Championship Subdivision Football | FCS Football | Stadiums | Blogs | Forums

Based on a few teams laying eggs here is the list I have from each league:

Auto Bids
CAA- Villanova
MVC- SIU
Big Sky- Montana
SoCon- App St.
SLC- Stephen F. Austin
OVC- EIU
MEAC- SC St.
Patriot League- Holy Cross

At-Large Possibilities

IN THE FIELD
CAA Richmond
CAA William & Mary
CAA UNH
SLC McNeese State
MVC South Dakota St.
SoCon Elon

LIKELY IN THE FIELD
Big Sky Eastern Washington 8-3

BUBBLE
MVC Northern Iowa 7-4
Big Sky Weber State 7-4
MEAC Florida A&M 8-3

I did not think Weber State would get in but they are clearly a shot because of teams like Liberty, Lafayette, and UNI losing. If it was me I would take EWU and either UNI or Weber State but I could see FAMU getting in. I think the committee will have a tough time selecting the last team with 15 of the teams being fairly easy.

FAMU getting in would be a travesty

SmallCollegeFBFan wrote:Based on a few teams laying eggs here is the list I have from each league:

Auto Bids
CAA- Villanova
MVC- SIU
Big Sky- Montana
SoCon- App St.
SLC- Stephen F. Austin
OVC- EIU
MEAC- SC St.
Patriot League- Holy Cross

At-Large Possibilities

IN THE FIELD
CAA Richmond
CAA William & Mary
CAA UNH
SLC McNeese State
MVC South Dakota St.
SoCon Elon

LIKELY IN THE FIELD
Big Sky Eastern Washington 8-3

BUBBLE
MVC Northern Iowa 7-4
Big Sky Weber State 7-4
MEAC Florida A&M 8-3

I did not think Weber State would get in but they are clearly a shot because of teams like Liberty, Lafayette, and UNI losing. If it was me I would take EWU and either UNI or Weber State but I could see FAMU getting in. I think the committee will have a tough time selecting the last team with 15 of the teams being fairly easy.

Sounds about right, although I think Weber at 7-4 is about 85% to get the last spot.

Bubble Team resumes:

Weber State 7-4 DI, 6-2 BSC, #2 in Big Sky conference play by virtue of the head-to-head 31-13 beat down of Eastern Washington on the road in Cheney, best wins over GPI #11 Eastern Washington, GPI #23 Northern Arizona, and GPI #35 Cal Poly by an average margin of 23 points, worst loss to GPI #20 Montana State by 5 points. Sagarin strength of schedule: 57.01

Eastern Washington 7-3 DI, (8-3 including the DII win), 6-2 BSC, #3 in Big Sky Conference having lost the head-to-head to Weber State, best wins over GPI #20 Montana State, GPI #23 Northern Arizona, and GPI #31 Southern Utah, by an average of 9.3 poinst, worst loss to GPI #14 Weber State by 18 points. Sagarin strength of schedule: 57.54

Northern Iowa 7-4 DI, 5-3 MVFC, #4 in the MVCF by virture of having lost the head-to-head with Illinois State, best wins over GPI #33 Missouri State and GPI #34 Youngstown State by an average of 24.5 points, worst loss to GPI #40 Illinois State by 2 points. Sagarin strength of schedule: 57.96

Florida A&M 8-3 DI, 6-2 MEAC, ZERO wins over any team ranked in the GPI top 50, best win was over GPI #86 Delaware State by 9 points, worst loss to GPI #85 Hampton by 25 points. Sagarin strength of schedule: 43.58.

GPI and Sagarin numbers are those released last week after the games of 14 November.

Weber should definitely be #7 (they beat EWU handily).

EWU should definitely be #8.


To me, any of the other "bubble" teams getting in over those two would be a shock. EWU & Weber have better FCS records than UNI & Lafayette while they have clearly tougher schedules than Colgate, Liberty, & FAMU. The committee has made inexplicable decisions before, though.

Just to echo others, Weber should be in without a doubt, IMO.

Based on the latest Sagarin, UNI is ahead of Weber, and SFA is down around where Liberty fell to.

Mvemjsunpx wrote:Weber should definitely be #7 (they beat EWU handily).

EWU should definitely be #8.


To me, any of the other "bubble" teams getting in over those two would be a shock. EWU & Weber have better FCS records than UNI & Lafayette while they have clearly tougher schedules than Colgate, Liberty, & FAMU. The committee has made inexplicable decisions before, though.

Weber should be in, but not @ #7 with fewer wins than EWU.

ToTheLeft wrote:Based on the latest Sagarin, UNI is ahead of Weber, and SFA is down around where Liberty fell to.

And based on the latest Sagarin, Elon is better than App.

EWURanger wrote:

Mvemjsunpx wrote:Weber should definitely be #7 (they beat EWU handily).

EWU should definitely be #8.


To me, any of the other "bubble" teams getting in over those two would be a shock. EWU & Weber have better FCS records than UNI & Lafayette while they have clearly tougher schedules than Colgate, Liberty, & FAMU. The committee has made inexplicable decisions before, though.

Weber should be in, but not @ #7 with fewer wins than EWU.

You guys have the same # of wins. DI wins are all that count. And Weber won H2H. Give it up, beating Directional Oregon doesn't mean jack.

SmallCollegeFBFan wrote:Based on a few teams laying eggs here is the list I have from each league:

Auto Bids
CAA- Villanova
MVC- SIU
Big Sky- Montana
SoCon- App St.
SLC- Stephen F. Austin
OVC- EIU
MEAC- SC St.
Patriot League- Holy Cross

At-Large Possibilities

IN THE FIELD
CAA Richmond
CAA William & Mary
CAA UNH
SLC McNeese State
MVC South Dakota St.
SoCon Elon

LIKELY IN THE FIELD
Big Sky Eastern Washington 8-3

BUBBLE
MVC Northern Iowa 7-4
Big Sky Weber State 7-4
MEAC Florida A&M 8-3

I did not think Weber State would get in but they are clearly a shot because of teams like Liberty, Lafayette, and UNI losing. If it was me I would take EWU and either UNI or Weber State but I could see FAMU getting in. I think the committee will have a tough time selecting the last team with 15 of the teams being fairly easy.

If EWU is in, Weber is in. The committee has shown in years past they like the head to head outcome in two teams being close to equal.

I think that the committee holds their nose and takes Weeber last. They're both good teams in good leagues and of comparable ability this year, imo. The committee probably wants UNI for the Dome attendance; the problem is that UNI peaked earlier in the year and would go into the playoffs with their best ball already played.

houndawg wrote:I think that the committee holds their nose and takes Weeber last. They're both good teams in good leagues and of comparable ability this year, imo. The committee probably wants UNI for the Dome attendance; the problem is that UNI peaked earlier in the year and would go into the playoffs with their best ball already played.

And probably a second string QB

There is also a chance that Weber gets taken over EWU thanks to head to head, and Weber didn't schedule a D2. In addition, Weber finished 2nd in the Big Sky. I would love to see the BSC as a 3 bid conference..I just think EWU should be a little more wary than they are.

FAMU doesn't have a chance in hell at an at-large.

Team ahead of FAMU in rank order (for 2 spots):

EWU
Weber St.
UNI
Colgate
Liberty
FAMU

danefan wrote:FAMU doesn't have a chance in hell at an at-large.

Team ahead of FAMU in rank order (for 2 spots):

EWU
Weber St.
UNI
Colgate
Liberty
FAMU

Agree 100%, and with the rank order as well.

I think EWU and Weber both make it. I don't think it matters which one is considered the 7th or 8th at large.

There is a slim chance that 9-2 Colgate gets in over 7-4 Weber.

BlueHen86 wrote:I think EWU and Weber both make it. I don't think it matters which one is considered the 7th or 8th at large.

There is a slim chance that 9-2 Colgate gets in over 7-4 Weber.

It matters with regard to who gets to go to Brookings and who gets to go to Lake Charles.

GrizMonster wrote:There is also a chance that Weber gets taken over EWU thanks to head to head, and Weber didn't schedule a D2. In addition, Weber finished 2nd in the Big Sky. I would love to see the BSC as a 3 bid conference..I just think EWU should be a little more wary than they are.

I agree with Weber being taken over EWU, but that still leaves on spot remaining. Which other bubble team has a better resume than EWU?

kalm wrote:

GrizMonster wrote:There is also a chance that Weber gets taken over EWU thanks to head to head, and Weber didn't schedule a D2. In addition, Weber finished 2nd in the Big Sky. I would love to see the BSC as a 3 bid conference..I just think EWU should be a little more wary than they are.

I agree with Weber being taken over EWU, but that still leaves on spot remaining. Which other bubble team has a better resume than EWU?

As the chips happened to fall this year, there is no reason to exclude either Eastern Washington or Weber. This should not be a difficult discussion for the selection committee.

native wrote:

kalm wrote:
I agree with Weber being taken over EWU, but that still leaves on spot remaining. Which other bubble team has a better resume than EWU?

As the chips happened to fall this year, there is no reason to exclude either Eastern Washington or Weber. This should not be a difficult discussion for the selection committee.

No doubt...

kalm wrote:

GrizMonster wrote:There is also a chance that Weber gets taken over EWU thanks to head to head, and Weber didn't schedule a D2. In addition, Weber finished 2nd in the Big Sky. I would love to see the BSC as a 3 bid conference..I just think EWU should be a little more wary than they are.

I agree with Weber being taken over EWU, but that still leaves on spot remaining. Which other bubble team has a better resume than EWU?

Nobody that I have seen.

When is the announcement?!!!!

dbackjon wrote:

houndawg wrote:I think that the committee holds their nose and takes Weeber last. They're both good teams in good leagues and of comparable ability this year, imo. The committee probably wants UNI for the Dome attendance; the problem is that UNI peaked earlier in the year and would go into the playoffs with their best ball already played.

And probably a second string QB

Many would argue that would be a good thing.

EWashEagle wrote:When is the announcement?!!!!

3 PM EST
12 PM PST