MVFC 9/28/19

[JBB]

Not many games. Conference schedule starts next week.

From the wire:

UND* @ EWU
GAM: UND -2; O/U 66; Mythical score UND 34-32

5 Dimes: EWU -8.5; O/U: 63
Final EWU 35-20

Robert Morris @ YSU*
GAM: YSU -9; O/U 65; Mythical score YSU 29-26

5 Dimes: YSU -23.5; O/U 59.5
Final YSU 45-10

UNI @ Weber
GAM: WSU -1; O/U 41; Mythical score WSU 21-20

5 Dimes: UNI +1.5; O/U 35
Final Weber 29-17

5 Dimes added 9/24/19

1 right in the MVFC. This week saw a lot of crazy scores. The big success was the GAM pointing out the big Montana upset of UCD. It provided us with an easy $210 on the out right Montana win and $100 on Montana + points.

[JBB]

Here is this weeks projected MVFC finish conference games only:

WEEK 9/28

NDSU 8-0 Last week 8-0
SDSU 7-1 Last week 6-2
YSU 5-3 Last week 5-3
ILS 5-3 Last week 4-4
USD 4-4 Last week 1-7
UNI 4-4 Last week 5-3
SIU 4-4 Last week 5-3
INDS 3-5 Last week 4-4
WIU 2-6 Last week 2-6
MSU 0-8 Last week 0-8

USD really improved themselves this week. They haven't done much in the won loss column but they do have the #1 passing offense in the MVFC. They also got blindsided by a HBU team that was way, way better than anybody but GAM headquarters was willing to give credit. In fact, GAM called the upset.

[JBB]

The MVFC has most of their byes this week. The games scheduled don’t offer much opportunity. This is one of those weeks where we are going to have to expand our horizons.

[JBB]

NDSU is an 8 point underdog to the Ducks this week

Ducks 29-21

NDSU is an early favorite against ILS on 10/5: 30-24. Don't think that will change both clubs are idle this week.

Looking ahead to the Marker Game on 10/26. it looks like a dead heat: 27-25 in favor of the NDSU. Thats without a 3 point home field push. The road doesn't seem to bother the Bison much. There are still several weeks to sort it out but right now there is one very huge game brewing in Brookings.

[JBB]

Sagarin has NDSU @ 40. Next FCS team, SDSU, is 89! That’s an enormous gap.

Because The Bison are locked into a MVFC schedule and the Sagarin ranking is affected by how your opponents do the Bison are artificially low. Minnesota, not a very good football team, plays higher ranked teams every week and is ranked artificially high @ 63.

This points out an important fact when using Sagarin as a guide. Other MVFC teams could be similarly affected. When using Sagarin always check teams schedule.

[JBB]

Will be in vegas next week. Might introduce myself to those boys and inspect the haircuts I’ve been giving them.

[JBB]

Not a bad week. We picked up $320. Our total from our initial $100 is now $1,150. The GAM was clear on which game to take and which factors to use. This week it was Montana @ UCD.

4 games called, 3 MVFC and 1 Big Sky. 12 total factor points based on the winner/spread; over under; out right winner for each game. GAM scores 8 for a 66.7% week. Right now we are cherry-picking the games we call in. This week we expanded to using the line bet. O/U is the most difficult.

The secret is using the right factors for the right games every week. Losing 1/3 of the bets with juice of $10 or $20/wager and some crazy odds to boot puts a big drag on the all the fun.

We know there is a "Great North West Passage" to beating these guys each and every week. They are very good at what they do. You can only take what you can get. The GAM gives you a huge leg-up on knowing what it is you can get.