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 40  Idaho State Bengals 12

Another game where I was almost right on.  Northern Arizona’s playoff hopes look better and better each week, although they do face a tough 3 game stretch at the end of the season. They go to Ole Miss, then to Weber State, and then finish with Eastern Washington at home.

21. Colgate Raiders at Holy Cross Crusaders

My Prediction: Holy Cross Crusaders 35  Colgate Raiders 17

Reality: Holy Cross Crusaders 42  Colgate Raiders 28

Holy Cross establishes themselves as the leader for the Patriot autobid.

22. Furman Paladins at The Citadel Bulldogs

My Prediction: Furman Paladins 24  The Citadel Bulldogs 17

Reality: The Citadel Bulldogs 38 Furman Paladins 28 

Furman is on the edge of elimination. It’s not looking good for the Paladins. Big win for the Bulldogs.

23. Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana State Bobcats

My Prediction: Eastern Washington Eagles 38 Montana State Bobcats 21

Reality: Eastern Washington Eagles 35 Montana State Bobcats 24

About as close as you can get on the predictions. Keeps EWU’s playoff hopes alive (if they can win their appeal with the NCAA). MSU looks to play spoiler to Montana and NAU.

24. Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Austin Peay Governors

My Prediction: Eastern Kentucky Colonels 35  Austin Peay Governors 7

Reality: Austin Peay Governors 24 Eastern Kentucky Colonels 20

Austin Peay pulls the upset and may have knocked EKU out of the playoffs.
25. Liberty Flames at Charleston Southern Buccaneers

My Prediction: Liberty Flames 28  Charleston Southern Buccaneers 10

Reality: Liberty Flames 20  Charleston Southern Buccaneers 13


My record this week: 18-4

On the season: 41-14

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