So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
- JohnStOnge
- Egalitarian

- Posts: 20316
- Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2010 5:47 pm
- I am a fan of: McNeese State
- A.K.A.: JohnStOnge
So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Ok. I can't find it on line yet but my wife told me this morning that Fox News said Obama got more time to speak than Romney last night. Not by much. But more. If so that means the Democrat got more time during each of the four debates (3 Presidential, 1 Vice Presidential).
Statistics wise, just looking at more or less time without worrying about how much, having one side get more time all four times yields 87.5 percent confidence that it wasn't chance. If you conduct four trials where there's a 50:50 shot of things falling one way or the other, there's an 87.5 percent chance that things are not going to fall one way all four times. Not the 95 percent confidence level you see used so much by convention. But still enough to make a reasonable person say that if they had to bet they'd bet it didn't happen just by chance. It's as high a confidence level as you can get with only four "trials."
I can apply a more powerful test that could yield a higher confidence level once I know how MUCH more time Obama had in the last debate. I already have that information for the others.
So if it didn't happen by chance, what was it? Was it a subtle bias on the part of the moderators? You'd have to say that all four of them are probably liberal in their political thinking. Was it that the Democrats were just hard to control?
Another thing I'd like to look at is number of interruptions each time. To me that would lend better insight into possible bias. Like Candy Crowley interrupted Romney 28 times, I think, as compared to interrupting Obama 9 times. That's a pretty big disparity. But I haven't been able to find anything on frequency of interruptions for the other debates.
I saw where CNN pointed out that in one debate Obama got more time but Romney got more words in. I don't know about that. I doubt that a moderator is sitting there counting words. I think that time allowed is a better indicator of fairness.
No way to ever really know. All statistics can do for one in a case like this is quantify the likelihood that it happened by chance. All you can say is that the results appear to be consistent with a scenario in which there was a subtle bias. But they may be consistent with other things as well.
Statistics wise, just looking at more or less time without worrying about how much, having one side get more time all four times yields 87.5 percent confidence that it wasn't chance. If you conduct four trials where there's a 50:50 shot of things falling one way or the other, there's an 87.5 percent chance that things are not going to fall one way all four times. Not the 95 percent confidence level you see used so much by convention. But still enough to make a reasonable person say that if they had to bet they'd bet it didn't happen just by chance. It's as high a confidence level as you can get with only four "trials."
I can apply a more powerful test that could yield a higher confidence level once I know how MUCH more time Obama had in the last debate. I already have that information for the others.
So if it didn't happen by chance, what was it? Was it a subtle bias on the part of the moderators? You'd have to say that all four of them are probably liberal in their political thinking. Was it that the Democrats were just hard to control?
Another thing I'd like to look at is number of interruptions each time. To me that would lend better insight into possible bias. Like Candy Crowley interrupted Romney 28 times, I think, as compared to interrupting Obama 9 times. That's a pretty big disparity. But I haven't been able to find anything on frequency of interruptions for the other debates.
I saw where CNN pointed out that in one debate Obama got more time but Romney got more words in. I don't know about that. I doubt that a moderator is sitting there counting words. I think that time allowed is a better indicator of fairness.
No way to ever really know. All statistics can do for one in a case like this is quantify the likelihood that it happened by chance. All you can say is that the results appear to be consistent with a scenario in which there was a subtle bias. But they may be consistent with other things as well.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?
Deep Purple: No One Came

And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?
Deep Purple: No One Came

- AZGrizFan
- Supporter

- Posts: 59959
- Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 4:40 pm
- I am a fan of: Sexual Chocolate
- Location: Just to the right of center
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
The more these people talk, the more stupid they sound. Let them have all the time they need.
"Ah fuck. You are right." KYJelly, 11/6/12
"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12

"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12

-
danefan
- Supporter

- Posts: 7989
- Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 6:51 pm
- I am a fan of: UAlbany
- Location: Hudson Valley, New York
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Does anyone actually read JSO's stream of consciousness posts?
Jesus H Christ. Be succinct for once in your life.
Jesus H Christ. Be succinct for once in your life.
- JohnStOnge
- Egalitarian

- Posts: 20316
- Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2010 5:47 pm
- I am a fan of: McNeese State
- A.K.A.: JohnStOnge
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
It's called providing the basis for what you say. It's a lot easier to keep it short if you don't do that. This is what you can do:danefan wrote:Does anyone actually read JSO's stream of consciousness posts?
Jesus H Christ. Be succinct for once in your life.
Just skip over the parts designed to provide the basis and just take my word for it as you already know from experience that I have a good basis for what I'm saying.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?
Deep Purple: No One Came

And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?
Deep Purple: No One Came

-
danefan
- Supporter

- Posts: 7989
- Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 6:51 pm
- I am a fan of: UAlbany
- Location: Hudson Valley, New York
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
JohnStOnge wrote:It's called providing the basis for what you say. It's a lot easier to keep it short if you don't do that. This is what you can do:danefan wrote:Does anyone actually read JSO's stream of consciousness posts?
Jesus H Christ. Be succinct for once in your life.
Just skip over the parts designed to provide the basis and just take my word for it as you already know from experience that I have a good basis for what I'm saying.
I open up your threads and see multi-paragraph posts and immediately click out.
I can't figure out what is context and what your point is. Sorry man
- BlueHen86
- Supporter

- Posts: 13555
- Joined: Wed Nov 07, 2007 5:40 pm
- I am a fan of: The McManus Brothers
- A.K.A.: Duffman
- Location: Area XI
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Agreed. Having extra time does not mean that you will win a debate, especially if Joe Biden is involved.AZGrizFan wrote:The more these people talk, the more stupid they sound. Let them have all the time they need.
- BlueHen86
- Supporter

- Posts: 13555
- Joined: Wed Nov 07, 2007 5:40 pm
- I am a fan of: The McManus Brothers
- A.K.A.: Duffman
- Location: Area XI
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Same here. If he can't say it in a few lines, I move on.danefan wrote:JohnStOnge wrote:
It's called providing the basis for what you say. It's a lot easier to keep it short if you don't do that. This is what you can do:
Just skip over the parts designed to provide the basis and just take my word for it as you already know from experience that I have a good basis for what I'm saying.
I open up your threads and see multi-paragraph posts and immediately click out.
I can't figure out what is context and what your point is. Sorry man
- Skjellyfetti
- Anal

- Posts: 14685
- Joined: Tue Oct 07, 2008 9:56 pm
- I am a fan of: Appalachian
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
JSO has had more time to speak in this thread. CS.com bias. Fuck you, moderators. 
"The unmasking thing was all created by Devin Nunes"
- Richard Burr, (R-NC)
- Richard Burr, (R-NC)
- JohnStOnge
- Egalitarian

- Posts: 20316
- Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2010 5:47 pm
- I am a fan of: McNeese State
- A.K.A.: JohnStOnge
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?

Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?
Deep Purple: No One Came

And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?
Deep Purple: No One Came

Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
-
I'm looking forward to President Mitt's debate against the next Marxist the dems put up.
It will be fun to see how the challenger handles 4 conservative moderators asking him/her questions
Mitt accepted the challenge of 4 BHO supporters and prevailed

I'm looking forward to President Mitt's debate against the next Marxist the dems put up.
It will be fun to see how the challenger handles 4 conservative moderators asking him/her questions
Mitt accepted the challenge of 4 BHO supporters and prevailed

Pain or damage don't end the world. Or despair or fucking beatings. The world ends when you're dead. Until then, you got more punishment in store. Stand it like a man... and give some back. Al Swearengen

http://www.whirligig-tv.co.uk/tv/childr ... bronco.wav" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

http://www.whirligig-tv.co.uk/tv/childr ... bronco.wav" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
- SuperHornet
- SuperHornet

- Posts: 20857
- Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:24 pm
- I am a fan of: Sac State
- Location: Twentynine Palms, CA
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Let's just leave it at this: Crowley was CLEARLY biased. Schieffer was MUCH more even-handed. That's probably explained by the fact that he comes from the old school of video journalism, which is much more aimed at the truth as opposed to idiological agenda. That crew is dying off. Crowley ought to be canned, but she won't be.

SuperHornet's Athletics Hall of Fame includes Jacksonville State kicker Ashley Martin, the first girl to score in a Division I football game. She kicked 3 PATs in a 2001 game for J-State.
- dbackjon
- Moderator Team

- Posts: 45627
- Joined: Sat Jul 14, 2007 9:20 am
- I am a fan of: Northern Arizona
- A.K.A.: He/Him
- Location: Scottsdale
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Crowley was neutral - but of course, in the eyes of the lunatic right, that means she was biased.
First debate was clearly biased towards Romney - he walked all over the Moderator.
VP and last debate were neutral as well.
First debate was clearly biased towards Romney - he walked all over the Moderator.
VP and last debate were neutral as well.
- AZGrizFan
- Supporter

- Posts: 59959
- Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 4:40 pm
- I am a fan of: Sexual Chocolate
- Location: Just to the right of center
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Neutral. Good one.dbackjon wrote:Crowley was neutral - but of course, in the eyes of the lunatic right, that means she was biased.
First debate was clearly biased towards Romney - he walked all over the Moderator.
VP and last debate were neutral as well.
"Ah fuck. You are right." KYJelly, 11/6/12
"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12

"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12

- BDKJMU
- Level5

- Posts: 36398
- Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2009 6:59 am
- I am a fan of: JMU
- A.K.A.: BDKJMU
- Location: Philly Burbs
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
You mean Crowley was only neutral in the eyes of the lunatic left. That was obvious when she injected herself into the Benghazi debate on the side of Obama, and was incorrect to boot.dbackjon wrote:Crowley was neutral - but of course, in the eyes of the lunatic right, that means she was biased.
First debate was clearly biased towards Romney - he walked all over the Moderator.
VP and last debate were neutral as well.
JMU Football:
4 Years FBS: 40-11 (.784). Highest winning percentage & least losses of all of G5 2022-2025.
Sun Belt East Champions: 2022, 2023, 2025
Sun Belt Champions: 2025
Top 25 ranked: 2022, 2023, 2025
CFP: 2025
4 Years FBS: 40-11 (.784). Highest winning percentage & least losses of all of G5 2022-2025.
Sun Belt East Champions: 2022, 2023, 2025
Sun Belt Champions: 2025
Top 25 ranked: 2022, 2023, 2025
CFP: 2025
- LeadBolt
- Level3

- Posts: 3586
- Joined: Sun Jul 18, 2010 12:44 pm
- I am a fan of: William & Mary
- Location: Botetourt
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
This. First moderator was not nearly strong enough nor a factor. It is interesting to note that Romney needed to push him around to end up with less time than BHusseinO was allowed though.SuperHornet wrote:Let's just leave it at this: Crowley was CLEARLY biased. Schieffer was MUCH more even-handed. That's probably explained by the fact that he comes from the old school of video journalism, which is much more aimed at the truth as opposed to idiological agenda. That crew is dying off. Crowley ought to be canned, but she won't be.
We need more of the old school Schieffer types who are interested in truth. Not many of them remain on the air on either the right or the left of the ideology spectrum.
My handicapping of the election prior to the first debate was 80-20 in favor of the big 0 before the first debate. Now I have it 52-48 in favor of the big 0. The media bias for 0 and allotting more time to the 0 and his team seems to have backfired.
- Grizalltheway
- Supporter

- Posts: 35688
- Joined: Sat Jul 14, 2007 10:01 pm
- A.K.A.: DJ Honey BBQ
- Location: BSC
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Conk mantra: things don't go your way, start bitching and moaning about the system being rigged.

- LeadBolt
- Level3

- Posts: 3586
- Joined: Sun Jul 18, 2010 12:44 pm
- I am a fan of: William & Mary
- Location: Botetourt
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Things did go the Conk way, despite the biasGrizalltheway wrote:Conk mantra: things don't go your way, start bitching and moaning about the system being rigged.![]()
More time for the Donks will lead to the possibility of a repeat of Woodrow Wilson's disastrous second term.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articl ... 15844.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
- 89Hen
- Supporter

- Posts: 39283
- Joined: Tue Jul 17, 2007 1:13 pm
- I am a fan of: High Horses
- A.K.A.: The Almighty Arbiter
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Agreed. Here are just a couple of the conk websites trying to expose the system...Grizalltheway wrote:Conk mantra: things don't go your way, start bitching and moaning about the system being rigged.![]()
http://stolenelection.net/
http://nomorestolenelections.org/
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2 ... n-election

- Grizalltheway
- Supporter

- Posts: 35688
- Joined: Sat Jul 14, 2007 10:01 pm
- A.K.A.: DJ Honey BBQ
- Location: BSC
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Perceived bias, Dolt.LeadBolt wrote:Things did go the Conk way, despite the biasGrizalltheway wrote:Conk mantra: things don't go your way, start bitching and moaning about the system being rigged.![]()
Typical Donk in refusing to wake up and smell the coffee.
![]()
More time for the Donks will lead to the possibility of a repeat of Woodrow Wilson's disastrous second term.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articl ... 15844.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
- LeadBolt
- Level3

- Posts: 3586
- Joined: Sun Jul 18, 2010 12:44 pm
- I am a fan of: William & Mary
- Location: Botetourt
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
"None so blind as those that will not see." - Matthew HenryGrizalltheway wrote:Perceived bias, Dolt.LeadBolt wrote: Things did go the Conk way, despite the biasTypical Donk in refusing to wake up and smell the coffee.
![]()
More time for the Donks will lead to the possibility of a repeat of Woodrow Wilson's disastrous second term.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articl ... 15844.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Some perceive truth, some deny it.
- Grizalltheway
- Supporter

- Posts: 35688
- Joined: Sat Jul 14, 2007 10:01 pm
- A.K.A.: DJ Honey BBQ
- Location: BSC
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Umm, what does this have to do with conks being in full crybaby mode over the last debate?89Hen wrote:Agreed. Here are just a couple of the conk websites trying to expose the system...Grizalltheway wrote:Conk mantra: things don't go your way, start bitching and moaning about the system being rigged.![]()
http://stolenelection.net/
http://nomorestolenelections.org/
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2 ... n-election
- 89Hen
- Supporter

- Posts: 39283
- Joined: Tue Jul 17, 2007 1:13 pm
- I am a fan of: High Horses
- A.K.A.: The Almighty Arbiter
Re: So what about the "Democrats got more time" thing?
Umm, "Conk mantra: things don't go your way, start bitching and moaning about the system being rigged"Grizalltheway wrote:Umm, what does this have to do with conks being in full crybaby mode over the last debate?89Hen wrote: Agreed. Here are just a couple of the conk websites trying to expose the system...
http://stolenelection.net/
http://nomorestolenelections.org/
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2 ... n-election




