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My estimate of the # of scalps this year - 5-15

Links to possible scalp lists on the web:
https://athlonsports.com/college-footba ... psets-2019
https://athlonsports.com/college-footba ... psets-2019
https://pypeline.co/potential-fcs-upset ... -for-2019/

Discuss.

El Cid over GT could be a possibility. We are reloaded and appear to have our QB situation sorted out

GT is transitioning away from the option to a more conventional offense (with 3 classes of option players) and they may struggle some


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bonarae wrote:My estimate of the # of scalps this year - 5-15

Links to possible scalp lists on the web:
https://athlonsports.com/college-footba ... psets-2019
https://athlonsports.com/college-footba ... psets-2019
https://pypeline.co/potential-fcs-upset ... -for-2019/

Discuss.

BTW that last article calls the 2015 win over USC one of the biggest but I would argue that El Cid over Arkansas in 1992 was bigger. Ark was ranked #24 preseason by SI


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James Madison at West Virginia (Aug. 31)
This is not the same West Virginia team as earlier this decade and the Mountaineers have to rebuild their offense, including the loss of quarterback Will Grier, under new head coach Troy Brown. Curt Cignetti will be making his JMU coaching debut, and his team returns 12 of 14 all-conference selections plus get back key cornerback Rashad Robinson from injury.

JMU’s task got a little harder. Were slated to have 10 starters each side of ball, but are already down 2 on the offensive side for this game- had a rising rSr returning starter OL (maybe the 4th best on the team), leave the team sometime after Spring ball, and the best returning WR, All CAA Riley Stapleton is suspended for the 1st 3 games. Do have a couple of 3 star WR transfers, including one who started 7 games for Penn State last year.

Course last year were facing an NC State team that went 9-4 each of the last 2 seasons, and I found out the morning of the game JMU was going to be without All World CB Rashard Robinson (better than Moreland) due to season ending turf toe, and an All CAA DE was suspended, on top of a couple other DBs that were out. 7th rd pick CB Jimmye Moreland was the only starter back on defense for that game who’d started in the NC game vs NDSU 8 months prior. NC State had multiple draft picks on offense (QB, WR, OL) and I thought JMU was going to get destroyed with NC State putting up 40-50. Ended up being 17-13 until late 4th qtr when NC State scored after a long busted coverage play on JMU’s young DBs.

I think JMU has a good shot. I’ll probably be in the minority on the JMU board not predicting a win over the couch burners, but a close loss (depending on summer camp reports for both teams and the weather). Already have purple koolaid drinkers predicting JMU by 2 scores..

Delaware is hosting FBS NDSU, but I don't think it'll be competitive.

I may well be the only one predicting this, but you heard it here first.

Fresneck will get stung by my Hornets.

Sac 42, Fresneck 31....

They missed WIU over Co State U. Still a chance the odds makers give WIU far more points than they deserve.

Central Arkansas over Western Kentucky

JBB wrote:They missed WIU over Co State U. Still a chance the odds makers give WIU far more points than they deserve.

WIU had a tough loss to North Alabama yesterday. North Alabama isn't eligible for polls or playoffs yet, but they will be good.

Week 1: Could have missed 1 or 2..

vs P5
Maryland 79, Howard 0
Penn St 79, Idaho 7
Baylor 56, SFA 17
TX Tech 45, MT St 10
K State 49, Nichols 14
Washington 47, EWU 14
TCU 32, Ark Pine Bluff 7
Cal 27, UCD 13
Ark 20, Portland St 13
Kansas 24, IN St 17
Minnesota 28, SDSU 21
WVU 20, JMU 13
Iowa St 29, UNI 26 (3 OT)
0-13

vs G5
UCF 62, FAMU 0
Temple 56, Bucknell 12
Bowling Green 46, Morgan St 3
AF 48, Colgate 7
Marshall 56, VMI 17
Navy 45, Holy Cross 7
App St 42, ETSU 7
W Mich 48, Monmouth 14
UNLV 56, SUU 23
Troy 43, Campbell 14
UTSA 35, Incarnate Word 7
S Miss 38, Alcorn St 10
Buffalo 38, Robert Morris 10
UL Monroe 31, Grambling 9
Ohio 41, URI 20
UNCC 49, GWebb 28
N TX 51, Abilene Christian 31
C Mich 38, Albany 21
SJSU 35, N Colorado 18
NIU 24, ILSU 10
N Mex 39, SHSU 31
San Diego St 6, Weber St 0
UAB 24, Alabama St 19
UCONN 24, Wagner 21
ODUH 24, Norfolk St 21
UTEP 36, Houston Baptist 34
UCA 35, WKU 28
1-26

Overall: 1-39

^ The count is correct.

Here are the week 2 games:

Friday
W&M at Virginia
Sacramento State at Sun Devils

Saturday
Kennesaw State at Kent State
Southern U at Memphis
Charleston Southern at Columbia Gamecocks (USC)
WCU at NC State
Fordham at Ball State
Tennessee Tech at Miami Redhawks
Richmond at BC
EIU at Hoosiers
Grambling at Louisiana Tech
SIU at UMass
WIU at Colorado State
Murray State at UGA
UNC at Wazzu
NCA&T at Duke
Gardner-Webb at ECU
Maine at Georgia Southern
Furman at Georgia State
EKU at Louisville
Tennessee State at MTSU
Yotes at Sooners
McNeese at Oklahoma State
Jackson State at South Alabama
UTM at Florida
Stony Brook at Utah State
Prairie View at Houston
NAU at Arizona Wildcats

I can't see more than 3 scalps to happen this coming week. It can be said to be "lucky" if more than 3 scalps will happen.

The FCS teams playing at FBS seem to have been plagued by game awareness issues leading to inconsistencies and losses. (See SDSU/Goofies and UNI/Cyclones)

bonarae wrote:I can't see more than 3 scalps to happen this coming week.

I'll take the under.

BDKJMU wrote:Week 1: Could have missed 1 or 2..

vs P5
Maryland 79, Howard 0
Penn St 79, Idaho 7
Baylor 56, SFA 17
TX Tech 45, MT St 10
K State 49, Nichols 14
Washington 47, EWU 14
TCU 32, Ark Pine Bluff 7
Cal 27, UCD 13
Ark 20, Portland St 13
Kansas 24, IN St 17
Minnesota 28, SDSU 21
WVU 20, JMU 13
Iowa St 29, UNI 26 (3 OT)
0-13

vs G5
UCF 62, FAMU 0
Temple 56, Bucknell 12
Bowling Green 46, Morgan St 3
AF 48, Colgate 7
Marshall 56, VMI 17
Navy 45, Holy Cross 7
App St 42, ETSU 7
W Mich 48, Monmouth 14
UNLV 56, SUU 23
Troy 43, Campbell 14
UTSA 35, Incarnate Word 7
S Miss 38, Alcorn St 10
Buffalo 38, Robert Morris 10
UL Monroe 31, Grambling 9
Ohio 41, URI 20
UNCC 49, GWebb 28
N TX 51, Abilene Christian 31
C Mich 38, Albany 21
SJSU 35, N Colorado 18
NIU 24, ILSU 10
N Mex 39, SHSU 31
San Diego St 6, Weber St 0
UAB 24, Alabama St 19
UCONN 24, Wagner 21
ODUH 24, Norfolk St 21
UTEP 36, Houston Baptist 34
UCA 35, WKU 28
1-26

Overall: 1-39

Yikes, that's terrible. Was so counting on Incarnate Word to carry the banner.

bonarae wrote:^ The count is correct.

Here are the week 2 games:

Friday
W&M at Virginia
Sacramento State at Sun Devils

Saturday
Kennesaw State at Kent State
Southern U at Memphis
Charleston Southern at Columbia Gamecocks (USC)
WCU at NC State
Fordham at Ball State
Tennessee Tech at Miami Redhawks
Richmond at BC
EIU at Hoosiers
Grambling at Louisiana Tech
SIU at UMass
WIU at Colorado State
Murray State at UGA
UNC at Wazzu
NCA&T at Duke
Gardner-Webb at ECU
Maine at Georgia Southern
Furman at Georgia State
EKU at Louisville
Tennessee State at MTSU
Yotes at Sooners
McNeese at Oklahoma State
Jackson State at South Alabama
UTM at Florida
Stony Brook at Utah State
Prairie View at Houston
NAU at Arizona Wildcats

I can't see more than 3 scalps to happen this coming week. It can be said to be "lucky" if more than 3 scalps will happen.

The FCS teams playing at FBS seem to have been plagued by game awareness issues leading to inconsistencies and losses. (See SDSU/Goofies and UNI/Cyclones)

Yep. It turns out the 3 best chances for P5 wins, at least through the 1st 2 weeks, were SDSU/Minnesota, UNI/Iowa St & JMU/WVU. Don’t see any chance for a P5 win this week..
I’ll put the over/under at 2 this week, with 2 coming out of those 1st 5. Only chance for 3 is if have a huge shocker..

KSU @ Kent St (-1.5)
SIU @ Mass (-3.5)
Furman @ GST (-7)
Maine @ GSU (-7)
WIU @ Col St (-11.5)

EKU @ L’Ville (-24.5)
NAU @ AZ (-26.5)
Tenn St @ MTSU (-26.5)
Jackson St @ USA (-27.5)
Fordham @ Ball St (-28)
NC A&T @ Duke (-29.5)
G Webb @ ECU (-29.5)
Gramblibg @ La Tech (-29.5)

SBU @ UT St (-33)
UR @ BC (-33)
Prairie View @ Houston (-33.5)
W&M @ UVA (-35.5)
EIU @ Indiana (-35)
Sacramento @ AZ St (-36)
N Col @ Wa St (-36.5)
S Dakota @ Oklahoma (-37.5)
McNeese @ OK St (-37.5)
Southern @ Memphis (-37.5)
Tenn Tech @ Miami OH (-38)

T Martin @ FL (-41)
WCU @ NC St (-42.5)
Murray St @ UGA (-49.5)

CSU @ USC (no line)

I THINK we have a shot at beating Danny White U., but I'm MUCH more confident that we'll get the "close loss" there that will look good for the committee if we do, indeed, have the breakout season I'm expecting.

I still think we're going to spank Fresneck, though....

In week 2, another FCS scalp (only one again ) to show:

SIU beats UMass 45-20.

Some close calls too:
GS missing QB and C, but still beat Maine 26-18.

bonarae wrote:In week 2, another FCS scalp (only one again ) to show:

SIU beats UMass 45-20.

Some close calls too:
GS missing QB and C, but still beat Maine 26-18.

That's been the theme this year.

Week 2 results (listed from closest to most lopsided)

vs G5
SIU 45, UMass 20
Kent St 26, KSU 23 (OT)
GST 48, Furman 42
Grambling @ La Tech 20, Grambling 14
GSU 26, Maine 18
MTSU 45, Tenn St 26
Prairie View @ Houston 37, Prairie View 17
USA 37, Jackson St 14
Col St 38, WIU 13
Ball St 57, Fordham 29
Memphis 55, Southern 24
Miami (OH) 48, Tenn Tech 17
ECU 48, G Webb 9
UT St 62, SBU 7
1-13

vs P5
Sacramento @ AZ St 19, Sac St 7
AZ 65, NAU 41
UR @ BC 45, UR 13
Duke 45, NC A&T 13
UVA 52, W&M 17
NC St 41, WCU 0
L’Ville 42, EKU 0
OK St 56, McNeese 14
Wa St 59, N Colorado 17
FL 45, UT Martin 0
UGA 63, Murray St 17
Indiana 52, EIU 0
Oklahoma 70, S Dakota 14
USC 72, CSU 10
0-14

Season totals:
vs G5: 2-39
vs P5: 0-27

A few money games left in Week 3:

Chatty at UT Vols (yes, sir, Vols are 0-2 for the first time in almost 40 years)
Furman at VaTech
The Citadel at GT
Norfolk State at Coastal Carolina
Bethune-Cookman at Miami Hurricanes
SE Louisiana at Ole Miss
Cal Poly at Oregon State
Idaho State at Utah Utes
Idaho at Wyoming
S.C. State at USF
UNH at FIU
Weber State at Nevada Reno
Lamar at aTm
Murray State at Toledo
Northwestern State at LSU
Texas Southern at ULL
SEMO at Mizzou
Missouri State at Tulane
Portland State at Boise State
Griz at Ducks

bonarae wrote:In week 2, another FCS scalp (only one again ) to show:

Was pretty surprised you thought there were going to be 3+.

Furman leads Virginia Tech 14-3 with about 5:00 left in the first half.

Halftime

The Citadel 14
Georgia Tech 6

El Cid is holding their own again at GT.


My brother in law is a huge GT fan. If El Cod wins - he’s getting all sorts of Citadel swag for Christmas


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El Cid 21
Tech 14


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I don't see Delaware coming back against NDSU. Chalk another one up for FBS.