Week Three Sagarin Predictions

[native]

For your convenience, here are Sagarin's Week Three (19 September) outcome predictions for some of the top FCS teams, based on his ratings published today and covering all games played through 12 September.

Please note that I do not necessarily agree or disagree with Sagarin. I just find the ratings to be a useful point of departure.

All calculations account for a 2.91 home field advantage. For non-DI teams, I assigned an arbitrary predictor score of 15, a few undredths of a point below the lowest DI predictor rating. Corrections will be appreciated.

The number is the point spread prediction in favor of (or against) the first team listed:

Richmond hosting Hofstra 22.28
W&M AT Norfolk St 27.37
Northern Iowa hosting St Francis 36.81
Villanova AT Penn 5.13
New Hampshire IDLE
Elon AT Wake Forest -21.13
Southern Illinois hosting Southwest Baptist 50.77
James Madison hosting VMI 34.36
McNeese hosting Savannah St 41.47
Weber hosting Idaho State 8.11
Central Arkansas AT W Kentucky -1.25
Montana hosting Portland State 12.88
Massachussetts hosting Rhode Island 21.17
Cal Poly AT Ohio -3.89
Samford hosting Miles 44.91
App State IDLE
Harvard AT Holy Cross 13.81
Wofford AT Wisconsin -19.09
South Dakota St hosting Indiana St 26.53
Delaware hosting Delaware St 25.94
Colgate AT Dartmouth 6.73
Maine AT Albany 10.54
SC State IDLE
Liberty AT Lafayette 3.49
Furman AT Missouori -28.00
Texas State AT #15 TCU -32.29
Eastern Kentucky hosting Tenn Tech 19.90
Georgia Southern hosting Western Carolina 5.36
Eastern Washington hosting Northern Colorado 19.48
Jacksonville St AT Alabama A&M 10.00
Northern Arizona hosting Southern Utah 13.29

[native]

No one wants to give me any crap about Sagarin?!??

[guinzone]

There are times when the Sagarin's lines are very questionable to say the least:
Sagarin ratings: YSU 54.43, Northeastern 53.31. With home field advantage of 2.91, Sagarin would make Northeastern a 1.5 point favorite.

[GOKATS]

All I had to see was the 8 point difference between WSU and ISU at Ogden to put any credence in Sagarin.

[CatMom]

I think its a bit generous towards us

[native]

All I had to see was the 8 point difference between WSU and ISU at Ogden to put any credence in Sagarin.

[Wildcat Ryan]

I guess losing to Wyoming and CSU by combined 8 points automatically makes ISU our equal.