houndawg wrote: ↑Mon Feb 26, 2024 10:31 am
Drudge has a point but I think everybody already knows that the popular vote will be another landslide like '20. The EC is going to be close and if Biden loses it will be Michigan's low turnout on the left that will be the tipping point
I know you're just saying it tongue in cheek to elicit responses from the MAGA types on here, but to chime in as someone who isn't that, he still got 46% of the vote or so. Hard to call that a landslide. Convincing win? Sure. Landslide? Only if you're trying to poke people.
Drudge's point is still valid. Other than the partisan supporters, who obviously are significant and numerous, Trump's issue is that he gets almost no support from someone who isn't a rabid supporter. Moderate Republicans, Independents, and obviously Democrats aren't going to break his way. Trump's only gotten crazier while Biden's gotten older - it's a push. But you're right, the turnout will be key in this one. Do Biden's strongest supporters come our for him in the battleground states (Michigan is one, but Wisconsin, PA, AZ, GA are others as well). Razor thin margins in those states the last time and it wouldn't take much for them to swing the other way this time around.