Presidential Election 2012 predictions.

youngterrier · Post by **youngterrier** » Wed Jan 18, 2012 8:02 pm

It's never too early. Personally, I think if Romney wins this weekend, he's pretty much sealed it because A) Ron Paul won't win the nomination B) I doubt Santorum has enough $$$ to stay in the race, if that's the case and C) Perry is supposedly trailing Romney and Gingrich in his own state.

Personally, I think Gingrich and Romney are the best, most electable candidates out of the current field. You could only go up from how McCain performed in '08. If the economy is still down by the time whomever raps up the nomination does so, Obama could be in trouble. The current state of affairs are quite poor to say the least, if the economy doesn't improve Obama will be a president of empty promises as the "it could be worse" and "long term growth" arguments aren't going to be appealing to the unemployed. I consider myself a moderate, and domestically I don't think there's much that Obama's done to improve much. Not to say he hasn't tried or debate his philosophy, but the results just aren't there.

If Romney keeps it moderate, doesn't mess up a VP pick, and is careful with his attacks, we could have different president around this time next year. The fact that he's somewhat of a moderate (and a flip flop) from New England plays into his favor. Romneycare could kill him though.

thoughts?

FargoBison · Post by **FargoBison** » Wed Jan 18, 2012 9:13 pm

Romney could win vs Obama if he runs a decent campaign. That said I could see him pulling a John Kerry and end up losing to a weak president.

His VP pick will be very important, he needs to find somebody that conservatives will like but isn't a far right nut job.

youngterrier · Post by **youngterrier** » Wed Jan 18, 2012 9:20 pm

FargoBison wrote:Romney could win vs Obama if he runs a decent campaign. That said I could see him pulling a John Kerry and end up losing to a weak president.

His VP pick will be very important, he needs to find somebody that conservatives will like but isn't a far right nut job.

my guess would be Gingrich or Pawlenty, I could see him going for Santorum, but I doubt it.

Post by **grizzaholic** » Wed Jan 18, 2012 9:56 pm

Romney....I just threw up

SuperHornet · Post by **SuperHornet** » Wed Jan 18, 2012 11:08 pm

What's all this about Perry? Didn't he drop out about the same time Michele did?

youngterrier · Post by **youngterrier** » Thu Jan 19, 2012 11:35 am

Did I say Romney? with Perry dropping out, I'm going to say Gingrich will win SC and Texas........gaining momentum, and ultimately winning the nomination

Post by **Ibanez** » Thu Jan 19, 2012 11:50 am

I called it Saturday that huntsman, perry and Paul will drop out by this Sunday. So far I'm right. I think Newt will take SC, him and Mitt will fight for a while, Rick will be gone after Super Tuesday if not before.

Sent from my iPhone.

ASUMountaineer · Post by **ASUMountaineer** » Thu Jan 19, 2012 12:49 pm

Ibanez wrote:I called it Saturday that huntsman, perry and Paul will drop out by this Sunday. So far I'm right. I think Newt will take SC, him and Mitt will fight for a while, Rick will be gone after Super Tuesday if not before.

Sent from my iPhone.

I'd be shocked if Paul drops out by Sunday. The man had his own convention in 2008 when he had a lot less delegates than he does now. You could be right, but I see Paul staying in as long as possible to rack up as many delegates as he can to try to change the platform at the convention.

SuperHornet · Post by **SuperHornet** » Thu Jan 19, 2012 11:32 pm

Ibanez wrote:I called it Saturday that huntsman, perry and Paul will drop out by this Sunday. So far I'm right. I think Newt will take SC, him and Mitt will fight for a while, Rick will be gone after Super Tuesday if not before.

Sent from my iPhone.

Santorum out by Super Tuesday? I just heard on the radio today that a recount gave NH to Santorum. He's got to be on a roll by now.

Seahawks08 · Post by **Seahawks08** » Thu Jan 19, 2012 11:51 pm

Santorum out by Super Tuesday? I just heard on the radio today that a recount gave Iowa to Santorum. He's got to be on a roll by now.

FIFY.

Seahawks08 · Post by **Seahawks08** » Thu Jan 19, 2012 11:53 pm

I called it Saturday that huntsman, perry and Paul will drop out by this Sunday. So far I'm right. I think Newt will take SC, him and Mitt will fight for a while, Rick will be gone after Super Tuesday if not before.

Well you will be right on 2 of the 3. Paul is bypassing SC and trying his hand in later caucus states. He isn't going anywhere.

Seahawks08 · Post by **Seahawks08** » Sat Jan 21, 2012 12:57 am

Chuck Norris has endorsed Newt. Therefore, Newt is now king. That is all.

Seahawks08 · Post by **Seahawks08** » Sat Jan 21, 2012 6:15 pm

Newt won Iowa. Now we have a different winner in the first three contests. Things are about to get extremely dirty in Florida.

Go Ron Paul!

ASUMountaineer · Post by **ASUMountaineer** » Tue Jan 24, 2012 7:28 pm

Seahawks08 wrote:Newt won Iowa. Now we have a different winner in the first three contests. Things are about to get extremely dirty in Florida.

Go Ron Paul!

Santorum won Iowa.

But, I agree: Go Ron Paul!

SuperHornet · Post by **SuperHornet** » Tue Jan 24, 2012 7:51 pm

By Super Tuesday, an another candidate will announce and take over from there on out, including the general election....

houndawg · Post by **houndawg** » Wed Jan 25, 2012 7:06 pm

Obama will be re-elected - he has more money than any of them.

Seahawks08 · Post by **Seahawks08** » Thu Jan 26, 2012 12:30 am

Santorum won Iowa.

But, I agree: Go Ron Paul!

Good catch!

And I even fixed a post above saying Santorum won it lol oops.

ASUMountaineer · Post by **ASUMountaineer** » Thu Jan 26, 2012 6:23 am

Seahawks08 wrote:
Santorum won Iowa.

But, I agree: Go Ron Paul!
Good catch! And I even fixed a post above saying Santorum won it lol oops.

[sh]It happens.

mrklean · Post by **mrklean** » Thu Jan 26, 2012 9:30 am

None of these jack Ass will beat Obama.....................lol

ASUMountaineer · Post by **ASUMountaineer** » Thu Jan 26, 2012 10:44 am

mrklean wrote:None of these jack Ass will beat Obama.....................lol

It is laughable. Obama should be easy to beat. Oh well...more of the same.

Post by **Cap'n Cat** » Thu Jan 26, 2012 11:56 am

Obama, 52-48.

Rob Iola · Post by **Rob Iola** » Thu Jan 26, 2012 1:09 pm

Obama 48 Romney 45 Paul 7

BDKJMU · Post by **BDKJMU** » Thu Jan 26, 2012 6:15 pm

Romney 49%, Obama 48%, 3% other (Americans Elect, Constitution, Green, Justice, Party for Socialism and Liberation, Socialist, Independent)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Sta ... ates,_2012" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Seahawks08 · Post by **Seahawks08** » Thu Jan 26, 2012 8:04 pm

why are we going with percentages, especially for the main parties? Al Gore would have won then. The real question is, where will the swing states go to? How does either get to 270 electoral votes?

And if Paul runs as an independent, what should the over/under line be for percentage?

Post by **HI54UNI** » Thu Jan 26, 2012 8:19 pm

Rob Iola wrote:Obama 48 Romney 45 Paul 7

Ron Paul will not run as an independent. The continuation of his run is more about setting his son Rand up for a run someday. If Ron runs as an independent it screws Rand.

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