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HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2021 2:46 pm
by SuperHornet
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2021 7:32 am
by UNI88
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Thu Nov 04, 2021 7:41 am
by 89Hen
This may be one of the easiest years to predict the 24 teams I can remember. Without looking at the link, here are the teams still in the hunt...
Sam Houston
EKU
Montana State
Sac State
EWU
UCD
Montana
Kennesaw/Monmouth winner
JMU
W&M
Villanova
NDSU
SIU
South Dakota State
UNI
Missou State *
South Dakota *
NEC winner (too complicated to figure out who owns tiebreaker)
UT Martin
Patriot winner
Pioneer winner
ETSU
Mercer
VMI
SELA
Incarnate Word
That's 26 and Missouri State and South Dakota could both find themselves out with who they have left (SIU/UNI and SDSU/NDSU). I don't see anyone off this list making it.
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Thu Nov 11, 2021 1:25 pm
by 89Hen
SFA may have replaced EKU with their win last week and Chatty still has a chance if they beat Mercer this week.
Here's one to ponder... Could a 9-2 FAMU make the field? They would not be playing in the SWAC Championship (JSU and PVAM).
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Fri Nov 12, 2021 8:42 am
by SuperHornet
That's an interesting idea, 89. FAMU has a history of making noise in the playoffs, don't they? I mean, over and above all other HBCUs....
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Fri Nov 12, 2021 9:05 am
by 89Hen
SuperHornet wrote: ↑Fri Nov 12, 2021 8:42 am
That's an interesting idea, 89. FAMU has a history of making noise in the playoffs, don't they? I mean, over and above all other HBCUs....
I believe they were the last HBCU to win a playoff game.
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 7:33 am
by 89Hen
So not much has changed. UNI is out. SFA has replaced EKU. URI in the hunt. Missouri State and USD solidified their positions. VMI and Chatty on the bubble. Davidson chokes on closing out the Pioneer.
Looking more like the 24:
Sam Houston
SFA
Montana State
Sac State
EWU
UCD
Montana
Kennesaw/Monmouth winner
JMU
W&M or URI
Villanova
NDSU
SIU
South Dakota State
Missou State
South Dakota
NEC winner
UT Martin
Patriot winner
Pioneer winner
ETSU
Mercer
SELA
Incarnate Word
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 7:49 am
by Mvemjsunpx
89Hen wrote: ↑Fri Nov 12, 2021 9:05 am
SuperHornet wrote: ↑Fri Nov 12, 2021 8:42 am
That's an interesting idea, 89. FAMU has a history of making noise in the playoffs, don't they? I mean, over and above all other HBCUs....
I believe they were the last HBCU to win a playoff game.
Last team from an HBCU conference. Tennessee State won a first-round game in 2013.
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 8:31 am
by AZGrizFan
Weber shitting the bed certainly helped clarify the BSC position…
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 10:06 am
by BDKJMU
28 teams listed below for the 24 team Playoff Field. Looks like last 2 spots will come down to 6 teams in must win games: 3rd & 4th CAA, 3rd & 4th So-Con, SFA, and Monmouth.
* = must win
-Mt St
-Sac St
-EWU
-MT
-UCD
-NDSU
-SDSU
-USD
-SIU
-MO St
-JMU
-VU
-*URI (7-3/4-3) (3-7 UNH)
-*W&M (6-4/4-3) (@ 5-5 UR)
-ETSU
-Mercer
-*VMI (6-4/4-3) (3-7 WCU) (Owns head to head over UTC)
-*UTC (6-4/4-3) (3-7 Citadel)
-KSU
-*Monmouth (7-3/6-0) (@ KSU)
-SELA
-UIW
-SHSU
-*SFA (7-3/3-2) (@ 1-8 Lamar)
-UTM
-Holy Cross
-SHU
-Davidson
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 10:13 am
by BDKJMU
Think it comes down to 11 teams for seeds. Big Sky will get 5 in, all of them have a chance at a seed, but 4 of them play each other next weekend. They probably get 3 seeded- remember a couple years ago they had 4 seeded. Also NDSU, KSU, and ETSU all face ranked teams. Really impssible to figure out how the seeding is going to go, esp 5-8.
-MT St (9-1/7-0) (@ MT)
-Sac St (8-2/7-0) (@ UCD)
-EWU (8-2/5-2) (@ PSU (5-5))
-MT (8-2/5-2) (Mt St)
-UCD (8-2/5-2) (Sac St)
-JMU (9-1/6-1) (TU (4-6/3-4))
-VU (8-2/6-1) (@ UD (5-5/3-4))
-SHSU (9-0/5-0) (@ Abileme Christian (4-5))
-NDSU (9-1/6-1) (S Dakota 7-3/5-2)
-KSU (9-1/6-0) (Monmouth 7–3/6-0)
-ETSU (9-1/6-1) (Mercer 7-2/6-1)
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 10:27 am
by kalm
BDKJMU wrote: ↑Sun Nov 14, 2021 10:13 am
Think it comes down to 11 teams for seeds. Big Sky will get 5 in, all of them have a chance at a seed, but 4 of them play each other next weekend. They probably get 3 seeded- remember a couple years ago they had 4 seeded. Also NDSU, KSU, and ETSU all face ranked teams. Really impssible to figure out how the seeding is going to go, esp 5-8.
-MT St (9-1/7-0) (@ MT)
-Sac St (8-2/7-0) (@ UCD)
-EWU (8-2/5-2) (@ PSU (5-5))
-MT (8-2/5-2) (Mt St)
-UCD (8-2/5-2) (Sac St)
-JMU (9-1/6-1) (TU (4-6/3-4))
-VU (8-2/6-1) (@ UD (5-5/3-4))
-SHSU (9-0/5-0) (@ Abileme Christian (4-5))
-NDSU (9-1/6-1) (S Dakota 7-3/5-2)
-KSU (9-1/6-0) (Monmouth 7–3/6-0)
-ETSU (9-1/6-1) (Mercer 7-2/6-1)
If Davis, Montana, and EWU win you’ll have 5 BSC teams at 9-2.
Sans upsets elsewhere, I agree that 3 will get seeded.
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 3:32 pm
by SDHornet
kalm wrote: ↑Sun Nov 14, 2021 10:27 am
BDKJMU wrote: ↑Sun Nov 14, 2021 10:13 am
Think it comes down to 11 teams for seeds. Big Sky will get 5 in, all of them have a chance at a seed, but 4 of them play each other next weekend. They probably get 3 seeded- remember a couple years ago they had 4 seeded. Also NDSU, KSU, and ETSU all face ranked teams. Really impssible to figure out how the seeding is going to go, esp 5-8.
-MT St (9-1/7-0) (@ MT)
-Sac St (8-2/7-0) (@ UCD)
-EWU (8-2/5-2) (@ PSU (5-5))
-MT (8-2/5-2) (Mt St)
-UCD (8-2/5-2) (Sac St)
-JMU (9-1/6-1) (TU (4-6/3-4))
-VU (8-2/6-1) (@ UD (5-5/3-4))
-SHSU (9-0/5-0) (@ Abileme Christian (4-5))
-NDSU (9-1/6-1) (S Dakota 7-3/5-2)
-KSU (9-1/6-0) (Monmouth 7–3/6-0)
-ETSU (9-1/6-1) (Mercer 7-2/6-1)
If Davis, Montana, and EWU win you’ll have 5 BSC teams at 9-2.
Sans upsets elsewhere, I agree that 3 will get seeded.
I think the winners of the MSU/UM and Sac/dungpile games will get seeds. EWU probably gets a seed if they beat PSU.
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 4:33 pm
by kalm
SDHornet wrote: ↑Sun Nov 14, 2021 3:32 pm
kalm wrote: ↑Sun Nov 14, 2021 10:27 am
If Davis, Montana, and EWU win you’ll have 5 BSC teams at 9-2.
Sans upsets elsewhere, I agree that 3 will get seeded.
I think the winners of the MSU/UM and Sac/dungpile games will get seeds. EWU probably gets a seed if they beat PSU.
H2H is an important metric. They won’t take UM without EWU.
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Sun Nov 14, 2021 5:42 pm
by BDKJMU
BDKJMU wrote: ↑Sun Nov 14, 2021 10:06 am
28 teams listed below for the 24 team Playoff Field. Looks like last 2 spots will come down to 6 teams in must win games: 3rd & 4th CAA, 3rd & 4th So-Con, SFA, and Monmouth.
* = must win
-Mt St
-Sac St
-EWU
-MT
-UCD
-NDSU
-SDSU
-USD
-SIU
-MO St
-JMU
-VU
-*URI (7-3/4-3) (3-7 UNH)
-*W&M (6-4/4-3) (@ 5-5 UR)
-ETSU
-Mercer
-*VMI (6-4/4-3) (3-7 WCU) (Owns head to head over UTC)
-*UTC (6-4/4-3) (3-7 Citadel)
-KSU
-*Monmouth (7-3/6-0) (@ KSU)
-SELA
-UIW
-SHSU
-*SFA (7-3/3-2) (@ 1-8 Lamar)
-UTM
-Holy Cross
-SHU
-Davidson
I posted the before I saw 89's post and had missed SFA. Edited to add them. So yeah looks like if favorites hold serve, Monmouth, VMI, UTC, an 4th CAA won't get in.
Question is if W&M and URI both win Sat, how do you pick the 3rd CAA. An 8-3/5-3 URI with a win over a crap UMass, but got blown out by VU, or a 7-4/5-3 W&M that upset VU? (URI & W&M didn’t play each other).
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2021 6:09 am
by Gil Dobie
BDKJMU wrote: ↑Sun Nov 14, 2021 5:42 pm
BDKJMU wrote: ↑Sun Nov 14, 2021 10:06 am
28 teams listed below for the 24 team Playoff Field. Looks like last 2 spots will come down to 6 teams in must win games: 3rd & 4th CAA, 3rd & 4th So-Con, SFA, and Monmouth.
* = must win
-Mt St
-Sac St
-EWU
-MT
-UCD
-NDSU
-SDSU
-USD
-SIU
-MO St
-JMU
-VU
-*URI (7-3/4-3) (3-7 UNH)
-*W&M (6-4/4-3) (@ 5-5 UR)
-ETSU
-Mercer
-*VMI (6-4/4-3) (3-7 WCU) (Owns head to head over UTC)
-*UTC (6-4/4-3) (3-7 Citadel)
-KSU
-*Monmouth (7-3/6-0) (@ KSU)
-SELA
-UIW
-SHSU
-*SFA (7-3/3-2) (@ 1-8 Lamar)
-UTM
-Holy Cross
-SHU
-Davidson
I posted the before I saw 89's post and had missed SFA. Edited to add them. So yeah looks like if favorites hold serve, Monmouth, VMI, UTC, an 4th CAA won't get in.
Question is if W&M and URI both win Sat, how do you pick the 3rd CAA. An 8-3/5-3 URI with a win over a crap UMass, but got blown out by VU, or a 7-4/5-3 W&M that upset VU? (URI & W&M didn’t play each other).
There is a team not on this list, that is 3-3 against teams on this list, and may get it's 6th win on Saturday.
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2021 9:01 am
by Gil Dobie
Does a 9-2 FAMU get a look?
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2021 9:07 am
by 89Hen
Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 6:09 am
There is a team not on this list, that is 3-3 against teams on this list, and may get it's 6th win on Saturday.
6 games against playoff teams... 3 wins is decent, but they had their chance.
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2021 9:24 am
by UNI88
89Hen wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 9:07 am
Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 6:09 am
There is a team not on this list, that is 3-3 against teams on this list, and may get it's 6th win on Saturday.
6 games against playoff teams... 3 wins is decent, but they had their chance.

Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2021 10:03 am
by Gil Dobie
UNI88 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 9:24 am
89Hen wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 9:07 am
6 games against playoff teams... 3 wins is decent, but they had their chance.
6-4 against FCS? If SDSU loses, they would be 6-4 against Division I
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2021 11:02 am
by kalm
Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 10:03 am
UNI88 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 9:24 am
6-4 against FCS? If SDSU loses, they would be 6-4 against FCS
Mercer is similar. 7-3 (10 game schedule) and only 6 FCS wins. They’re out with a loss at ETSU.
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2021 11:33 am
by BDKJMU
kalm wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 11:02 am
Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 10:03 am
6-4 against FCS? If SDSU loses, they would be 6-4 against FCS
Mercer is similar. 7-3 (10 game schedule) and only 6 FCS wins. They’re out with a loss at ETSU.
Well if they lost to ETSU they would be 6-2 vs FCS. If you’re not counting the Div II wins, then you’re not counting the FBS losses. I think Mercer probably gets in as a 2nd So-Con with a loss to ETSU..
https://www.espn.com/college-football/t ... rcer-bears
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Mon Nov 15, 2021 12:05 pm
by kalm
BDKJMU wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 11:33 am
kalm wrote: ↑Mon Nov 15, 2021 11:02 am
Mercer is similar. 7-3 (10 game schedule) and only 6 FCS wins. They’re out with a loss at ETSU.
Well if they lost to ETSU they would be 6-2 vs FCS. If you’re not counting the Div II wins, then you’re not counting the FBS losses. I think Mercer probably gets in as a 2nd So-Con with a loss to ETSU..
https://www.espn.com/college-football/t ... rcer-bears
Fair enough.
Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Tue Nov 16, 2021 5:06 pm
by SuperHornet
Newest Bracketology, 16 NOV 21:

Re: HERO Playoff Bracketology
Posted: Tue Nov 16, 2021 5:33 pm
by Gil Dobie
Rhody makes their bracket.