No Billionaires

Political discussions
User avatar
UNI88
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30615
Joined: Mon Aug 25, 2008 8:30 am
I am a fan of: UNI
Location: Sailing the Gulf of Mexico

Re: No Billionaires

Post by UNI88 »

AZGrizFan wrote:
UNI88 wrote:John I can't speak for anyone else but I'm not trying to be deceptive. I've also agreed with you that over time, middle class incomes have generally risen. But I will argue that the picture isn't so rosy from say 2006 or so on when companies started to give smaller to no raises while at the same time asking employees to pay for a greater share of their healthcare costs. I'm not saying that it wasn't justified, with the skyrocketing increase in healthcare costs, employers couldn't afford to pay as much as they used to. What I am saying is that employees real wages, net income, net compensation (be it salaried or hourly) or whatever you want to call it started to decrease relative to what they had made previously. The 2008 crash and recession that followed just made that decrease in net compensation worse and the trend doesn't look good moving forward. The middle class hasn't been hollowed out yet but they are taking a hit, their prospects as a group look to continue to be negative and they're getting frustrated about it.
Guess it's all in whether you view the glass as half full or half empty, 88. The 105 (out of the original 185) people at my company who still HAVE A JOB are very grateful for that. They understand the economics of the situation...because I explain it to them every month at our all-staff meeting. Are there a few that are frustrated? Sure....but the vast majority of my staff "get" it and understand what we're up against.

We have a failure of leadership from the very top in this country where, instead of SOLVING the problem, they stand around pointing fingers and blaming each other or people who were in power 5 **** years ago. What this country needed in 2008 was a uniter and we got the ultimate divider instead (and I'm not saying McCain would have done any better, and may have even done worse)...we needed a Reagan-esque uniter (from a morale standpoint, not policies necessarily), but THAT guy can't get elected in the current political environment. Instead we got a bitter divider who has divided this country along race, geographic, political and socio-economic lines like nobody in my lifetime. They're frustrated about it because the president and congress can't pull their collective heads out of their asses long enough to do what's RIGHT.
Az, your situation is a pretty good example of a smaller organization where everyone from the CEO on down has skin in the game and has made sacrifices. If you took your example and multiplied it by 1000 to make it a larger publicly traded corporation, you would have 10,500 out of the original 18,500 people who still have a job. The difference would be that 10,000+ of those people would be busting their ass doing the work of 1.5-2 people to make up for the lost employees and making less real money while doing it while a small number of executives used those layoffs to demonstrate that they had cut expenses to improve the company's short-term stock price and gotten 6-figure bonuses as a result. Those 10,000+ people are both grateful to have a job and frustrated at being taken advantage of. I think there are more than a few people in that situation and the numbers are growing.

I don't think it's the end of the middle class in America but it's a disturbing trend and one that bears watching. If it continues when the economy rebounds, the middle class will either shrink or look for alternatives. i.e. If I'm going to make less working my ass off, I might as well find an organization like yours or be my own boss.

I also agree on the failure of leadership but would argue that the division started in the early 2000's and continues through this day. I think McCain would have been as bad as O'Bama but that the Romney who was Gov of Mass, Bain Capital & SLC Olympics might have been able to fix it. Unfortunately that Romney couldn't get his party's nomination and had to run further to the right so we never really knew which Romney was running in 2012 and that killed his chances in the general election.
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm

MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qult qonspiracy theories since 2015.

It will probably be difficult for MAQA yahoos to overcome the Qult programming but they should give being rational & reasonable a try.

Thank you for your attention to this matter - UNI88
houndawg
Level5
Level5
Posts: 25096
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:14 pm
I am a fan of: SIU
A.K.A.: houndawg
Location: Egypt

Re: No Billionaires

Post by houndawg »

JohnStOnge wrote:I think we need to find out what "real wages." Means. One thing I've noticed is that those trying to argue the case that the middle class has suffered do not argue in terms of "income." They argue in terms of "wages" or "real wages." So what do they mean? Do they mean the hourly wage earned by hourly wage workers? What?

If it's something like "hourly wages" that could be due to a change in the nature of the workforce. There may be fewer hourly wage jobs and among those hourly wage jobs maybe some of the higher hourly wage jobs were eliminated. But they could have been more than compensated for by other jobs and/or professions that are not hourly wage endeavors.

Take my wife for instance. Her "wages" are zero because she's a Realtor. She is middle class. She is self employed so she gets no "wages" at all.

To me, anytime someone makes an argument about how well the middle class is doing in terms of anything other than "income" our antennae should go up. I think that if they COULD make an argument in terms of "income," they would. But they can't because, over time, middle class incomes have generally risen substantially. I strongly suspect that the use of terminology like "real wages" represents intentional deception. I suspect they started off wanting to show something and when the obvious metric (income) didn't support what they wanted to do they created a metric that would.
It means that you can arrange numbers until they prove the sun comes up in the west. :coffee:

What it means to me is that 50 years ago it was a rare household with two working parents. You can masturbate mathematically for as long as you want to and sing us a never-ending statistical lullaby but you can't change that.
You matter. Unless you multiply yourself by c squared. Then you energy.


"I really love America. I just don't know how to get there anymore."John Prine
User avatar
JohnStOnge
Egalitarian
Egalitarian
Posts: 20316
Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2010 5:47 pm
I am a fan of: McNeese State
A.K.A.: JohnStOnge

Re: No Billionaires

Post by JohnStOnge »

ohn I can't speak for anyone else but I'm not trying to be deceptive.
I didn't think you were trying to be deceptive nor do I think anybody else on this board was. Didn't intend to be interpreted as saying that. I'm talking about whoever did the underlying analysis and ended up reporting that "wages" have declined. Whoever decided to look for something other than "income" to look at. To me it smacks of starting off with an opinion, not finding it supported by a look at the obvious metric that one would logically look at, and setting off to look for a metric that will support it.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?

Deep Purple: No One Came
Image
User avatar
JohnStOnge
Egalitarian
Egalitarian
Posts: 20316
Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2010 5:47 pm
I am a fan of: McNeese State
A.K.A.: JohnStOnge

Re: No Billionaires

Post by JohnStOnge »

No. And nice dodge.
I didn't ask any question to answer "No" to. And I didn't dodge anything.

But what do you think I dodged? Let me know and I will be sure to be clear in addressing it directly as well as unambiguously.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?

Deep Purple: No One Came
Image
User avatar
JohnStOnge
Egalitarian
Egalitarian
Posts: 20316
Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2010 5:47 pm
I am a fan of: McNeese State
A.K.A.: JohnStOnge

Re: No Billionaires

Post by JohnStOnge »

Real wages of the middle class were decreasing prior to 2008 because they were given smaller to no raises and required to take on a larger share of their healthcare costs.
Let me give some specifics on what I'm talking about. I'm going to use CBO data tracking each year 1979 through 2005 because I've already got that in a spreadsheet. In inflation adjusted terms, the average after tax income for the middle 60 percent of households in 2005 was 24% higher than it was in 1979. That is a lot. I just don't buy the contention that the buying power of the "typical" middle class household declined between 1979 and 2005. Yes it's 2013 and not 2005 now and we have had an economic disturbance so, if you compared 2013 to 2005, 2005 would look better than now. But I am confident that 2013 would still look a lot better than 1979 and that when you look over the long term the trend has been upward and the typical middle class household is far better off financially now than the "glory days" people who make the "decline of the middle class" argument might refer to.

If you break it down in inflation adjusted terms by each quintile in the middle 60 percent, comparing 1979 to 2005, the second quintile's (20th percentile to 40th percentile) average after tax income was 16% higher in 2005, the third quintile's (40th percentile to 60th percentile) was 21% higher in 2005, and the fourth quintile's (60th percentile to 80th percentile) was 29% higher in 2005.

There's just no way any of those groups were better off in material terms in 1979 than they were in 2005. Plus I was 21 then 22 years old in 1979. I know what it was like. There's just no way. People in the middle class, however that is reasonably defined, have way more "stuff" nowadays and access to way more services. Way nicer houses on average too. Bigger and fancier. It's not even close.

Like I said before if you took a middle class household of today living at the typical material level then put them in a time machine and made them live in the typical material level middle class household of 1979 they'd feel horribly deprived. Absolutely no doubt they'd feel that their standard of living had declined.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?

Deep Purple: No One Came
Image
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 69187
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: No Billionaires

Post by kalm »

JohnStOnge wrote:
No. And nice dodge.
I didn't ask any question to answer "No" to. And I didn't dodge anything.

But what do you think I dodged? Let me know and I will be sure to be clear in addressing it directly as well as unambiguously.
You've gotten better since that post, but I was referring to your mumbo jumbo about "real" wages being used deceptively. Real wages are simply wages adjusted for inflation and they have been stagnant for a long time now. From the BLS:

Image

Of course it's not a perfect measurement and yes, the self employed and other factors are excluded, but it's still a reasonable tool for describing what's happening. And it's not all that surprising considering off shoring, the fall of union membership, etc.

As I've mentioned before, personal debt is also a factor in standard of living:

Image

So again, you can certainly make the argument that the standard of living has gone up, but it's not necessarily because real wages have risen. Also as I've previously mentioned, the costs of the really important things like education and healthcare have shot through the roof. As of a couple of years ago, medical bills were the #1 cause of bankruptcy.

Like it or not, financial security is a big issue for the middle class.
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
89Hen
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 39283
Joined: Tue Jul 17, 2007 1:13 pm
I am a fan of: High Horses
A.K.A.: The Almighty Arbiter

Re: No Billionaires

Post by 89Hen »

Kalm is morphing into Jelly. :suspicious:
Image
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 69187
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: No Billionaires

Post by kalm »

89Hen wrote:Kalm is morphing into Jelly. :suspicious:
:lol:

I thought about that as I was crafting the post.
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
JohnStOnge
Egalitarian
Egalitarian
Posts: 20316
Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2010 5:47 pm
I am a fan of: McNeese State
A.K.A.: JohnStOnge

Re: No Billionaires

Post by JohnStOnge »

Kalm, the graph you showed limited the analysis to real wages of production workers. If that's what people are looking at it kind of explains why "progressives" use that because it's deceptive. When you do that you're not talking about how well the entire population is doing in terms of the distribution of incomes.

The bottom line is that inflation adjusted incomes for the middle class, however that is reasonably defined, have risen substantially over time if you consider a reasonably long period (like, say 1979 to present). If you want to talk about how well people are doing financially you are going to talk about income, not wages. That's if you want to do it honestly. There are sources of income other than wages.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?

Deep Purple: No One Came
Image
Post Reply