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Not looking good.

Interesting. Usually those that start out that high above the tropics end up curling back out to sea before they ever hit land...

AZGrizFan wrote:Interesting. Usually those that start out that high above the tropics end up curling back out to sea before they ever hit land...

Hurricanes Florence, Helene, and Isaac are all Cape Verde storms. In order, they are going to:

1. Hit mainland US in vicinity of Carolinas
2. Turn north to open ocean
3. Stay due west toward Yucatán

So there’s no rule per se. Direction depends on steering forces (high and low pressure systems) ahead of them. Intensity depends on sea surface warmth and any sheering from the upper atmosphere. When there’s a storm traversing warm water that hasn’t been disturbed (upwelling of colder water) recently by another storm and there’s no sheering causing it to disorganize, look the fuck out (Andrew, Hugo, etc)

CCU will now play AT Campbell on Wednesday

dbackjon wrote:CCU will now play AT Campbell on Wednesday

Hey, bitch.. I’ll update everyone On the GOTW


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93henfan wrote:

AZGrizFan wrote:Interesting. Usually those that start out that high above the tropics end up curling back out to sea before they ever hit land...

Hurricanes Florence, Helene, and Isaac are all Cape Verde storms. In order, they are going to:

1. Hit mainland US in vicinity of Carolinas
2. Turn north to open ocean
3. Stay due west toward Yucatán

So there’s no rule per se. Direction depends on steering forces (high and low pressure systems) ahead of them. Intensity depends on sea surface warmth and any sheering from the upper atmosphere. When there’s a storm traversing warm water that hasn’t been disturbed (upwelling of colder water) recently by another storm and there’s no sheering causing it to disorganize, look the fuck out (Andrew, Hugo, etc)

And when there's a high pressure system off the East Coast, like there is today (and there was before Hugo) a hit is very possible.


Btw, storms that start around the area that Florence is at, rarely strike land. I think that's what AZ was referring to. But Flo is fro Africa.


The comparisons between Hugo and Florence's path have already begun to take up air time and ink on the interwebs.

This is what I was talking about, 93. This is the 1995 hurricane season...

Here's another example...more recent...this is 2015...

Really depends on which years you cherry pick.

1996 had a hard-on for the Outer Banks:


2007 had a Yucatan/Caribbean hard-on:


I maintain that there's no predictability beyond the steering patterns. Certain entire years get steered by El Nino/La Nina events as well. When there's little sheer out of the west, you get more 'canes heading deeper west.

Ibanez wrote:

The comparisons between Hugo and Florence's path have already begun to take up air time and ink on the interwebs.

I don't know why - Hugo was way south of where this storm is. Hugo jacked up Puerto Rico before coming north


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CID1990 wrote:

Ibanez wrote:

The comparisons between Hugo and Florence's path have already begun to take up air time and ink on the interwebs.

I don't know why - Hugo was way south of where this storm is. Hugo jacked up Puerto Rico before coming north


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I know. I don’t get it either


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Man, I would NOT want to be headed to the Outer Banks right now....

No worries fools. Good ol' patty boy has your back...HAHAAHA!!!

He explained, citing a passage from the bible, that, like Jesus, the people could command the storm to veer off track. “Put your hand out toward the Atlantic right now, where ever it is,” he said, urging the congregation to join him in prayer.

The preacher loudly delivered his incantation, declaring a “shield of protection” over those in the path of the hurricane.
“In the name of Jesus, you Hurricane Florence, we speak to you in the name of Jesus, and we command the storm to cease its forward motion and go harmlessly into the Atlantic.

“Go up north away from land and veer off in the name of Jesus. We declare in the name of the lord that you shall go no farther, you shall do no damage in this area.”

“In Jesus’ holy name, be out to sea!” he called out, ending the prayer.

After the prayer he reiterated that he believed the hurricane would be dispelled if the people had faith in the prayer. He added that the “shield” had worked against previous hurricanes.

“It’s almost hilarious to see them try,” he said. “They try to get in and they can’t, and then they go north and they turn around, try to come back in. They can’t do it.”

polsongrizz wrote:No worries fools. Good ol' patty boy has your back...HAHAAHA!!!

He explained, citing a passage from the bible, that, like Jesus, the people could command the storm to veer off track. “Put your hand out toward the Atlantic right now, where ever it is,” he said, urging the congregation to join him in prayer.

The preacher loudly delivered his incantation, declaring a “shield of protection” over those in the path of the hurricane.
“In the name of Jesus, you Hurricane Florence, we speak to you in the name of Jesus, and we command the storm to cease its forward motion and go harmlessly into the Atlantic.

“Go up north away from land and veer off in the name of Jesus. We declare in the name of the lord that you shall go no farther, you shall do no damage in this area.”

“In Jesus’ holy name, be out to sea!” he called out, ending the prayer.

After the prayer he reiterated that he believed the hurricane would be dispelled if the people had faith in the prayer. He added that the “shield” had worked against previous hurricanes.

“It’s almost hilarious to see them try,” he said. “They try to get in and they can’t, and then they go north and they turn around, try to come back in. They can’t do it.”

Captain Looneybin

wtf?

Ibanez wrote:wtf?

That would be awesome.

I mean, that would be awful for you guys in the south.

89Hen wrote:

Ibanez wrote:wtf?

That would be awesome.

I mean, that would be awful for you guys in the south.

Earlier the storm was going to skirt the NC coast up to the OBX, then come back down and make landfall between Charleston and MB. Nobody knows what the heck is going on. I'm not sure about GVegas, but Charlotte is being told to expect ~6" of rain and winds between 20-63mph.

I26 is one way out of Charleston, as is 74 out of Wilmington.

here is that other weird model

Ibanez wrote:here is that other weird model

That works too.

You are all screwed

dbackjon wrote:You are all screwed

19 mph? not bad.

My wife just called to say her parents want her to go to their house outside Charleston where it'll be "safer."

No thanks. I'm not driving 3.5 hours on clogged, back roads, just to sit in a storm, only to drive back on Sunday through bad weather. Oh..and there's no guarantee where it'll hit, it could tick further south and strike closer to MB...in that case Charleston will be fucked.

I'm gonna sit in my house, drink my beer, in my underwear and wait for death...I mean the storm.

This afternoon JMU moved their game with Robert Morris from Sat at 6 PM to up to Thur at 7 PM. Looks unnecessary to me.

Meanwhile, this latest forcasted turn to the west would make it so virtually the entire state of NC gets hammered.

At least 20 Div I games were slated to be played this weekend in SC/NC/VA, where all the changes so far have been.

Changed:
-Cambell @ CCU moved to Wed night @ Cambell.
-Robert Morris @ JMU moved to Thur night.
-Ohio @ UVA moved to Nashville.
-*BC @ WF was already scheduled Thur evening; moved up 2 hours.

Postponed:
-Elon @ W&M, no makeup date announced.
-Norfolk St @ Liberty until 12/1
-CSU @ The Citadel postponed until 11/29 (Contingent upon neither team making the playoffs).

Cancelled:
-ECU @ VT
-WVU @ NC State
-UCF @ UNC
-TN St @ Hampton

Still on for Sat: as of now:
-StFU @ UR (could be the lone Div I game in VA on Sat).
-Colgate @ Furman
-Gardner Webb @ WCU
-NC Central @ SC State
-Stetson @ Presbyterian
-ODU @ UNCC
-Southern Miss @ App St
-Ga Southern @ Clempson
-Marshall @ S Carolina