SDHornet wrote:So who is high turnout suppose to favor in this thing? I get the high turnout favoring Obama in his elections, but hilldog doesn't seem to get the excitement of "those people" going this time around. Does that mean a lot of Trump folks are hitting the polls? Just curious.
The conventional wisdom is that high turnout portends well for Democrats. I'm hoping the conventional wisdom holds. It's true that the core Trump true believers are unusually motivated. And there are those who are not core believers who are motivated by hatred of Clinton. But I think Trump motivates people both ways. He provides a good villain for the Democrats to use in ginning up turnout on their side and I hope that's a factor. I'm especially hoping that the historically high turnout among Hispanics, particularly in Florida, means something.
http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/ ... story.html
I thought about that a few days ago when there was a discussion of Black turnout in Florida being down a little on TV. They were showing this chart and it did show that the percentage of votes cast by Blacks was down from 2012 in Florida. But I noted that on their chart White turnout had gone from 74% in 2012 to 70% in 2016. They didn't discuss that but it was on the chart. And it's because of Hispanics. If that holds and Whites are a smaller proportion of the electorate that's a factor in Clinton's favor.
But what will be will be. I will play whatever hand is dealt. This is one of those "Serenity Prayer" situations.
God grant me the serenity
to accept the things I cannot change;
courage to change the things I can;
and wisdom to know the difference.
Even if you don't believe in God the basic message is a good one.
