I think everyone is in agreeance that SUU is the only current FCS team that makes sense geographically. That said, why haven't they already gotten the invite?
The only logical explaination is that Fullerton is waiting this out to see how things develop with the WAC and in the west in general. He has stated that he doesn't think anything will be resolved before December. There are a lot of scenarios that could potentially play out in relation to the WAC........(Hawaii indie for football, Utah State to the MWC, La Tech to the Sunbelt)....if even one of these happens, the WAC's days are numbered. So this is probably what they are waiting on. If the WAC folds, there potentially could be a couple schools that fit the BSC footprint looking for a home. I also don't see 3 BSC teams making the jump to FBS, invite or not. How many schools are really willing to shell out millions of dollars a year more to join a conference whose future is in serious question? How many BSC can really afford such a move? I don't know about Sac, but I have spoken to several Portland State folks who believe that there is no chance they will be making any kind of move anytime soon. They have said the money is not there.......(correct me if I am wrong PSU folks). The situation at Montana is probably slightly different, but IMO, the strengthening of the conference with the addition of the 2 Cali schools will make schools that were on the fence even more hesitant to move.
Contrary to what many of the "move-uppers" and WAC-heads would have you believe, the BSC will only be strengthened through all of this conference re-alignment stuff. We have already seen it with the addition of UC-Davis and Cal-Poly, albeit that they will be football-only members. The more the big BCS conferences align themselves to keep out the lower-tier FBS schools from the big money and bowl games, the more viable an option FCS is going to become for schools that struggle to compete and make ends meet at the FBS level. FCS is going to become more relevant over the next few years, not less. Fullerton has also hinted at this in his various interviews.
On the flip side, if the WAC doesn't fold, and somehow convinces one or two BSC schools to accept invites, then SUU is most certainly a shoe-in for admission. Even if the WAC does fold, Idaho and the others could try to go the Sun Belt (or Conference USA, or whatever) route; in which case SUU would still get the invite, IMO.
One thing that I am fairly certain of is that the next member to join will be an all-sports inclusion to protect against any possible defections.
We'll just have to wait and see how it plays out.
