2014 NCAA Football - FCS Playoffs

Tag Archives | Playoff Predictions

FINALS

Merry Christmas ya filthy animals, quick one before I take off for the Christmas week. Our Championship is set, on one side we have the juggernaut that is the Bizon of NDSU. On the other the underdogs of Towson, who traveled across the country to take out the BSC champ Eastern Washington. Should be a good one will the Bizon three-peat or will Towson spoil Bohls’ going away party?

The Blog went 2-0 last week bringing a predict record to 15-6 or a 71 percent pick rate. Not to shabby.

The blog has picked NDSU every week of the playoffs and we are riding this train down the line, NDSU 35-Towson-27. Merry Christmas!

Semis Week

Alright Boys and Girls Its Semi’s week-A little love for the CAA, two of the four semis teams, including a “bubble” team that squeaked in. Congrats! You have shown that when it comes to crunch time you guys are ready. So I was watching the Towson-EIU game, and I was incredibly impressed with Towson’s running attack this guy was just running over the EIU D, his numbers prior to half were ridiculous. It really seemed to me like Towson has its game together.

Predicts:13-6 and 3-1 last week.

NDSU over UNH
Twoson over EWU-This one I have really gone back and forth on.

Have a wonderful holiday yall

1st Round Playoff Breakdown

Rob Weiss, FCS Update

South Dakota State at (1) Montana

This is a match-up of two teams I’m pretty familiar with. Both teams have played up and down this year.

For Montana the key is going to be QB play. They have switched QBs on and off and need to have the right chemistry on Saturday. I had the opportunity to watch the Griz against UC-Davis, Northern Arizona, Weber State, and Northern Colorado. The offense and defense were both all over the place. The UC-Davis game was a low scoring game that was tied in the 4th quarter, but the NAU game was an OT shootout. The team clicked on both sides of the ball against Weber State.

South Dakota State could’ve helped themselves with a win over Minnesota. The Jacks had the ball in a tie game with 5 minutes left but fumbled it on their own 20 yd line to give the game away.

I’ve seen the Jacks twice this year. Their games against Northern Iowa and Cal Poly were fairly similar with the exception of the result. SDSU should not have lost the Cal Poly game, but injury to a QB can really change your chemistry.

I see this game as a toss-up with the edge to the home team, but if the Griz are clicking, this could be a blow out.

Montana Grizzlies 31  South Dakota State Jackrabbits 27

 

Eastern Washington @ Stephen F. Austin

I have not had the opportunity to watch either of these teams this year.

Stephen F. Austin saw their offensive success through a huge passing game, while Eastern Washington has been a little more balanced than in the past.

If Eastern Washington can pull off the defensive gameplan that Texas State used against SFA, it could be a long day for the Lumberjacks.

Eastern Washington Eagles 35  Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 28

 

Elon @ (4) Richmond

Both of these teams have lacked some consistency this year. Richmond struggled in some games they should have won easily and blew their game against Villanova. Elon didn’t show up for their big games against Wake Forest and Appalachian State.

I had the opportunity to watch Richmond a few times this year. They had issues in their game against a poor VMI team.  The team struggled to get any rhythm going. In their game against Villanova they let the Wildcats score with about a minute left, then drove down for a chip shot FG that was wide left from the right hash. Now the team has a path that could run them through Missoula instead of a home path to Chatty. (A semifinal match-up against Montana would make for an interesting game). 

Elon has had a great passing game this year. Their SoS was very poor and their performance against Appalachian State has a lot of people wondering.

Richmond Spiders 24  Elon Phoenix 21

 

South Carolina State @ (4) Appalachian State

A rematch of last years first round leaves many of us wondering if we’ll see a similar game. The MEAC champ went into Boone last year and really hung around.

I don’t think that will be the case this year. Last year the Mountaineers had an unhealthy Armanti Edwards and were not clicking. This App State team is scary to me. They seem to be clicking at the right time and have great chemistry.

South Carolina State’s only loss is to South Carolina. They won’t be a pushover, but I’m just not sure they have enough.

Appalachian State Mountaineers 38  South Carolina State Bulldogs  28

 

Eastern Illinois @ (3) Southern Illinois

This will be one of those lopsided first round match-ups.

The Panthers limped their way into the field, needing an EKU loss to get the autobid.

The Salukis have beat every team put in front of them after a near loss to FBS Marshall.

Look for EIU QB Jake Christensen to have a long day. SIU will pound the ball on the EIU offense and waltz into the second round.

Southern Illinois Salukis 38  Eastern Illinois 17

 

Weber State at William and Mary

This also has the makings of a lopsided match-up. Weber State struggled against tough competition and William and Mary was a FG away from being seeded in this years field.

After seeing William and Mary blow the Villanova game, they have been clicking ever since.

William and Mary Tribe 24   Weber State Wildcats 14

 

Holy Cross at (2) Villanova

This game is basically over before it begins. As long as the ‘Nova pass defense shows up, this one will be over quickly.

Holy Cross relies on it’s passing attack and struggled against a couple opponents. Villanova played one of the hardest schedules in the country and came through with only one loss.

Villanova Wildcats 31   Holy Cross Crusaders 14

 

New Hampshire at McNeese State

If New Hampshire had any kind of facilities and home crowd they would be at home. Their team deserves to be at home almost every year but gets stuck taking flights across the country. New Hampshire is the clear favorite in this road match-up.

As one of two upsets I picked, this is the only game I feel will be a clear cut winner. New Hampshire beat some tough opponents and also went on the road to get a FBS win. McNeese has a good team and a great enviroment, but that won’t stop the Wildcats.

New Hampshire Wildcats 24  McNeese State Cowboys 14

 

With expected 2nd round matchups, my current pick for national champion is Appalachian State. Armanti Edwards is the only QB in FCS football that can single handedly win games. If he is truly healthy, and stays healthy, he’ll get his 3rd national championship.

 

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Playoff Predictions 11/18

Rob Weiss, FCS Update

Not much has changed since last week. If the right teams win on Saturday, the bracket should be a pretty easy pick for the committee. The bracket will release at 3pm EST on ESPNNews if my info is correct.

Autobids:

Big Sky: Montana – locked up            CAA: Villanova – Still have to play Delaware, and will be in the playoffs either way         MEAC: South Carolina State – locked up       MVFC: Southern Illinois– locked up       OVC: Eastern Illinois  – locked up        Patriot: Holy Cross – locked up    SoCon: Appalachian State – locked up       Southland: Stephen F. Austin – locked up with a win over winless Northwestern State

At-large bids:

New Hampshire(2nd CAA) – at 9-2 or 8-3,     Richmond(3rd CAA) – 9-2 at worst,     William and Mary(4th CAA) – 9-2 at worst    , Eastern Washington (2nd Big Sky) in for sure with a win and a loss by Montana State     , Elon(2nd SoCon) – in with a win over Samford,     South Dakota State (2nd MVFC) in with a win over Western Illinois,      Northern Iowa (3rd MVFC) in with a win over Illinois State,  McNeese State(2nd Southland) in with a win over Central Arkansas,

Last Four In:

 Elon, McNeese State, Northern Iowa, Eastern Washington

Last Four out:

Liberty, Weber State, Montana State, Delaware

Bracket:

Eastern Illinois @ (1) Southern Illinois 
Elon @ McNeese State

Eastern Washington @ South Dakota State     
William and Mary @ (4) Appalachian State

New Hampshire @Northern Iowa
Stephen F Austin @ (2)Montana

Richmond @ South Carolina State
Holy Cross @ (3)Villanova

 

Bracket Analysis:

The bracket gets harder and harder as seeds change and the balance of east to west changes.

Eastern Illinois to Southern Illinois seems like a no brainer. Has happened many times in the past 10 years. 

Elon at McNeese is a bit of a stretch. Might change before my final bracket on Sunday.

Eastern Washington at South Dakota State makes sense to me. 2nd place team from the MVFC with good attendance gets another Western team.

William and Mary to Boone looks doable.

UNH @ UNI? Why not? The two have met in the playoffs 4 out of the last 5 years. Sorry Panther and Wildcat fans.

SFA to Missoula. SLC traditionally gets sent to the Griz. Especially when Cal Poly isn’t in. McNeese would bid more money so the NCAA sticks SFA on the road.

Richmond at SC State? SC State should be at home, whether or not they are remains to be seen. Especially with their AD pushing for the Heritage Bowl.

Holy Cross to Nova should be the matchup.

 

If this were the bracket, my quarter predictions would be:

 

Elon @ (1) Southern Illinois

South Dakota State at (4) Appalachian State

New Hampshire @ (2) Montana

Richmond @ (3) Villanova

 

Semis:

(4) Appalachian State @ (1) Southern Illinois

New Hampshire @ Richmond

 

Championship:

Appalachian State vs. Richmond

 

Champion:

Appalachian State

 

Appalachian State appears to be clicking at just the right time. I feel like Armanti Edwards is one of the few quarterbacks in FCS football that can really take over a game. There are some good quarterbacks, but Armanti may be the only one who can single handedly win games.

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Playoff Predictions 10/21

Rob Weiss, FCS Update

Quite a few upsets this last weekend.

Autobids:

Big Sky: Montana    CAA: Richmond   MEAC: South Carolina State   MVFC: Southern Illinois   OVC: Eastern Kentucky   Patriot: Holy Cross  SoCon: Elon  Southland: Stephen F. Austin

At-large bids:

New Hampshire(2nd CAA), Villanova(3rd CAA), William and Mary(4th CAA), Appalachian State(2nd SoCon), Northern Iowa(2nd MVFC), South Dakota State(3rd MVFC), McNeese State(2nd Southland), Northern Arizona (2nd Big Sky)

Bracket:

 South Carolina State @ (1)Richmond
Eastern Kentucky@ Appalachian State

Northern Arizona  @ Northern Iowa
 Holy Cross @ (4)Southern Illinois

Stephen F. Austin @ (2)Montana
New Hampshire @ McNeese State

William and Mary  @ South Dakota State
 Elon @ (3)Villanova

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