The Recovery...

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The Recovery...

Post by kalm »

And the race to secure Obama's legacy and middle class voters in 2016. I agree that in the long run, history will white wash the administration's record, much the same as it did Reagan's. :nod:
If history looks only at the broad trends during Obama’s presidency, then, barring a novel economic calamity, the economic recovery is likely to secure Obama’s legacy. But it has taken six years for the economy to start recovering. That’s a long time.

And as the 2016 Republican primary heats up, the likely candidates are beginning to make the case that Obama’s presidency should be remembered for the slowness of the recovery more than the recovery itself.

“It’s true enough that we’ve seen some recent and welcome good news on the economy. But it’s very little, and it’s come very late,” former Florida governor Jeb Bush said at the Detroit Economic Club on Wednesday. “Six years after the recession ended, median incomes are down, households are, on average, poorer, and millions of people have given up looking for a job altogether.”

“The recovery has been everywhere but in the family paychecks. The American Dream has become a mirage for far too many,” Bush said.

Doug Stafford, a senior adviser to Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., said the recovery “hasn’t worked for most Americans.”

“And the debt incurred to paper over bad policies will last through their lifetimes if we don't change direction,” Stafford told Yahoo News.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., is the leading voice on the left whose critique of the Obama presidency is very similar to that of the Republicans.

The “widely cited statistics” on economic growth, unemployment, inflation and the stock market are “an important snapshot of the health of the overall economy,” Warren said in a speech to the AFL-CIO in January.

“But the overall picture doesn’t tell much about what’s happening at the ground level to tens of millions of Americans. Despite these cheery numbers, America’s middle class is in deep trouble,” Warren said.

Republicans are now moving quickly to try to align their message and their policies to address wage stagnation, underemployment and a languishing labor force participation rate. Warren and the progressive wing are already there.
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by Ivytalk »

The 2016 election is light years away, in political terms. Let's see what the economy looks like in a year, when primaries and caucuses start.
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by CAA Flagship »

kalm wrote:And the race to secure Obama's legacy and middle class voters in 2016. I agree that in the long run, history will white wash the administration's record, much the same as it did Reagan's. :nod:
If history looks only at the broad trends during Obama’s presidency, then, barring a novel economic calamity, the economic recovery is likely to secure Obama’s legacy. But it has taken six years for the economy to start recovering. That’s a long time.

And as the 2016 Republican primary heats up, the likely candidates are beginning to make the case that Obama’s presidency should be remembered for the slowness of the recovery more than the recovery itself.

“It’s true enough that we’ve seen some recent and welcome good news on the economy. But it’s very little, and it’s come very late,” former Florida governor Jeb Bush said at the Detroit Economic Club on Wednesday. “Six years after the recession ended, median incomes are down, households are, on average, poorer, and millions of people have given up looking for a job altogether.”

“The recovery has been everywhere but in the family paychecks. The American Dream has become a mirage for far too many,” Bush said.

Doug Stafford, a senior adviser to Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., said the recovery “hasn’t worked for most Americans.”

“And the debt incurred to paper over bad policies will last through their lifetimes if we don't change direction,” Stafford told Yahoo News.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., is the leading voice on the left whose critique of the Obama presidency is very similar to that of the Republicans.

The “widely cited statistics” on economic growth, unemployment, inflation and the stock market are “an important snapshot of the health of the overall economy,” Warren said in a speech to the AFL-CIO in January.

“But the overall picture doesn’t tell much about what’s happening at the ground level to tens of millions of Americans. Despite these cheery numbers, America’s middle class is in deep trouble,” Warren said.

Republicans are now moving quickly to try to align their message and their policies to address wage stagnation, underemployment and a languishing labor force participation rate. Warren and the progressive wing are already there.
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by Skjellyfetti »

CAA Flagship wrote:
But it has taken six years for the economy to start recovering. That’s a long time.
:coffee:
Uhm. It didn't just start recovering... :?

It's been recovering for 5 years.

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Re: The Recovery...

Post by clenz »

Skjellyfetti wrote:
CAA Flagship wrote:

:coffee:
Uhm. It didn't just start recovering... :?

It's been recovering for 5 years.

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Appears to have been declining Obama's tenure...
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by JohnStOnge »

And the race to secure Obama's legacy and middle class voters in 2016.
It's a peripheral matter but I don't think Democrats have ever typically gotten the majority of the "middle class" vote in recent history if "middle class" is reasonably defined in terms of income. What has happened with Democratic Presidential candidates including Obama in terms of "class" is that they have gotten an overwhelming majority of votes among those in the "lower" class and that has sometimes been enough to make them overcome losing by a modest majority among the "middle class" and a solid majority among the "upper class."

Same will probably happen in 2016. The Republican candidate will probably win among the "middle class" if "middle class" is reasonably defined by a relatively narrow margin and will win among the "upper class" by a substantial margin. But the Democrat will win by an OVERWHELMING margin among the lower class. Relatively minor variations in the extent to which each side wins among each class will determine the outcome.
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by Ibanez »

Skjellyfetti wrote:
CAA Flagship wrote:

:coffee:
Uhm. It didn't just start recovering... :?

It's been recovering for 5 years.

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Since when is a gradual decrease a "recovery?"
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by kalm »

JohnStOnge wrote:
And the race to secure Obama's legacy and middle class voters in 2016.
It's a peripheral matter but I don't think Democrats have ever typically gotten the majority of the "middle class" vote in recent history if "middle class" is reasonably defined in terms of income. What has happened with Democratic Presidential candidates including Obama in terms of "class" is that they have gotten an overwhelming majority of votes among those in the "lower" class and that has sometimes been enough to make them overcome losing by a modest majority among the "middle class" and a solid majority among the "upper class."

Same will probably happen in 2016. The Republican candidate will probably win among the "middle class" if "middle class" is reasonably defined by a relatively narrow margin and will win among the "upper class" by a substantial margin. But the Democrat will win by an OVERWHELMING margin among the lower class. Relatively minor variations in the extent to which each side wins among each class will determine the outcome.
Paraphrasing Teddy Roosevelt, those willing to work should be rewarded with wages that enable a mortgage, education for their kids, healthcare, and to retire with dignity.

That would be the middle class.
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by CID1990 »

clenz wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:
Uhm. It didn't just start recovering... :?

It's been recovering for 5 years.

Image
Appears to have been declining Obama's tenure...
Yep that was a graphic fail

I think the 2008 uptick was market optimism that the newest Nobel Laureate really was THUH ONE
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by houndawg »

JohnStOnge wrote:
And the race to secure Obama's legacy and middle class voters in 2016.
It's a peripheral matter but I don't think Democrats have ever typically gotten the majority of the "middle class" vote in recent history if "middle class" is reasonably defined in terms of income. What has happened with Democratic Presidential candidates including Obama in terms of "class" is that they have gotten an overwhelming majority of votes among those in the "lower" class and that has sometimes been enough to make them overcome losing by a modest majority among the "middle class" and a solid majority among the "upper class."

Same will probably happen in 2016. The Republican candidate will probably win among the "middle class" if "middle class" is reasonably defined by a relatively narrow margin and will win among the "upper class" by a substantial margin. But the Democrat will win by an OVERWHELMING margin among the lower class. Relatively minor variations in the extent to which each side wins among each class will determine the outcome.
Wow. What an astonishing revelation. :|

Your buddies over at Stormfront clue you in?
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by Skjellyfetti »

CID1990 wrote:
clenz wrote: Appears to have been declining Obama's tenure...
Yep that was a graphic fail

I think the 2008 uptick was market optimism that the newest Nobel Laureate really was THUH ONE
Huh? The uptick in unemployment in 2008 was due to optimism that Obama was the One? :?
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by Baldy »

Skjellyfetti wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
Yep that was a graphic fail

I think the 2008 uptick was market optimism that the newest Nobel Laureate really was THUH ONE
Huh? The uptick in unemployment in 2008 was due to optimism that Obama was the One? :?
Who said anything about unemployment? :?
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by kalm »

Baldy wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:
Huh? The uptick in unemployment in 2008 was due to optimism that Obama was the One? :?
Who said anything about unemployment? :?
I'm guessing there's some confusion regarding the graph Skelly posted.
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by clenz »

kalm wrote:
Baldy wrote: Who said anything about unemployment? :?
I'm guessing there's some confusion regarding the graph Skelly posted.
There's no words describing what it is.

He mentioned the economy under Obama and then posted a graph with a downward trend
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by clenz »

kalm wrote:
Baldy wrote: Who said anything about unemployment? :?
I'm guessing there's some confusion regarding the graph Skelly posted.
There's no words describing what it is.

He mentioned the economy under Obama and then posted a graph with a downward trend
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by GannonFan »

clenz wrote:
kalm wrote:
I'm guessing there's some confusion regarding the graph Skelly posted.
There's no words describing what it is.

He mentioned the economy under Obama and then posted a graph with a downward trend
Ah, the beauty, and importance, of lables on a graph. :coffee:
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by DSUrocks07 »

GannonFan wrote:
clenz wrote: There's no words describing what it is.

He mentioned the economy under Obama and then posted a graph with a downward trend
Ah, the beauty, and importance, of lables on a graph. :coffee:
Lables(sic) and Tables and Graphs, oh my!
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by AZGrizFan »

JohnStOnge wrote:
And the race to secure Obama's legacy and middle class voters in 2016.
It's a peripheral matter but I don't think Democrats have ever typically gotten the majority of the "middle class" vote in recent history if "middle class" is reasonably defined in terms of income. What has happened with Democratic Presidential candidates including Obama in terms of "class" is that they have gotten an overwhelming majority of votes among those in the "lower" class and that has sometimes been enough to make them overcome losing by a modest majority among the "middle class" and a solid majority among the "upper class."

Same will probably happen in 2016. The Republican candidate will probably win among the "middle class" if "middle class" is reasonably defined by a relatively narrow margin and will win among the "upper class" by a substantial margin. But the Democrat will win by an OVERWHELMING margin among the lower class. Relatively minor variations in the extent to which each side wins among each class will determine the outcome.
Which is why it's in the Donks' best interest to create (and maintain) as large of a "lower class" as possible.
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by GannonFan »

DSUrocks07 wrote:
GannonFan wrote:
Ah, the beauty, and importance, of lables on a graph. :coffee:
Lables(sic) and Tables and Graphs, oh my!
Agreed. Spell check, where are you??? :rofl:
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by Skjellyfetti »

Ibanez wrote: Since when is a gradual decrease a "recovery?"
When have we had a recovery that WASN'T a gradual decrease in unemployemnt? :?

It's usually a sharp increase in unemployment followed by a gradual decrease. :coffee:
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by Ibanez »

Skjellyfetti wrote:
Ibanez wrote: Since when is a gradual decrease a "recovery?"
When have we had a recovery that WASN'T a gradual decrease in unemployemnt? :?

It's usually a sharp increase in unemployment followed by a gradual decrease. :coffee:
Is that what that graph is showing? You post a graph with no labels. I assumed it was the economy tanking. Or it could've been the decrease in people you still says, " Where's the Beef?"
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Re: The Recovery...

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Re: The Recovery...

Post by houndawg »

JohnStOnge wrote:
And the race to secure Obama's legacy and middle class voters in 2016.
It's a peripheral matter but I don't think Democrats have ever typically gotten the majority of the "middle class" vote in recent history if "middle class" is reasonably defined in terms of income. What has happened with Democratic Presidential candidates including Obama in terms of "class" is that they have gotten an overwhelming majority of votes among those in the "lower" class and that has sometimes been enough to make them overcome losing by a modest majority among the "middle class" and a solid majority among the "upper class."

Same will probably happen in 2016. The Republican candidate will probably win among the "middle class" if "middle class" is reasonably defined by a relatively narrow margin and will win among the "upper class" by a substantial margin. But the Democrat will win by an OVERWHELMING margin among the lower class. Relatively minor variations in the extent to which each side wins among each class will determine the outcome.
..but if it weren't I wouldn't be babbling about it. :coffee:
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by Skjellyfetti »

Ibanez wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:
When have we had a recovery that WASN'T a gradual decrease in unemployemnt? :?

It's usually a sharp increase in unemployment followed by a gradual decrease. :coffee:
Is that what that graph is showing? You post a graph with no labels. I assumed it was the economy tanking. Or it could've been the decrease in people you still says, " Where's the Beef?"
the fact that you think it's a graph that shows the economy tanking over the last 5 or 6 years says everything. :lol:

not labeling graphs is very enlightening to see how people interpret it. :coffee:
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Re: The Recovery...

Post by Ibanez »

Skjellyfetti wrote:
Ibanez wrote:
Is that what that graph is showing? You post a graph with no labels. I assumed it was the economy tanking. Or it could've been the decrease in people you still says, " Where's the Beef?"
the fact that you think it's a graph that shows the economy tanking over the last 5 or 6 years says everything. :lol:

not labeling graphs is very enlightening to see how people interpret it. :coffee:
You're a fucking moron if you post a graph with no labels and expect people to understand it.
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