How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

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How long will the shutdown last?

Poll ended at Fri Feb 01, 2019 6:15 pm

Less than a week (open by Dec 28)
3
10%
1 to <2 weeks (open by Jan 4)
2
7%
2 to <3 weeks (open by Jan 11)
5
17%
3 to <4 weeks (open by Jan 18)
2
7%
4 to <5 weeks (open by Jan 25)
0
No votes
5 to <6 weeks (open by Feb 2)
3
10%
6 or more weeks
14
48%
 
Total votes: 29

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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by JohnStOnge »

CID1990 wrote:
AZGrizFan wrote:Hey, is the government still shut down?

Hadn't noticed...
Seriously

This is like the phantom shutdown

the only furloughed person I know is 93


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The people who are responsible for ensuring the safety of the food supply outside of beef, poultry, and pork have all been furloughed. You know, the people that are responsible for making sure that we don't have botulism toxin in canned goods. Or paralytic shellfish poisoning that kills you within 20 minutes or so because your lungs won't work. Or toxigenic E. coli in something like Romaine lettuce. That sort of thing. Those people have been furloughed. Also a lot of the people who are responsible for detecting when something's going on with those sorts of things have been furloughed. People could literally die earlier than they would have because of this. Probably not many. But it could happen. And if things work out in an unlikely way it actually COULD be a lot.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by CID1990 »

JohnStOnge wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
Seriously

This is like the phantom shutdown

the only furloughed person I know is 93


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The people who are responsible for ensuring the safety of the food supply outside of beef, poultry, and pork have all been furloughed. You know, the people that are responsible for making sure that we don't have botulism toxin in canned goods. Or paralytic shellfish poisoning that kills you within 20 minutes or so because your lungs won't work. Or toxigenic E. coli in something like Romaine lettuce. That sort of thing. Those people have been furloughed. Also a lot of the people who are responsible for detecting when something's going on with those sorts of things have been furloughed. People could literally die earlier than they would have because of this. Probably not many. But it could happen. And if things work out in an unlikely way it actually COULD be a lot.
Cool

We have 1.5 billion people to get rid of as it is
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by JohnStOnge »

CID1990 wrote:
Cool

We have 1.5 billion people to get rid of as it is
LOL! Maybe so. But realize that a lot more Americans have been killed by food borne disease than have been killed by terrorists. It's not a sexy topic. But Americans take a reasonably safe food supply for granted. And the mechanisms that ensure that are compromised by a partial shutdown like this.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by AZGrizFan »

JohnStOnge wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
Cool

We have 1.5 billion people to get rid of as it is
LOL! Maybe so. But realize that a lot more Americans have been killed by food borne disease than have been killed by terrorists. It's not a sexy topic. But Americans take a reasonably safe food supply for granted. And the mechanisms that ensure that are compromised by a partial shutdown like this.
Nobody cares. Really.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by CID1990 »

JohnStOnge wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
Cool

We have 1.5 billion people to get rid of as it is
LOL! Maybe so. But realize that a lot more Americans have been killed by food borne disease than have been killed by terrorists. It's not a sexy topic. But Americans take a reasonably safe food supply for granted. And the mechanisms that ensure that are compromised by a partial shutdown like this.
Well then

Food borne illnesses are a much more stealthy way to shed that extra 1.5 billion people is what you’re telling me
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by CAA Flagship »

JohnStOnge wrote:
The people who are responsible for ensuring the safety of the food supply outside of beef, poultry, and pork have all been furloughed. You know, the people that are responsible for making sure that we don't have botulism toxin in canned goods. Or paralytic shellfish poisoning that kills you within 20 minutes or so because your lungs won't work. Or toxigenic E. coli in something like Romaine lettuce. That sort of thing. Those people have been furloughed. Also a lot of the people who are responsible for detecting when something's going on with those sorts of things have been furloughed. People could literally die earlier than they would have because of this. Probably not many. But it could happen. And if things work out in an unlikely way it actually COULD be a lot.
How much prevention do they do? Seems to me they are more reactive than preventative.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by AZGrizFan »

CID1990 wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:
LOL! Maybe so. But realize that a lot more Americans have been killed by food borne disease than have been killed by terrorists. It's not a sexy topic. But Americans take a reasonably safe food supply for granted. And the mechanisms that ensure that are compromised by a partial shutdown like this.
Well then

Food borne illnesses are a much more stealthy way to shed that extra 1.5 billion people is what you’re telling me
:nod: :nod:
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by css75 »

CID1990 wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:
The people who are responsible for ensuring the safety of the food supply outside of beef, poultry, and pork have all been furloughed. You know, the people that are responsible for making sure that we don't have botulism toxin in canned goods. Or paralytic shellfish poisoning that kills you within 20 minutes or so because your lungs won't work. Or toxigenic E. coli in something like Romaine lettuce. That sort of thing. Those people have been furloughed. Also a lot of the people who are responsible for detecting when something's going on with those sorts of things have been furloughed. People could literally die earlier than they would have because of this. Probably not many. But it could happen. And if things work out in an unlikely way it actually COULD be a lot.
Cool

We have 1.5 billion people to get rid of as it is
Solution: send any possibly contaminated food to the Middle East.


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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Ibanez »

CID1990 wrote:I don’t know about you fellers, but this is startin* to look like Shutdown Lite

I just got informed that not only am I excepted, but also the R&R I am currently on is allowed and paid for... and my pay never stopped

Put another way-

Allowing people to immigrate legally to the US is a higher priority than whatever 93 does

:tiptoe:
Didn’t the shutdown occur DURING a pay period? If so, then of course your pay didn’t stop. It’s the next pay period that should start worrying some people.



PS- DJT says they’re mostly Dems.


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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by CID1990 »

Ibanez wrote:
CID1990 wrote:I don’t know about you fellers, but this is startin* to look like Shutdown Lite

I just got informed that not only am I excepted, but also the R&R I am currently on is allowed and paid for... and my pay never stopped

Put another way-

Allowing people to immigrate legally to the US is a higher priority than whatever 93 does

:tiptoe:
Didn’t the shutdown occur DURING a pay period? If so, then of course your pay didn’t stop. It’s the next pay period that should start worrying some people.



PS- DJT says they’re mostly Dems.


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In theory it stops the day the gummint stops... that’s what happened to me last time

This time the payola never stopped
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Ibanez »

CID1990 wrote:
Ibanez wrote: Didn’t the shutdown occur DURING a pay period? If so, then of course your pay didn’t stop. It’s the next pay period that should start worrying some people.



PS- DJT says they’re mostly Dems.


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In theory it stops the day the gummint stops... that’s what happened to me last time

This time the payola never stopped
In practice it didn’t. That’s all I’m saying. The effects are still rolling out.


Hey- anyone read the Govt report how a shutdown actually costs us money? Good times.


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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by 93henfan »

Ibanez wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
In theory it stops the day the gummint stops... that’s what happened to me last time

This time the payola never stopped
In practice it didn’t. That’s all I’m saying. The effects are still rolling out.


Hey- anyone read the Govt report how a shutdown actually costs us money? Good times.


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Federal civilians are paid every two weeks, about a week after the pay period ends. The shutdown last week occurred in the second week of that pay period, after close of business on Friday, so most of us got our 80 hours in and will receive one last paycheck. OMB requires that a skeleton crew of payroll employees be excepted to process pay for hours worked. My pay always hits USAA on Saturday, so I'm hoping it's there tomorrow.

Now that we have federal civilians, who everyone loves to make a punching bag, out of the way, there is one interesting group that is going to be a magnet for the press in the next several days:

US Coast Guard

Because USCG falls under DHS, active duty Coasties (i.e. uniformed service members) will NOT be paid on their next scheduled paycheck: January 1st. (Services are paid 1st and 15th every month)

You are going to see a parade of fat dependent moms with a baby in each arm being interviewed on the evening news, with cut shots to daddy out on a Great Lakes ice breaker, flying a rescue chopper, or rounding up brown people in warm waters.

That is going to put some serious pressure on the Orange One.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by CID1990 »

93henfan wrote:
Ibanez wrote: In practice it didn’t. That’s all I’m saying. The effects are still rolling out.


Hey- anyone read the Govt report how a shutdown actually costs us money? Good times.


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Federal civilians are paid every two weeks, about a week after the pay period ends. The shutdown last week occurred in the second week of that pay period, after close of business on Friday, so most of us got our 80 hours in and will receive one last paycheck. OMB requires that a skeleton crew of payroll employees be excepted to process pay for hours worked. My pay always hits USAA on Saturday, so I'm hoping it's there tomorrow.

Now that we have federal civilians, who everyone loves to make a punching bag, out of the way, there is one interesting group that is going to be a magnet for the press in the next several days:

US Coast Guard

Because USCG falls under DHS, active duty Coasties (i.e. uniformed service members) will NOT be paid on their next scheduled paycheck: January 1st. (Services are paid 1st and 15th every month)

You are going to see a parade of fat dependent moms with a baby in each arm being interviewed on the evening news, with cut shots to daddy out on a Great Lakes ice breaker, flying a rescue chopper, or rounding up brown people in warm waters.

That is going to put some serious pressure on the Orange One.
Yep I’ve got two Coasties in the family, working without pay

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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by css75 »

The last major one happened in the 90s. Where I was, Grand Junction Colorado, credit unions made interest free loans to Employees impacted by the shutdown. Before anyone actually collected, it ended. The taxes were a bit higher after the first check afterwards, as they combined pay periods.


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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by 93henfan »

css75 wrote:The last major one happened in the 90s. Where I was, Grand Junction Colorado, credit unions made interest free loans to Employees impacted by the shutdown. Before anyone actually collected, it ended. The taxes were a bit higher after the first check afterwards, as they combined pay periods.


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I may try filing for unemployment insurance next week. :lol:

It's capped at $330 a week in Delaware, so that's not even enough for a disease free hooker with all her teeth.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by JohnStOnge »

CAA Flagship wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:
The people who are responsible for ensuring the safety of the food supply outside of beef, poultry, and pork have all been furloughed. You know, the people that are responsible for making sure that we don't have botulism toxin in canned goods. Or paralytic shellfish poisoning that kills you within 20 minutes or so because your lungs won't work. Or toxigenic E. coli in something like Romaine lettuce. That sort of thing. Those people have been furloughed. Also a lot of the people who are responsible for detecting when something's going on with those sorts of things have been furloughed. People could literally die earlier than they would have because of this. Probably not many. But it could happen. And if things work out in an unlikely way it actually COULD be a lot.
How much prevention do they do? Seems to me they are more reactive than preventative.
They are VERY preventative. Now, States play a big role too and will mitigate the situation somewhat. But if you ask people in the industry they would much rather have State people looking at them than Federal people because State people are not nearly as tough. In fact, the States tend to be reactive. They tend to ask "did anybody get sick?" The Feds don't do that. They tend to say "The point is to make sure they DON'T get sick"

The Feds do get reactive when necessary. They are constantly monitoring to see if anybody does get sick. But that's not their paradigm.

I've seen the difference personally. I've seen a situation in which the circumstances were completely horrible and a State Health Officer's reaction was "did anybody get sick?" Of course you don't KNOW nobody got sick just because it wasn't reported. But you do know that NOBODY would have wanted to eat the food product involved if they knew what you know.

When it comes to protecting you from anything from spending your weekend wed to the toilet spewing out of both ends or something more serious like dying because you ate a low acid canned food and got whacked by botulism toxin you do NOT want to rely on the States to protect you from that. You want the Feds involved.

And what it all comes down to is that the States want a body count before they do anything. The Feds do not.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by JohnStOnge »

BTW, I have seen a situation in which some people flipping die when they eat something and the Feds wanted to outlaw putting it in interstate commerce and States went to Congress and prevented the Feds from doing it. You do NOT want to rely on the States when it comes to that sort of thing. The States are MUCH more influenced by industry concerns.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by CID1990 »

JohnStOnge wrote:BTW, I have seen a situation in which some people flipping die when they eat something and the Feds wanted to outlaw putting it in interstate commerce and States went to Congress and prevented the Feds from doing it. You do NOT want to rely on the States when it comes to that sort of thing. The States are MUCH more influenced by industry concerns.
Cool
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by 93henfan »

CID1990 wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:BTW, I have seen a situation in which some people flipping die when they eat something and the Feds wanted to outlaw putting it in interstate commerce and States went to Congress and prevented the Feds from doing it. You do NOT want to rely on the States when it comes to that sort of thing. The States are MUCH more influenced by industry concerns.
Cool
Which part? The hershey squirts or the people flipping dying?!?!!
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by CID1990 »

93henfan wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
Cool
Which part? The hershey squirts or the people flipping dying?!?!!
You know its the flipping dying


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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by CAA Flagship »

93henfan wrote:
css75 wrote:The last major one happened in the 90s. Where I was, Grand Junction Colorado, credit unions made interest free loans to Employees impacted by the shutdown. Before anyone actually collected, it ended. The taxes were a bit higher after the first check afterwards, as they combined pay periods.


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I may try filing for unemployment insurance next week. :lol:

It's capped at $330 a week in Delaware, so that's not even enough for a disease free hooker with all her teeth.
It most certainly is enough. :nod:



:doh:



So I'm told. :tiptoe:
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Ibanez »

93henfan wrote:
css75 wrote:The last major one happened in the 90s. Where I was, Grand Junction Colorado, credit unions made interest free loans to Employees impacted by the shutdown. Before anyone actually collected, it ended. The taxes were a bit higher after the first check afterwards, as they combined pay periods.


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I may try filing for unemployment insurance next week. :lol:

It's capped at $330 a week in Delaware, so that's not even enough for a disease free hooker with all her teeth.
Teeth just get in the way during sucky time


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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Col Hogan »

CID1990 wrote:
93henfan wrote:
Federal civilians are paid every two weeks, about a week after the pay period ends. The shutdown last week occurred in the second week of that pay period, after close of business on Friday, so most of us got our 80 hours in and will receive one last paycheck. OMB requires that a skeleton crew of payroll employees be excepted to process pay for hours worked. My pay always hits USAA on Saturday, so I'm hoping it's there tomorrow.

Now that we have federal civilians, who everyone loves to make a punching bag, out of the way, there is one interesting group that is going to be a magnet for the press in the next several days:

US Coast Guard

Because USCG falls under DHS, active duty Coasties (i.e. uniformed service members) will NOT be paid on their next scheduled paycheck: January 1st. (Services are paid 1st and 15th every month)

You are going to see a parade of fat dependent moms with a baby in each arm being interviewed on the evening news, with cut shots to daddy out on a Great Lakes ice breaker, flying a rescue chopper, or rounding up brown people in warm waters.

That is going to put some serious pressure on the Orange One.
Yep I’ve got two Coasties in the family, working without pay

I told them if their boats sink they can just wade to shore
The Coasties will be paid...

Trump personally intervened to pay Coast Guard in shutdown

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wash ... n-shutdown
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by JohnStOnge »

Col Hogan wrote:
The Coasties will be paid...

Trump personally intervened to pay Coast Guard in shutdown

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/wash ... n-shutdown
I think it's just one paycheck. Similar to the situation with furloughed civilians. They all got one more paycheck for work already done. I think that after the Coast Guard gets its paycheck for the most recent pay period none of those people including Coast Guard staff will receive any pay until after the funding lapse is over. All over this situation, as articulated in the Reuters article at https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa- ... SKCN1OS0IL:
The wall was a major 2016 campaign promise of Trump’s, who promised then that it would be paid for by Mexico, which has steadfastly refused to do so. Trump has since demanded that U.S. taxpayers pay for it at an estimated total cost of $23 billion.
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Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by ALPHAGRIZ1 »

JohnStOnge wrote:
ALPHAGRIZ1 wrote:Absolutely

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Well, you're making a mistake then.
Absolutely not, anytime the government is not at work is a great thing that way they can't steal from us and line their own pockets. You are just another delusional liberal

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