Coronavirus COVID-19

Post by **dbackjon** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:40 am

SDHornet wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:30 am
dbackjon wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:26 am

Can't pass and repass the collection plate!
Can't take digital donations in this day and age? But yeah, that came to mind too. Churches gotta get that tax free income!!!

I am sure they do that, but given the age of many attendees, they may not be tech savvy

Winterborn · Post by **Winterborn** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 12:11 pm

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:04 am
SDHornet wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:01 am

Yup. No reason churches can't have streaming of their sermons in this day and age.
My nephew is a Baptist preacher in Colorado. He did exactly that....and it worked just fine.

Other than a few buffering issues, parents and friends churches did the exact same thing.

Winterborn · Post by **Winterborn** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 12:13 pm

dbackjon wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:40 am
SDHornet wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:30 am

Can't take digital donations in this day and age? But yeah, that came to mind too. Churches gotta get that tax free income!!!
I am sure they do that, but given the age of many attendees, they may not be tech savvy

Don't over think it. Mailing a check isn't that hard. And old folks still write checks.

Post by **kalm** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:11 pm

These are some really positive numbers (at least I think) and illustrates the efficacy of hard strategies.

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1243 ... 32000.html

Post by **dbackjon** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:53 pm

We're #1!!
We're #1!!

Most coronavirus cases in the world, right here in the US of A!

Winning!

Post by **HI54UNI** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 2:00 pm

dbackjon wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:26 am
SDHornet wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:01 am

Yup. No reason churches can't have streaming of their sermons in this day and age.
Can't pass and repass the collection plate!

So true. One of our local churches posted a letter on FB about cancelling services. First paragraph reminded people to keep sending their checks.

Gil Dobie · Post by **Gil Dobie** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 2:21 pm

kalm wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:11 pm These are some really positive numbers (at least I think) and illustrates the efficacy of hard strategies.

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1243 ... 32000.html

Those look great. I don't think Minnesota is going to go hard. Once the ICU capacity ramped up and sufficient, they sound like they are accepting the inevitable. He is more concerned about the economy.

BDKJMU · Post by **BDKJMU** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 2:37 pm

Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 7:16 am
BDKJMU wrote: ↑Wed Mar 25, 2020 10:44 pm
That would actually be good news. At current about 1.5% mortality rate in the US to recorded cases, 2 million recorded cases would only be 30k deaths.

On 2/27 on the Death Pool thread I predicted 4 million cases/50k deaths, a 1.25% mortality rate.
The actual 2.4 million is just Minnesota, peak in 14 weeks. This will give the state time to build up ICU capacity. Unless there is a vaccine or treatment, this virus will run it's course. The main issue is hospital beds for cases are taken for 7-14 days, that's why they are dragging it out with shelter at home and lock downs. Cases in an ICU have a 10 times great chance to survive.

I''ve heard some docs say peak likely in 3-4 weeks.

Correct it will run its course. But like Dr Berks? (scarf lady) said (think Fauci said similar) said 50%-60% majority of the country getting it would be after 3 cycles with no mitigation, and letting it run its course. We're on the 1st cycle now with pretty heavy mitigation. 2nd cycle could be this fall-2021, 3rd cycle 2021-2022. Next cycle should at least have proven therapeutics. 3rd cycle should have a vaccine.

Baldy · Post by **Baldy** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:05 pm

dbackjon wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:53 pm We're #1!!
We're #1!!

Most coronavirus cases in the world, right here in the US of A!

Winning!

Only because China quit testing.

Post by **Col Hogan** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:10 pm

Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:27 am
dbackjon wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:26 am

Can't pass and repass the collection plate!
Are they setup for paypal?

There are a number of services that churches use to collect electronically. They actually help a church budget better...

Post by **kalm** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:10 pm

Baldy wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:05 pm
dbackjon wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:53 pm We're #1!!
We're #1!!

Most coronavirus cases in the world, right here in the US of A!

Winning!
Only because China quit testing.

Link?

Post by **Col Hogan** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:14 pm

kalm wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:10 pm
Baldy wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:05 pm
Only because China quit testing.
Link?

Maybe China is using the same testing kits they sold to Spain, which basically are failing to detect the virus...640,000 worthless kits...

https://elpais.com/sociedad/2020-03-25/ ... ionan.html

And the Czech Republic has reported very similar problems with Chinese-provided test kits...

Pwns · Post by **Pwns** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:27 pm

Yet we lag well behind in deaths. I don't trust case numbers.

Post by **dbackjon** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:29 pm

Pwns wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:27 pm Yet we lag well behind in deaths. I don't trust case numbers.

Because it started later here. Look at the trajectory

Gil Dobie · Post by **Gil Dobie** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:31 pm

dbackjon wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:29 pm
Pwns wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:27 pm Yet we lag well behind in deaths. I don't trust case numbers.
Because it started later here. Look at the trajectory

Unfortunately, that is probably the case. Like we are living in a Sci Fi movie right now.

Post by **dbackjon** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:32 pm

Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:31 pm
dbackjon wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:29 pm

Because it started later here. Look at the trajectory
Unfortunately, that is probably the case. Like we are living in a Sci Fi movie right now.

Yup

BDKJMU · Post by **BDKJMU** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:36 pm

Pwns wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:27 pm Yet we lag well behind in deaths. I don't trust case numbers.

Yep. Scoreboard (deaths) is what matters.

Baldy · Post by **Baldy** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:39 pm

kalm wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:10 pm
Baldy wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:05 pm
Only because China quit testing.
Link?

Post by **CAA Flagship** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:01 pm

BDKJMU wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:36 pm
Pwns wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:27 pm Yet we lag well behind in deaths. I don't trust case numbers.
Yep. Scoreboard (deaths) is what matters.

Yes. But there is no way to compare any other country to us. We are many countries. South Korea is smaller than Virginia. Italy is a little bigger than Colorado. Each region of the country will have different results. It doesn't look like temperature is playing a factor, at least not yet. At this point, it looks like travel patterns, social distancing, and sheltering in place are the biggest factors thus far.

Post by **AZGrizFan** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:02 pm

dbackjon wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:53 pm We're #1!!
We're #1!!

Most coronavirus cases in the world, right here in the US of A!

Winning!

Is there ANYTHING Trump touches that doesn’t go immediately to the top?

Post by **kalm** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:06 pm

Baldy wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:39 pm
kalm wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:10 pm

Link?

Well that doesn’t sound good

Post by **SDHornet** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:11 pm

Baldy wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:39 pm
kalm wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 4:10 pm

Link?

Going to defer to Flaggy's wife for a translation on this. Flaggy, tell her to take a break from sandwich making and translate this. Also have her bring you a beer when you wave her in.

ALPHAGRIZ1 · Post by **ALPHAGRIZ1** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:58 pm

Baldy wrote:
dbackjon wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:53 pm We're #1!!
We're #1!!

Most coronavirus cases in the world, right here in the US of A!

Winning!
Only because China quit testing.

Yeah no shit.

Only an idiot would think the numbers add up.

When a country with 5Xs the population and had the virus for months before the US did suddenly fails behind a country with 320 million people in it....... You know they are lying or not testing.

Oh no......... We have 100k that have it. Yawn

Sent from my SM-G975F using Tapatalk

Post by **dbackjon** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:19 pm

Tennessee topped 1,000 cases

Ohio and North Carolina are likely to hit that tomorrow

US will likely break 100 K tomorrow - which would be 45 K plus in three days

Post by **dbackjon** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:23 pm

On the hopeful side for now, the death rate in the US is at 4 per million, far below many of the other hard hit countries, on par with Germany and SK.

Above the "official" Chinese rate, but those numbers are suspect

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