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Top Rankings for Computer and Human Poll Biases After 11/14

Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 12:51 am
by eastbayaggie
Top Rankings for Computer and Human Poll Biases - Week after 11/14 Games*


Top 10 Teams Whose Rankings are Biased Towards the Computer's Favor

1 James Madison (5-5) 0.499 (Last Week's Ranking #1)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #12, #12, #13, #14, #15
Human Rankings: #28, #29, #40-42(Tied)

2 Delaware (6-4) 0.362 (Last Week's Ranking #3)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #13, #14, #15, #15, #16
Human Rankings: #22, #25, #26

3 Eastern Washington (7-3) 0.311 (Last Week's Ranking #5)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #8, #9, #10, #11, #11
Human Rankings: #18, #18, #18

4 Weber State (6-4) 0.234 (Last Week's Ranking #10)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #12, #12, #13, #14, #15
Human Rankings: #19, #19, #20

5 Montana State (7-3) 0.170 (Last Week's Ranking #8)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #17,#17, #18, #20, #20
Human Rankings: #20, #23, #23

6 South Dakota State (7-3) 0.169 (Last Week's Ranking #6)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #8, #8, #9, #10, #11
Human Rankings: #12, #12, #12

7 Northern Arizona (5-5) 0.163 (Last Week's Ranking #2)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #19, #19, #22, #24, #25
Human Rankings: #30-32(Tied) #34, Unranked

8 Northern Iowa (7-3) 0.136 (Last Week's Ranking #9)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #6, #7, #7, #7, #8
Human Rankings: #9, #10, #11

9 Massachusetts
(5-5) 0.113 (Last Week's Ranking #4)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #20, #22, #22, #25, #26
Human Rankings: #32-33(Tied), #34-38(Tied), #Unranked

10 Jacksonville State (7-3) 0.088 (Last Week's Ranking #7)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #12, #13, #13, #16, #17
Human Rankings: #15, #17, #17


Dropped Out of Top 10

None


Top 10 Teams Whose Rankings Are Biased Towards the Human Poll's Favor


1 McNeese State
(8-2) -0.451 (Last Week's Ranking #1)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #18, #20, #21, #21, #21
Human Rankings: #8, #8, #8

2 South Carolina State (9-1) -0.446 (Last Week's Ranking #4)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #16, #18, #21, #21, #22
Human Rankings: #7, #7, #7

3 Holy Cross (9-1) -0.382 (Last Week's Ranking #2)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #20, #22, #25, #25, #26
Human Rankings: #13, #13, #14

4 Eastern Illinois
(8-2) -0.365 (Last Week's Ranking #9)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #20, #22, #24, #26, #26
Human Rankings: #13, #14, #15

5 Prairie View (7-1) -0.248 (Last Week's Ranking #7)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #36, #43, #43, #46, #48
Human Rankings: #19, #20, #21

6 Colgate (9-2) -0.160 (Last Week's Ranking #12)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #36, #38, #42, #42, #44
Human Rankings: #21, #22, #23

7 Lafayette
(8-2) -0.122 (Last Week's Ranking #11)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #23, #25, #26, #27, #27
Human Rankings: #21, #22, #24

8 Montana
(10-0) -0.094 (Last Week's Ranking #10)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #4, #4, #5, #5, #6
Human Rankings: #1, #3, #3

9 Southern Illinois (9-1) -0.088 (Last Week's Ranking #13)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #3, #4, #4, #5, #5
Human Rankings: #1, #1, #2

10 Stephen F. Austin (8-2) -0.070 (Last Week's Ranking #5)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #14, #14, #17, #19, #20
Human Rankings: #13, #15, #16


Dropped Out of Top 10


Appalachian State
Liberty
Florida A&M



*Computer Rankings: (% of points of Massey, Sagarin, Laz Index, Keeper, Self, Ashburn, and Sauceda (-high and low rankings))/5
Human Poll: (% of points AGS + % of points SN + % of points coaches poll)/3
Bias = Computer Rankings - Human Poll


Bonus Ranking

Top 2 Teams Whose Rankings are Biased Between Human Polls

1 Montana State 0.129** % of points of AGS poll - % of points of FCS poll
2 Prairie View 0.113 *** % of points of FCS poll - % of points of AGS poll

** Montana State received 476 points out of 86 voters in the Any Given Saturday poll and only 65 points out of 28 voters in the FCS Coaches poll.
*** Prairie View received 210 points out of 28 voters in the FCS Coaches poll and only 403 points out of 86 voters in the Any Given Saturday poll.

Link to Gridiron Power Index (GPI) 11/16/2009
http://www.collegesportingnews.com/stat ... 16gpi.html

Re: Top Rankings for Computer and Human Poll Biases After 11/14

Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 6:47 am
by dbackjon
Interesting as always. Humans really over rate the gaudy records of the Colgates/PVAMs of the world

Re: Top Rankings for Computer and Human Poll Biases After 11/14

Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 9:33 am
by native
dbackjon wrote:Interesting as always. Humans really over rate the gaudy records of the Colgates/PVAMs of the world
Ditto.

Re: Top Rankings for Computer and Human Poll Biases After 11/14

Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 9:37 am
by Skjellyfetti
Woo hoo!! Appalachian is no longer overrated!!


Spoiler: show
Does this mean they were never overrated? :coffee:

Re: Top Rankings for Computer and Human Poll Biases After 11/14

Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:06 am
by FCS Update
eastbayaggie wrote: [/color][/b]

Top 10 Teams Whose Rankings Are Biased Towards the Human Poll's Favor


1 McNeese State
(8-2) -0.451 (Last Week's Ranking #1)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #18, #20, #21, #21, #21
Human Rankings: #8, #8, #8

2 South Carolina State (9-1) -0.446 (Last Week's Ranking #4)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #16, #18, #21, #21, #22
Human Rankings: #7, #7, #7

3 Holy Cross (9-1) -0.382 (Last Week's Ranking #2)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #20, #22, #25, #25, #26
Human Rankings: #13, #13, #14

4 Eastern Illinois
(8-2) -0.365 (Last Week's Ranking #9)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #20, #22, #24, #26, #26
Human Rankings: #13, #14, #15

Link to Gridiron Power Index (GPI) 11/16/2009
http://www.collegesportingnews.com/stat ... 16gpi.html
Interesting...looks like 4 first round losers.

Re: Top Rankings for Computer and Human Poll Biases After 11/14

Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:36 am
by native
FCS Update wrote:
eastbayaggie wrote: [/color][/b]

Top 10 Teams Whose Rankings Are Biased Towards the Human Poll's Favor


1 McNeese State
(8-2) -0.451 (Last Week's Ranking #1)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #18, #20, #21, #21, #21
Human Rankings: #8, #8, #8

2 South Carolina State (9-1) -0.446 (Last Week's Ranking #4)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #16, #18, #21, #21, #22
Human Rankings: #7, #7, #7

3 Holy Cross (9-1) -0.382 (Last Week's Ranking #2)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #20, #22, #25, #25, #26
Human Rankings: #13, #13, #14

4 Eastern Illinois
(8-2) -0.365 (Last Week's Ranking #9)
Middle 5 Computer Rankings: #20, #22, #24, #26, #26
Human Rankings: #13, #14, #15

Link to Gridiron Power Index (GPI) 11/16/2009
http://www.collegesportingnews.com/stat ... 16gpi.html
Interesting...looks like 4 first round losers.

Bingo!