2011 Predictions

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Silenoz
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Silenoz »

Screamin_Eagle174 wrote:
Silenoz wrote: 5 games out of 10
Well that's not purely speculative at all. :lol:

Hell, I'll take that bet. We're not doing any points, just W/L?
Well, this whole thread is purely speculative. I say EWU beats us next year 4/10 (40% chance), and you clearly believe it's somewhere north of 50%.

And yeah, just W/L
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Screamin_Eagle174 »

Silenoz wrote:
Screamin_Eagle174 wrote:
Well that's not purely speculative at all. :lol:

Hell, I'll take that bet. We're not doing any points, just W/L?
Well, this whole thread is purely speculative. I say EWU beats us next year 4/10 (40% chance), and you clearly believe it's somewhere north of 50%.

And yeah, just W/L
I'd say it's 5 or 6. I'd go 5.5 if I could.

It's a deal then. I'll bookmark the thread. :thumb:
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by EWURanger »

Screamin_Eagle174 wrote:
EWURanger wrote:
Hope you're right, but I think we lose to Washington plus at least one conference loss against either MSU/UM/CSUS. We have never gone undefeated in the BSC, unfortunately.

And then we will probably lose some other game we shouldn't to either Poly/NAU/Weber putting us at 8-3 going into the playoffs, which I am ok with. Realistically, I could see us going anywhere from 9-2 to 7-4 but as long as we make the playoffs I won't be too put out.
I have us losing to UW. And if we're ever going to go undefeated in BSC play, this is the year we do it. Realistically I think we go anywhere from 10-1 and 8-3, as long as we make the playoffs and get our first game at home. C'mon Ranger, let's raise expectations... we're at the top now. :thumb:
Yah, I know - I was just saying I think we lose to them and at least one conference game. I've got really high expectations for this team too but I also know how challenging our schedule is this season with all the road games. Plus, looking back at this past season and all the really close games we managed to find a way to win that really could have gone either way, but were won because of the leadership of guys like Sherritt and Jolley who will be difficult to replace. So much will depend on how our running game will progress without TJ, the maturation of some young corners who will be tested in the pass-happy Big Sky, and all the other variables that factor in. Plus there's the question of how this team responds with a target on their back? Will they settle for "good enough" or will they go into the off-season as they did last year - to prove something. To me, 2010 was a perfect storm in pretty much every aspect.

That said, with what we've got returning, I think we have a great shot at another conference championship and return to the playoffs. But when you consider the non-conference match-ups we've got plus having to face an improved Big Sky with every team gunning for us I'd also be really happy being 8-3 going into the playoffs.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by 93henfan »

∞∞∞ wrote:09/24/11 at Delaware - W
A girl can dream, right? :thumb:
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by ODUalum11 »

93henfan wrote:
∞∞∞ wrote:09/24/11 at Delaware - W
A girl can dream, right? :thumb:
call me a pessimist, the ODU-Delaware game is the one game on the 2011 schedule that I feel ODU has the least chance of winning, if any chance. :ohno:

I dont think a 6-win season isn't possible, I just think its asking a little too much for our first year in the CAA.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by DJH »

Gil Dobie wrote:
DJH wrote:at Iowa State---L
at Stephen F. Austin---L
vs. Western Illinois---L
at Missouri State---L
vs. Indiana State---L
at South Dakota State---L
vs. Southern Illinois---L
at North Dakota State---W
vs. Youngstown State---L
vs. Southern Utah---L
at Illinois State---L
It's not beyond reality to be coming into Fargo 2-5. :kisswink:
Oh really? Do you wanna bet?

Didn't think so.

Anyways, as you can see, I predicted us 0-7 going into fargo.
Last edited by DJH on Sun Jun 05, 2011 3:29 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Gil Dobie »

DJH wrote:
Gil Dobie wrote:
It's not beyond reality to be coming into Fargo 2-5. :kisswink:
Oh really? Do you wanna bet?

Didn't think so.


Anyways, as you can see, I predicted us 0-7 going into fargo.


You said 0-7 before NDSU, I think you will win a couple at least :nod:
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by SuperHornet »

at Oregon State (Corvallis, Ore.) L
at Southern Utah (Cedar City, Utah) W
at Weber State* (Ogden, Utah) W
MONTANA* (HORNET STADIUM) L*
at Montana State* (Bozeman, Mont) W
at Northern Colorado* (Greeley, Colo.) W
EASTERN WASHINGTON*# (HORNET STADIUM) L
NORTHERN ARIZONA* (HORNET STADIUM) W
at Portland State* (Portland, Ore.) W
IDAHO STATE* (HORNET STADIUM) W
UC DAVIS (HORNET STADIUM) (Senior Day) W

*I REALLY want this one to go the other way, but I think we're at least a year away from that. I hope I'm wrong about that.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by guinzone »

We will be picked to finish last this year which is fine by me. We won't finish last, we will finish games out, and have a winning record. Run for the title a year away. Looking at 7 wins for the Guins.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Wildcat Ryan »

Sept 3rd @ Wyoming- W. The last time these 2 teams met Weber had 5 turnovers and lost by 7. This time the Pokes will not recieve as many gifts. and a suprisingly potent Wildcat offense scores enough to win, (28-20)

Sept 10th @ Utah State- L The Aggie faithful will be all high on themselves for beating an FCS team by a grand total of 3 points (27-24)

Sept 17th Sacramento State- W The Wildcats open thier 2011 home slate on thier brand new field turf against the Sac St Hornets, the result is a suprising blowout in the Wildcats favor. (44-10)

Sept 24th @ Northern Colorado- W Only one game in the series between these two teams has been won by more than 8 points, in what is quickly becoming a hated rivalry, the Wildcats will once again escape with a narrow victory and remain undefeated against the Bears. (31-28)

Oct 1st @ Eastern Washington- L This game is going to be closer than a lot of people would first believe, the Eagles are the defending Nat champs and will most likely be the favorite going into the season, however, as history has shown, Weber State and Eastern Washington LOVE to ruin each other's seasons (42-35)

Oct 15th Idaho State- W Idaho State will be a good team eventually, who knows maybe even this upcoming season. The Wildcats have won the last 8 in a row, and will win thier 9th in a row in a hard fought rivalry game. (40-31)

Oct 22nd Southern Utah- W The Wildcats and Thunderbirds meet for the first time in 5 years and both teams fanbases are buzzing about this game. This game will be a great start to the Weber/SUU rivalry. and for the 15th time out of 18 times, the WIldcats will come out victorious. (21-20)

Oct 29th @ Montana- L Weber hasnt won in Missoula since 1987, the year I was born. And although I believe Weber has a great shot at it, they will once again come up short. (24-20)

Nov 5th Montana State- W Weber played pretty well in Bozeman last season, and in a bold prediction, I say Weber upsets the Bobcats in Stewart Stadium in a defensive slugfest. (16-10)

Nov 12th Northern Arizona- W LIke Sac St, a suprising blowout over another decent team (51-20)

Nov 19th @ Portland State- W In what is becoming one of the strangest matchups in the Big Sky, both potent offenses rack up the score and add yet another crazy chapter to this strange rivalry. (61-55)

8-3 overall 6-2 Big Sky a top 15 ranking and playoff bound.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by bjtheflamesfan »

09/03 - 6:00 PM - @ N.C. State Liberty has shown that they can play well with I-A/FBS teams. The Flames have not lost by more than 13 points to an FBS school since 2006 (Danny Rocco's first year). With the change at QB for the Pack I think that LU has a chance for an upset here if they can keep them from running the ball. I'll pick a loss here but itll be a close one NCSU 31 LU 24 0-1

09/10 - 7:00 PM - Robert Morris The Flames lost up in PA on a late touchdown and will be looking to avenge that loss in front of a no doubt raucous Williams Stadium crowd. LU hasnt lost a home opener since 2002 and has scored at least 40 points in the last 9 home games...I think LU gets a solid win here LU 42 RMU 28 1-1

09/17 - 7:00 PM - James Madison Last time these two teams played in Lynchburg was probably one of the wettest games in recent memory save the St Pauls game in 2006. These two teams have played close games in both previous meetings and more of the same is expected here. JMU has given the Flames their only other home loss in the last three seasons (the other being Lafayette in 2008). I'll call an LU win but itll be a defensive struggle once again LU 17 JMU 13 2-1

09/24 - 12:30 PM - @ Lehigh This is the last game in a key opening stretch for Liberty. a win here probably sets up a pretty good OOC resume to show to the selection committee when it comes to an at-large bid (although Im sure LU is tired of sharing at this point) I'll call an LU win but in another close game Liberty 24 Lehigh 21 3-1

10/01 - 7:00 PM - Kentucky Wesleyan Liberty hasnt lost to a sub Division I team in a very long time...1993 to be precise (to IUP) that wont change this weekend LU 54 KWC 10 4-1
10/08 - 6:00 PM - @ Gardner-Webb Liberty has won the last 4 meetings by an average of 25 points. The Runnin Bulldogs have a new coach and with it a new attitude. I expect a good game but LU pulls away late LU 35 G-W 21 5-1 (1-0)

10/15 - 3:30 PM - Coastal Carolina (Homecoming) Coastal spoiled LU's chance to crash the playoff party last year with a solid win in Conway. After the last loss to the Chants, LU ran off three straight wins, two by double digits. CCU hasnt won in Lynchburg since 2005. If this game is anything like the 2009 meeting, this one will be over by the end of the third quarter. I look for a good game though with LU coming out on top to please the alumni in town LU 42 CCU 34 6-1 (2-0)

10/22 - 1:30 PM - @ Charleston Southern The Bucs have had their share of up and down seasons...usually with more down than up..after winning two of three to open 2010, CSU lost their next 6 games...all by double figures. But the last time these two met in Charleston, the Bucs were one pass inside the red zone away from forcing overtime. LU wins this one but I expect another close game LU 28 CSU 24 7-1 (3-0)

10/29 - 3:30 PM - Presbyterian While the Blue Hose have given the Flames fits down in Clinton (including a 31-28 upset win in Clinton in 2008 which Flames fans are still seething over), it hasnt been that close in Lynchburg. LU has won both previous meetings inside Williams Stadium by an average of 35 points (including a 55-19 shellacking in 2009). If the same team that lost by only 10 last year shows up, this could be a good game...if its the same team that showed up in 2009...not even William Wallace can save them...LU 35 PC 21 8-1 (4-0)

11/05 - 3:30 PM - VMI The Keydets went through some growing pains adjusting from a triple option offense winning three games and reaching double figures in only four total. The Roos havent won in Lynchburg since 2005 and the one time they cracked 20 points in the last three meetings on LU's home turf (2007), LU nearly set a school record for points in a game (73). In fact, in the four meetings between the two in Lynchburg, VMI has only scored 20 or more points twice: 2003 and 2007...they lost both times. I dont expect a result like 2009 here but the Flames win solidly LU 35 VMI 17 9-1 (5-0)

11/12 - ........... - Bye

11/19 - 1:00 PM - @ Stony Brook This is THE game in conference this year for Liberty...last time these two met on Long Island, the Seawolves sunk the Flames with a late TD and forged a tie for the Big South in the last season before the conference received an automatic bid to the playoffs. If LU has a performance in the whole game like they had in the second half in Lynchburg last season, there wont be any late heroics...just LU hoisting the Big South trophy for the fifth straight year and first time outright since 2008. LU takes this one in a shootout LU 49 SBU 46 10-1 (6-0)

The big stretch is going to be those opening four games (@ NCSU, vs. RMU, vs. JMU and @ Lehigh) If the Flames come out of that stretch 3-1 or 4-0, itll send a very strong message to the NCAA selection committee when it comes time for at-large consideration.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

Montana


9/3 @ (FBS) Tennessee - The Vols are a middling SEC team, but that's still at or above the level of the FCS elite
  • L, 35-17
9/10 vs. Cal Poly - The Griz won't play near as bad as they did in SLO last year
  • W, 35-21
9/17 vs. Eastern Washington - Last year, EWU won because of Taiwan Jones & in spite of Mitchell; no more TJ…
  • W, 27-21
9/24 @ Sac State - On paper, this is Sac's best-ever chance of beating the Griz; UM will make one too many mistakes
  • L, 28-24
10/1 vs. Northern Colorado - The Bears are still mediocre
  • W, 38-13
10/8 @ Idaho St. - Mike Kramer's revamped offense will excel at giving Montana the ball
  • W, 30-6
10/15 vs. Portland St. - No McKnight heroics will be necessary this time
  • W, 45-20
10/22 @ Northern Arizona - Thanks to a decimated defense, the 'Jacks won't even be in position for a tragic loss
  • W, 34-21
10/29 vs. Weber St. - Weber won't be contending for anything this year
  • W, 31-14
11/5 vs. (DII) Western Oregon - WOU will do better than Western State, but that doesn't really say much
  • W, 42-3
11/19 @ Montana St. - Davis's suspension hurts the Bobcat running game, and they need a strong one to beat UM
  • W, 27-24


The Griz will go 9-2 (7-1 Big Sky). I'm not sure about the auto-bid, but that will certainly be enough for a first-round bye in the playoffs.

A realistic range would be anywhere from 7-4 to 10-1, with 7-4 being the least likely and 9-2 the most.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Screamin_Eagle174 »

Mvemjsunpx wrote:9/17 vs. Eastern Washington - Last year, EWU won because of Taiwan Jones & in spite of Mitchell; no more TJ…
W, 27-21
This year we'll win because of Mitchell (and Kaufman) & in spite of not having TJ. :thumb:
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by DJH »

guinzone wrote:We will be picked to finish last this year which is fine by me. We won't finish last, we will finish games out, and have a winning record. Run for the title a year away. Looking at 7 wins for the Guins.
You guys are potentially just a couple of purchased players away from being in the national title hunt again. :thumb:
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by guinzone »

DJH wrote:
guinzone wrote:We will be picked to finish last this year which is fine by me. We won't finish last, we will finish games out, and have a winning record. Run for the title a year away. Looking at 7 wins for the Guins.
You guys are potentially just a couple of purchased players away from being in the national title hunt again. :thumb:
Who did we purchase in 1993, 1994, and 1997? Furthermore in 1992, 1999, and 2006?
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by T-Dog »

9/3 - @ Virginia Tech. Should be quite the party since Blacksburg is only 140 miles from ASU. I think we give it a good effort but our defense is still getting use to the 3-4. 42-21 L

9/10 - vs NC A@T. First game in our tour of the MEAC cellar. 45-7 W

9/17 - vs Sav St. Second game in our tour of the MEAC cellar. 52-7 W

9/24 - vs Chatty. Big-ass game #1. Chatty has got all their practice hours and schollies back. Coleman will bring the air attack big time. If we rattle him early and don't bite on the play-action, we could jump out and never look back. If not, it'll go down to the wire. 42-35 W

10/1 - @ Wofford. Big-ass game #2. Never going to be easy in Spartanburg. The Ankle Biters will be pissed and want to run through walls after the beatdown in Boone last year. The turnaround from defending the UTC air raid on turf to defending the wishbone on grass is worrying. If we jump on them early like last year, then I love our chances. 38-28 W

10/8 - BYE.

10/15 - @ The Citadel. We almost loss in Chuck Town two years ago. Hopefully playing on hot grass in the Upstate should be fresh in our minds playing on hotter grass in the Low Country. Plus we shouldn't have much problem defended a option running team after playing Wofford. 28-7 W

10/22 vs Samford. It's Homecoming and the week before GSU so it's in no way a slam dunk. Tillman could be coaching for his job in this game. The colder the day, the better it is for ASU. 34-14 W

10/29 vs Georgia Southern. Big-ass game #3. The biggest of the big-ass games. One thing that will be a new advantage for GSU is that Kidd-Brewer no longer has a crowned field so they won't have to alter their pitches. However ASU usually plays their best ball around this time of year. No idea how this could go. Push

11/5 @ Furman. As is tradition since GSU joined the SoCon, Furman and GSU are back to back. In fact, this is only the second time since 1992 that ASU hasn't had FU, GSU and Wofford/Marshall in a row. This is a rebuilding year for the Purple Knights so we don't know what kind they'll have, but the hangover mood from last week will determine a lot here. 31-10 W

11/12 - vs Western Carolina. The Jug game and Western's Superbowl. Wagner needs a win here to show to the faithful he's better than Briggs (who at leat beat ASU once). Don't hold your breath. 38-13 W

11/19 - @ Elon. Two years ago this was the SoCon Title game. Now Riddle, Hudgins and Lembo are gone and Elon is in rebuilding mode. Could be competitive if the game doesn't have any meaning in the standings for ASU, but just like Furman, the Fighting Christians will be an unknown commodity this year. Law of averages points to the team who hasn't lost this matchup since the Johnson Administration. 31-17 W

So 10-1/9-2 which could be 8-3/7-4 if the defense fails.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

Screamin_Eagle174 wrote:
Mvemjsunpx wrote:9/17 vs. Eastern Washington - Last year, EWU won because of Taiwan Jones & in spite of Mitchell; no more TJ…
W, 27-21
This year we'll win because of Mitchell (and Kaufman) & in spite of not having TJ. :thumb:
That was clever… ;)


I think Mitchell is being overvalued because he happened to have two good playoff performances against teams with weak pass rushes. Remember, he had a horrid game against North Dakota State (a team with a good pass rush)—even that game-tying two-minute drive was pretty ugly. BLM is capable, but inconsistent, & pressure seems to be the deciding factor. Kaufman is a really good player, but Montana has arguably the best corner in FCS.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

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bjtheflamesfan wrote:09/03 - 6:00 PM - @ N.C. State Liberty has shown that they can play well with I-A/FBS teams. The Flames have not lost by more than 13 points to an FBS school since 2006 (Danny Rocco's first year). With the change at QB for the Pack I think that LU has a chance for an upset here if they can keep them from running the ball. I'll pick a loss here but itll be a close one NCSU 31 LU 24 0-1

09/10 - 7:00 PM - Robert Morris The Flames lost up in PA on a late touchdown and will be looking to avenge that loss in front of a no doubt raucous Williams Stadium crowd. LU hasnt lost a home opener since 2002 and has scored at least 40 points in the last 9 home games...I think LU gets a solid win here LU 42 RMU 28 1-1

09/17 - 7:00 PM - James Madison Last time these two teams played in Lynchburg was probably one of the wettest games in recent memory save the St Pauls game in 2006. These two teams have played close games in both previous meetings and more of the same is expected here. JMU has given the Flames their only other home loss in the last three seasons (the other being Lafayette in 2008). I'll call an LU win but itll be a defensive struggle once again LU 17 JMU 13 2-1

09/24 - 12:30 PM - @ Lehigh This is the last game in a key opening stretch for Liberty. a win here probably sets up a pretty good OOC resume to show to the selection committee when it comes to an at-large bid (although Im sure LU is tired of sharing at this point) I'll call an LU win but in another close game Liberty 24 Lehigh 21 3-1

10/01 - 7:00 PM - Kentucky Wesleyan Liberty hasnt lost to a sub Division I team in a very long time...1993 to be precise (to IUP) that wont change this weekend LU 54 KWC 10 4-1
10/08 - 6:00 PM - @ Gardner-Webb Liberty has won the last 4 meetings by an average of 25 points. The Runnin Bulldogs have a new coach and with it a new attitude. I expect a good game but LU pulls away late LU 35 G-W 21 5-1 (1-0)

10/15 - 3:30 PM - Coastal Carolina (Homecoming) Coastal spoiled LU's chance to crash the playoff party last year with a solid win in Conway. After the last loss to the Chants, LU ran off three straight wins, two by double digits. CCU hasnt won in Lynchburg since 2005. If this game is anything like the 2009 meeting, this one will be over by the end of the third quarter. I look for a good game though with LU coming out on top to please the alumni in town LU 42 CCU 34 6-1 (2-0)

10/22 - 1:30 PM - @ Charleston Southern The Bucs have had their share of up and down seasons...usually with more down than up..after winning two of three to open 2010, CSU lost their next 6 games...all by double figures. But the last time these two met in Charleston, the Bucs were one pass inside the red zone away from forcing overtime. LU wins this one but I expect another close game LU 28 CSU 24 7-1 (3-0)

10/29 - 3:30 PM - Presbyterian While the Blue Hose have given the Flames fits down in Clinton (including a 31-28 upset win in Clinton in 2008 which Flames fans are still seething over), it hasnt been that close in Lynchburg. LU has won both previous meetings inside Williams Stadium by an average of 35 points (including a 55-19 shellacking in 2009). If the same team that lost by only 10 last year shows up, this could be a good game...if its the same team that showed up in 2009...not even William Wallace can save them...LU 35 PC 21 8-1 (4-0)

11/05 - 3:30 PM - VMI The Keydets went through some growing pains adjusting from a triple option offense winning three games and reaching double figures in only four total. The Roos havent won in Lynchburg since 2005 and the one time they cracked 20 points in the last three meetings on LU's home turf (2007), LU nearly set a school record for points in a game (73). In fact, in the four meetings between the two in Lynchburg, VMI has only scored 20 or more points twice: 2003 and 2007...they lost both times. I dont expect a result like 2009 here but the Flames win solidly LU 35 VMI 17 9-1 (5-0)

11/12 - ........... - Bye

11/19 - 1:00 PM - @ Stony Brook This is THE game in conference this year for Liberty...last time these two met on Long Island, the Seawolves sunk the Flames with a late TD and forged a tie for the Big South in the last season before the conference received an automatic bid to the playoffs. If LU has a performance in the whole game like they had in the second half in Lynchburg last season, there wont be any late heroics...just LU hoisting the Big South trophy for the fifth straight year and first time outright since 2008. LU takes this one in a shootout LU 49 SBU 46 10-1 (6-0)

The big stretch is going to be those opening four games (@ NCSU, vs. RMU, vs. JMU and @ Lehigh) If the Flames come out of that stretch 3-1 or 4-0, itll send a very strong message to the NCAA selection committee when it comes time for at-large consideration.
Yeah, and every Liberty fan on here predicted the flames to beat JMU each of the last 2 seasons. :lol:
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Screamin_Eagle174 »

Mvemjsunpx wrote:
Screamin_Eagle174 wrote:
This year we'll win because of Mitchell (and Kaufman) & in spite of not having TJ. :thumb:
That was clever… ;)


I think Mitchell is being overvalued because he happened to have two good playoff performances against teams with weak pass rushes. Remember, he had a horrid game against North Dakota State (a team with a good pass rush)—even that game-tying two-minute drive was pretty ugly. BLM is capable, but inconsistent, & pressure seems to be the deciding factor. Kaufman is a really good player, but Montana has arguably the best corner in FCS.
The weather and relying on TJ was a much bigger factor in BLM's performance against NDSU than their pass rush. I mean, when TJ has 200 yards in the first half alone, you don't have to do a whole lot. Either way, Montana's pass rush isn't too great right now. Doesn't matter who you have defending Kaufman, he'll go up and get it. And don't forget about our pass rush (Renard and UW transfer Pulu) against UM's struggling OL and new QB.
Last edited by Screamin_Eagle174 on Sun Jun 05, 2011 8:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by BDKJMU »

∞∞∞ wrote:09/03/11 vs. Campbell - W
09/10/11 at Georgia State - W
09/17/11 vs. Hampton - W
09/24/11 at Delaware - L
10/01/11 vs. Massachusetts - L
10/08/11 at Rhode Island - L
10/15/11 vs. Towson -W
10/22/11 at Villanova - L
10/29/11 vs. James Madison - L
11/05/11 vs. Richmond - L
11/12/11 at William & Mary - L

4-7/1-7 CAA
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by bjtheflamesfan »

BDKJMU wrote:
bjtheflamesfan wrote:09/03 - 6:00 PM - @ N.C. State Liberty has shown that they can play well with I-A/FBS teams. The Flames have not lost by more than 13 points to an FBS school since 2006 (Danny Rocco's first year). With the change at QB for the Pack I think that LU has a chance for an upset here if they can keep them from running the ball. I'll pick a loss here but itll be a close one NCSU 31 LU 24 0-1

09/10 - 7:00 PM - Robert Morris The Flames lost up in PA on a late touchdown and will be looking to avenge that loss in front of a no doubt raucous Williams Stadium crowd. LU hasnt lost a home opener since 2002 and has scored at least 40 points in the last 9 home games...I think LU gets a solid win here LU 42 RMU 28 1-1

09/17 - 7:00 PM - James Madison Last time these two teams played in Lynchburg was probably one of the wettest games in recent memory save the St Pauls game in 2006. These two teams have played close games in both previous meetings and more of the same is expected here. JMU has given the Flames their only other home loss in the last three seasons (the other being Lafayette in 2008). I'll call an LU win but itll be a defensive struggle once again LU 17 JMU 13 2-1

09/24 - 12:30 PM - @ Lehigh This is the last game in a key opening stretch for Liberty. a win here probably sets up a pretty good OOC resume to show to the selection committee when it comes to an at-large bid (although Im sure LU is tired of sharing at this point) I'll call an LU win but in another close game Liberty 24 Lehigh 21 3-1

10/01 - 7:00 PM - Kentucky Wesleyan Liberty hasnt lost to a sub Division I team in a very long time...1993 to be precise (to IUP) that wont change this weekend LU 54 KWC 10 4-1
10/08 - 6:00 PM - @ Gardner-Webb Liberty has won the last 4 meetings by an average of 25 points. The Runnin Bulldogs have a new coach and with it a new attitude. I expect a good game but LU pulls away late LU 35 G-W 21 5-1 (1-0)

10/15 - 3:30 PM - Coastal Carolina (Homecoming) Coastal spoiled LU's chance to crash the playoff party last year with a solid win in Conway. After the last loss to the Chants, LU ran off three straight wins, two by double digits. CCU hasnt won in Lynchburg since 2005. If this game is anything like the 2009 meeting, this one will be over by the end of the third quarter. I look for a good game though with LU coming out on top to please the alumni in town LU 42 CCU 34 6-1 (2-0)

10/22 - 1:30 PM - @ Charleston Southern The Bucs have had their share of up and down seasons...usually with more down than up..after winning two of three to open 2010, CSU lost their next 6 games...all by double figures. But the last time these two met in Charleston, the Bucs were one pass inside the red zone away from forcing overtime. LU wins this one but I expect another close game LU 28 CSU 24 7-1 (3-0)

10/29 - 3:30 PM - Presbyterian While the Blue Hose have given the Flames fits down in Clinton (including a 31-28 upset win in Clinton in 2008 which Flames fans are still seething over), it hasnt been that close in Lynchburg. LU has won both previous meetings inside Williams Stadium by an average of 35 points (including a 55-19 shellacking in 2009). If the same team that lost by only 10 last year shows up, this could be a good game...if its the same team that showed up in 2009...not even William Wallace can save them...LU 35 PC 21 8-1 (4-0)

11/05 - 3:30 PM - VMI The Keydets went through some growing pains adjusting from a triple option offense winning three games and reaching double figures in only four total. The Roos havent won in Lynchburg since 2005 and the one time they cracked 20 points in the last three meetings on LU's home turf (2007), LU nearly set a school record for points in a game (73). In fact, in the four meetings between the two in Lynchburg, VMI has only scored 20 or more points twice: 2003 and 2007...they lost both times. I dont expect a result like 2009 here but the Flames win solidly LU 35 VMI 17 9-1 (5-0)

11/12 - ........... - Bye

11/19 - 1:00 PM - @ Stony Brook This is THE game in conference this year for Liberty...last time these two met on Long Island, the Seawolves sunk the Flames with a late TD and forged a tie for the Big South in the last season before the conference received an automatic bid to the playoffs. If LU has a performance in the whole game like they had in the second half in Lynchburg last season, there wont be any late heroics...just LU hoisting the Big South trophy for the fifth straight year and first time outright since 2008. LU takes this one in a shootout LU 49 SBU 46 10-1 (6-0)

The big stretch is going to be those opening four games (@ NCSU, vs. RMU, vs. JMU and @ Lehigh) If the Flames come out of that stretch 3-1 or 4-0, itll send a very strong message to the NCAA selection committee when it comes time for at-large consideration.
Yeah, and every Liberty fan on here predicted the flames to beat JMU each of the last 2 seasons. :lol:
This is a thing I know...a lot of LU fans (this one excepted as you can see) think this is more likely to be a loss...Itll be interesting to see what happens in Lynchburg if we dont have another monsoon like two years ago
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

Screamin_Eagle174 wrote:relying on TJ was a much bigger factor in BLM's performance against NDSU than their pass rush. I mean, when TJ has 200 yards in the first half alone, you don't have to do a whole lot.
So, you're arguing that having a good running game hurts the passing game? When has that ever been true? The problem wasn't so much production, it was efficiency. BLM's completion percentage was terrible in that game, as it was in a couple other games last year.
Either way, Montana's pass rush isn't too great right now.
I have no idea where you get this. UM was second in the Big Sky in sacks-per-game last year (behind NAU) and 18th. in the nation. Campbell is gone, but the Griz played without him for half the season last year anyway. There are a lot of good D-Linemen on the UM roster.
Doesn't matter who you have defending Kaufman, he'll go up and get it.
Yeah, he's just as good as Randy Moss. :roll: Nothing could possibly contain him. I doubt Trumaine will shut him down, but the Griz shouldn't need to double him either.
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Screamin_Eagle174 »

Mvemjsunpx wrote:
So, you're arguing that having a good running game hurts the passing game? When has that ever been true? The problem wasn't so much production, it was efficiency. BLM's completion percentage was terrible in that game, as it was in a couple other games last year.
I'm saying that BLM doesn't seem to put forth a whole lot of effort when TJ is carrying the load. BLM plays smarter and harder when everything is on the line and he's forced to make plays or go home. He might not be consistent, but he's clutch, as evidenced in the playoffs last year. We were 3-0 last year without TJ, and BLM was 79/117 (67.5%) for 11 TDs and only 2 INTs in those 3 games.

Mvemjsunpx wrote:I have no idea where you get this. UM was second in the Big Sky in sacks-per-game last year (behind NAU) and 18th. in the nation. Campbell is gone, but the Griz played without him for half the season last year anyway. There are a lot of good D-Linemen on the UM roster.
I'm not too worried about it. We return 4/5 on the OL, and Mitchell got better and better as the season rolled on at recognizing pressure and knowing when to get rid of it or keep the ball and run it himself instead of making a boneheaded throw.
Mvemjsunpx wrote:Yeah, he's just as good as Randy Moss. :roll: Nothing could possibly contain him. I doubt Trumaine will shut him down, but the Griz shouldn't need to double him either.
I never said he was. But 76 catches for 1214 yds and 15 TDs as a sophomore is pretty damn good. Especially when BLM would overthrow him by 5-10 yards the first half of the season.



I noticed you didn't say anything about EWU's DL or the Griz OL... :coffee: :coffee: :coffee:
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Silenoz »

See our run-blocking against MSU and UND last year at the end of the season, after we had finally started executing our scheme with any success
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Re: 2011 Predictions

Post by Screamin_Eagle174 »

Silenoz wrote:See our run-blocking against MSU and UND last year at the end of the season, after we had finally started executing our scheme with any success
It's not your run blocking I'd be worried about if I were you, it's the pass blocking. Not a whole lot of running in that offense. With Renard and a transfer the same size who could've started at UW had he not gotten into legal trouble coming at you is gonna cause some problems. Go ahead, double team 98... :lol: We've got some pretty talented young ends in the mix as well like Jerry Ceja and David Gaylord.
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