Some good news on climate

Political discussions
User avatar
BDKJMU
Level5
Level5
Posts: 28190
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2009 6:59 am
I am a fan of: JMU
A.K.A.: BDKJMU
Location: Philly Burbs

Re: Climate Change Thread Megathread

Post by BDKJMU »

UNI88 wrote: Wed Jul 19, 2023 2:30 pm
BDKJMU wrote: Wed Jul 19, 2023 1:59 pm
Look at the dates. They were polled at the peak of summer in the middle of a heat wave wirh all the accompanying alarmist news compared to the last poll being done in the middle of the fall with nothing going on.. :lol:

Now do the same poll like the last one, in the middle of Oct..
Fair point. My guess is that it won't be as bad as the current poll but will still be worse than the October 2021 poll.

Attitudes are gradually changing and MAGAt yahoo statements and policies could be on the wrong side of public opinion in the future.
Maybe. 3/5/3 points higher now. If you poll again middle Oct maybe would be a couple of points higher..
..peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard..
..But you have to go home now. We have to have peace…
..I know how you feel, but go home, and go home in peace.
JMU Football: 2022 & 2023 Sun Belt East Champions.
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59651
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Climate Change Thread Megathread

Post by kalm »

UNI88 wrote: Wed Jul 19, 2023 2:28 pm
kalm wrote: Wed Jul 19, 2023 2:18 pm

Impacts for me:

Cost and availability of water both public and private. Restrictions on what crops to grow for our farmed land and our garden.

Draught and irrigation impacts on golf local golf courses, the lakes and streams I like to fish and the habitats I love.

Population increases to our area from hotter climates.

Increased threat of skin cancer (wife already had melanoma once).

I’m resigned to accepting what happens. It’s impossible to be an American and not hypocritical on climate. Our lifestyle demands it. But I’ll continue to work on being better about the small things within my control like gardening, less consumption, recycling, etc.
What is the impact of golf courses on climate and the environment? Do they use too much water and harm the ecosystem? Would we be better off returning golf courses to native vegetation? Maybe you should close down your course to really demonstrate your commitment.
Yes. They have used too much water. That’s changed a bit through improved maintenance practices (allowing more marginal areas to go to native/non-irrigated, soil amendments and wetting agents that decreases water needs, more water efficient sprinkler heads and clocks, etc.

The average American lawn itself is a drain. Irrigation, greater chemical use than most golf courses, non-draught resistant grass species. But that too is improving by necessity with hardscaping and lower impact cover crops.

As for me. We were forced already to close down 9 holes due to water rates and that’s after we’d reduced consumption through the above practices. We’ve used on average 60% of the water our direct competitors use. Wasn’t enough though as the front 9 is being developed for residential single family and sone multi family units which ironically will use way more water than the course did (trust me, I did the research).

So yeah…in this regard I’ve had skin in the game and have demonstrated commitment.
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
UNI88
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 20348
Joined: Mon Aug 25, 2008 8:30 am
I am a fan of: UNI
Location: the foggy, woggy banks Of the Limpopo River

Re: Climate Change Thread Megathread

Post by UNI88 »

kalm wrote: Wed Jul 19, 2023 4:24 pm
UNI88 wrote: Wed Jul 19, 2023 2:28 pm
What is the impact of golf courses on climate and the environment? Do they use too much water and harm the ecosystem? Would we be better off returning golf courses to native vegetation? Maybe you should close down your course to really demonstrate your commitment.
Yes. They have used too much water. That’s changed a bit through improved maintenance practices (allowing more marginal areas to go to native/non-irrigated, soil amendments and wetting agents that decreases water needs, more water efficient sprinkler heads and clocks, etc.

The average American lawn itself is a drain. Irrigation, greater chemical use than most golf courses, non-draught resistant grass species. But that too is improving by necessity with hardscaping and lower impact cover crops.

As for me. We were forced already to close down 9 holes due to water rates and that’s after we’d reduced consumption through the above practices. We’ve used on average 60% of the water our direct competitors use. Wasn’t enough though as the front 9 is being developed for residential single family and sone multi family units which ironically will use way more water than the course did (trust me, I did the research).

So yeah…in this regard I’ve had skin in the game and have demonstrated commitment.
Good for you!

And "the front 9 is being developed for residential single family and some multi family units which ironically will use way more water than the course did" is where conservation can conflict with affordable housing (not that golf course properties are typically "affordable"). Not everyone wants to pay for or live in densely packed LEED certified apartment/condo buildings in the city center where they can take public transportation.
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59651
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by kalm »

Well this doesn’t look like good news…at all…

Image
Image
Image
houndawg
Level5
Level5
Posts: 23480
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:14 pm
I am a fan of: SIU
A.K.A.: houndawg
Location: Egypt

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by houndawg »

kalm wrote: Thu Jul 20, 2023 3:08 pm Well this doesn’t look like good news…at all…

we've been lucky so far to be a sweet spot, the range of weather we get hasn't changed much but when we get it seems to be changing.
The best way to keep people passive and obedient is to strictly limit the spectrum of opinion but allow very lively debate within that spectrum - Noam Chomsky
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59651
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by kalm »

Image
Image
Image
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 16557
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by SeattleGriz »

kalm wrote: Thu Jul 20, 2023 3:08 pm Well this doesn’t look like good news…at all…

Can you tell me how that was measured?
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59651
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by kalm »

SeattleGriz wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 7:47 am
kalm wrote: Thu Jul 20, 2023 3:08 pm Well this doesn’t look like good news…at all…

Can you tell me how that was measured?
It says at the bottom the numbers come from NOAA. Not sure how they measure other than thermometers…in the ocean.

Why?
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 16557
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by SeattleGriz »

kalm wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 7:58 am
SeattleGriz wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 7:47 am

Can you tell me how that was measured?
It says at the bottom the numbers come from NOAA. Not sure how they measure other than thermometers…in the ocean.

Why?
Because the "data" presented has been interpolated to fill in large gaps. Meaning they don't have actual measurements.

In addition, Leon uses the Climate Reanalyzer in which NOAA states:
NOAA, whose figures are considered the gold standard in climate data, said in a statement Thursday that it cannot validate the unofficial numbers. It noted that the reanalyzer uses model output data, which it called “not suitable” as substitutes for actual temperatures and climate records. The agency monitors global temperatures and records on a monthly and an annual basis, not daily.
In essence, Leon is using made up data and not actual measurements. A model. Remember our previous discussion on models? Someone has to make an assumption for the model to function.
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59651
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by kalm »

SeattleGriz wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 8:07 am
kalm wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 7:58 am

It says at the bottom the numbers come from NOAA. Not sure how they measure other than thermometers…in the ocean.

Why?
Because the "data" presented has been interpolated to fill in large gaps. Meaning they don't have actual measurements.

In addition, Leon uses the Climate Reanalyzer in which NOAA states:
NOAA, whose figures are considered the gold standard in climate data, said in a statement Thursday that it cannot validate the unofficial numbers. It noted that the reanalyzer uses model output data, which it called “not suitable” as substitutes for actual temperatures and climate records. The agency monitors global temperatures and records on a monthly and an annual basis, not daily.
In essence, Leon is using made up data and not actual measurements. A model. Remember our previous discussion on models? Someone has to make an assumption for the model to function.
How about a link?
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 16557
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by SeattleGriz »

kalm wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 8:24 am
SeattleGriz wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 8:07 am

Because the "data" presented has been interpolated to fill in large gaps. Meaning they don't have actual measurements.

In addition, Leon uses the Climate Reanalyzer in which NOAA states:



In essence, Leon is using made up data and not actual measurements. A model. Remember our previous discussion on models? Someone has to make an assumption for the model to function.
How about a link?
Here's the link to the AP story in which NOAA distances itself from Climate Reanalyzer. Also, do you know what the 0 - 60 N on Leon's chart means?

https://apnews.com/article/global-heat- ... b1a37efe23
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59651
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by kalm »

SeattleGriz wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 9:02 am
kalm wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 8:24 am

How about a link?
Here's the link to the AP story in which NOAA distances itself from Climate Reanalyzer. Also, do you know what the 0 - 60 N on Leon's chart means?

https://apnews.com/article/global-heat- ... b1a37efe23
Interesting and thank you.

The link deals with land temps. Is NOAA also backing away from CR’s water temps?

Also, NOAA still acknowledges the warming signals and threats. Are they to be believed in that regard as well?
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 16557
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by SeattleGriz »

kalm wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 9:17 am
SeattleGriz wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 9:02 am

Here's the link to the AP story in which NOAA distances itself from Climate Reanalyzer. Also, do you know what the 0 - 60 N on Leon's chart means?

https://apnews.com/article/global-heat- ... b1a37efe23
Interesting and thank you.

The link deals with land temps. Is NOAA also backing away from CR’s water temps?

Also, NOAA still acknowledges the warming signals and threats. Are they to be believed in that regard as well?
I don't know the answer, but would assume if CR is using the same methodology, NOAA would have the same stance.

CR does a nice job of providing visuals and filling in gaps, but NOAA knows it unfortunately can't have data "smoothed over". It has to provide the actual data.

It's a shame, because CR is a useful visual tool, but when the difference is only .3 degrees, we get all the stories about "hottest on record" vs status quo.
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30953
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by Gil Dobie »

Obama built a mansion on the water, north coast of Oahu. He appears to ignore his parties fear mongering. Algore and the 20 foot sea rise hasn't happened.
Image
houndawg
Level5
Level5
Posts: 23480
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:14 pm
I am a fan of: SIU
A.K.A.: houndawg
Location: Egypt

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by houndawg »

Gil Dobie wrote: Sun Jul 23, 2023 6:58 am Obama built a mansion on the water, north coast of Oahu. He appears to ignore his parties fear mongering. Algore and the 20 foot sea rise hasn't happened.
Clearly a Democrat hoax. :coffee:
The best way to keep people passive and obedient is to strictly limit the spectrum of opinion but allow very lively debate within that spectrum - Noam Chomsky
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 16557
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by SeattleGriz »

houndawg wrote: Mon Jul 24, 2023 12:11 pm
Gil Dobie wrote: Sun Jul 23, 2023 6:58 am Obama built a mansion on the water, north coast of Oahu. He appears to ignore his parties fear mongering. Algore and the 20 foot sea rise hasn't happened.
Clearly a Democrat hoax. :coffee:
Close. Clearly a dip shit hoax.
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
User avatar
Winterborn
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 8812
Joined: Wed May 25, 2016 2:33 pm
I am a fan of: Beer and Diesel Pickups
Location: Wherever I hang my hat

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by Winterborn »

SeattleGriz wrote: Sat Jul 22, 2023 7:47 am
kalm wrote: Thu Jul 20, 2023 3:08 pm Well this doesn’t look like good news…at all…

Can you tell me how that was measured?
You ask good questions. :coffee:
“The best of all things is to learn. Money can be lost or stolen, health and strength may fail, but what you have committed to your mind is yours forever.” – Louis L’Amour

“Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.” - G. Michael Hopf

"I am neither especially clever nor especially gifted. I am only very, very curious.” – Albert Einstein
houndawg
Level5
Level5
Posts: 23480
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:14 pm
I am a fan of: SIU
A.K.A.: houndawg
Location: Egypt

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by houndawg »

SeattleGriz wrote: Mon Jul 24, 2023 8:14 pm
houndawg wrote: Mon Jul 24, 2023 12:11 pm

Clearly a Democrat hoax. :coffee:
Close. Clearly a dip shit hoax.
Move along, nothing to see here. :coffee:
The best way to keep people passive and obedient is to strictly limit the spectrum of opinion but allow very lively debate within that spectrum - Noam Chomsky
User avatar
BDKJMU
Level5
Level5
Posts: 28190
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2009 6:59 am
I am a fan of: JMU
A.K.A.: BDKJMU
Location: Philly Burbs

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by BDKJMU »

Clinton: If only you’d elected me it wouldn’t be so hot outside.. :dunce: :lol: :rofl:
..peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard..
..But you have to go home now. We have to have peace…
..I know how you feel, but go home, and go home in peace.
JMU Football: 2022 & 2023 Sun Belt East Champions.
User avatar
GannonFan
Level5
Level5
Posts: 18123
Joined: Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:51 am
I am a fan of: Delaware
A.K.A.: Non-Partisan Hack

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by GannonFan »

BDKJMU wrote: Wed Jul 26, 2023 8:49 pm Clinton: If only you’d elected me it wouldn’t be so hot outside.. :dunce: :lol: :rofl:
I don't remember her advocating for widespread nuclear power in the '80's when we could've really made gains in reducing greenhouse emissions due to power generation. The climate mess is a collective failure by all sides in politics - too much focus on politics rather than on genuine avenues for environmental improvements. Nothing we do now is going to have any significant effect on the next few decades.
Proud Member of the Blue Hen Nation
houndawg
Level5
Level5
Posts: 23480
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:14 pm
I am a fan of: SIU
A.K.A.: houndawg
Location: Egypt

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by houndawg »

GannonFan wrote: Thu Jul 27, 2023 6:12 am
BDKJMU wrote: Wed Jul 26, 2023 8:49 pm Clinton: If only you’d elected me it wouldn’t be so hot outside.. :dunce: :lol: :rofl:
I don't remember her advocating for widespread nuclear power in the '80's when we could've really made gains in reducing greenhouse emissions due to power generation. The climate mess is a collective failure by all sides in politics - too much focus on politics rather than on genuine avenues for environmental improvements. Nothing we do now is going to have any significant effect on the next few decades.
Nuclear had issues in the 80s that it doesn't have today because the technology has advanced and we're more careful about stuff like building plants on earthquake faults. Small decentralized nuke plants without weaponizable waste are doable now, and should be .
The best way to keep people passive and obedient is to strictly limit the spectrum of opinion but allow very lively debate within that spectrum - Noam Chomsky
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59651
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by kalm »

GannonFan wrote: Thu Jul 27, 2023 6:12 am
BDKJMU wrote: Wed Jul 26, 2023 8:49 pm Clinton: If only you’d elected me it wouldn’t be so hot outside.. :dunce: :lol: :rofl:
I don't remember her advocating for widespread nuclear power in the '80's when we could've really made gains in reducing greenhouse emissions due to power generation. The climate mess is a collective failure by all sides in politics - too much focus on politics rather than on genuine avenues for environmental improvements. Nothing we do now is going to have any significant effect on the next few decades.
Nothing?

We shouldn’t even try? ;)
Image
Image
Image
houndawg
Level5
Level5
Posts: 23480
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:14 pm
I am a fan of: SIU
A.K.A.: houndawg
Location: Egypt

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by houndawg »

kalm wrote: Thu Jul 27, 2023 6:27 am
GannonFan wrote: Thu Jul 27, 2023 6:12 am

I don't remember her advocating for widespread nuclear power in the '80's when we could've really made gains in reducing greenhouse emissions due to power generation. The climate mess is a collective failure by all sides in politics - too much focus on politics rather than on genuine avenues for environmental improvements. Nothing we do now is going to have any significant effect on the next few decades.
Nothing?

We shouldn’t even try? ;)
We should. What will happen is that the usual crowd will start up a steady drumbeat of: "See? Nothing is changing, these ineffective restrictions are hurting bidniz and should be done away with immediately in the interest of shareholder values".
The best way to keep people passive and obedient is to strictly limit the spectrum of opinion but allow very lively debate within that spectrum - Noam Chomsky
User avatar
GannonFan
Level5
Level5
Posts: 18123
Joined: Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:51 am
I am a fan of: Delaware
A.K.A.: Non-Partisan Hack

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by GannonFan »

houndawg wrote: Thu Jul 27, 2023 6:35 am
kalm wrote: Thu Jul 27, 2023 6:27 am

Nothing?

We shouldn’t even try? ;)
We should. What will happen is that the usual crowd will start up a steady drumbeat of: "See? Nothing is changing, these ineffective restrictions are hurting bidniz and should be done away with immediately in the interest of shareholder values".
Of course we should try. But it's also going to have to be realistic. Energy production can and should rely heavily on nuclear, wind, and solar. We need to be realistic and push these nuclear options through without the steadfast resistance that has met them to date. Cars should certainly be pushing towards hybrid at a minimum and that could happen today. Going full-on electric isn't something that's feasible today (sourcing battery components is problematic, ensuring rapid charging stations nationwide are in place is far from realizable at the moment but getting there, and of course the cars just cost way too much to allow people to make the move) but could be ten years from now. Increasing mileages to over 50 mpg (and in some cases well above that) should be relatively straightforward and we're already moving in that direction. Those two things will go a long way to making the US a significantly lower emitter in the years ahead.

The real challenge now, assuming that we can convince the left to go nuclear and can convince the right to go electric with vehicles (and both groups have been stubborn to say the least before and partly why we are where we are today) is what to do with the rest of the world. Both China and India, among others, are going to be significant emitters for decades to come, as well as other collections of developing nations. It's not really feasible for them to go all nuclear nor would we really want that unless safety can be controlled by groups outside of those countries. And the population of the world is obviously an issue (people keep breathing and needing to eat) so how do we control that without going all Malthusian. Making America a net zero emitter is really the easier thing to do - but it doesn't do much for the world and for the global climate if we don't have answers for other things. Saying that we're not going to fly airplanes and never drive again or eliminate cows from the world aren't legitimate environmental policies, nor is lowering the standards of living. But everything else is on the table.
Proud Member of the Blue Hen Nation
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59651
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Some good news on climate

Post by kalm »

GannonFan wrote: Thu Jul 27, 2023 7:11 am
houndawg wrote: Thu Jul 27, 2023 6:35 am

We should. What will happen is that the usual crowd will start up a steady drumbeat of: "See? Nothing is changing, these ineffective restrictions are hurting bidniz and should be done away with immediately in the interest of shareholder values".
Of course we should try. But it's also going to have to be realistic. Energy production can and should rely heavily on nuclear, wind, and solar. We need to be realistic and push these nuclear options through without the steadfast resistance that has met them to date. Cars should certainly be pushing towards hybrid at a minimum and that could happen today. Going full-on electric isn't something that's feasible today (sourcing battery components is problematic, ensuring rapid charging stations nationwide are in place is far from realizable at the moment but getting there, and of course the cars just cost way too much to allow people to make the move) but could be ten years from now. Increasing mileages to over 50 mpg (and in some cases well above that) should be relatively straightforward and we're already moving in that direction. Those two things will go a long way to making the US a significantly lower emitter in the years ahead.

The real challenge now, assuming that we can convince the left to go nuclear and can convince the right to go electric with vehicles (and both groups have been stubborn to say the least before and partly why we are where we are today) is what to do with the rest of the world. Both China and India, among others, are going to be significant emitters for decades to come, as well as other collections of developing nations. It's not really feasible for them to go all nuclear nor would we really want that unless safety can be controlled by groups outside of those countries. And the population of the world is obviously an issue (people keep breathing and needing to eat) so how do we control that without going all Malthusian. Making America a net zero emitter is really the easier thing to do - but it doesn't do much for the world and for the global climate if we don't have answers for other things. Saying that we're not going to fly airplanes and never drive again or eliminate cows from the world aren't legitimate environmental policies, nor is lowering the standards of living. But everything else is on the table.
This a solid summary.

We are attached to the convenience of oil infrastructure and delicious beef. Much of the rest of the world follows suit.
Image
Image
Image
Post Reply