GannonFan wrote:TwinTownBisonFan wrote:
But you aren't really the majority in the GOP... and even if there are a lot of people who think like you (and I know there are) - your demographic doesn't vote nearly as consistently as the Christianists... (who comprise a VERY big part of the base - and are crossed at great peril)
While it might be what they ought to do in terms of the right damn thing... politically, strategically and especially tactically... they can't - for fear of incurring the wrath.
And that's where you just go off the deep end. Sure the GOP has their wackos in it, and they are just as unsavory and hard to stomach as the wackos in the Democratic party are. Both groups are mean, uncompromising, and entirely sure that they are absolutely right and good and moral and that their opposites in the other party are truly the opposites in every way (i.e. bad and immoral). But neither group really represents anything close to the majority in either party and the majorities in both parties are very much more in line with the ever growing group of Independents out there who really just tune out this crap as the insignificant noise that it is.
Sure, wackos in the Iowa caucuses and some of the early primaries vote based upon stuff like this, but those are people so entrenched in the tit-for-tat political gamemanship that they end up focusing on that rather than the big picture of what they are even voting for. But in the end, the real primaries that matter come later and they aren't ruled by side issues like these.
And if the "Christianists" were as powerful as you make them out to be for the GOP, how does a candidate like Mitch Romney, who championed a state provided universal health care and is a Mormon of all things, have as much growing momentum as he seems to have? He should be DOA if those groups were as all powerful as they are made out to be. Just like in the Democratic party, there are far more level headed people and more importantly, people that don't see politics as some type of game where winning at all costs matters most, who really end up deciding elections. The wacko bases on both sides are just things to talk about while we wait for the main event.
I was in the GOP 10 years ago - I've spent 10 years in the Dem base. I've met both bases and worked with them eye-to-eye. The fringe left is scary in their bizarre ideology and world view, no doubt. However, I have observed that generally, the Party itself strongly and frequently distances itself from that base, both in rhetoric and fact. As a result by the way, we lose a chunk of that far left base every election because they don't pass "purity tests"... in fact many on the fringe are often found in the Green Party camp because the Dems are too "establishment, man" for them. (Seriously - as someone who has had to organize in this world... you want to slap them with a fish)
The GOP on the other hand, has largely embraced their hard base. This was the entirety of Rove's 2004 strategy. Forget the middle - rally the base. It worked then. In 2010, that hard base metastasized, calling itself the "tea party" - a catchy name for something that already existed. They've seized a remarkable amount of control with regard to the party apparatus, and surviving inter-party fights without them on your side has become nearly impossible. (whereas moderate Dems FREQUENTLY survive such challenges)
Romney is a second place candidate, despite being the fields clear best choice. (even if he does remind me of Kerry) The reason he isn't running away with the nomination is largely because of this Christianist movement - that is currently split between Perry (most of them) and Bachmann (fading fast). This movement - evangelical Christianist (politicized Christianity, not altogether dissimilar from Islamism) is a VERY large, and very powerful presence in the GOP base. Crossing them is done at great peril. They represent something like 35-45% of the party base... that's a HUGE bloc of voters - and in places like Iowa and South Carolina, that number is likely much higher - and look where Romney is struggling? (and their beef with Romney isn't even about health care... it's about his religion)
Watch Perry - who may now start to splutter given that he can't pass purity tests on illegal immigration (a purely pragmatic thing for a Texas Gov. who has to deal with it in the real world to do)... keep an eye - but I wouldn't be shocked if this really hurts him, and a segment of that hard base goes candidate shopping yet again.