Tag Archives | Elon
Rob Weiss, FCS Update
1. Richmond Spiders at Maine Black Bears
My Prediction: Richmond 38 Maine 17
Reality: Richmond 38 Maine 21
Pretty close on this prediction. Richmond didn’t show up for the first half but put the Black Bears away in the second half. No one has had an easy time in Orono this season.
2. Northern Iowa Panthers vs. 5. Southern Illinois Salukis
My Prediction: Northern Iowa 38 Southern Illinois 35
Reality: Southern Illinois 27 Northern Iowa 20
Not the offensive shootout I was predicting. This was a typical game in this series, other than the fact that the visiting team won for the first time in 13 games. The Southern Illinois offense was clicking for most of the game and had great special teams. The Panther defense held their own (1 TD was an INT return, and another was after a special teams fumble on the UNI 7). I look for both of these teams to make the quarterfinals this year.
3. New Hampshire Wildcats at 20. Massachusetts Minutemen
My Prediction: New Hampshire 27 Massachusetts 21
Reality: Massachusetts23 New Hampshire 17
What a crazy game?! New Hampshire drove in the last minute to the UMass 13, but couldn’t score. I expected this game to be close, but not come down to the last play. UMass is fighting their way back into playoff contention. 5 CAA teams looks like a lock at this point. 6 might be a possibility.
4. Montana Grizzlies vs. 21. Eastern Washington Eagles
My Prediction: Montana 35 Eastern Washington 28
Reality: Montana 41 Eastern Washington 34
Not too far off on this one. Montana pulls off the 7 pt win. Montana faces Weber State on Halloween. Should be a shootout.
5. Southern Illinois Salukis at 2. Northern Iowa Panthers
see 2. Northern Iowa Panthers
6. Villanova Wildcats at 19. James Madison Dukes
My Prediction: James Madison 24 Villanova 20
Reality: Villanova 27 James Madison 0
Way off on this one. Apparently James Madison forgot they had a game today. Very suprising with the way they’ve played everyone else this season. Good bounce back for Villanova.
7. William & Mary Tribe BYE
8. Elon Phoenix BYE
9. Central Arkansas Bears vs. 16. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
My Prediction: Central Arkansas 34 Stephen F. Austin 31
Reality: Stephen F. Austin 33 Central Arkansas 30
Close game as predicted, different winner. Stephen F Austin puts themselves in the driver’s seat for the SLC autobid.
10. Appalachian State Mountaineers at Wofford Terriers
My Prediction: Appalachian State 35 Wofford 10
Reality: Appalachian State 44 Wofford 34
Much closer game than predicted. App St stays undefeated in SoCon play.
11. South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. North Dakota State Bison
My Prediction: South Dakota State 35 North Dakota State 17
Reality: South Dakota State 28 North Dakota State 13
North Dakota State continues their slide. Jackrabbits face Northern Iowa in a game that could end the playoff hopes of the loser.
12. Jacksonville State Gamecocks BYE
13. South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. 22. Florida A&M Rattlers
My Prediction: South Carolina State 24 Florida A&M 14
Reality: South Carolina State 35 Florida A&M 20
Bulldogs are on their way to the playoffs. No one else should stand in their way.
14. Weber State Wildcats vs Sacremento State Hornets
My Prediction: Weber State 24 Sacremento State 14
Reality: Weber State 49 Sacremento State 10
The Wildcats win by a much larger margin that I predicted. Montana game is looming large in two weeks. Loss to Montana State could haunt them.
15. McNeese State Cowboys vs. Northwestern State Demons
My Prediction: McNeese 38 Northwestern State 7
Reality: McNeese 51 Northwestern State 23
Much higher scoring than I figured. McNeese stays in the playoff hunt.
16. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at 9. Central Arkansas Bears
see 9. Central Arkansas Bears
17. Cal Poly Mustangs
My Prediction: Southern Utah 24 Cal Poly 21
Reality: Cal Poly 24 Southern Utah 23
Great game, came down to the wire. Cal Poly stays on top of the Great West.
18. Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens at Towson Tigers
My Prediction: Delaware 35 Towson 13
Reality: Delaware 49 Towson 21
Delaware is really clicking now. Fighting for the 5th CAA bid.
19. James Madison Dukes vs. 6. Villanova Wildcats
See 6. Villanova Wildcats
20. Massachusetts Minutemen vs. 3. New Hampshire Wildcats
See 3. New Hampshire Wildcats
21. Eastern Washington Eagles at 4. Montana Grizzlies
See 4. Montana Grizzlies
22. Florida A&M Rattlers at 13. South Carolina State Bulldogs
See 13. South Carolina State Bulldogs
23. Colgate Raiders vs. Georgetown
My Prediction: Colgate 28 Georgetown 3
Reality: Colgate 31 Georgetown 14
A little bit closer than I thought. Same result.
24. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Portland State Vikings
My Prediction: Northern Arizona 38 Portland State 14
Reality: Northern Arizona 44 Portland State 23
The Lumberjacks are in the hunt for a playoff bid. 2nd place in the Big Sky should get them there.
25. Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogs
My Prediction: Samford 24 Furman 17
Reality: Furman 26 Samford 24
Furman keeps their playoff hopes alive.
My record this week: 10-6
On the season: 23-10
Rob Weiss, FCS Update
Crazy day in the Top 25. I had the opportunity to watch four games today. Here’s a rundown on my predictions, how it went down, and what I thought of the outcome.
1. Richmond is idle.
2. Villanova vs. No. 4 William and Mary
My prediction: William and Mary 24 Villanova 21
Reality: Villanova 28 William and Mary 17
William and Mary just didn’t really seem like they were ready to play in the first half. The Tribe’s QB, R.J. Archer had enough problems on his own. He ooked like he lacked the necessary confidence to make the plays he needed to. When it wasn’t the offense stalling, it was the defense making errors. One Villanova drive was extended by an unsportsmanlike conduct flag on a defensive player who felt the need to taunt and injured played who had just been rocked on a hard hit.
The Tribe went into halftime down 21-6, but back ready to play in the 2nd half. It was just too little, too late for the Tribe.
Villanova on the other hand looked like the best team in the country. Easily #1 in my mind. The Villanova offense, led by QB Chris Whitney, was very balanced with148 yards on the ground and 169 through the air. The only issue I saw was the defense. The Wildcats defense gave 472 yards, but managed to keep the Tribe to 17 points. The Tribe’s first drive was ended by an INT in a goalline situation. Had that play gone differently, we may have seen a different game.
Was very thankful for the invention of DVR. Was great to come back and watch this game on Versus.
3. Northern Iowa vs. Indiana State
My prediction: Northern Iowa 52 Indiana State 7
Reality: Northern Iowa 62 Indiana State 7
I called this one pretty closely. Northern Iowa was ahead 42-0 at the half. All of starters on offense andmost of the starters on defense sat out the entire second half. Indiana State had a 12 yard scoring drive after a UNI fumble. Indiana State was held to 101 yards of total offense. Not too much to say about this game. One highlight was UNI FB Matt Strathman, a junior, who led the Panthers with 133 yards on 16 carries.
5. Montana is idle.
6. New Hampshire vs. Towson
My prediction: New Hampshire 28 Towson 10
Reality: New Hampshire 57 Towson 7
Man, I was a little short on New Hampshire scoring. The Wildcats beat my prediction in the 1st quarter. The Wildcats were without junior QB R.J. Toman, but still managed to put an old fashioned whopping on the Tigers. The offense was assisted by a safety, a TD on the ensuing kick return, and 2 INTs returned for a TD.
7. James Madison vs. Hofstra
My Prediction: James Madison 38 Hofstra 7
Reality: Hofstra 24 James Madison 17
Wow. This game threw me for a loop. I couldn’t believe it as I checked the game throughout the afternoon. I thought ESPN had gotten it wrong like they do at times. Although this game was effected by weather(lightning delay in the first half), good teams find ways to win games.
Hofstra lead 21-10 at the half, and neither team could muster much offense in the 2nd half. This is James Madison’s first lost since falling to Maryland in OT.
8. Southern Illinois vs. Western Illinois
My Prediction: Southern Illinois 31 Western Illinois 14
Reality:Southern Illinois 30 Western Illinois 10
This is one of the games I got to catch a bit of. When I turned the game on at halftime SIU was up 27-10. From watching Western Illinois twice this season, it’s easy for me to say the WIU is not very good. Their starting QB Barr went down, and I watched his back-up pick apart the SIU defense. Unfortunately, a lot of those passes were dropped by WRs. I mean, he hit them right in the hands. It was sad really. WIU does not have a defense, so it was hard to gauge SIU. Saluki running back Deji Karim went nuts tonight. 157 yards rushing on 18 carries with 282 all purpose yards. The Saluki’s first big test of the season comes against Northern Iowa on 10/17 in a game that as of late has decided the Valley autobid.
9. McNeese St is idle
10. Appalachian State vs. The Citadel
My prediction: Appalachian State 42 The Citadel 24
Reality: Appalachian State 30 The Citadel 27 OT
I was a little off on this game. Barely got the outcome right. It was a hard fought game, back and forth all day, but when it came to the end, The Citadel just couldn’t finish what they started. After taking a 27-20 lead with 5:18 remaining, the Bulldog defense gave up the game tying score on just 2 plays, the 2nd of which was a 74 yard TD strike from Armanti Edwards to Brian Quick. Each team had the ball one more time in regulation, but couldn’t score. In overtime, The Citadel had the ball first, and after 3 plays attempted a 37 yard FG on 4th and 5. A bad snap was eventually placed and the kick sailed right. Appalachian State would connect on a 29 yard FG to win.
11. Elon vs. No. 21 Furman
My Prediction: Elon 28 Furman 24
Reality: Elon 19 Furman 12
I was right when I assumed we were in for a good SoCon battle in this game. The game was a low scoring, back and forth, affair all afternoon. Elon kicked a FG with 2 seconds left to take the lead 13-12. Furman fumbled the ensuing kickoff and Elon recovered to make it a 19-12 final.
12. Central Arkansas vs Missouri S&T
My prediction: Central Arkansas 52 Missouri S&T 10
Reality: Central Arkansas 45 Missouri S&T 10
I was close on this one. UCA pulls out the sub D-I win.
13. Weber St. vs. Montana State
My Prediction: Weber State 31 Montana State 14
Reality: Montana State 26 Weber State 21
It was a last play heart breaker today in Ogden, UT. Weber State had the ball on the Montana State 1 yard line with 20 seconds left. 4th and goal. The Bobcat defense stopped a Wildcat formation option play, and that was the game.
I can’t decide if I’m overestimating Weber State, or underestimating Montana State. I thought Weber State was overrated coming into this game, but I also thought Montana State wasn’t that good.
14. South Dakota State vs. No. 17 Cal Poly
My Prediction: South Dakota State 35 Cal Poly 17
Reality: Cal Poly 21 South Dakota State 14
I forked over the $7 to watch this game online tonight. This was a match up between two teams that I couldn’t figure out. But I’m not sure I learned much of anything. The Jackrabbits of SDSU lost their starting QB early in the game. After he was out they brought in a back-up freshman QB and also ran the wildcat formation. Neither team looked that great.
Cal Poly took a 21-14 lead with about 2 minutes left in the game when the Jackrabbits fumbles into their own endzone. On the following drive the Cal Poly defense sealed the win with an interception.
So are both teams for real? Neither of them? I’m not positive. My evaluation says they both fall somewhere between 17-25 in the poll.
15. Massachusetts is idle.
16. South Carolina State vs. South Carolina
My prediction: South Carolina 52 South Carolina State 14
Reality: South Carolina 38 South Carolina State 14
Not a bad showing by S.C. State, but this was their only shot at a quality out of conference win. I was pretty close on this one.
18. Eastern Washington vs. Idaho State
My prediction: Eastern Washington 27 Idaho State 7
Reality: Eastern Washington 38 Idaho State 3
A little off on the score, but it was the same idea.
Idaho State just looks terrible this year. They are winless on the season and have lost 20 out of their last 21 games.
Taiwan Jones of EWU set a Holt Arena and EWU record with a 96 yard touchdown run.
Idaho State fumbled six times, losing three of them.
You get the idea….
19. Eastern Kentucky vs. No. 24 Eastern Illinois
My prediction: Eastern Kentucky 35 Eastern Illinois 10
Reality: Eastern Kentucky 36 Eastern Illinois 31
EIU played this much closer than I expected. The Panthers, led by Iowa-transfer QB Jake Christensen, came up just short. EKU’s Jeremy Caldwell forced a fumble at midfield with under 10 seconds left.
With Jacksonville State ineligible for the playoffs, I viewed this as the autobid for the OVC. EKU improves to 3-0 in the Ohio Valley.
20. Texas State vs. Southern Utah
My prediction: Southern Utah 24 Texas State 14
Reality: Southern Utah 38 Texas State 16
This was the game I got the most comments on. Everyone said I was crazy for thinking Texas State would only score 14. If anything, I was crazy for shorting the Southern Utah offense. The Thunderbird offense put up 31 points. The other 7? A 99 yard fumble return for a TD. Maybe I should thank SUU’s junior CB Akeem Anifowoshe for keeping the Bobcats out of the end zone.
22. Holy Cross vs. Northeastern
My prediction: Holy Cross 31 Northeastern 7
Reality: Holy Cross 42 Northeastern 21
This game was over even sooner than I thought. Holy Cross led 21-0 at the end of the 1st quarter. Only suprise was Holy Cross allowing Northeastern to score 14 in the 4th quarter. But hey, you gotta throw people a bone sometimes.
23. Jacksonville State vs. Tennessee Martin
My prediction: Jacksonville State 21 Tennessee Martin 10
Reality: Jacksonville State 52 Tennessee Martin 7
Holy smokes, Jax State is good this year! Too bad they won’t be playing Thanksgiving weekend. JSU is one of a few schools ineligible for the playoffs this year. Unfortunately the NCAA dropped a ban on them after poor historical performance in the APRs.
JSU defensive back had 3 INTs and returned 2 for TDs in the first nine minutes. This game was over quick.
25. Delaware vs. Maine
My prediction: Delaware 24 Maine 17
Reality: Delaware 27 Maine 17
This was a great pick. If only Delaware had missed their last FG.
Delaware had a rough 2008, and 2009 hasn’t been much better. The Blue Hens lost to reigning national champion, Richmond by one, and then the next week lost another close one to William and Mary. This win gets them back on the road to where they want to go.
Penn State transfer QB Pat Devlin threw for 329 yards and 1 TD in the Delaware win.
My record this week: 13-4
On the season: 13-4
Polls: Who can you trust?
Rob Weiss, FCS Update: The 2009 season is off to a great start. The debate over who is the best team in the country is heating up more and more each week. Between the 3 major polls (AGS, Coaches, and TSN) there are 6 different teams with first place votes. While Richmond is the consensus [...]
2012 CS Top 25 Poll
Week 6 | 10/8/2012
1. North Dakota State Bison
2. Old Dominion Monarchs
3. Montana State Bobcats
4. Wofford Terriers
5. Eastern Washington Eagles
6. James Madison Dukes
7. Georgia Southern Eagles
8. Youngstown State Penguins
9. Stony Brook Seawolves
10. Cal Poly Mustangs
11. Sam Houston State Bearkats
12. Appalachian State Mountaineers
13. New Hampshire Wildcats
14. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
15. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
16. Albany Great Danes
17. Central Arkansas Bears
18. South Dakota State Jackrabbits
19. Towson Tigers
20. Illinois State Redbirds
21. McNeese State Cowboys
22. Tennessee State Tigers
23. Harvard Crimson
24. Samford Bulldogs
25. Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Others receiving votes:
The Citadel Bulldogs, Sacramento State Hornets, Northern Iowa Panthers, Richmond Spiders, Montana Grizzlies, Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens, Indiana State Sycamores, Drake Bulldogs, Jacksonville State Gamecocks, Maine Black Bears, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, Alabama A&M Bulldogs
2012 TSN Top 25 Poll
Week 3 |9/17/2012 | (1st place votes)
1. North Dakota State Bison (140)
2. Montana State Bobcats (9)
3. Sam Houston State Bearkats (8)
4. Youngstown State Penguins (7)
5. Old Dominion Monarchs
6. James Madison Dukes
7. Wofford Terriers (1)
8. Northern Iowa Panthers
9. Eastern Washington Eagles
10. The Citadel Bulldogs
11. Georgia Southern Eagles
12. Delaware Blue Hens
13. Towson Tigers
14. Montana Grizzlies
15. Illinois State Redbirds
16. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
17. Appalachian State Mountaineers
18. New Hampshire Wildcats
19. McNeese State Cowboys
20. Stony Brook Seawolves
21. Eastern Kentucky Colonels
22. Indiana State Sycamores
23. Maine Black Bears
24. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
25. Central Arkansas Bears
Others receiving votes(points):
Cal Poly 288, Stephen F. Austin 261, Harvard 174, Sacramento State 154, Northern Arizona 149, Samford 99, Bethune-Cookman 88, UT Martin 88, Tennessee State 84, North Dakota 76, South Dakota State 31, Albany 29, Lafayette 29, Eastern Illinois 29, Norfolk State 26, Richmond 19, Tennessee Tech 18, Alabama A&M 16, Alabama State 11, South Carolina State 10, Villanova 10, Howard 4, Florida A&M 4, Yale 3, Southern Utah 3, Jacksonville 3, Western Illinois 1, Brown 1, Chattanooga 1
2012 Coaches Top 25 Poll
Week 3 | 9/17/2012 | (1st place votes)
1. North Dakota State (25)
2. Montana State (1)
T-3. Sam Houston State
T-3. Youngstown State
5. Old Dominion
7. James Madison
8. Northern Iowa
9. Eastern Washington
10. Georgia Southern
14. The Citadel
15. Illinois State
17. McNeese State
18. Appalachian State
19. New Hampshire
20. Stony Brook
21. Central Arkansas
23. Eastern Kentucky
25. Indiana State
Others receiving votes (points in parentheses):
Others Receiving Votes: Jacksonville State (33), Cal Poly (25), Stephen F. Austin (21), Samford (19), Bethune-Cookman (17), Norfolk State (15), North Dakota (14), Sacramento State (13), Tennessee State (13), Northern Arizona (10), Alabama A&M (8), Albany (5), Lafayette (4), Florida A&M (1), South Dakota State (1), Tennessee Tech (1).