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I assume that for the CAA:
-8-4 is a near lock (no one plays a Div II).
-8-3 is a lock, 7-4 is on the bubble for the 3 teams, VU, UNH, and SBU, that play only 11 games.
-Anyone that loses 5 games is completely eliminated from playoff contention.
-With 5 weeks to go, 8 of 11 CAA teams still in playoff contention.

CAA standings & to get to 8 wins:
1. Maine 6-1/3-0: needs to win 2 of 5. Remaining: @ VU, SBU, @ Albany, URI, @ UNH.
2. TU 7-1/3-1: needs to win 1 of 4 @ UR, UD, @ W&M, JMU.
-- VU 4-3/3-1: needs to win out, only 11 games. Remaining: Maine, @ JMU, @ URI, UD.
4. UD 5-2/2-1: needs to win 3 of 5. Remaining @ URI, @ TU, W&M, UR, @ VU.
-- JMU 5-2/2-1: needs to win 3 of 5. Remaining @ W&M, VU, @ UNH, SBU, @ TU
-- UNH 3-3/2-1: needs to win out, only 11 games. Remaining: @ SBU, @ W&M, JMU, @ Albany, Maine
8. W&M 4-3/1-2: needs to win 4 of 5. Remaining: JMU, UNH, @ UD, TU, @ UR
-- SBU 3-3/1-2: needs to win out, only 11 games. Remaining: UNH, @ Maine, UR, @ JMU, Albany

7. URI 3-5/2-3: eliminated from playoff contention.
10. UR 2-5/0-3: eliminated from playoff contention.
11. Albany 1-7/0-4: eliminated from playoff contention.

Maine and Townson are locks. villanova, UNH, W&M and Stony are cooked. Delaware and JMU have tough roads, but one of the two is in. However, with an expanded field this year, don't discount a 7 win team from making it.

UD (5-2/2-1) @ URI (3-5/2-3) (noon)
W Jacksonville 51-35-----L @ Fordham 51-26
W Del State 42-21--------L SBU 24-0
L @ Navy 51-7-------------W @ Albany 19-13 (OT)
W Wagner 49-9------------L @ W&M 20-0
W JMU 29-22--------------W CCSU 42-7
L @ Maine 62-28----------L @ Brown 31-14
W Albany 33-30-----------L @ UNH 59-19
-------------------------------W UR 12-10

TU (7-1/3-1) @ UR (2-5/0-3) (noon) (CSN-MA, CSN-P, CSS, SNY (tape delay)
W @ Connecticut 33-18-----W VMI 34-0
W @ Holy Cross 49-7---------L @ NC State 23-21
W Delaware St 49-7----------L @ G Webb 12-10
W @ NCCU 35-17-------------W Liberty 30-21
W @ SBU 35-21---------------L Maine 28-21
W UNH 44-28-----------------L @ JMU 38-31
L Nova 45-35------------------L @ URI 12-10
W @ Albany 44-17

Maine (6-1/3-0) @ Villanova (4-3/3-1) (1:00 pm)
W @ Norfolk St 23-6-----------L @ BC 24-14
W @ UMass 24-14--------------L @ Fordham 27-24
W Bryant 35-22-----------------W SBU 35-6
L @ Northwestern 35-21-----W Penn 35-6
W @ UR 28-21------------------W W&M 20-16
W UD 62-28----------------------W TU 45-35
W W&M 34-20-------------------L @ UNH 29-28

JMU (5-2/1-1) @ W&M (4-3/1-2) (3:30 pm)
W CCSU 38-10--------L @ WVU 24-17
L @ Akron 35-33-----W Hampton 31-7
W StFU 24-20---------W Lafayette 34-6
W UNCC 34-7---------W URI 20-0
L @ UD 29-22---------L @ VU 20-16
W Albany 40-13------W Penn 27-14
W UR 38-31-----------L @ Maine 34-20

SBU (3-3/1-2) @ UNH (3-4/2-1) (4:00 pm)
W @ URI 24-0-----------------L @ C Mich 24-21
L @ Buffalo 26-23 (5OT)----W Colgate 53-23
L @ Villanova 35-6-----------L Lehigh 34-27
L TU 35-21---------------------L @ TU 44-28
W Bryant 21-13--------------W URI 59-19
W Colgate 27-3---------------W VU 29-28

Bye: Albany

Delaware 31, URI 17. UD has been horrendous on the road and also were their last game vs Albany, but they did have a bye week.
Towson 27, UR 20. TU 2nd straight game on road, has letdown. UR loses 6th game by a TD or less.
Villanova 27, Maine 24. If Nova doesn't upset Maine, Maine could end up 11-1 (last 4 games are SBU, @ Albany, URI, @ UNH).
JMU 24, W&M 17. JMU coming off bye week makes up for being @ W&M.
UNH 31, SBU 27. UNH on road after big Nova win, SBU coming off of a bye week.

Bye: Albany

JMU has won 8 of the last 9. Really seem to have W&M's #:
JMU 48, W&M 34, 04' Williamsburg, semis
JMU 30, W&M 29, 05' Williamsburg, JMU wins on last second FG.
JMU 31, W&M 17, 06' Harrisonburg
JMU 55, W&M 34, 07' Williamsburg
JMU 48, W&M 24, 08' Harisonburg
W&M 24, JMU 3, 09' Williamsburg
JMU 30, W&M 24, 10', Harrisonburg. JMU came into the game 4-5/1-5. W&M came in 7-2/5-1, ranked #1.
JMU 20, W&M 14, 11', Williamsburg. JMU was #10/#12. W&M was ranked #5/#6.
JMU 27, W&M 26, 2OT, 12', Harrisonburg. W&M should have won, but snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.

Towson 37 Richmond 17
Delaware 28 URI 17
Maine 38 Villanova 17
JMU 31 W&M 28
Stony Brook 26 UNH 22

I wouldn't call 8-4 a near lock, not just yet. 7-4 = pretty much no chance.

bluehenbillk wrote:I wouldn't call 8-4 a near lock, not just yet. 7-4 = pretty much no chance.

Here are the team that have a legit shot at finishing with 3 or fewer losses (not all of them will or can):

Eastern Washington 5-2
Montana State 5-2
Northern Arizona 5-2
Montana 6-1
Coastal Carolina 7-0
Charleston Southern 7-1
Maine 6-1
Villanova 4-3
Towson 7-1
Delaware 5-2
James Madison 5-2
New Hampshire 3-3
William & Mary 4-3
Bethune-Cookman 6-1
South Carolina State 5-2
North Dakota State 7-0
Youngstown State 7-1
Fordham 8-0
Lehigh 6-1
Wofford 5-2
Samford 5-2
Chattanooga 5-2
Butler 6-2
Dayton 5-2
McNeese State 6-1
Southeastern Louisiana 5-2
Sam Houston State 5-2
Tennessee State 7-1
Eastern Illinois 6-1

Good work (for once) 89!!

Add Jacksonville St (5-2) in there too & I think you've got it.

bluehenbillk wrote:Good work (for once) 89!!

Add Jacksonville St (5-2) in there too & I think you've got it.

Hey!

I actually omitted JSU on purpose because there is no way in hades that the OVC gets three teams in and I don't see them beating EIEIU. That would give them 3 OVC losses.

bluehenbillk wrote:I wouldn't call 8-4 a near lock, not just yet. 7-4 = pretty much no chance.

2010-2011 from the CAA, So-Con, MVFC, 7 teams finished 7-4, all Div I, played a I-A. All 7 made the 20 team playoffs. Of course last yr a # didn't. Now we have a 24 team playoff. Plausible that a 7-4 vs Div I (Nova) will make the playoffs from the CAA. Remember, the majority of your 8-4 from the MVFC/Big Sky/Southland will be 7-4 vs Div I.

SUU could (but most likely won't) run the table and finish with three losses. Would require wins over MSU and NAU.

Delaware 35 rhode island 21 hens remember to bring their supurior talent with them on the plane ride this road trip.
Towson 45 richmond 14 after a pitiful performance against rhody, what are they going to do with terrence west running wild against them?
James madison 27 william&mary 17 dukes continue their domainant streak over the tribe.
Maine 33 villanova 28 most interesting matchup this week, could go either way, but I think the black bear defense will make the difference.
New hampshire 38 stony brook 27 the cats try to keep their playoff hopes alive.

89Hen wrote:

bluehenbillk wrote:I wouldn't call 8-4 a near lock, not just yet. 7-4 = pretty much no chance.

Here are the team that have a legit shot at finishing with 3 or fewer losses (not all of them will or can):

Eastern Washington 5-2
Montana State 5-2
Northern Arizona 5-2
Montana 6-1
Coastal Carolina 7-0
Charleston Southern 7-1
Maine 6-1
Villanova 4-3
Towson 7-1
Delaware 5-2
James Madison 5-2
New Hampshire 3-3
William & Mary 4-3
Bethune-Cookman 6-1
South Carolina State 5-2
North Dakota State 7-0
Youngstown State 7-1
Fordham 8-0
Lehigh 6-1
Wofford 5-2
Samford 5-2
Chattanooga 5-2
Butler 6-2
Dayton 5-2
McNeese State 6-1
Southeastern Louisiana 5-2
Sam Houston State 5-2
Tennessee State 7-1
Eastern Illinois 6-1

A lot of those teams won't finish with 8 Div I wins, esp considering a lot play a Div II. Also no need to list more than 1 Pioneer team. You listed 2, plus BHB mentioned JSU. Not a snowballs's chance in hell the Pioneer gets an at large.

Towson St 27 Richmond 10 Long year for Spiders drags on
URI 34 elaware 31 Shootout that does Hens in
Nova 38 Maine 37 Barnburner keeps Cats hopes alive. You thought Maine would run the table?
W&M 17 JMU 10 Yawner - JMU's schedule kicks in now
UNH 35 StB 28 - Cats offense takes another

Townson 37 - Richmond 6
Delaware 28 - URI 20
Maine 41 - villanova 22
JMU 24 - W&M 20
UNH 37 - Stony 20

UD 17 @ URI 20

I think Delaware is a bad team who happened to play exceptionally well in one game against JMU. URI is also a bad team, but the Hens on the road will be a little worse.

TU 35 @ UR 10

The Fightin' Andys should win confortably

Maine 28 @ Villanova 24

Looking forward to a close, hard fought game.

JMU 17 @ W&M 21

I give the home edge to the Tribe

SBU 10 @ UNH 28

Cats fairly easily.

bluehenbillk wrote:Towson St 27 Richmond 10 Long year for Spiders drags on
URI 34 elaware 31 Shootout that does Hens in
Nova 38 Maine 37 Barnburner keeps Cats hopes alive. You thought Maine would run the table?
W&M 17 JMU 10 Yawner - JMU's schedule kicks in now
UNH 35 StB 28 - Cats offense takes another

I'll wager you anything you want that JMU scores more than 10 points....10 or less you win, 11 or more I win...

BDKJMU wrote:

bluehenbillk wrote:Towson St 27 Richmond 10 Long year for Spiders drags on
URI 34 elaware 31 Shootout that does Hens in
Nova 38 Maine 37 Barnburner keeps Cats hopes alive. You thought Maine would run the table?
W&M 17 JMU 10 Yawner - JMU's schedule kicks in now
UNH 35 StB 28 - Cats offense takes another

I'll wager you anything you want that JMU scores more than 10 points....10 or less you win, 11 or more I win...

Sure..how about this. Eagleskins owes me $100 for the Nats not winning 100 games this MLB season. If you win the bet, I'll pass his debt to me over to you & you can chase him down for the money. If I win you owe me $100. Deal?

TU 35 - Richmond 14
UD 35 - URI 24
Maine 35 - Nova 32
W&M 27 - JMU 24
UNH 44 - SB 17

bluehenbillk wrote:

BDKJMU wrote:
I'll wager you anything you want that JMU scores more than 10 points....10 or less you win, 11 or more I win...

Sure..how about this. Eagleskins owes me $100 for the Nats not winning 100 games this MLB season. If you win the bet, I'll pass his debt to me over to you & you can chase him down for the money. If I win you owe me $100. Deal?

BDKJMU wrote:

bluehenbillk wrote:Towson St 27 Richmond 10 Long year for Spiders drags on
URI 34 elaware 31 Shootout that does Hens in
Nova 38 Maine 37 Barnburner keeps Cats hopes alive. You thought Maine would run the table?
W&M 17 JMU 10 Yawner - JMU's schedule kicks in now
UNH 35 StB 28 - Cats offense takes another

I'll wager you anything you want that JMU scores more than 10 points....10 or less you win, 11 or more I win...

You have much to learn, my young bitch.

Next time you'll think twice before mouthing off to the pre-eminent mind of FCS football.

And by the way I was trying to be kind giving you 10. On the bright side you can clear your post thanksgiving plans haha.

bluehenbillk wrote:

BDKJMU wrote:
I'll wager you anything you want that JMU scores more than 10 points....10 or less you win, 11 or more I win...

You have much to learn, my young bitch.

Next time you'll think twice before mouthing off to the pre-eminent mind of FCS football.

And by the way I was trying to be kind giving you 10. On the bright side you can clear your post thanksgiving plans haha.

I love ya' bill, but is that the same pre-eminent mind of FCS football that predicted URI putting up 34 on UD? The Rams put up a massive 279 yards of offense on UD.

But, you are correct about JMU...with UNH, Towson, and nova left, they are cooked.

CAA could easily be a two-bid league this year.

93henfan wrote:CAA could easily be a two-bid league this year.

Old Dominion leaving is killing the CAA.