On the 2022 elections thing: If I had to bet I'd bet the Democrats lose ground. But that's because of the history of mid term elections. I think that, even though neither party is particularly popular right now, The Democrat Party is doing better than the Republican Party right now.
The latest YouGov poll is an example. See
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/1aaz80mjhy/ ... Report.pdf. In that one 45% of registered voters view the Democrat Party favorably while 32% view the Republican Party favorably. 21% view the Democrat Party "very favorably." Only 9% view the Republican Party like that. Polls have error. But those are pretty big differences.
There's also the Gallup Party affiliation thing. In the latest check on that, Gallup had 50% either Democrat or leaning Democrat vs. 41% either Republican or leaning Republican.
Meanwhile Biden is still above 50% in the Real Clear Politics Job Approval rating. 52.2% approve vs. 43.8% disapprove. As you now, the highest Real Clear Politics job approval Trump ever got was 47.4%.
Again: If I had to bet, I'd bet the Republicans do well in 2022. Can't ignore the history. But, right now, the Republicans aren't doing real well in terms of public perception. Right now, they have a bigger problem in that regard than the Democrats do.