HERO Playoff Bracketology

[SuperHornet]

https://herosports.com/fcs-football-202 ... ns-9-bzbz/

[UNI88]

https://herosports.com/fcs-football-202 ... ns-9-bzbz/

[89Hen]

This may be one of the easiest years to predict the 24 teams I can remember. Without looking at the link, here are the teams still in the hunt...

Sam Houston
EKU
Montana State
Sac State
EWU
UCD
Montana
Kennesaw/Monmouth winner
JMU
W&M
Villanova
NDSU
SIU
South Dakota State
UNI
Missou State *
South Dakota *
NEC winner (too complicated to figure out who owns tiebreaker)
UT Martin
Patriot winner
Pioneer winner
ETSU
Mercer
VMI
SELA
Incarnate Word


That's 26 and Missouri State and South Dakota could both find themselves out with who they have left (SIU/UNI and SDSU/NDSU). I don't see anyone off this list making it.

[89Hen]

SFA may have replaced EKU with their win last week and Chatty still has a chance if they beat Mercer this week.

Here's one to ponder... Could a 9-2 FAMU make the field? They would not be playing in the SWAC Championship (JSU and PVAM).

[SuperHornet]

That's an interesting idea, 89. FAMU has a history of making noise in the playoffs, don't they? I mean, over and above all other HBCUs....

[89Hen]

That's an interesting idea, 89. FAMU has a history of making noise in the playoffs, don't they? I mean, over and above all other HBCUs....

I believe they were the last HBCU to win a playoff game.

[89Hen]

So not much has changed. UNI is out. SFA has replaced EKU. URI in the hunt. Missouri State and USD solidified their positions. VMI and Chatty on the bubble. Davidson chokes on closing out the Pioneer.

Looking more like the 24:

Sam Houston
SFA
Montana State
Sac State
EWU
UCD
Montana
Kennesaw/Monmouth winner
JMU
W&M or URI
Villanova
NDSU
SIU
South Dakota State
Missou State
South Dakota
NEC winner
UT Martin
Patriot winner
Pioneer winner
ETSU
Mercer
SELA
Incarnate Word

[Mvemjsunpx]

That's an interesting idea, 89. FAMU has a history of making noise in the playoffs, don't they? I mean, over and above all other HBCUs....

I believe they were the last HBCU to win a playoff game.

Last team from an HBCU conference. Tennessee State won a first-round game in 2013.

[AZGrizFan]

Weber shitting the bed certainly helped clarify the BSC position…

[BDKJMU]

28 teams listed below for the 24 team Playoff Field. Looks like last 2 spots will come down to 6 teams in must win games: 3rd & 4th CAA, 3rd & 4th So-Con, SFA, and Monmouth.

* = must win

-Mt St
-Sac St
-EWU
-MT
-UCD

-NDSU
-SDSU
-USD
-SIU
-MO St

-JMU
-VU
-*URI (7-3/4-3) (3-7 UNH)
-*W&M (6-4/4-3) (@ 5-5 UR)

-ETSU
-Mercer
-*VMI (6-4/4-3) (3-7 WCU) (Owns head to head over UTC)
-*UTC (6-4/4-3) (3-7 Citadel)

-KSU
-*Monmouth (7-3/6-0) (@ KSU)

-SELA
-UIW

-SHSU
-*SFA (7-3/3-2) (@ 1-8 Lamar)

-UTM

-Holy Cross

-SHU

-Davidson

[BDKJMU]

Think it comes down to 11 teams for seeds. Big Sky will get 5 in, all of them have a chance at a seed, but 4 of them play each other next weekend. They probably get 3 seeded- remember a couple years ago they had 4 seeded. Also NDSU, KSU, and ETSU all face ranked teams. Really impssible to figure out how the seeding is going to go, esp 5-8.

-MT St (9-1/7-0) (@ MT)
-Sac St (8-2/7-0) (@ UCD)
-EWU (8-2/5-2) (@ PSU (5-5))
-MT (8-2/5-2) (Mt St)
-UCD (8-2/5-2) (Sac St)

-JMU (9-1/6-1) (TU (4-6/3-4))
-VU (8-2/6-1) (@ UD (5-5/3-4))

-SHSU (9-0/5-0) (@ Abileme Christian (4-5))

-NDSU (9-1/6-1) (S Dakota 7-3/5-2)

-KSU (9-1/6-0) (Monmouth 7–3/6-0)

-ETSU (9-1/6-1) (Mercer 7-2/6-1)

[kalm]

Think it comes down to 11 teams for seeds. Big Sky will get 5 in, all of them have a chance at a seed, but 4 of them play each other next weekend. They probably get 3 seeded- remember a couple years ago they had 4 seeded. Also NDSU, KSU, and ETSU all face ranked teams. Really impssible to figure out how the seeding is going to go, esp 5-8.

-MT St (9-1/7-0) (@ MT)
-Sac St (8-2/7-0) (@ UCD)
-EWU (8-2/5-2) (@ PSU (5-5))
-MT (8-2/5-2) (Mt St)
-UCD (8-2/5-2) (Sac St)

-JMU (9-1/6-1) (TU (4-6/3-4))
-VU (8-2/6-1) (@ UD (5-5/3-4))

-SHSU (9-0/5-0) (@ Abileme Christian (4-5))

-NDSU (9-1/6-1) (S Dakota 7-3/5-2)

-KSU (9-1/6-0) (Monmouth 7–3/6-0)

-ETSU (9-1/6-1) (Mercer 7-2/6-1)

If Davis, Montana, and EWU win you’ll have 5 BSC teams at 9-2.

Sans upsets elsewhere, I agree that 3 will get seeded.

[SDHornet]

Think it comes down to 11 teams for seeds. Big Sky will get 5 in, all of them have a chance at a seed, but 4 of them play each other next weekend. They probably get 3 seeded- remember a couple years ago they had 4 seeded. Also NDSU, KSU, and ETSU all face ranked teams. Really impssible to figure out how the seeding is going to go, esp 5-8.

-MT St (9-1/7-0) (@ MT)
-Sac St (8-2/7-0) (@ UCD)
-EWU (8-2/5-2) (@ PSU (5-5))
-MT (8-2/5-2) (Mt St)
-UCD (8-2/5-2) (Sac St)

-JMU (9-1/6-1) (TU (4-6/3-4))
-VU (8-2/6-1) (@ UD (5-5/3-4))

-SHSU (9-0/5-0) (@ Abileme Christian (4-5))

-NDSU (9-1/6-1) (S Dakota 7-3/5-2)

-KSU (9-1/6-0) (Monmouth 7–3/6-0)

-ETSU (9-1/6-1) (Mercer 7-2/6-1)

If Davis, Montana, and EWU win you’ll have 5 BSC teams at 9-2.

Sans upsets elsewhere, I agree that 3 will get seeded.

I think the winners of the MSU/UM and Sac/dungpile games will get seeds. EWU probably gets a seed if they beat PSU.

[kalm]

If Davis, Montana, and EWU win you’ll have 5 BSC teams at 9-2.

Sans upsets elsewhere, I agree that 3 will get seeded.

I think the winners of the MSU/UM and Sac/dungpile games will get seeds. EWU probably gets a seed if they beat PSU.

H2H is an important metric. They won’t take UM without EWU.

[BDKJMU]

28 teams listed below for the 24 team Playoff Field. Looks like last 2 spots will come down to 6 teams in must win games: 3rd & 4th CAA, 3rd & 4th So-Con, SFA, and Monmouth.

* = must win

-Mt St
-Sac St
-EWU
-MT
-UCD

-NDSU
-SDSU
-USD
-SIU
-MO St

-JMU
-VU
-*URI (7-3/4-3) (3-7 UNH)
-*W&M (6-4/4-3) (@ 5-5 UR)

-ETSU
-Mercer
-*VMI (6-4/4-3) (3-7 WCU) (Owns head to head over UTC)
-*UTC (6-4/4-3) (3-7 Citadel)

-KSU
-*Monmouth (7-3/6-0) (@ KSU)

-SELA
-UIW

-SHSU
-*SFA (7-3/3-2) (@ 1-8 Lamar)

-UTM

-Holy Cross

-SHU

-Davidson

I posted the before I saw 89's post and had missed SFA. Edited to add them. So yeah looks like if favorites hold serve, Monmouth, VMI, UTC, an 4th CAA won't get in.

Question is if W&M and URI both win Sat, how do you pick the 3rd CAA. An 8-3/5-3 URI with a win over a crap UMass, but got blown out by VU, or a 7-4/5-3 W&M that upset VU? (URI & W&M didn’t play each other).

[Gil Dobie]

28 teams listed below for the 24 team Playoff Field. Looks like last 2 spots will come down to 6 teams in must win games: 3rd & 4th CAA, 3rd & 4th So-Con, SFA, and Monmouth.

* = must win

-Mt St
-Sac St
-EWU
-MT
-UCD

-NDSU
-SDSU
-USD
-SIU
-MO St

-JMU
-VU
-*URI (7-3/4-3) (3-7 UNH)
-*W&M (6-4/4-3) (@ 5-5 UR)

-ETSU
-Mercer
-*VMI (6-4/4-3) (3-7 WCU) (Owns head to head over UTC)
-*UTC (6-4/4-3) (3-7 Citadel)

-KSU
-*Monmouth (7-3/6-0) (@ KSU)

-SELA
-UIW

-SHSU
-*SFA (7-3/3-2) (@ 1-8 Lamar)

-UTM

-Holy Cross

-SHU

-Davidson

I posted the before I saw 89's post and had missed SFA. Edited to add them. So yeah looks like if favorites hold serve, Monmouth, VMI, UTC, an 4th CAA won't get in.

Question is if W&M and URI both win Sat, how do you pick the 3rd CAA. An 8-3/5-3 URI with a win over a crap UMass, but got blown out by VU, or a 7-4/5-3 W&M that upset VU? (URI & W&M didn’t play each other).

There is a team not on this list, that is 3-3 against teams on this list, and may get it's 6th win on Saturday.

[Gil Dobie]

Does a 9-2 FAMU get a look?

[89Hen]

There is a team not on this list, that is 3-3 against teams on this list, and may get it's 6th win on Saturday.

6 games against playoff teams... 3 wins is decent, but they had their chance.

[UNI88]

There is a team not on this list, that is 3-3 against teams on this list, and may get it's 6th win on Saturday.

6 games against playoff teams... 3 wins is decent, but they had their chance.

[Gil Dobie]

6 games against playoff teams... 3 wins is decent, but they had their chance.

6-4 against FCS? If SDSU loses, they would be 6-4 against Division I

[kalm]

6-4 against FCS? If SDSU loses, they would be 6-4 against FCS

Mercer is similar. 7-3 (10 game schedule) and only 6 FCS wins. They’re out with a loss at ETSU.

[BDKJMU]

6-4 against FCS? If SDSU loses, they would be 6-4 against FCS

Mercer is similar. 7-3 (10 game schedule) and only 6 FCS wins. They’re out with a loss at ETSU.

Well if they lost to ETSU they would be 6-2 vs FCS. If you’re not counting the Div II wins, then you’re not counting the FBS losses. I think Mercer probably gets in as a 2nd So-Con with a loss to ETSU..
https://www.espn.com/college-football/t ... rcer-bears

[kalm]

Mercer is similar. 7-3 (10 game schedule) and only 6 FCS wins. They’re out with a loss at ETSU.

Well if they lost to ETSU they would be 6-2 vs FCS. If you’re not counting the Div II wins, then you’re not counting the FBS losses. I think Mercer probably gets in as a 2nd So-Con with a loss to ETSU..
https://www.espn.com/college-football/t ... rcer-bears

Fair enough.

[SuperHornet]

Newest Bracketology, 16 NOV 21:

[Gil Dobie]

Rhody makes their bracket.