BDKJMU wrote:93henfan wrote:We've gone over this ad nauseam for years. CID captured much of it.
The elephant in the room though is the Earnhardt family tree. Dale Sr was NASCAR, but he died in Feb 2001. His son was supposed to pick up the baton and run with it, but his career was a miserable flop, and now he's retired as a championship-contending driver (as of last Sunday). I would estimate that nearly 50% of all NASCAR fans are Dale Jr fans. He missed a large part of last season with a concussion and failed to win a race or make the playoffs this year. That kills ratings, especially for the playoffs, which are nearly 30% of the schedule.
Meanwhile, NASCAR has thrown every gimmick they can think of into the points system, race format, and playoff format to the point that it has cheapened the whole thing tremendously. Honestly, one of the draws for me to F1 is that they still run a true championship. No gimmicky playoff bullshit. The guy who runs the best all year is champion. That only happens maybe 20% of the time in NASCAR.
Cue 89 to come in and say he told us all so, even though we had already been saying all of this over and over. Then he'll cherry-pick some old quotes to twist what was said.
NASCAR right now is in great financial shape because of very fortuitous long-term TV deals they've signed with NBC and Fox. When those run out (Fox after 2020 and NBC after 2023), they have a rude reckoning coming.
Yep. We talked about it extensively in this year’s NASCAR thread, and last years, and the year before, and the year before...
Do you remember gloating about the NFL's television rating declining...
Ultimately each SPORT will have to market directly to their clientele outside of cable offerings
Because Cable TV providers are losing subscribers pretty quickly
and looming Net Neutrality nonsense ain't helping cable companies grow subs
In 5 years
Each sport will have to offer seasonal streaming packages just like HBO
the projected dollars and numbers are fascinating
MLB seasonal package looks like $119 Regular season
$149 including playoffs and WS
NFL seasonal package $159
$29 playoffs
$19 Superbowl
Hockey seasonal package $89
Playoffs and Stanley $29
NBA seasonal package $109
Playoffs and finals $29
Tennis Season (Australian Open thu Wimbledon to US open) $99
ESPN is considering offering a full NCAA Division one Football season deal
This would look something like all top 25 games plus your favorite team for $179
NCAA Football playoffs $49
Remember all Cable contracts have to Expire first
Including Comcast / Time Warner and Verizon as well as Direct TV
The first available moment for any of this to happen in 2020