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CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Wed Oct 08, 2014 6:10 am
by bluehenbillk
didn't see the thread started so...
JMU 27 TSU 16 Tigers freefall continues
VU 45 URI 7 Knockout punch early
UR 41 UA 21 Spiders going away
UD 20 Elon 13 Ugly football display
W&M 23 UNH 17 Tribe has their #
StB 16 Maine 10 More ugly offensive football
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Wed Oct 08, 2014 7:55 am
by 89Hen
JMU 31 - Torson 17
nova 45 - URI 10
Richmond 31 - Albany 17
Delaware 24 - Elon 8
UNH 42 - W&M 32
Stony 24 - Maine 17
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Wed Oct 08, 2014 8:14 am
by CAA Flagship
JMU 34 - Torson 14
nova 52 - URI 7
Richmond 35 - Albany 14
Delaware 21 - Elon 14
UNH 35 - W&M 24
Maine 24 - SBU 17
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Wed Oct 08, 2014 7:02 pm
by BDKJMU
bluehenbillk wrote:didn't see the thread started so...
JMU 27 TSU 16 Tigers freefall continues
VU 45 URI 7 Knockout punch early
UR 41 UA 21 Spiders going away
UD 20 Elon 13 Ugly football display
W&M 23 UNH 17 Tribe has their #
StB 16 Maine 10 More ugly offensive football
Yep. Compiled this a couple of years ago and just update it. McDonnell IMHOP is the best coach in the CAA, but for some reason he is 1-10 vs Laycock. That includes 4 seasons when UNH was a playoff team and W&M wasn’t. McDonnell’s only win was in 2012 when a UNH playoff team beat an 1-7 in the CAA W&M team by only 3 points at home. Game is @ UNH, but W&M coming off of a bye week.
01’ W&M 38, UNH 28 (W&M playoffs)
02’ W&M 34, UNH 27
03’ W&M 38, UNH 28
04’ W&M 9, UNH 7 (both teams playoffs)
05’ W&M 42, UNH 10 (UNH playoffs)
08’ W&M 38, UNH 34 (UNH playoffs)
09’ W&M 20, UNH 17 (both teams playoffs)
10’ W&M 13, UNH 3 (both teams playoffs)
11’ W&M 24, UNH 10 (UNH playoffs)
12’ UNH 28, W&M 25 (UNH playoffs, W&M 0-8 in CAA)
13’ W&M 17, UNH 0 (UNH playoffs/semis)
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Wed Oct 08, 2014 7:22 pm
by BDKJMU
TU (2-4/0-2) @ JMU (3-3/1-2) 12:30 PM, CSN
JMU 35, TU 21
URI (0-5/0-1) @ VU (4-1/2-0) 1:00 PM
VU 56, URI 14
UR (3-2/0-1) @ Albany (4-1/1-1) 3:30 PM
UR 38, Albany 24
W&M (4-1/1-0) @ UNH (4-1/2-0) 3:30 PM
UNH 24, W&M 23
Hardest game to call. As mentioned above, Laycock owns McDonnell and is coming off of a bye week. But UNH is at home, are playing extremely well, and W&M was pretty banged up before their bye week. Interesting tidbit- W&M is leading the CAA in FG- are 10 for 13.
Elon (1-4/0-1) @ UD (3-2/1-0) 3:30 PM
UD 24, Elon 13
Maine (2-3/1-1) @ SBU (2-4/1-1) 7:00 PM
SBU 17, Maine 13
Byes: None
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Thu Oct 09, 2014 5:28 pm
by BDKJMU
bluehenbillk wrote:didn't see the thread started so...
JMU 27 TSU 16 Tigers freefall continues
VU 45 URI 7 Knockout punch early
UR 41 UA 21 Spiders going away
UD 20 Elon 13 Ugly football display
W&M 23 UNH 17 Tribe has their #
StB 16 Maine 10 More ugly offensive football
Yep. CAA current stats:
#1 Scoring defense: SBU
#1 Total defense: SBU
#1 Rush defense: SBU
#1 Pass defense: SBU
#12 in total offense: Maine
Course SBU hasn't play any powerhouse offenses yet: So far total offenses #9 W&M & #12 Maine, Bryant, a Div II and UCONN, #123 of 124 in Total Offense for I-A.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 2:29 pm
by TribePride
JMU 20, Towson 10- I guess Terrance West is as good as we thought.
Nova 51, Rhode Island 7- Wish Nova and NH played this year. So far, they are by far the best 2 teams.
Richmond 37, Albany 20- Where is the Spider Defense?
Delaware 7, Elon 6- Still keep expecting Delaware to be the real Blue Hens, instead of what we are seeing.
Stony Brook 13, Maine 10
W&M 27, New Hampshire 24. If NH wins, it will go undefeated in the CAA. They don't play Villanova and they get both Stony Brook and Delaware at home. Maine to close the season is their toughest road game left. You can put NH down for the playoffs no matter what the outcome of Saturday is. 2nd of 3 Homecoming opponents this season for the Tribe. Really just hoping the Tribe can at least split the next 2 games.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 3:31 pm
by Grizalltheway
BDKJMU wrote:bluehenbillk wrote:didn't see the thread started so...
JMU 27 TSU 16 Tigers freefall continues
VU 45 URI 7 Knockout punch early
UR 41 UA 21 Spiders going away
UD 20 Elon 13 Ugly football display
W&M 23 UNH 17 Tribe has their #
StB 16 Maine 10 More ugly offensive football
Yep. CAA current stats:
#1 Scoring defense: SBU
#1 Total defense: SBU
#1 Rush defense: SBU
#1 Pass defense: SBU
#12 in total offense: Maine
Course SBU hasn't play any powerhouse offenses yet: So far total offenses #9 W&M & #12 Maine, Bryant, a Div II and UCONN, #123 of 124 in Total Offense for I-A.
And UND, who's 117 out of 121 in FCS.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Fri Oct 10, 2014 4:40 pm
by 93henfan
Delaware 3 Elon 2
Book it
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 7:53 am
by CAA Flagship
CAA Flagship wrote:
JMU 34 - Torson 14 (62-7)
nova 52 - URI 7 (44-21)
Richmond 35 - Albany 14 (41-28)
Delaware 21 - Elon 14 (34-24)
UNH 35 - W&M 24 (32-3)
Maine 24 - SBU 17 (7-19)
5-1 This Week
44-16 for the season
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 8:03 am
by 93henfan
93henfan wrote:Delaware 3 Elon 2
Book it
Friggin "four" key doesn't work on my keyboard. Nailed it!

Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 5:13 pm
by BDKJMU
-JMU had 553 yds offense. Held TU to 234.
-Lee was 24 of 33 for 255 yds, 3 TDs, 1 INT. Not a big day rushing, as he had 7 carries for 48, but took 4 sacks for -24, so shows 11 for 24.
JMU through the 1st 6 games started out horrendous and then showed only a little bit of improvement week to week games 2-6. Showed huge improvement vs TU. Best game of the season by far. TU is bad, but they aren't THAT bad.
2 JMU defensive TDs in the 2nd qtr 2 TU offensive plays apart, a pick 6 and TD off a strip of the TU QB, blow the game open.
JMU's true fr corner #17 Jimmy Moreland got his 2nd blocked FG and his 2nd pick 6 on the season. Has been involved in 7 turnovers or blocked kicks through 7 games. He was named this week to the Jerry Rice watch list for the top fr player in the nation (Terrence West won it in its inagural year in 2011 and Robertson won it in 2012). As a defensive player he probably doesn't have a prayer of winning it, but nice to be considered. Best freshman corner at JMU I have ever seen.
Amazingly, JMU did leave points off the board, and very well could have topped 70:
-missed a PAT (2nd time this season).
-missed 34 yd FG. (also missed a 50 yarder but that was a prayer).
-Lee's INT came on a 3rd and goal from the TU 5 yd line with about 20 seconds left in the 1st half with JMU up at that point 27-0.
TU's only score came in the 3rd qtr with TU down 34-0 after a bogus call IMHOP that negated what would have been TU's 5th turnover on the day.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 6:35 pm
by 93henfan
BDKJMU wrote:after a bogus call IMHOP
Please do not besmirch the home of the legendary Rooty Tooty Fresh 'N Fruity®.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 6:46 pm
by BDKJMU
Last week in the 2nd qtr of the JMU @ Albany game JMU's pre season AA safety Dean Marlowe got ejected for targeting a Albany receiver. Replay on AU's jumbotron looked like Marlowe was leading with his shoulder and there was no helmet to helmet. Game wasn't televised, so no TV instant replay. Was a huge penalty because not only did Albany score after it. Led to a 1st and goal at the JMU 7, and ALbany scored 3 plays later. Marlowe's backup is a true fr, which meant JMU went the rest of the game with 3 true fr in the secondary. Nearly cost JMU to lose the game.
Yesterday the 2nd qtr of the TU @ JMU game a TU corner got called for targeting JMU WR D'Andre Smith and was ejected. Lee threw the ball low and Smith slid to get it. The TU CB came in low and it ended up being a big head to head. It looked really bad at full speed. But on the Comcast slow motion replay it looked like the TU CB was attempted to use his shoulder, and if Smith hadn't slid, there would have been no helmet to helmet. Andy Gresh, the CSN commentator, an ex OL from URI, and who I think hands down is the best and most knowledgeable of the CAA commentators, was very critical of the call. IMHOP the TU player got screwed.
3rd qtr Marlowe was ejected for targeting of a defenseless receiver. But again, slow motion replay showed that it didn't look like it met one of the 2 elements for targeting: Didn't look like contact with the crown of his helmet to any part of the TU WR's body, nor did he hit him in the neck or head area. Even though his head was down it was shoulder into back.
https://vine.co/v/OAFFBahpaZ3" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
And now he'll be out the 1st half of JMU's next game at UNCC in 2 weeks unless the call is overturned:
God Damn NCAA (I blame them more than the officials) are ruining the game.

I already quit watching the NFL because of this BS (I've watched 0 NFL games this year). This sh*t keeps up, I'll be done with college soon, too.

Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 7:42 pm
by 93henfan
BDKJMU wrote:IMHOP the TU player got screwed.
This is getting out of hand now. I tried to get through your post and then this.
What did the Holy House of Pancakes ever do to you?
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 7:50 pm
by BDKJMU
BDKJMU wrote:JMU 35, TU 21
JMU 62, TU 7
BDKJMU wrote:VU 56, URI 14
VU 44, URI 21
It was 44-0 when VU took a a 4th qtr siesta and URI scored 3 TDs in the last 9 minutes of the game to make it look less of a blowout than it was..
BDKJMU wrote:UR 38, Albany 24
UR 41, AU 28
Again, game more lopsided than the score indicated. UR lead 34-10 until late in the 3rd...
BDKJMU wrote:UNH 24, W&M 23
UNH 32, W&M 3
UNH breaks its jinx against W&M..
BDKJMU wrote:UD 24, Elon 13
UD 34, Elon 24
BDKJMU wrote:SBU 17, Maine 13
SBU 19, Maine 7
6-0. PERFECT Week!
Week 1: 9-2. Missed on Bryant over SBU and CCSU over TU.
Week 2: 8-1. Missed on Albany over CCSU.
Week 3: 8-2. Missed on Bryant over Maine and NC A&T over Elon.
Week 4: 5-3. Missed on UNH over UR, N Dakota over SBU, Elon over UNCC
Week 5: 6-2. Missed on UD over JMU and Maine over TU.
Week 6: 3-4. Missed on Brown over URI, SBU over TU, Sacred Heart over UD, JMU over AU.
Week 7: 6-0.
Season: 45-14
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 9:01 pm
by BDKJMU
Uh Oh for UR..
UR's Strauss expected to miss about a month with fractured ankle
http://www.timesdispatch.com/sports/col ... 5cf37.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
UR (4-2/1-1) remaining schedule:
10/18 URI
10/25 @ Elon
11/1 VU
11/8 @ Maine
11/15 JMU
11/22 @ W&M
Maybe he makes it back for JMU, maybe not till @ W&M or even the playoffs assuming they make it. They'll be favored in all but VU, but those last 2 are no gimmies..
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 8:56 am
by TribePride
Now, I know how 89Hen and 93Hen have felt this year. The Tribe totally stunk Saturday. Completely outmanned, outclassed, and dominated. Not sure if New Hampshire is just that good or the Tribe was just that bad. I have no confidence that the Tribe can play with Villanova this weekend now. It looks like NH has an excellent to go undefeated in the league now with their toughest remaining opponents all at home. Delaware and Nova are both also undefeated at this point. Nova's toughest two remaining games figure to be at UR and at Delaware. So, they might go undefeated as well. It would seem Villanova and NH are locks for the playoffs with UR the most likely next qualifier. Stony Brook, Delaware, JMU and W&M appear to be the only other schools in the CAA with any shot. However, a 5-3 record in the league might not be good enough this year. I could see a school going 8-4 from the CAA and missing the playoffs this year. The Missouri Valley, Big Sky should get significant multiple bids. Unlike last year, the Big South is also likely to get multiple bids, but perhaps the conference losing bids will be the Southern. The CAA got 3 last year, I see no way for more than 4 this season, and possibly only 3 again.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:52 am
by BDKJMU
TribePride wrote:Now, I know how 89Hen and 93Hen have felt this year. The Tribe totally stunk Saturday. Completely outmanned, outclassed, and dominated. Not sure if New Hampshire is just that good or the Tribe was just that bad. I have no confidence that the Tribe can play with Villanova this weekend now. It looks like NH has an excellent to go undefeated in the league now with their toughest remaining opponents all at home. Delaware and Nova are both also undefeated at this point. Nova's toughest two remaining games figure to be at UR and at Delaware. So, they might go undefeated as well. It would seem Villanova and NH are locks for the playoffs with UR the most likely next qualifier. Stony Brook, Delaware, JMU and W&M appear to be the only other schools in the CAA with any shot. However, a 5-3 record in the league might not be good enough this year. I could see a school going 8-4 from the CAA and missing the playoffs this year. The Missouri Valley, Big Sky should get significant multiple bids. Unlike last year, the Big South is also likely to get multiple bids, but perhaps the conference losing bids will be the Southern. The CAA got 3 last year, I see no way for more than 4 this season, and possibly only 3 again.
An 8 Div I win, 3 I-AA loss CAA team without any bad losses will get in. I'll just copy and paste a post I made over on CS:
"MVFC last week I said 5. But YSU got upset by WIU. WIU still has a losing record, but the last 2 weeks has lost y 7 @ NDSU and upset YSU. Probably will pull another upset. Looking at the MVFC schedules, they could have as little as 3 teams in (with up to 4 teams at 7-5) and still as many as 5 teams get in. UNI playing 2 I-A is likely going to bite them in the arse again. I think ultimately they'll get 4 in.
Big South is 2 bids MAXIMUM. Yes they may be close behind the CAA, but they have only 6 teams to the CAA's 12. Them getting 2 teams in would be equivalent to the CAA getting in 4. The Big South in 4 AQ seasons has gotten 1 team in 3 times and 2 teams in once in 2012, when CCU and SBU got in. Their scheduling is a mess (although not as bad as the So-Con's). They haven't started league play yet, and their league looks like CCU + 5 other decent to mediocre teams that will start knocking each other off.
-CCU (7-0) will likely win the AQ (could go 12-0, dnp a I-A).
-CSU (5-1) but beat 2 Div II, a non scholly Cambell, and plays 2 SEC (lost to Vandy). Still has @ CCU, @ Monmouth, @ Liberty, @ Georgia. They have to win 2 of those (+Presby and GW at home) to have a shot at 9-3. 8-4/6-4 vs Div I won't get them in.
-Monmouth (5-1): 11 games, no I-A.
-Liberty (4-3): 2 I-A & Div II.
IF the Big South gets a 2nd in will likely be Monmouth or Liberty.
So-Con is 2 bids MAXIMUM. Their scheduling is a MESS. 3 of their top 4 plays 2 I-A and 3 of their top 4 plays 2 Div II. They have a better chance at only 1 team in than 3. After their AQ, they might not even have a 2nd team with more than 6 Div I wins.
-WCU (4-2/2-0).

Beat 2 Div II schools and plays 2 I-A. Lost to USF and still has to play Bama. They have to win out besides Bama to get to 9-3/7 Div 1 wins. They won't get an at large at 8-4/6 Div I wins over a CAA team that has 8 Div I wins.
-UTC (3-3/2-0): Played and lost to 2 I-A schools + lost to JSU OOC
-Samford (3-2/2-1): Lost to TCU and beat a Div 2. Still has to play a second Div 2 and Auburn. They have to win out besides Auburn to get to 9-3/7 Div 1 wins. They won't get an at large at 8-4/6 Div I wins over a CAA team that has 8 Div I wins.
-Wofford (3-3/1-1): Lost GA Tech and beat 2 Div II. Only play 11 games. They have to win out to get to 8-3/6 Div I wins. They have zero chance at 7-4/5 Div I wins.
Southland has always been a 1-2 bid conference except for last year. Last year was an exception at 3 bids, their only year they have gotten 3.
Here's how I see it playing out for 23 of the 24 teams:
MVFC: 4
CAA: 4
Big Sky: 3
Southland 2
Big South 2
So Con 2
OVC 2
Patriot 1
MEAC 1
NEC 1
Pioneer 1
A 24th will come from somewhere...
Bottom line their isn't going to be 13 at large available with 8 Div I wins and only 3 I-AA losses. An 8-4/5-3 CAA team that won 6 of their last 7 without any bad losses is going to get into a 24 team playoff."
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:47 am
by BDKJMU
TribePride wrote:Now, I know how 89Hen and 93Hen have felt this year. The Tribe totally stunk Saturday. Completely outmanned, outclassed, and dominated. Not sure if New Hampshire is just that good or the Tribe was just that bad. I have no confidence that the Tribe can play with Villanova this weekend now. It looks like NH has an excellent to go undefeated in the league now with their toughest remaining opponents all at home. Delaware and Nova are both also undefeated at this point. Nova's toughest two remaining games figure to be at UR and at Delaware. So, they might go undefeated as well. It would seem Villanova and NH are locks for the playoffs with UR the most likely next qualifier. Stony Brook, Delaware, JMU and W&M appear to be the only other schools in the CAA with any shot. However, a 5-3 record in the league might not be good enough this year. I could see a school going 8-4 from the CAA and missing the playoffs this year. The Missouri Valley, Big Sky should get significant multiple bids. Unlike last year, the Big South is also likely to get multiple bids, but perhaps the conference losing bids will be the Southern. The CAA got 3 last year, I see no way for more than 4 this season, and possibly only 3 again.
Agree on VU and UNH (although to note UNH has only 11 games again so they need to go 8-3/6-2 to be a lock).
Agree on UR, but they'll likely be playing through at least mid Nov with their backup QB, and after URI and @ Elon, their last 4 is very tough:
-VU
-@ Maine
-JMU (who might have to win to stay alive).
-@ W&M (who might have to win to get in).
-UD really screwed themselves with their loss to Sacred Heart. They need to go 6-2 in the CAA. They'll ned to win 4 of their last 6 to get in. They should beat TU and URI at home, but they'll have to win 2 of the 4 among @ W&M, @ Albany, @ UNH, VU.
-W&M also has to win 4 of their last 6 to get to 8-4/5-3. They have left: VU, UD, @ JMU, Elon, @ TU, UR.
-JMU has to win 4 of their last 5 to get to 8-4/5-3. They have left: @ UNCC, W&M, @ SBU, @ UR, Elon.
-SBU doesn't have a prayer. They are 3-4/2-1. OOC they are 1-3, with their lone win vs a Div II. They have to win out their last 5 CAA games to get to 8-4, and even that would be only 7 Div I wins.
-I'll throw in Albany too at 4-2/1-2 as not having a prayer. They didn't play a I-A, so 8-4/4-4 isn't going to cut it. They need to go 9-3/5-3. If they beat Colgate @ home, they'll stil have to go 4-1 their last 5 CAA: @ Maine, @ UNH, UD, @ VU, SBU.
Put a fork in Maine (2-4/1-2) and TU, Elon, and URI are already eliminated.
I think the only way the CAA only gets 3 teams in is you have some upsets and you don't have more than 3 teams with 8 wins..
Bottom line it will be VU, UNH and most likely 2 of the 4 teams of UR, W&M, UD, and JMU.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 11:41 am
by 89Hen
JMU 31 - Torson 17 (62-7)
nova 45 - URI 10 (44-21)
Richmond 31 - Albany 17 (41-28)
Delaware 24 - Elon 8 (34-24)
UNH 42 - W&M 32 (32-2)
Stony 24 - Maine 17 (19-7)
All "correct" but one of my weaker performances on the totals. Spreads were OK in some cases.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 11:53 am
by 93henfan
BDKJMU wrote:
I think the only way the CAA only gets 3 teams in is you have some upsets and you don't have more than 3 teams with 8 wins..
Bottom line it will be VU, UNH and most likely 2 of the 4 teams of UR, W&M, UD, and JMU.
UD and JMU have no business being included in a serious playoff field. VU and UNH are locks. It really comes down to how UR and W&M finish up to decide the CAA entries.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 11:58 am
by 89Hen
93henfan wrote:UD and JMU have no business being included in a serious playoff field. VU and UNH are locks. It really comes down to how UR and W&M finish up to decide the CAA entries.
Thing is, since it went to 24 (or whatever the hell it is now) the field hasn't been serious.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 12:12 pm
by BDKJMU
93henfan wrote:BDKJMU wrote:
I think the only way the CAA only gets 3 teams in is you have some upsets and you don't have more than 3 teams with 8 wins..
Bottom line it will be VU, UNH and most likely 2 of the 4 teams of UR, W&M, UD, and JMU.
UD and JMU have no business being included in a serious playoff field. VU and UNH are locks. It really comes down to how UR and W&M finish up to decide the CAA entries.
Is a 24 team playoff field a serious playoff field?
We'll see because UD still has to play W&M, and JMU has to play W&M & UR (with likely their backup QB).
UD might have regressed since their OT win over JMU, but JMU certainly hasn't. When you have a brand new coaching staff, brand new offense, brand new defense, and a double digit # of transfers, it might take you half a season to get your sh*t straight. No better example than Keeler & SHSU.
W&M their last 3 games W&M struggled a little to beat Lafayette (down 10 at the half), SBU (OT) and coming off of a bye week got crushed @ UNH. They're in a similar boat as JMU & UD.
Re: CAA Week 7 Prediction thread
Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 12:13 pm
by BDKJMU
89Hen wrote:93henfan wrote:UD and JMU have no business being included in a serious playoff field. VU and UNH are locks. It really comes down to how UR and W&M finish up to decide the CAA entries.
Thing is, since it went to 24 (or whatever the hell it is now) the field hasn't been serious.
Beat me to it.