Big Sky Predictions 10-10

[JALMOND]

Better late than never I guess. Currently I am sitting at 27-3 after splitting the four conference games last week. This week's slate is the toughest one yet this year and deserved a little longer to analyze. I'm sure this week will create some good discussions, especially with my picks. Remember, all are my opinions and all are open for discussions. Here they are...

ISU @ Sac State---Last week's game at Portland established some much needed confidence for the Hornets as they dominated both sides of the ball. At home last week, ISU themselves were dominated by Eastern Washington. Maybe the easiest game in the bunch...Sac State 28, ISU 10.

Cal Poly @ UM---So the Grizzlies come off of their bye week and get a taste of nonconference action by welcoming Cal Poly to Missoula. The Mustangs of the Great West are facing their second Big Sky opponent, taking care of Sacramento State in their opener. Tim Walsh takes another team in to Wash-Griz. Problem is, probably the same result...UM 35, Cal Poly 21.

NAU @ MSU---The Bobcats return to Bozeman after holding on to the win at Weber State last week. The Jacks were dealing with a pesky Northern Colorado bunch who would not go away. The Bobcats' defense seems to be able to shut anyone down, giving the team a chance to win. They will have their hands full this week as the Jacks seem to have a potent offense. The Bobcats opened some eyes last week, this week they should open some more...MSU 20, NAU 16.

PSU @ UNC---This should be interesting. The Vikings were totally outplayed by Sacramento State last week while the Bears were trying to earn the upset on the road at Northern Arizona. Yet the previous week, the Vikings were the ones who were trying to complete an upset against Weber State, while the Bears looked pathetic against Montana State. Which teams will show up...PSU 16, UNC 14.

WSU @ EWU---Some say the Eagles have taken advantage of an easy schedule and now is where the real games begin. First up on this murderous stretch are the Wildcats, coming off a disappointing loss at home to Montana State when they could not sniff the end zone at the end. The Eagles were making short work of Idaho State. A victory at home for the Eagles would do wonders this year, but this Wildcat team is mad...WSU 38, EWU 30.

Well, I could go 5-0 or I have just as much of a chance to go 0-5. Hopefully, it'll be somewhere in between.

[dbackjon]

Sac State
Montana
NAU
UNC
EWU

[dbackjon]

And NAU will score more than 16 points, unless you are saying MSU's defense is twice as good as Montana's

[SACCAT]

And NAU will score more than 16 points, unless you are saying MSU's defense is twice as good as Montana's

It is. I don't think it will be very easy to pass on Saturday, the weather report shows 24 degrees and windy. We have a very weak secondary, but you need to have time to throw the ball, and that is one thing that no team has had against our front four.

[EWURanger]

Sac 35 - ISU 10

UM 28 - CP 24

MSU 17 - NAU 14

PSU 28 - UNC 21

EWU 34 - WSU 31

[GrizFanStuckInUtah]

I'll bold who I think will win, my scores predictions have sucked lately, so I give up on that for a bit
ISU @ Sac State

Cal Poly @ UM

NAU @ MSU

PSU @ UNC

WSU @ EWU

I am going with one road win and I think the griz vs cp game is going to be close but I gotta give the nod to my griz. I think the NAU vs MSU game could go either way really, so the home team got my vote. I hope to watch as good of a game this week as I watched last week(msu vs wsu) with the griz getting the W

[JALMOND]

And NAU will score more than 16 points, unless you are saying MSU's defense is twice as good as Montana's

Certain weather conditions can affect outcomes of ballgames (and scores). It is a little different playing indoors at Flagstaff than playing outdoors in Bozeman in October. Have to factor that in.

[AZGrizFan]

And NAU will score more than 16 points, unless you are saying MSU's defense is twice as good as Montana's

It is. I don't think it will be very easy to pass on Saturday, the weather report shows 24 degrees and windy. We have a very weak secondary, but you need to have time to throw the ball, and that is one thing that no team has had against our front four.

[dbackjon]

And NAU will score more than 16 points, unless you are saying MSU's defense is twice as good as Montana's

Certain weather conditions can affect outcomes of ballgames (and scores). It is a little different playing indoors at Flagstaff than playing outdoors in Bozeman in October. Have to factor that in.

Yes. Weather will be a factor. But I still think NAU will score more than 16

[Grizalltheway]

And NAU will score more than 16 points, unless you are saying MSU's defense is twice as good as Montana's

It is. I don't think it will be very easy to pass on Saturday, the weather report shows 24 degrees and windy. We have a very weak secondary, but you need to have time to throw the ball, and that is one thing that no team has had against our front four.

Bullshit much? We lead the conference in scoring defense and total defense. The kitties' pass defense is probably better than ours right now, but that ain't saying much.

[Screamin_Eagle174]

ISU 17 @ Sac State 38

Cal Poly 20 @ UM 28

NAU 27 @ MSU 28

PSU 17 @ UNC 27

WSU 31 @ EWU 38

[JALMOND]

ISU 17 @ Sac State 38

Cal Poly 20 @ UM 28

NAU 27 @ MSU 28

PSU 17 @ UNC 27

WSU 31 @ EWU 38

I had a hunch you were going to reverse the EWU/WSU score on me, Scream.

[Screamin_Eagle174]

ISU 17 @ Sac State 38

Cal Poly 20 @ UM 28

NAU 27 @ MSU 28

PSU 17 @ UNC 27

WSU 31 @ EWU 38

I had a hunch you were going to reverse the EWU/WSU score on me, Scream.

That was my prediction a couple days ago... it's posted on the first page of the EWU/WSU game thread I started. You're the one who reversed it!

[JALMOND]

I had a hunch you were going to reverse the EWU/WSU score on me, Scream.

That was my prediction a couple days ago... it's posted on the first page of the EWU/WSU game thread I started. You're the one who reversed it!

Oh, so I did. Well, like minds think alike, sort of (I guess). Didn't even see it until just now.

[SACCAT]

It is. I don't think it will be very easy to pass on Saturday, the weather report shows 24 degrees and windy. We have a very weak secondary, but you need to have time to throw the ball, and that is one thing that no team has had against our front four.

Bullshit much? We lead the conference in scoring defense and total defense. The kitties' pass defense is probably better than ours right now, but that ain't saying much.

Sorry, I should have said that is my opinion. I forgot griz fans are ass hats. IN MY OPINION the cats have the best D. They are gelling at the right time.

[cats2506]

It is. I don't think it will be very easy to pass on Saturday, the weather report shows 24 degrees and windy. We have a very weak secondary, but you need to have time to throw the ball, and that is one thing that no team has had against our front four.

Bullshit much? We lead the conference in scoring defense and total defense. The kitties' pass defense is probably better than ours right now, but that ain't saying much.

Only when you count western state insurance

SCORING DEFENSE G TD FG XPT 2XP DXP Saf Points Avg/G
1. Eastern Washington 3 4 2 3 0 0 0 33 11.0
2. Montana State 2 3 2 2 0 0 1 28 14.0
3. Weber State 3 10 2 6 0 0 0 72 24.0
4. Northern Colorado 3 9 4 8 0 0 1 76 25.3
5. Montana 2 6 3 6 0 0 0 51 25.5
6. Northern Arizona 2 8 4 8 0 0 0 68 34.0
7. Sacramento State 2 9 2 8 1 0 0 70 35.0
8. Portland State 3 16 1 15 1 0 0 116 38.7
9. Idaho State 2 11 2 10 0 0 0 82 41.0

TOTAL DEFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Avg/G
1. Montana State 2 164 410 142 574 4.0 3 287.0
2. Eastern Washington 3 193 753 203 946 4.7 4 315.3
3. Northern Colorado 3 517 596 193 1113 5.8 9 371.0
4. Northern Arizona 2 129 678 160 807 5.0 8 403.5
5. Weber State 3 479 737 183 1216 6.6 8 405.3
6. Montana 2 96 783 151 879 5.8 6 439.5
7. Sacramento State 2 281 624 132 905 6.9 8 452.5
8. Portland State 3 460 938 221 1398 6.3 15 466.0
9. Idaho State 2 471 590 141 1061 7.5 11 530.5

PASS DEFENSE G Comp Att Int Pct. Yards Avg. TD Avg/G
1. Northern Colorado 3 51 83 0 61.4 596 7.2 8 198.7
2. Montana State 2 42 73 4 57.5 410 5.6 3 205.0
3. Weber State 3 47 82 3 57.3 737 9.0 4 245.7
4. Eastern Washington 3 70 106 2 66.0 753 7.1 1 251.0
5. Idaho State 2 56 74 0 75.7 590 8.0 5 295.0
6. Sacramento State 2 50 79 2 63.3 624 7.9 2 312.0
7. Portland State 3 64 104 2 61.5 938 9.0 11 312.7
8. Northern Arizona 2 58 88 0 65.9 678 7.7 6 339.0
9. Montana 2 62 102 4 60.8 783 7.7 5 391.5

[AZGrizFan]

Bullshit much? We lead the conference in scoring defense and total defense. The kitties' pass defense is probably better than ours right now, but that ain't saying much.

Only when you count western state insurance

SCORING DEFENSE G TD FG XPT 2XP DXP Saf Points Avg/G
1. Eastern Washington 3 4 2 3 0 0 0 33 11.0
2. Montana State 2 3 2 2 0 0 1 28 14.0
3. Weber State 3 10 2 6 0 0 0 72 24.0
4. Northern Colorado 3 9 4 8 0 0 1 76 25.3
5. Montana 2 6 3 6 0 0 0 51 25.5
6. Northern Arizona 2 8 4 8 0 0 0 68 34.0
7. Sacramento State 2 9 2 8 1 0 0 70 35.0
8. Portland State 3 16 1 15 1 0 0 116 38.7
9. Idaho State 2 11 2 10 0 0 0 82 41.0

TOTAL DEFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Avg/G
1. Montana State 2 164 410 142 574 4.0 3 287.0
2. Eastern Washington 3 193 753 203 946 4.7 4 315.3
3. Northern Colorado 3 517 596 193 1113 5.8 9 371.0
4. Northern Arizona 2 129 678 160 807 5.0 8 403.5
5. Weber State 3 479 737 183 1216 6.6 8 405.3
6. Montana 2 96 783 151 879 5.8 6 439.5
7. Sacramento State 2 281 624 132 905 6.9 8 452.5
8. Portland State 3 460 938 221 1398 6.3 15 466.0
9. Idaho State 2 471 590 141 1061 7.5 11 530.5

PASS DEFENSE G Comp Att Int Pct. Yards Avg. TD Avg/G
1. Northern Colorado 3 51 83 0 61.4 596 7.2 8 198.7
2. Montana State 2 42 73 4 57.5 410 5.6 3 205.0
3. Weber State 3 47 82 3 57.3 737 9.0 4 245.7
4. Eastern Washington 3 70 106 2 66.0 753 7.1 1 251.0
5. Idaho State 2 56 74 0 75.7 590 8.0 5 295.0
6. Sacramento State 2 50 79 2 63.3 624 7.9 2 312.0
7. Portland State 3 64 104 2 61.5 938 9.0 11 312.7
8. Northern Arizona 2 58 88 0 65.9 678 7.7 6 339.0
9. Montana 2 62 102 4 60.8 783 7.7 5 391.5

What games are these counting? Montana has played more than 2 games, and more than 2 FCS games. These stats are fucked.

[Grizalltheway]

Bullshit much? We lead the conference in scoring defense and total defense. The kitties' pass defense is probably better than ours right now, but that ain't saying much.

Sorry, I should have said that is my opinion. I forgot griz fans are ass hats. IN MY OPINION the cats have the best D. They are gelling at the right time.

If you think your defense is better, fine. But TWICE as good? JHC.

[cats2506]

Only when you count western state insurance

SCORING DEFENSE G TD FG XPT 2XP DXP Saf Points Avg/G
1. Eastern Washington 3 4 2 3 0 0 0 33 11.0
2. Montana State 2 3 2 2 0 0 1 28 14.0
3. Weber State 3 10 2 6 0 0 0 72 24.0
4. Northern Colorado 3 9 4 8 0 0 1 76 25.3
5. Montana 2 6 3 6 0 0 0 51 25.5
6. Northern Arizona 2 8 4 8 0 0 0 68 34.0
7. Sacramento State 2 9 2 8 1 0 0 70 35.0
8. Portland State 3 16 1 15 1 0 0 116 38.7
9. Idaho State 2 11 2 10 0 0 0 82 41.0

TOTAL DEFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Avg/G
1. Montana State 2 164 410 142 574 4.0 3 287.0
2. Eastern Washington 3 193 753 203 946 4.7 4 315.3
3. Northern Colorado 3 517 596 193 1113 5.8 9 371.0
4. Northern Arizona 2 129 678 160 807 5.0 8 403.5
5. Weber State 3 479 737 183 1216 6.6 8 405.3
6. Montana 2 96 783 151 879 5.8 6 439.5
7. Sacramento State 2 281 624 132 905 6.9 8 452.5
8. Portland State 3 460 938 221 1398 6.3 15 466.0
9. Idaho State 2 471 590 141 1061 7.5 11 530.5

PASS DEFENSE G Comp Att Int Pct. Yards Avg. TD Avg/G
1. Northern Colorado 3 51 83 0 61.4 596 7.2 8 198.7
2. Montana State 2 42 73 4 57.5 410 5.6 3 205.0
3. Weber State 3 47 82 3 57.3 737 9.0 4 245.7
4. Eastern Washington 3 70 106 2 66.0 753 7.1 1 251.0
5. Idaho State 2 56 74 0 75.7 590 8.0 5 295.0
6. Sacramento State 2 50 79 2 63.3 624 7.9 2 312.0
7. Portland State 3 64 104 2 61.5 938 9.0 11 312.7
8. Northern Arizona 2 58 88 0 65.9 678 7.7 6 339.0
9. Montana 2 62 102 4 60.8 783 7.7 5 391.5

What games are these counting? Montana has played more than 2 games, and more than 2 FCS games. These stats are ****.

http://www.bigskyconf.com/sports/footba ... nfonly.htm

most BSC teams have had 1 or 2 FBS games, these are BSC stats

[Catattack]

what he said

[grizband]

What games are these counting? Montana has played more than 2 games, and more than 2 FCS games. These stats are ****.

http://www.bigskyconf.com/sports/footba ... nfonly.htm

Nost BSC teams have had 1 or 2 FBS games, these are BSC stats

Which are slightly skewed right now based on teams played. Two or three games is not a large enough sample size to cite any teams as the best/worst defense in the conference - those claims become more clear each week.

[Screamin_Eagle174]

Here are the overall stats.

TOTAL DEFENSE

Rank Team Gm Avg Plays Yds TD YdsGm
1. Montana 4 4.76 294 1400 7 350.00
2. Eastern Wash. 5 5.13 346 1774 14 354.80
3. Northern Colo. 5 5.73 333 1908 18 381.60
4. Montana St. 4 5.10 302 1541 11 385.25
5. Weber St. 5 6.31 310 1956 16 391.20
6. Portland St. 5 5.84 355 2074 21 414.80
7. Sacramento St. 4 6.77 273 1847 19 461.75
8. Northern Ariz. 4 6.03 316 1906 18 476.50
9. Idaho St. 5 6.53 370 2415 29 483.00

SCORING DEFENSE

Rank Team Gm Pts PtGm TD Kxp Oxp Dkxp Doxp FG Sf
1. Montana 4 61 15.25 7 7 0 0 0 4 0
2. Eastern Wash. 5 106 21.20 14 13 0 0 0 3 0
3. Montana St. 4 92 23.00 11 9 0 0 0 5 1
4. Weber St. 5 125 25.00 16 11 0 0 0 6 0
5. Northern Colo. 5 137 27.40 18 15 0 0 0 4 1
6. Portland St. 5 160 32.00 21 20 1 0 0 4 0
7. Northern Ariz. 4 141 35.25 18 16 1 0 0 5 0
8. Sacramento St. 4 146 36.50 19 18 1 0 0 4 0
9. Idaho St. 5 229 45.80 29 27 0 0 0 8 2


RUSHING DEFENSE

Rank Team Gm Rush Net Avg TD YdsGm
1. Montana 4 103 198 1.92 1 49.50
2. Montana St. 4 139 396 2.85 0 99.00
3. Portland St. 5 187 623 3.33 7 124.60
4. Eastern Wash. 5 178 666 3.74 10 133.20
5. Northern Ariz. 4 151 603 3.99 6 150.75
6. Weber St. 5 172 788 4.58 8 157.60
7. Sacramento St. 4 154 755 4.90 12 188.75
8. Northern Colo. 5 191 972 5.09 7 194.40
9. Idaho St. 5 191 1139 5.96 14 227.80

PASS DEFENSE

Rank Team Gm Att Cmp PPct YdsCmp Int Yds YdAtt TD YdsGm
1. Northern Colo. 5 142 84 59.15 11.14 4 936 6.59 11 187.20
2. Eastern Wash. 5 168 104 61.90 10.65 4 1108 6.60 4 221.60
3. Weber St. 5 138 74 53.62 15.78 4 1168 8.46 6 233.60
4. Idaho St. 5 179 117 65.36 10.91 5 1276 7.13 12 255.20
5. Sacramento St. 4 119 79 66.39 13.82 2 1092 9.18 6 273.00
6. Montana St. 4 163 89 54.60 12.87 8 1145 7.02 11 286.25
7. Portland St. 5 168 95 56.55 15.27 4 1451 8.64 13 290.20
8. Montana 4 191 118 61.78 10.19 6 1202 6.29 6 300.50
9. Northern Ariz. 4 165 112 67.88 11.63 1 1303 7.90 12 325.75

PASS EFFICIENCY DEFENSE

Rank Team Gm Att Cmp PPct Int Yds YdAtt TD TDPct Rating
1. Montana 4 191 118 61.78 6 1202 6.29 6 3.14 118.75
2. Eastern Wash. 5 168 104 61.90 4 1108 6.60 4 2.38 120.40
3. Montana St. 4 163 89 54.60 8 1145 7.02 11 6.75 126.06
4. Weber St. 5 138 74 53.62 4 1168 8.46 6 4.35 133.25
5. Northern Colo. 5 142 84 59.15 4 936 6.59 11 7.75 134.50
6. Idaho St. 5 179 117 65.36 5 1276 7.13 12 6.70 141.82
7. Portland St. 5 168 95 56.55 4 1451 8.64 13 7.74 149.82
8. Sacramento St. 4 119 79 66.39 2 1092 9.18 6 5.04 156.76
9. Northern Ariz. 4 165 112 67.88 1 1303 7.90 12 7.27 157.02

[Grizalltheway]

Here are the overall stats.

TOTAL DEFENSE

Rank Team Gm Avg Plays Yds TD YdsGm
1. Montana 4 4.76 294 1400 7 350.00
2. Eastern Wash. 5 5.13 346 1774 14 354.80
3. Northern Colo. 5 5.73 333 1908 18 381.60
4. Montana St. 4 5.10 302 1541 11 385.25
5. Weber St. 5 6.31 310 1956 16 391.20
6. Portland St. 5 5.84 355 2074 21 414.80
7. Sacramento St. 4 6.77 273 1847 19 461.75
8. Northern Ariz. 4 6.03 316 1906 18 476.50
9. Idaho St. 5 6.53 370 2415 29 483.00

SCORING DEFENSE

Rank Team Gm Pts PtGm TD Kxp Oxp Dkxp Doxp FG Sf
1. Montana 4 61 15.25 7 7 0 0 0 4 0
2. Eastern Wash. 5 106 21.20 14 13 0 0 0 3 0
3. Montana St. 4 92 23.00 11 9 0 0 0 5 1
4. Weber St. 5 125 25.00 16 11 0 0 0 6 0
5. Northern Colo. 5 137 27.40 18 15 0 0 0 4 1
6. Portland St. 5 160 32.00 21 20 1 0 0 4 0
7. Northern Ariz. 4 141 35.25 18 16 1 0 0 5 0
8. Sacramento St. 4 146 36.50 19 18 1 0 0 4 0
9. Idaho St. 5 229 45.80 29 27 0 0 0 8 2


RUSHING DEFENSE

Rank Team Gm Rush Net Avg TD YdsGm
1. Montana 4 103 198 1.92 1 49.50
2. Montana St. 4 139 396 2.85 0 99.00
3. Portland St. 5 187 623 3.33 7 124.60
4. Eastern Wash. 5 178 666 3.74 10 133.20
5. Northern Ariz. 4 151 603 3.99 6 150.75
6. Weber St. 5 172 788 4.58 8 157.60
7. Sacramento St. 4 154 755 4.90 12 188.75
8. Northern Colo. 5 191 972 5.09 7 194.40
9. Idaho St. 5 191 1139 5.96 14 227.80

PASS DEFENSE

Rank Team Gm Att Cmp PPct YdsCmp Int Yds YdAtt TD YdsGm
1. Northern Colo. 5 142 84 59.15 11.14 4 936 6.59 11 187.20
2. Eastern Wash. 5 168 104 61.90 10.65 4 1108 6.60 4 221.60
3. Weber St. 5 138 74 53.62 15.78 4 1168 8.46 6 233.60
4. Idaho St. 5 179 117 65.36 10.91 5 1276 7.13 12 255.20
5. Sacramento St. 4 119 79 66.39 13.82 2 1092 9.18 6 273.00
6. Montana St. 4 163 89 54.60 12.87 8 1145 7.02 11 286.25
7. Portland St. 5 168 95 56.55 15.27 4 1451 8.64 13 290.20
8. Montana 4 191 118 61.78 10.19 6 1202 6.29 6 300.50
9. Northern Ariz. 4 165 112 67.88 11.63 1 1303 7.90 12 325.75

PASS EFFICIENCY DEFENSE

Rank Team Gm Att Cmp PPct Int Yds YdAtt TD TDPct Rating
1. Montana 4 191 118 61.78 6 1202 6.29 6 3.14 118.75
2. Eastern Wash. 5 168 104 61.90 4 1108 6.60 4 2.38 120.40
3. Montana St. 4 163 89 54.60 8 1145 7.02 11 6.75 126.06
4. Weber St. 5 138 74 53.62 4 1168 8.46 6 4.35 133.25
5. Northern Colo. 5 142 84 59.15 4 936 6.59 11 7.75 134.50
6. Idaho St. 5 179 117 65.36 5 1276 7.13 12 6.70 141.82
7. Portland St. 5 168 95 56.55 4 1451 8.64 13 7.74 149.82
8. Sacramento St. 4 119 79 66.39 2 1092 9.18 6 5.04 156.76
9. Northern Ariz. 4 165 112 67.88 1 1303 7.90 12 7.27 157.02

[AZGrizFan]

It's gonna be real interesting when an irrisistable force (Trevyn Smith) meets an immovable object (Griz run defense) on Halloween.

[SuperHornet]

Griz 35-31. Griz at home beat just about ANYBODY.

NAU 24-17. NAU will be p!$$ed at almost losing to UNC. Margin may be a bit higher.

Weber 45-42, 3OT. This is the game of the week in terms of strictly conference games.

PSU 42-17. PSU will be ticked at how they lost to "lowly" Sac.

Sac 45-3. The Hornets are hitting their stride.