5 Middle East Myths

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5 Middle East Myths

Post by kalm »

Tough to argue with. We need to get out. Why won't this happen? :coffee:
The value of M’s insight -- of, that is, otherwise intelligent people purporting to believe in things that don’t exist -- can be applied well beyond American assumptions about Iraq. A similar inclination to fanaticize permeates, and thereby warps, U.S. policies throughout much of the Greater Middle East. Consider the following claims, each of which in Washington circles has attained quasi-canonical status.

* The presence of U.S. forces in the Islamic world contributes to regional stability and enhances American influence.

* The Persian Gulf constitutes a vital U.S. national security interest.

* Egypt and Saudi Arabia are valued and valuable American allies.

* The interests of the United States and Israel align.

* Terrorism poses an existential threat that the United States must defeat.

For decades now, the first four of these assertions have formed the foundation of U.S. policy in the Middle East. The events of 9/11 added the fifth, without in any way prompting a reconsideration of the first four. On each of these matters, no senior U.S. official (or anyone aspiring to a position of influence) will dare say otherwise, at least not on the record.

Yet subjected to even casual scrutiny, none of the five will stand up. To take them at face value is the equivalent of believing in Santa Claus or the Tooth Fairy -- or that John Boehner and Mitch McConnell really, really hope that the Obama administration and the upcoming Republican-controlled Congress can find grounds to cooperate.
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by Chizzang »

These are all actually pretty funny... even re-reading them kinda makes me laugh out loud

1) The presence of U.S. forces in the Islamic world contributes to regional stability
2) The Persian Gulf constitutes a vital U.S. national security interest.
3) Egypt and Saudi Arabia are valued and valuable American allies.
4) The interests of the United States and Israel align.
5) Terrorism poses an existential threat that the United States must defeat.


:mrgreen:
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by JohnStOnge »

He's missing the point on the "Terrorism poses an existential threat" thing. It's not terrorism. It's Islam. And if you don't want to believe it's Islam itself you can consider it to be those people who believe that the entire world must some day submit and be part of a worldwide Islamic Caliphate. "Terrorism" is just a tactic and the referenced people use it a lot because they don't really have the power to do something like build an army to conquer the world. Not now or for the foreseeable future anyway.

But if we withdraw from the world and pretend they don't exist they will come for us some day. It's not a "they'd leave us alone if we left them alone" thing. That's the problem with this guy's view of things.
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by Ivytalk »

4 and 5 are true.


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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by JohnStOnge »

BTW, I'm very encouraged by what's going on with US oil production but I think it's a bit much to say that means that what goes on in the Persian Gulf is not extremely important to our national interests. If something were to happen to turn off the spigot in that area of the world tomorrow it would affect us and affect us very dramatically. I think you guys know that.

On the stability thing: One can't really say one way or another whether or not our military intervention makes things more or less "stable" because we don't know what would've happened if we'd left that area of the world alone.
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by CitadelGrad »

Chizzang wrote:These are all actually pretty funny... even re-reading them kinda makes me laugh out loud

1) The presence of U.S. forces in the Islamic world contributes to regional stability
2) The Persian Gulf constitutes a vital U.S. national security interest.
3) Egypt and Saudi Arabia are valued and valuable American allies.
4) The interests of the United States and Israel align.
5) Terrorism poses an existential threat that the United States must defeat.


:mrgreen:
2 and 5 are true. 3 is partially true in that the Egyptian and U.S. military had good relations until Obama gave his unqualified support to the Muslim Brotherhood.
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by JohnStOnge »

I had difficulty quickly finding a site that provides an up to date percentage of oil consumed in the US that comes from the Persion Gulf so I went to two pages at one credible looking site and did some math. What I got is that something like 11% of the oil consumed by the United States comes from the Persian Gulf.

If you go to http://www.eia.gov/countries/index.cfm?view=consumption" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; and click on the United States on the map you see that US oil consumption is 18.49 million barrels per day.

If you go to http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/imports/co ... ummary.cfm" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; you can see at the top of the table that the total amount of oil imported from the Persian Gulf during January through June, 2014, is 374,229 x 1000 = 374,229,000 barrels (374.229 million) January through June 2014 was 180 days. 374,229,000/(18,490,000 x 180) = 0.11.

Anyway it's great that it's not much as it used to be but 11 percent is still a substantial portion.
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by kalm »

Ivytalk wrote:4 and 5 are true.


HuffPo! :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:
Andrew Bacevich! :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

:dunce: :coffee:
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by Ivytalk »

kalm wrote:
Ivytalk wrote:4 and 5 are true.


HuffPo! :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:
Andrew Bacevich! :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

:dunce: :coffee:
Ooo, you mean the George McGovern Fellow at Columbia?
:coffee:
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by kalm »

Ivytalk wrote:
kalm wrote:
Andrew Bacevich! :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

:dunce: :coffee:
Ooo, you mean the George McGovern Fellow at Columbia?
:coffee:
And retired colonel and foreign policy expert... :coffee:
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by CID1990 »

kalm wrote:
Ivytalk wrote: Ooo, you mean the George McGovern Fellow at Columbia?
:coffee:
And retired colonel and foreign policy expert... :coffee:
yeah those dime a dozen colonels are always well versed in foreign policy
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by kalm »

CID1990 wrote:
kalm wrote:
And retired colonel and foreign policy expert... :coffee:
yeah those dime a dozen colonels are always well versed in foreign policy
The ones who go on to a career of research, teaching, and writing about it tend to be. BTW, he's a self described catholic conservative.

From wiki:

Andrew J. Bacevich, Jr. (born 1947) is an American political scientist specializing in international relations, security studies, American foreign policy, and American diplomatic and military history. He is currently Professor of International Relations and History at Boston University.[2] He is also a retired career officer in the Armor Branch of the United States Army, retiring with the rank of Colonel. He is a former director of Boston University's Center for International Relations (from 1998 to 2005)
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by Chizzang »

That these 5 points are even being argued among us says volumes...
I find them to be obviously myths that allow us as a Nation to continue behaving as we have for over 60 years

If you're inclined to think our past 60 years of behavior is on the mark (spot on) then sure okay
All of those points are REAL
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by CID1990 »

kalm wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
yeah those dime a dozen colonels are always well versed in foreign policy
The ones who go on to a career of research, teaching, and writing about it tend to be. BTW, he's a self described catholic conservative.

From wiki:

Andrew J. Bacevich, Jr. (born 1947) is an American political scientist specializing in international relations, security studies, American foreign policy, and American diplomatic and military history. He is currently Professor of International Relations and History at Boston University.[2] He is also a retired career officer in the Armor Branch of the United States Army, retiring with the rank of Colonel. He is a former director of Boston University's Center for International Relations (from 1998 to 2005)
oh

he has degrees in foreign policy

hell he sounds like every single first tour consular officer in the foreign service
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by kalm »

Fantastic interview by Glenn Greenwald of whistle blowing public enemy journalist #1, James Risen. They touch on many of the same points regarding the security state, war on terror, and corruption:
RISEN: Probably, probably. I have to think about that. I’m trying to think back. I think my real change came after 9/11 and the invasion of Iraq. I was covering the CIA as a beat then. And to me, it was fascinating talking to CIA people right after the invasion of Iraq and right before the invasion of Iraq, because it was kind of like privately talking to a bunch of Howard Deans. They were all radicalized against what Bush was doing.

To me it was wild to hear all of these people inside the intelligence community, especially in 2003, 2004, who were just going nuts. They couldn’t believe the radical change the United States was going through, and that nobody was opposed to it. And that led me to write my last book, State of War, because I was hearing things from within the intelligence community and the U.S. government that you weren’t hearing publicly from anybody. So that really led me to realize—and to step back and look at—the radical departure of U.S. policy that has happened since 9/11 and since the invasion of Iraq.

To me, it’s not like I’ve been radicalized, I feel like I stayed in the same place and the country changed. The country became more radicalized in a different direction………………………………..

What really hit home was when I was working on a chapter on KBR, and one of the guys who I describe was kind of a whistleblower, Charles Smith. He was an auditor for the army who tried to stop about a billion dollars of payments to KBR because they didn’t have any proof that they’d actually spent the money—or they didn’t have sufficient records to prove it—and he lost his job over his fight with KBR, he believes.

And after I started talking to him he said, “There’s this one general you could talk to who was one of my bosses for a while. He was a good guy and he would vouch for me.” So I called that general, and he had since retired, and he said, “Well, I think Charlie was a great guy, but I now work for a contractor that does business with KBR, and I don’t want to say anything publicly about Charlie because that might upset KBR.” And that’s the kind of thing that you see all the time………………..

GREENWALD: Right, and you can basically only have a really efficient security service if you’re willing to at least kind of go into that realm of authoritarianism—they kind of go hand in hand. Let me ask you: there’s this pretty new reporting you have on this company General Atomics, which is the maker of drones, and you kind of describe them as the new oligarchs. In 2001 they had $100 million in government contracts and now in 2012 they have $1.8 billion, an obscene increase. At the same time, coincidentally enough, you cite a good governance group documenting that they’ve spent more to fund congressional staff travel than any other company.

One of the things that always amazes me—I remember that there was this reporting that was done by Wired, during the debate over whether to give immunity to the telecoms that participated in the NSA program that you uncovered. An extraordinary thing to do, to retroactively immunize the biggest companies in the United States, and Sen. Jay Rockefeller became the leading spokesman for it at the time. He was the Democratic chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, and there were studies showing that right around the time when he became the leading proponent of telecom immunity, AT&T, Verizon, and Sprint began donating lots of money to his campaign, they threw parties for him, but still, in the context of Jay Rockefeller—a Rockefeller—with a super safe seat in West Virginia, they were pretty trivial amounts to be able to just dominate congressional policy that way. And that was what struck me too about General Atomics. So they fund some congressional staff travel.

What is it about the D.C. culture that lets these kind of seemingly trivial amounts in the scheme of things end up translating into this massive influence?

RISEN: You know, I don’t think that it’s the money that really does the trick. I think what really, you’ve got to look at is that all of the staffers, and all of the members of Congress are thinking about what are they going to do after they leave those jobs. The same is true for military officers. What are you going to do when you retire from the military, or from the House Intelligence Committee, or whatever? You’re going to need a job at a defense contractor. And so I think that the real incentive for a lot of these people is not to upset their potential employers in the future. The campaign contributions themselves are just tokens, as you said.

GREENWALD: To say that, on one hand it seems kind of self-evident, but on the one hand, it’s a pretty extraordinary observation because it’s a form of the most extreme corruption. Public officials are serving the interests of really rich corporations in exchange for lucrative private sector jobs that they get when they leave after serving their interests.
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by CID1990 »

hm

I am pretty sure I know exponentially more Langley people than this guy

radicalized against to Bush's war is not how I would characterize them
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by kalm »

CID1990 wrote:hm

I am pretty sure I know exponentially more Langley people than this guy

radicalized against to Bush's war is not how I would characterize them
We're they for the war?
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by CID1990 »

kalm wrote:
CID1990 wrote:hm

I am pretty sure I know exponentially more Langley people than this guy

radicalized against to Bush's war is not how I would characterize them
We're they for the war?
they took a more clinical approach to it than that

they dont make policy and therefore they recognize it didnt (and doesnt) matter what they think

but to characterize them as radicalized against it tells me unequivocally that the author is talking out of his ass
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by mrklean »

4 and 5 are really bullshyt :coffee:
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by CID1990 »

mrklean wrote:4 and 5 are really bullshyt :coffee:
aaaaannnnd

Perfesser Klean makes a /thread
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by UNI88 »

CitadelGrad wrote:
Chizzang wrote:These are all actually pretty funny... even re-reading them kinda makes me laugh out loud

1) The presence of U.S. forces in the Islamic world contributes to regional stability
2) The Persian Gulf constitutes a vital U.S. national security interest.
3) Egypt and Saudi Arabia are valued and valuable American allies.
4) The interests of the United States and Israel align.
5) Terrorism poses an existential threat that the United States must defeat.
2 and 5 are true. 3 is partially true in that the Egyptian and U.S. military had good relations until Obama gave his unqualified support to the Muslim Brotherhood.
IMO ...
1 is false. The presence of foreign forces appears to inflame the Islamic world.
2 is partially true, the Persian Gulf is very important to world and thus US interests.
3 might have been true for Eqypt but Saudi Arabia has been working both sides of Islamic terrorism for a long time.
4 is partially true, the interests of the US and Israel overlap, no two counties' interests perfectly align.
5 I'm not sure about ... are we making a bigger deal out of it than we need to? If we stopped meddling in Islamic affairs and took away their "satan", would the terrorists redirect their hatred toward each other and their governments (Sunni vs. Shiite)? Is terrorism something that the entrenched powers in DC and elsewhere use as a bogeyman (replacing the Soviet Union) to feed special interests and keep voters from realizing how crappy of a job they're doing in leading the country?
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by Chizzang »

UNI88 wrote:
CitadelGrad wrote:
2 and 5 are true. 3 is partially true in that the Egyptian and U.S. military had good relations until Obama gave his unqualified support to the Muslim Brotherhood.
IMO ...
1 is false. The presence of foreign forces appears to inflame the Islamic world.
2 is partially true, the Persian Gulf is very important to world and thus US interests.
3 might have been true for Eqypt but Saudi Arabia has been working both sides of Islamic terrorism for a long time.
4 is partially true, the interests of the US and Israel overlap, no two counties' interests perfectly align.
5 I'm not sure about ... are we making a bigger deal out of it than we need to? If we stopped meddling in Islamic affairs and took away their "satan", would the terrorists redirect their hatred toward each other and their governments (Sunni vs. Shiite)? Is terrorism something that the entrenched powers in DC and elsewhere use as a bogeyman (replacing the Soviet Union) to feed special interests and keep voters from realizing how crappy of a job they're doing in leading the country?

Explain how exactly Israel and the US align..?
I'm curious - because that one seems as one sided as any relationship this country has

:coffee:
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by Grizalltheway »

Chizzang wrote:
UNI88 wrote:
IMO ...
1 is false. The presence of foreign forces appears to inflame the Islamic world.
2 is partially true, the Persian Gulf is very important to world and thus US interests.
3 might have been true for Eqypt but Saudi Arabia has been working both sides of Islamic terrorism for a long time.
4 is partially true, the interests of the US and Israel overlap, no two counties' interests perfectly align.
5 I'm not sure about ... are we making a bigger deal out of it than we need to? If we stopped meddling in Islamic affairs and took away their "satan", would the terrorists redirect their hatred toward each other and their governments (Sunni vs. Shiite)? Is terrorism something that the entrenched powers in DC and elsewhere use as a bogeyman (replacing the Soviet Union) to feed special interests and keep voters from realizing how crappy of a job they're doing in leading the country?

Explain how exactly Israel and the US align..?
I'm curious - because that one seems as one sided as any relationship this country has

:coffee:
Jews run both countries? :ugeek: :coffee:
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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by Chizzang »

Grizalltheway wrote:
Chizzang wrote:

Explain how exactly Israel and the US align..?
I'm curious - because that one seems as one sided as any relationship this country has

:coffee:
Jews run both countries? :ugeek: :coffee:

My Actual Response to your post: :rofl:



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Re: 5 Middle East Myths

Post by UNI88 »

Chizzang wrote:
UNI88 wrote:
IMO ...
1 is false. The presence of foreign forces appears to inflame the Islamic world.
2 is partially true, the Persian Gulf is very important to world and thus US interests.
3 might have been true for Eqypt but Saudi Arabia has been working both sides of Islamic terrorism for a long time.
4 is partially true, the interests of the US and Israel overlap, no two counties' interests perfectly align.
5 I'm not sure about ... are we making a bigger deal out of it than we need to? If we stopped meddling in Islamic affairs and took away their "satan", would the terrorists redirect their hatred toward each other and their governments (Sunni vs. Shiite)? Is terrorism something that the entrenched powers in DC and elsewhere use as a bogeyman (replacing the Soviet Union) to feed special interests and keep voters from realizing how crappy of a job they're doing in leading the country?

Explain how exactly Israel and the US align..?
I'm curious - because that one seems as one sided as any relationship this country has

:coffee:
Overlap not align ... i.e. we have some shared interests such as a nuclear armed Iran is a concern to both nations (although it's a much more immediate concern to Israel).
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