Upset of the week

Post by **clenz** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 11:58 am

Which game do you feel will have the biggest upset?

UNI losing to St. Francis...wow that took all my strength to not laugh while typing that, or someone else?

I would like it to be a pick that isn't a iffy/duh pick. I want a legit upset pick

Post by **bandl** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 11:59 am

Penn over Villanova

I mean, Talley said himself that his team is overrated...

Post by **danefan** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 12:02 pm

Elon over Wake probably.

Other than that I don't see many upsets this week. I do think Hofstra may play Richmond tough though.

ChickenMan · Post by **ChickenMan** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 12:04 pm

URI over UMass

Post by **Screamin_Eagle174** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 12:45 pm

Portland State over Montana. I was tempted to pick PSU in my weekly BSC picks this week. PSU has the firepower, and Montana doesn't have much of an offense. It's all going to hinge on how well PSU's defense plays, because as good as Montana's is, PSU will put up points. I think it's the most likely "upset."

Post by **Col Hogan** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 12:47 pm

I think any of these will be in the running, if they happen...

Any one will be the upset of the week...

weberwildcat · Post by **weberwildcat** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 1:01 pm

Screamin_Eagle174 wrote:Portland State over Montana. I was tempted to pick PSU in my weekly BSC picks this week. PSU has the firepower, and Montana doesn't have much of an offense. It's all going to hinge on how well PSU's defense plays, because as good as Montana's is, PSU will put up points. I think it's the most likely "upset."

this is a long shot espeically with the game in missoula. if psu's offense can go off and the d can hold UM to under 30 pts its possible...to be the upset of the week.

Wildcat Ryan · Post by **Wildcat Ryan** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 1:32 pm

Portland State over Montana.

Gil Dobie · Post by **Gil Dobie** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 3:35 pm

I don't know if Wagner over NDSU can be considered an upset

So I'll go with Wofford over Wisconsin, which really wouldn't be an upset either.

SUUTbird · Post by **SUUTbird** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 5:58 pm

Im going to go with PSU as well over Montana. I hate to say it but if the Griz play like they did in the first half against Western State and the first three quarters against UC-Davis The Griz will lose. If Montana is however to get some offense this week i see the Griz winning this one in a good game

ODUsmitty · Post by **ODUsmitty** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 7:22 pm

ODU over Pioneer League Champion Jacksonville.

We are a +22 according to Vegas.

GRIZ MOBSTER · Post by **GRIZ MOBSTER** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 7:29 pm

I cannot argue that an upset of PSU over UM is possible; however it is quite a longshot when you consider that our home conference record since 1995 is 52-2. One loss to EWU and one loss to MSU. That is it. Now that is some serious conference dominance!!! I would bet that no team in either the FCS or FBS has a better home conference record over that time period. Pretty remarkable when u think about it!

SuperHornet · Post by **SuperHornet** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 8:59 pm

Gil Dobie wrote:I don't know if Wagner over NDSU can be considered an upset

So I'll go with Wofford over Wisconsin, which really wouldn't be an upset either.

That's true. But by that logic (which I buy, BTW), the #1 team in the country beating the #5 team in the country shouldn't be an upset, but too many people said it was....

Post by **Grizo406** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 9:03 pm

Not sure it can be labeled an upset, but like a few others, I'm pickin' the Vikings over the Griz...

BDKJMU · Post by **BDKJMU** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 10:51 pm

Gil Dobie wrote:I don't know if Wagner over NDSU can be considered an upset

So I'll go with Wofford over Wisconsin, which really wouldn't be an upset either.

That would be a HUGE upset. I just looked up the line. Betus has Wofford +20.5 right now. 5dimes has them +20.

Mvemjsunpx · Post by **Mvemjsunpx** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 11:10 pm

Grizo406 wrote:Not sure it can be labeled an upset, but like a few others, I'm pickin' the Vikings over the Griz...

Why wouldn't that be an upset? PSU doesn't look like anything special.

Mvemjsunpx · Post by **Mvemjsunpx** » Fri Sep 18, 2009 11:13 pm

GRIZ MOBSTER wrote:I cannot argue that an upset of PSU over UM is possible; however it is quite a longshot when you consider that our home conference record since 1995 is 52-2. One loss to EWU and one loss to MSU. That is it. Now that is some serious conference dominance!!! I would bet that no team in either the FCS or FBS has a better home conference record over that time period. Pretty remarkable when u think about it!

By my calculation, it's 49-3 (or 50-3 including the playoff win over Weber).

The Griz lost at home to MSU once ('02) and EWU twice ('97, '05) over that span.

That's still likely better than anyone else, though.

pantherrob82 · Post by **pantherrob82** » Sat Sep 19, 2009 12:00 am

JayBilasBitesPillows wrote:ODU over Pioneer League Champion Jacksonville.

We are a +22 according to Vegas.

I think ODU wins. Not even an upset really. They already have more schollies.

Post by **Grizo406** » Sat Sep 19, 2009 12:18 am

Mvemjsunpx wrote:
Grizo406 wrote:Not sure it can be labeled an upset, but like a few others, I'm pickin' the Vikings over the Griz...
Why wouldn't that be an upset? PSU doesn't look like anything special.

I don't have a clue on why it would/wouldn't be an upset.

I was basing my comment on PSU's performance against the Beavers. Although the Vikings didn't look "special" in that game, they hung with a much better team fairly well.

Post by **Screamin_Eagle174** » Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:50 am

Mvemjsunpx wrote:
GRIZ MOBSTER wrote:I cannot argue that an upset of PSU over UM is possible; however it is quite a longshot when you consider that our home conference record since 1995 is 52-2. One loss to EWU and one loss to MSU. That is it. Now that is some serious conference dominance!!! I would bet that no team in either the FCS or FBS has a better home conference record over that time period. Pretty remarkable when u think about it!
By my calculation, it's 49-3 (or 50-3 including the playoff win over Weber).

The Griz lost at home to MSU once ('02) and EWU twice ('97, '05) over that span.

That's still likely better than anyone else, though.

You must be amnesiac regarding Wofford if you're counting playoffs...

DoubleNicks · Post by **DoubleNicks** » Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:50 am

Screamin_Eagle174 wrote:
Mvemjsunpx wrote:
By my calculation, it's 49-3 (or 50-3 including the playoff win over Weber).

The Griz lost at home to MSU once ('02) and EWU twice ('97, '05) over that span.

That's still likely better than anyone else, though.
You must be amnesiac regarding Wofford if you're counting playoffs...

I think they were pointing to the only home CONFERENCE losses being to MSU and EWU in that span

DoubleNicks · Post by **DoubleNicks** » Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:54 am

Sorry, was the original question asking what game would be the most surprising upset or the upset most likely to happen?

DoubleNicks · Post by **DoubleNicks** » Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:58 am

bandl wrote:Penn over Villanova

I mean, Talley said himself that his team is overrated...

Haha that would be a huge upset...an Ivy team that hasn't even gotten their feet wet and even played a game taking out a top 5 nationally ranked team that already has two games of experience under their belts.

DoubleNicks · Post by **DoubleNicks** » Sat Sep 19, 2009 3:21 am

The PSU game could be close but I don't see the Griz getting upset because they always find ways to win. Plus, if it is close it will be because of the matchup problems between PSU's passing attack and the Griz's focus on run stifling defense and if the secondary will be playing so far off their coverage like they did against UC Davis, not because of a stagnant offense. The offense has done just fine in comparison to other FCS schools and I don't believe has been that stagnant overall, just that it has had critical mistakes at critical moments to end promising drives (ie. fumbled exchange when UM had mo against Davis and Mariani fumbling after a long pass completion and it getting returned 40 yards the other way).

Post by **ASUG8** » Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:14 pm

ASU over bye in a shootout.

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