2012 Election Predictions

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Skjellyfetti
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2012 Election Predictions

Post by Skjellyfetti »

Obama: 303
Romney: 235
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by BlueHen86 »

That looks close. I think Romney wins Virginia.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by AZGrizFan »

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_p ... mapid=bdgK

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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by SuperHornet »

I hate this winner-take-all crap. If Cali's rules allowed for splitting the electors, there's NO way the President would take all 55. He might win LA and SF, but there's NO WAY he takes SD and the Central Valley. I'm SICK of LA and Frisco trumping us....
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by CitadelGrad »

Ohio, Virginia and Colorado go with Romney. Wisconsin is too close to call.

Romney 279
The One 259
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by Gil Dobie »

CitadelGrad wrote:Ohio, Virginia and Colorado go with Romney. Wisconsin is too close to call.

Romney 279
The One 259
I see a lot of Scott Walker bumper stickers and give a slight edge to Romney in Wisco as I doubt D1B even votes.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by Seahawks08 »

Ohio, Virginia and Colorado go with Romney. Wisconsin is too close to call.
So WI is too close to call, but you put Ohio and Colorado into the Romney camp? Does not compute.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by CitadelGrad »

Seahawks08 wrote:
Ohio, Virginia and Colorado go with Romney. Wisconsin is too close to call.
So WI is too close to call, but you put Ohio and Colorado into the Romney camp? Does not compute.
It will in about four days.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by Bison Fan in NW MN »

Romney needs Ohio and Virginia to even have a chance.

He might win the popular vote.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by GannonFan »

I see Obama winning 286 to 252 (winning Ohio, Colorado, Nevada, Wisconsin, Iowa and losing Florida and Virginia and New Hampshire). And I see the GOP holding and probably increasing their hold on the House, and the Dems remaining in control of the Senate, but closer than it is today. Basically status quo with an ugly 2013 ahead.

Although in my scenario if Ohio changed hands the outcome would change too. Could be a surprise, but I think Obama still wins there.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by 89Hen »

Obama: 290
Romney: 248
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by TheDancinMonarch »

89Hen wrote:Obama: 290
Romney: 248
My thought exactly. You are a very intelligent, insightful and thoughtful person. Either that or we are both booked on the next cruise of the HMS Bounty.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by bluehenbillk »

89Hen wrote:Obama: 290
Romney: 248
As of this moment, yea this.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by CitadelGrad »

GannonFan wrote:I see Obama winning 286 to 252 (winning Ohio, Colorado, Nevada, Wisconsin, Iowa and losing Florida and Virginia and New Hampshire). And I see the GOP holding and probably increasing their hold on the House, and the Dems remaining in control of the Senate, but closer than it is today. Basically status quo with an ugly 2013 ahead.

Although in my scenario if Ohio changed hands the outcome would change too. Could be a surprise, but I think Obama still wins there.
The Ohio early vote comparison to the 2008 early vote results that Romney is in very good shape in Ohio.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by GannonFan »

CitadelGrad wrote:
GannonFan wrote:I see Obama winning 286 to 252 (winning Ohio, Colorado, Nevada, Wisconsin, Iowa and losing Florida and Virginia and New Hampshire). And I see the GOP holding and probably increasing their hold on the House, and the Dems remaining in control of the Senate, but closer than it is today. Basically status quo with an ugly 2013 ahead.

Although in my scenario if Ohio changed hands the outcome would change too. Could be a surprise, but I think Obama still wins there.
The Ohio early vote comparison to the 2008 early vote results that Romney is in very good shape in Ohio.
Oh, I wouldn't be shocked with a Romney win - the economy is terrible, there's no indication that it's going to improve significantly any time soon, and that's about the only thing that can derail an incumbent President. Add into that the momentum Romney got from the debates and he could win. But I don't have a lot of confidence in exit polling and especially early voting trends. But still, anything is possible.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by Seahawks08 »

Romney had the momentum before Sandy and actually had a chance. After Sandy, momentum is with Obama and I think he squeaks out the win.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by D1B »

CitadelGrad wrote:Ohio, Virginia and Colorado go with Romney. Wisconsin is too close to call.

Romney 279
The One 259
Wisconsin is Romney's. Ryan and they're spending billions here in advertising and propaganda.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by Chizzang »

SuperHornet wrote:I hate this winner-take-all crap. If Cali's rules allowed for splitting the electors, there's NO way the President would take all 55. He might win LA and SF, but there's NO WAY he takes SD and the Central Valley. I'm SICK of LA and Frisco trumping us....

:rofl: Tell that to Al Gore
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by CID1990 »

Skjellyfetti wrote:Obama: 303
Romney: 235
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An incumbent stuck at 47% in a bad economy. Not a formula for this tonic you are selling.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by DSUrocks07 »

Romney wins. Gary Johnson goes from being blamed for Romney losing to being blamed as to why Obama lost.

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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by AZGrizFan »

Skjellyfetti wrote:Obama: 303
Romney: 235
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I"m not saying Romney wins, but I would be absolutely SHOCKED if Obama won EVERY battleground state with the exception of Florida. In fact, I think Florida may be his WORST shot at winning of the battleground states.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by CID1990 »

AZGrizFan wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:Obama: 303
Romney: 235
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I"m not saying Romney wins, but I would be absolutely SHOCKED if Obama won EVERY battleground state with the exception of Florida. In fact, I think Florida may be his WORST shot at winning of the battleground states.
Florida is already red. Romney is up by 5 among likely voters and he's in double digits with independents.

Romney is making huge ad buys in Michigan and Penn. Axelrod says it is because the Romney camp is desperate, but mist numbers show that both states are not only in play, but a virtual dead heat. Obama needs the minorities to come out in 2008 levels in PA in order to carry the state on the Philly vote.

Is the Dem voter turnout going to be along 2008 lines? If yes, O wins PA. If not, Romney.
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by ming01 »

theres no way that obama wins virginia again. he may even lose pennsylvania now
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by ming01 »

http://ElectoralMap.net/2012/myPredicti ... 0nr0nqwnxn" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Romney: 311
Obama: 227

And I am not even voting for Romney. Hes run an effective campaign, he has the trust factor with most voters, he has a double digit lead amongst Independents right now, early voter turnout is significantly down in high Democratic counties across the country, plus Obama hasnt shown he deserves four more years. Not looking good for Obama. I think Romney wins comfortably
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Re: 2012 Election Predictions

Post by uofmman1122 »

Redskins lost.

Romney wins.
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