Playoff projection thread

[BDKJMU]

Updated CAA Standings
1. JMU 8-1/5-0
2. UNH 5-3/4-1 (only 11 games) (@ JMU, @ Albany, Maine)
-- RU 5-4/4-1 (@VU, @ JMU, W&M)
4. Albany 5-4/3-2 (@ UD, UNH, @ SBU)
5. VU 6-3/3-3 (RU, Long Island, UD)
-- Elon 4-5/3-3 (only 11 games)
7. SBU 5-4/2-3 (TU, @ UD, Albany)
-- TU 5-4/2-3 (@SBU, @ W&M, Elon)
-- UD 4-5/2-3 (Albany, SBU, @VU)
— Maine 4-5/2-3 (@ Elon, URI, @ UNH)
11. W&M 3-6/1-4
12. URI 2-7/0-5

What a shitshow in the CAA. It seems like 3/4 of the conference will finish 5 to 7 wins. Think the minimum threshhold get an At Large bid out of the CAA will be 7 wins, 5-3 CAA. If so:
In: JMU.
Must win 2 out of 3: UNH, RU, Albany.
Must win out: VU, SBU, TU, UD, Maine
Eliminated: Elon, W&M, URI.

I said yesterday on the JMU board I saw 3 CAA teams, MAYBE 4 getting in: JMU, VU, SBU.
Now I'll go 4: JMU, VU, winner TU @ SBU next week, winner Maine @ UNH Week 13.

[CID1990]

SoCon is a mess. The Citadel is still in the hunt along with half the conference. I think only WCU, ETSU, VMI and Mercer are eliminated at this point.

If we beat Chatty and Wofford we should get the at large. If we get some help from somebody with Furman we could still get the autobid

Yet again beating each other up so that get likely get just one at large


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[dal4018]

Looking at the standings and games left, I'm predicting this will be the worst W-L record for the playoffs EVER. There are going to be a TON of 8-4 and 7-5 teams in the field.

Several conferences are a shit show. OVC could end up with a four way tie with a bunch of 8-4 teams if my math is correct. Who knows what happens there??

FAMU could end up screwing the MEAC out of a bid. They are ineligible for post-season so if they win the conference second place B-CC or NCAT would go to MEAC/SWAC game and would the committee really take a third place team?

My October guess for the 24 with a reservation to revisit in a couple weeks...

Sacramento State
Weber State
Montana
Montana State
Kennesaw State
Campbell
James Madison
Villanova
New Hampshire
Stony Brook
North Dakota State
South Dakota State
Illinois State
Northern Iowa
Central Conn
Austin Peay
Jacksonville State
Southeast Missouri State
Lehigh
San Diego
Wofford
Furman
Central Arkansas
Incarnate Word

Florida A&M stomped Delaware St 52-30!!!!!!! Xavier Smith (FAMU)had his Jerry Rice fantasies as well 9 grabs 184 (4) tds

[89Hen]

You plan on UNH beating VU this Sat or @ JMU next Sat, or getting in at 6-5?

You were saying?

[AZGrizFan]

You plan on UNH beating VU this Sat or @ JMU next Sat, or getting in at 6-5?

You were saying?

[BDKJMU]

You plan on UNH beating VU this Sat or @ JMU next Sat, or getting in at 6-5?

You were saying?

I must have missed where you predicted UNH would upset VU..Where did you write that?

[89Hen]

You were saying?

I must have missed where you predicted UNH would upset VU..Where did you write that?

Yeah, try to get out of your post.

[BDKJMU]

I must have missed where you predicted UNH would upset VU..Where did you write that?

Yeah, try to get out of your post.

Its easy to play ‘gotcha’ after the fact without putting down a prediction..

[89Hen]

Yeah, try to get out of your post.

Its easy to play ‘gotcha’ after the fact without putting down a prediction..

I predicted UNH would make the playoffs. You said they would not.

[BDKJMU]

Obviously going to be some shakeup.
11/9 #10 @ #2

11/16
#3 @ #8
#6 @ #4

If #5-#10 lose, with the exception of Montana, none of them will get a Top 8 seed, as no 4 loss team, or a 3 loss UCA, will get a seed, I don't care who they played.

[BDKJMU]

Its easy to play ‘gotcha’ after the fact without putting down a prediction..

I predicted UNH would make the playoffs. You said they would not.

They still might not. They have to win 2 of their last 3 (@ JMU, @ Albany, Maine)

[93henfan]

Wow. Four of the top 10 with three losses with three weeks yet to play?

[kalm]

Wow. Four of the top 10 with three losses with three weeks yet to play?

2 of them played 2 FBS and 2 are top 3 SOS.

[93henfan]

Wow. Four of the top 10 with three losses with three weeks yet to play?

2 of them played 2 FBS and 2 are top 3 SOS.

And yet three losses still. You certainly can't call them overachievers.

[Gil Dobie]

UNH is barely a top 20 team. Somebody on the committee really, really likes them.

[Gil Dobie]

Take away the FBS games and.

NDSU 9-0
JMU 8-0
BBQ 7-0
SDSU 7-1 loss to NDSU
Sac St 6-1 Loss to BBQ
UNI 6-2 Losses to NDSU & BBQ
UCA 6-1 Loss to Nichols St
Montana 7-1 Loss to Sac St
Furman 6-1 Loss to The Citadel
UNH 6-2 Loss to Holy Cross & Delaware

[89Hen]

I predicted UNH would make the playoffs. You said they would not.

They still might not. They have to win 2 of their last 3 (@ JMU, @ Albany, Maine)

That's why it's a "prediction".

[89Hen]

Wow. Four of the top 10 with three losses with three weeks yet to play?

Told you this year was going to be an ugly W-L total for the field.

[89Hen]

IMO there is just a huge chasm between top 4 and the rest of the field. I'd actually be OK with a I-A four team format this year. The rest are just so mediocre.

[93henfan]

Yeah, four teams would be plenty this year. Or just go back to 16 every year and you're WAY more than covered.

[BDKJMU]

UNH is barely a top 20 team. Somebody on the committee really, really likes them.

The Top 25 polls are garbage though. Number of examples of a team with an equal or better record to a team tbey beat, yet ranked below. UNH beat VU, UNH has a better record (vs I—AA), 4-1 CAA vs 3-3 for VU, yet VU ranked above. Retarded.

After the comittee’s 1st 9, there’s a number of teams you could put in 10th.

[BDKJMU]

Take away the FBS games and.

NDSU 9-0
JMU 8-0
BBQ 7-0
SDSU 7-1 loss to NDSU
Sac St 6-1 Loss to BBQ
UNI 6-2 Losses to NDSU & BBQ
UCA 6-1 Loss to Nichols St
Montana 7-1 Loss to Sac St
Furman 6-1 Loss to The Citadel
UNH 6-2 Loss to Holy Cross & Delaware

Thats a good point. Teams aren’t penalized for I-A losses.

[BDKJMU]

Yeah, four teams would be plenty this year. Or just go back to 16 every year and you're WAY more than covered.

16 would be fine this yr:
-10 AQ
-2 At large MVFC
-2 At large Big Sky
-1 maybe at large CAA (if UNH, SBU, VU, or TU won out).
-1 at large from somewhere else.

[93henfan]

16 would be fine every year. When was the last time the 17th ranked team on Thanksgiving won the chipper, beside never?

[89Hen]

16 would be fine every year. When was the last time the 17th ranked team on Thanksgiving won the chipper, beside never?

At least when it was 16 we were arguing about decent teams for that last spot and some years there was a serious debate (Woofed). Now it's a joke arguing between 7-5 teams.