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1st the standings:

Towson: 1-7/0-5: Eliminated from playoff consideration
URI____: 3-5/2-3: Eliminated from playoff consideration
Maine__: 3-5/2-3: Eliminated from playoff consideration

7 Contenders to get the necessary 7 Div I wins to get in.
-Yes, JMU and UR are still contenders until they get a 5th loss. The fat is lady is warming up for both teams. She'll be singing for one of them about 6:30 PM on Saturday.
-Looking at the national standings, its likely that anywhere from 2-5 of the 10 At large will have only 7 Div I wins, esp considering that a # of contenders have played a Div II.
-7 Div I wins out of the CAA is close to a lock, as a 7 Div one win out of the CAA will get in over any 7 Div I win from any of the other full scholly conferences, and ahead of 8 Div I win teams from the MEAC, Big South, NEC, Patriot.
-I only see a 7 Div I win CAA not getting in if there were 6 CAA teams with 7 or more Div I wins, as I can't see more than 5 CAA teams getting in. Still possible 6 CAA could finish with 7 or more Div I wins, but highly unlikely

Listed in order of least likely to get in (JMU and UR) to near locks Nova and UD:

JMU: (4-4/1-4)
11/6: @ UR
11/13: W&M
11/20: @ Maine

UR: (4-4/2-3)
11/6: JMU
11/13: URI
11/20: @ W&M

W&M: (6-2/4-1)
11/6_: @ UNH (UNH has bye week week prior, W&M down to 3rd string QB)
11/13: @ JMU
11/20: UR

UNH: (5-3/3-2)
11/6_: W&M
11/13: @ Nova
11/20: Towson

UMass: (5-3/3-2)
11/6_: Maine
11/13: UD
11/20: @ URI

Nova: (6-2/4-1)
11/6_: @ URI
11/13: UNH
11/20: @ UD

UD: (7-1/4-1) (6-1 vs Div I)
11/6: Towson
11/13: @ UMass
11/20: Nova

Game of the Week has to be W&M @ UNH.

W&M (6-2/4-1)@ UNH: UNH by 1-7 points. Now W&M winning wouldn't surprise me, as I expect a close game either way, but UNH is coming off of a bye week after 3 straight impressive victories over UR, JMU, and UMass, and W&M is having to hit the road (or should I say air) for the 2nd straight week after a tough loss at UNC. W&M will be down to their 3rd string QB and Grimes may not play due to a concussion:
http://hamptonroads.com/2010/11/caa-rep ... rosh-start" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
W&M seems to have UNH’s # though the last 7 meetings between the Tribe and Wildcats:
01’: W&M 38, UNH 28
02’: W&M 34, @ UNH 27
03’: W&M 38, UNH 28
04’: W&M 9, @ UNH 7
05’: W&M 42, UNH 10 (UNH was undefeated and ranked #1 at the time)
08’: W&M 38, @ UNH 34
09’: W&M 20, UNH 17
Last time UNH beat W&M was 1998. McDonnell has become Laycock’s bitch. But I think the streak ends, and UNH keeps their playoffs hopes solidly alive.

JMU (4-4/1-4) @ UR (4-4/2-3): JMU 10-7, eliminating UR from playoff contention. JMU hasn't lost @ UR since 02'. The road team in this rivalry has won 6 straight. Ok, maybe this is a homer pick for me, as I said on the JMU @ UR thread I could see UR winning 10-7. Either way, buckle up your chinstraps for an offensive shootout. Get ready to watch a combined 17 points and 350 yards of offense.

Towson (1-7/0-5) @ UD (7-1/4-1) by 21-28 points. If Towson was playing UD say 3 weeks ago (same week as UD played URI) this could have been a trap game for UD. But UD, with a by week to stew over their loss @ W&M will likely bring their A game, or close to it, and win comfortably at home to lock up a playoff spot.

Villanova (6-2/4-1) @ URI (3-5/2-3): Nova by 14-21. Not a cakewalk on the road for Nova, but they win relatively comfortably to lock up a playoff spot.

Maine (3-5/2-3) @ UMass (5-3/3-2): UMass by 7-14 points, keeping their playoff hopes solidly alive.

JMU 13 - Richmond 10
W&M 19 - UNH 17
UMass 24 - Maine 17
Nova 27 - URI 14
UD 41 - Towson 10

UR 14 JMU 13
UNH 17 W&M 12
UMass 51 Maine 48 (multi OT)
Nova 28.URI 14
UD 37 Towson 7

JMU @ UR: Spiders have the bigger heart (nothing personal JMU) of these 2 teams. They've been dealt some bad hands this year and keep playing their hearts out. UR by 3

Towson @ UD: Hens run up the score. UD by 35

Villanova @ URI: Rams play tough but Nova squeaks by. Nova by 6

Maine @ UMass: Mixed on this one. UMass puts on a show or gets sloppy looking ahead 1 week. Either way its UMass.

jd of de wrote:JMU @ UR: Spiders have the bigger heart (nothing personal JMU) of these 2 teams. They've been dealt some bad hands this year and keep playing their hearts out. UR by 3

Towson @ UD: Hens run up the score. UD by 35

Villanova @ URI: Rams play tough but Nova squeaks by. Nova by 6

Maine @ UMass: Mixed on this one. UMass puts on a show or gets sloppy looking ahead 1 week. Either way its UMass.

No prediction on W&M @ UNH?

I asked my brother, a JMU grad, for an over/under on the game this weekend. He said "10." I still might take the under.

JMU @ UR: - Spiders have the more heart and the home field advantage. UR in a squeaker where a TO makes the difference.

W&M @ UNH: - Ok, I'm a homer. This would be a great time for the streak to come to an end, but Caprio and Jones step up and give a glimpse of a bright future. O-line and D come up big.

Towson @ UD: - Hens put up big numbers. Towson doesn't have an answer.

Villanova @ URI: - Rams are better than anyone thought at the beginning of the year but Nova survives on the road by more than a TD.

Maine @ UMass: - UMass at home. Transfers meld into a unit and Maine is penalized out of a chance.

BDKJMU wrote:W&M will be down to their 3rd string QB and Grimes may not play due to a concussion:

UNH catches a HUGE break this week.

BDKJMU wrote:

jd of de wrote:JMU @ UR: Spiders have the bigger heart (nothing personal JMU) of these 2 teams. They've been dealt some bad hands this year and keep playing their hearts out. UR by 3

Towson @ UD: Hens run up the score. UD by 35

Villanova @ URI: Rams play tough but Nova squeaks by. Nova by 6

Maine @ UMass: Mixed on this one. UMass puts on a show or gets sloppy looking ahead 1 week. Either way its UMass.

No prediction on W&M @ UNH?

OPPPSSSS my bad.

W&M @UNH: UNH gets to face another (UR) 3rd string QB it seems. Both Tribe lines need to play big and should. Close win by 6.

JMU @ Richmond
Towson @ Delaware
Villanova @ Rhody
Maine @ UMass
W&M @ New Hampshire

JMU 7 - Richmond 17
W&M 21 - UNH 17
UMass 28 - Maine 20
Nova 30 - URI 17
UD 35 - Towson 14

Playoff Bound:

W&M
UD
Nova
UNH
UMass

Semi-Finals:
W&M
UD

Finals:
W&M