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Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Mon Dec 02, 2013 11:04 pm
by Mvemjsunpx
from
http://nationalsportsrankings.com/index ... m_oneonone
NDSU over Furman - 100% (36-11 avg. score)
Montana over CCU - 78% (39-31)
Maine/UNH - 50% (27-27)
SELU over SHSU - 77% (36-30)
EWU over SDSU - 90% (37-23)
McNeese over Jax St. - 83% (40-30)
Towson over Fordham - 93% (41-27)
EIU over TSU - 100% (43-18)
Maine vs. New Hampshire is the most interesting one up there, especially given the overall record difference. I also think McNeese & EIU could have more trouble than those numbers forecast. And as for UM/CCU, I'm sure the computer sims don't factor in weather.
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Mon Dec 02, 2013 11:45 pm
by craneac27
reading that stuff makes me "feel" better especially if my team is projected to win, but thats why they play the game
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 2:21 pm
by The Kicker
Mvemjsunpx wrote:from
http://nationalsportsrankings.com/index ... m_oneonone
NDSU over Furman - 100% (36-11 avg. score)
Montana over CCU - 78% (39-31)
Maine/UNH - 50% (27-27)
SELU over SHSU - 77% (36-30)
EWU over SDSU - 90% (37-23)
McNeese over Jax St. - 83% (40-30)
Towson over Fordham - 93% (41-27)
EIU over TSU - 100% (43-18)
Maine vs. New Hampshire is the most interesting one up there, especially given the overall record difference. I also think McNeese & EIU could have more trouble than those numbers forecast. And as for UM/CCU, I'm sure the computer sims don't factor in weather.
Ran it again came up like this.
NDSU over Furman - 100% (37-12 avg. score)
Montana over CCU - 75% (39-32)
Maine over UNH - 60% (28-27)
SELU over SHSU - 80% (36-29)
EWU over SDSU - 88% (36-24)
McNeese over Jax St. - 79% (37-29)
Towson over Fordham - 95% (39-26)
EIU over TSU - 100% (43-18)
3rd round via last round results
NDSU over Montana 98% (36-17)
SELU over Maine 68% (30-25)
EWU over SELU 93% (41-26)
EIU over Towson 83% (40-30)
4th round via last round results
NDSU over SELU 100% (36-16)
EIU over EWU 71% (39-34)
Champ
*NDSU Home NDSU over EIU 77% (33-25)
*EIU Home NDSU over EIU 60% (32-29)
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 2:48 pm
by EWURanger
The Kicker wrote:Mvemjsunpx wrote:from
http://nationalsportsrankings.com/index ... m_oneonone
NDSU over Furman - 100% (36-11 avg. score)
Montana over CCU - 78% (39-31)
Maine/UNH - 50% (27-27)
SELU over SHSU - 77% (36-30)
EWU over SDSU - 90% (37-23)
McNeese over Jax St. - 83% (40-30)
Towson over Fordham - 93% (41-27)
EIU over TSU - 100% (43-18)
Maine vs. New Hampshire is the most interesting one up there, especially given the overall record difference. I also think McNeese & EIU could have more trouble than those numbers forecast. And as for UM/CCU, I'm sure the computer sims don't factor in weather.
Ran it again came up like this.
NDSU over Furman - 100% (37-12 avg. score)
Montana over CCU - 75% (39-32)
Maine over UNH - 60% (28-27)
SELU over SHSU - 80% (36-29)
EWU over SDSU - 88% (36-24)
McNeese over Jax St. - 79% (37-29)
Towson over Fordham - 95% (39-26)
EIU over TSU - 100% (43-18)
3rd round via last round results
NDSU over Montana 98% (36-17)
SELU over Maine 68% (30-25)
EWU over SELU 93% (41-26)
EIU over Towson 83% (40-30)
4th round via last round results
NDSU over SELU 100% (36-16)
EIU over EWU 71% (39-34)
Champ
*NDSU Home NDSU over EIU 77% (33-25)
*EIU Home NDSU over EIU 60% (32-29)
Well. That is depressing.
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 6:03 pm
by grizzaholic
Well fuck. Might as well go home and not worry about this shit. The COMPUTER has spoken.
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 6:10 pm
by Grizalltheway
grizzaholic wrote:Well fuck. Might as well go home and not worry about this shit. The COMPUTER has spoken.
Iba asked it for a CCU victory and received the following response:
[youtube]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qnd-hdmgfk[/youtube]
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 6:24 pm
by CAA Flagship
Why would anybody be "Home" for the championship?
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 6:40 pm
by The Kicker
CAA Flagship wrote:Why would anybody be "Home" for the championship?
Only option is to have one home and an away team no neutral field option. Again computer stuff is crap but it's fun to see something other than bias opinion.
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 6:42 pm
by grizzaholic
CAA Flagship wrote:Why would anybody be "Home" for the championship?
When do you leave the board for good again? We accepted Col Hogan sticking around because he is a good guy...TRIP can do as he pleases...ASU fans, they all got HOT HOT HOT and will get burned for moving up.
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:55 pm
by Ibanez
Grizalltheway wrote:grizzaholic wrote:Well fuck. Might as well go home and not worry about this shit. The COMPUTER has spoken.
Iba asked it for a CCU victory and received the following response:
[youtube]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qnd-hdmgfk[/youtube]
CCU is bringing hope and change.
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Thu Dec 05, 2013 6:05 pm
by JohnStOnge
craneac27 wrote:reading that stuff makes me "feel" better especially if my team is projected to win, but thats why they play the game
Doesn't make me as a McNeese fan feel better given how badly McNeese has played in the playoffs starting in 2003. I'll feel better when they play well in a playoff game again. Well, I guess I've feel better if they play poorly and win anyway. But I just don't think they've played well and I'm going to have to see them do it before I feel confident that they'll do it.
Also doesn't help that Jacksonville State looked so dominant last week. The OVC went a long time without a playoff win but that was a "legit" playoff win. Tennessee State's win you can say, "well OK" because they were playing the first Pioneer League team to get in. Jacksonville State whacked a Southern Conference team and I mean they WHACKED them. Yes I know the Southern Conference is down but that was an impressive performance nonetheless.
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Thu Dec 05, 2013 6:29 pm
by JohnStOnge
NDSU over Furman - 100% (36-11 avg. score)
Montana over CCU - 78% (39-31)
Maine/UNH - 50% (27-27)
SELU over SHSU - 77% (36-30)
EWU over SDSU - 90% (37-23)
McNeese over Jax St. - 83% (40-30)
Towson over Fordham - 93% (41-27)
EIU over TSU - 100% (43-18)
Just for fun I'm going to translate Sagarin rating information in to "probability of win" estimates and see how it compares:
NDSU over Furman - 98%
Montana over CCU - 56%
Maine over New Hampshire - 58%
SELU over SHSU - 76%
EWU over SDSU - 53%
McNeese over Jax St. - 65%
Towson over Fordham - 81%
EIU over TSU - 92%
Re: Computer Second-Round Predictions
Posted: Thu Dec 05, 2013 7:54 pm
by LDopaPDX
Mvemjsunpx wrote:from
http://nationalsportsrankings.com/index ... m_oneonone
NDSU over Furman - 100% (36-11 avg. score)
Montana over CCU - 78% (39-31)
Maine/UNH - 50% (27-27)
SELU over SHSU - 77% (36-30)
EWU over SDSU - 90% (37-23)
McNeese over Jax St. - 83% (40-30)
Towson over Fordham - 93% (41-27)
EIU over TSU - 100% (43-18)
Maine vs. New Hampshire is the most interesting one up there, especially given the overall record difference. I also think McNeese & EIU could have more trouble than those numbers forecast. And as for UM/CCU, I'm sure the computer sims don't factor in weather.
I don't know who wrote the program for this, but I guarantee you he wouldn't back a 9-1 bet against South Dakota State. I'm the biggest EWU fan in the World, but anyone who makes the Eagles a 9-1 favorite is a friggin retard.