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Computer First-Round Predictions

Posted: Mon Nov 25, 2013 10:24 pm
by Mvemjsunpx
from http://nationalsportsrankings.com/index ... m_oneonone


SC State over Furman - 52% (20-19 avg. score)
Coastal over BCU - 58% (33-31)
UNH over Lafayette - 94% (35-19)
SHSU over Suutah - 88% (30-17)
SDSU over NAU - 62% (24-21)
Samford over Jax St. - 56% (29-28)
Fordham over SHU - 94% (36-22)
TSU over Butler - 86% (28-20)



I'm surprised to see SCSU/Furman that close, since recent trends don't seem to be given extra weight by this site. That would also explain why SHSU/SUU is that lopsided. I also figure Fordham/Sacred Heart will be much uglier than the expected average. The computers are likely underestimating NAU's home-field advantage, as well.

Re: Computer First-Round Predictions

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 3:53 am
by JohnStOnge
Can't find information on how well that system is performed in the table at http://www.thepredictiontracker.com/ncaaresults.php" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; . The table deals with FBS games but I think it still gives an idea as to how well models do at prediction.

Re: Computer First-Round Predictions

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 9:07 am
by grizzaholic
WOW. They think SHSU will blow out SUU?

Re: Computer First-Round Predictions

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 9:10 am
by Ibanez
Is this same system that said CCU had a 68% of beating CSU?

Re: Computer First-Round Predictions

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 6:25 pm
by Mvemjsunpx
Ibanez wrote:Is this same system that said CCU had a 68% of beating CSU?
I'm pretty sure everyone in existence thought CCU was going to beat CSU.