Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Political discussions
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 48937
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by kalm »

Interesting read and historical call backs.

Overblown hysterics or legitimate threat?


Of the many things humans are consistently terrible at doing, seeing the future is somewhere near the top of the list. This flaw became a preoccupation among Megadeath Intellectuals such as Herman Kahn and his fellow economists, mathematicians, and former military officers at the Rand Corporation in the 1960s.

Kahn and his colleagues helped invent modern futurism, which was born of the existential dread that the bomb ushered in, and hardened by the understanding that most innovation is horizontal in nature—a copy of what already exists, rather than wholly new. Real invention is extraordinarily rare, and far more disruptive.

The logician and philosopher Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, who overlapped with Kahn at Rand and would later co-found the Institute for the Future, arrived in California after having fled the Nazis, an experience that gave his desire to peer into the future a particular kind of urgency. He argued that the acceleration of technological change had established the need for a new epistemological approach to fields such as engineering, medicine, the social sciences, and so on. “No longer does it take generations for a new pattern of living conditions to evolve,” he wrote, “but we are going through several major adjustments in our lives, and our children will have to adopt continual adaptation as a way of life.” In 1965, he wrote a book called Social Technology that aimed to create a scientific methodology for predicting the future.


In those same years, Kahn was dreaming up his own hypothetical machine to provide a philosophical framework for the new threats humanity faced. He called it the Doomsday Machine, and also the Doomsday-in-a-Hurry Machine, and also the Homicide Pact Machine. Stanley Kubrick famously borrowed the concept for the 1964 film Dr. Strangelove, the cinematic apotheosis of the fatalism that came with living on hair-trigger alert for nuclear annihilation.

Today’s fatalism about the brokenness of the internet feels similar. We’re still in the infancy of this century’s triple digital revolution of the internet, smartphones, and the social web, and we find ourselves in a dangerous and unstable informational environment, powerless to resist forces of manipulation and exploitation that we know are exerted on us but remain mostly invisible. The Doomsday Machine offers a lesson: We should not accept this current arrangement. No single machine should be able to control so many people.
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/ ... ne/617384/
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
AZGrizFan
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 55643
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 4:40 pm
I am a fan of: Sexual Chocolate
Location: Just to the right of center

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by AZGrizFan »

He left out one verifiable fact in his conclusion:

People are, in essence, idiots. They will willingly be led to slaughter and be happy doing so if told in the right way.
"Ah fuck. You are right." KYJelly, 11/6/12
"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12
Image
User avatar
SDHornet
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 15635
Joined: Tue Mar 31, 2009 12:50 pm
I am a fan of: Sacramento State Hornets

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by SDHornet »

AZGrizFan wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 6:36 pm He left out one verifiable fact in his conclusion:

People are, in essence, idiots. They will willingly be led to slaughter and be happy doing so if told in the right way.
:nod: The compliance by the unwashed masses with mask wearing even after multiple studies prove their ineffectiveness prove this point.
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Level5
Level5
Posts: 27767
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by Gil Dobie »

SDHornet wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:26 am
AZGrizFan wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 6:36 pm He left out one verifiable fact in his conclusion:

People are, in essence, idiots. They will willingly be led to slaughter and be happy doing so if told in the right way.
:nod: The compliance by the unwashed masses with mask wearing even after multiple studies prove their ineffectiveness prove this point.
Studies only address inhaling virus, which is not why mask are recommended as part of the protocol.

Show me one study that shows 100% of the virus escapes thru a mask, during an exhale, sneeze, cough, or just talking, when wearing a proper mask correctly, and I will quit talking about masks. Here is your chance. This is an open challenge to anyone.
ImageImageImageImage
ImageImageImageImage
User avatar
UNI88
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 10876
Joined: Mon Aug 25, 2008 8:30 am
I am a fan of: UNI
A.K.A.: Unification88
Location: Fence Sitter & Ball-Sack Splitter

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by UNI88 »

AZGrizFan wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 6:36 pm He left out one verifiable fact in his conclusion:

People are, in essence, idiots. They will willingly be led to slaughter and be happy doing so if told in the right way.
That statement applies equally well to the idiots on the left and the right. Both sides have their pied pipers that they will blindly follow to slaughter.

Image
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 10606
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by SeattleGriz »

UNI88 wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 8:17 am
AZGrizFan wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 6:36 pm He left out one verifiable fact in his conclusion:

People are, in essence, idiots. They will willingly be led to slaughter and be happy doing so if told in the right way.
That statement applies equally well to the idiots on the left and the right. Both sides have their pied pipers that they will blindly follow to slaughter.

Image
I wore my green pants for that portrait.
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 48937
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by kalm »

Gil Dobie wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 5:37 am
SDHornet wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:26 am

:nod: The compliance by the unwashed masses with mask wearing even after multiple studies prove their ineffectiveness prove this point.
Studies only address inhaling virus, which is not why mask are recommended as part of the protocol.

Show me one study that shows 100% of the virus escapes thru a mask, during an exhale, sneeze, cough, or just talking, when wearing a proper mask correctly, and I will quit talking about masks. Here is your chance. This is an open challenge to anyone.
Multiple peer reviewed observational studies that NOT wearing a mask or bitching about them raises your freedom quotient by triple.
Image
Image
Image
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 48937
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by kalm »

UNI88 wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 8:17 am
AZGrizFan wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 6:36 pm He left out one verifiable fact in his conclusion:

People are, in essence, idiots. They will willingly be led to slaughter and be happy doing so if told in the right way.
That statement applies equally well to the idiots on the left and the right. Both sides have their pied pipers that they will blindly follow to slaughter.

Image
Z is right except “he” is a she.

And what does left and right have to do with this?
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
UNI88
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 10876
Joined: Mon Aug 25, 2008 8:30 am
I am a fan of: UNI
A.K.A.: Unification88
Location: Fence Sitter & Ball-Sack Splitter

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by UNI88 »

kalm wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 8:40 am
UNI88 wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 8:17 am
That statement applies equally well to the idiots on the left and the right. Both sides have their pied pipers that they will blindly follow to slaughter.

Image
Z is right except “he” is a she.

And what does left and right have to do with this?
Z is right.

I made the leap based on past posts that Z thinks that many of "idiots" are on the left. Maybe I was wrong to make that assumption about Z but my point stands - there are plenty of idiots running around wrapping their cars, trucks, boats, houses, etc. in American Flags and Trump signs and calling themselves "Murican patriots. The "right way" to lead these idiots to slaughter is with inflammatory tweets.
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 48937
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by kalm »

UNI88 wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:17 am
kalm wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 8:40 am

Z is right except “he” is a she.

And what does left and right have to do with this?
Z is right.

I made the leap based on past posts that Z thinks that many of "idiots" are on the left. Maybe I was wrong to make that assumption about Z but my point stands - there are plenty of idiots running around wrapping their cars, trucks, boats, houses, etc. in American Flags and Trump signs and calling themselves "Murican patriots. The "right way" to lead these idiots to slaughter is with inflammatory tweets.
:thumb:
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
AZGrizFan
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 55643
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 4:40 pm
I am a fan of: Sexual Chocolate
Location: Just to the right of center

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by AZGrizFan »

UNI88 wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 8:17 am
AZGrizFan wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 6:36 pm He left out one verifiable fact in his conclusion:

People are, in essence, idiots. They will willingly be led to slaughter and be happy doing so if told in the right way.
That statement applies equally well to the idiots on the left and the right. Both sides have their pied pipers that they will blindly follow to slaughter.

Image
Oh no doubt. Hence why I didn’t play identity politics. It’s equal opportunity stupidity, spread broadly across the globe.
"Ah fuck. You are right." KYJelly, 11/6/12
"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12
Image
User avatar
Pwns
Level4
Level4
Posts: 6822
Joined: Sun Jan 25, 2009 10:38 pm
I am a fan of: Georgia Friggin' Southern
A.K.A.: FCS_pwns_FBS (AGS)

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by Pwns »

The internet wouldn't be nearly as big of a problem if the mainstream media didn't completely suck and destroyed their own credibility over decades.
Celebrate Diversity.*
*of appearance only. Restrictions apply.
User avatar
SDHornet
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 15635
Joined: Tue Mar 31, 2009 12:50 pm
I am a fan of: Sacramento State Hornets

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by SDHornet »

Gil Dobie wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 5:37 am
SDHornet wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:26 am

:nod: The compliance by the unwashed masses with mask wearing even after multiple studies prove their ineffectiveness prove this point.
Studies only address inhaling virus, which is not why mask are recommended as part of the protocol.

Show me one study that shows 100% of the virus escapes thru a mask, during an exhale, sneeze, cough, or just talking, when wearing a proper mask correctly, and I will quit talking about masks. Here is your chance. This is an open challenge to anyone.
A Danish study which the summary indicates surgical masks were used.
A total of 3030 participants were randomly assigned to the recommendation to wear masks, and 2994 were assigned to control; 4862 completed the study. Infection with SARS-CoV-2 occurred in 42 participants recommended masks (1.8%) and 53 control participants (2.1%). The between-group difference was −0.3 percentage point (95% CI, −1.2 to 0.4 percentage point; P = 0.38) (odds ratio, 0.82 [CI, 0.54 to 1.23]; P = 0.33). Multiple imputation accounting for loss to follow-up yielded similar results. Although the difference observed was not statistically significant, the 95% CIs are compatible with a 46% reduction to a 23% increase in infection.
The recommendation to wear surgical masks to supplement other public health measures did not reduce the SARS-CoV-2 infection rate among wearers by more than 50% in a community with modest infection rates, some degree of social distancing, and uncommon general mask use. The data were compatible with lesser degrees of self-protection.
https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817

So based on this study, there is not much of a difference between wearing a mask (non-N95 or better) and not wearing a mask. And we all know most people aren't wearing an N95 mask. So unless the draconian mask rules dictate the use of a N95 mask, they are pretty much useless.
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Level5
Level5
Posts: 27767
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by Gil Dobie »

SDHornet wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:54 pm
Gil Dobie wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 5:37 am

Studies only address inhaling virus, which is not why mask are recommended as part of the protocol.

Show me one study that shows 100% of the virus escapes thru a mask, during an exhale, sneeze, cough, or just talking, when wearing a proper mask correctly, and I will quit talking about masks. Here is your chance. This is an open challenge to anyone.
A Danish study which the summary indicates surgical masks were used.
A total of 3030 participants were randomly assigned to the recommendation to wear masks, and 2994 were assigned to control; 4862 completed the study. Infection with SARS-CoV-2 occurred in 42 participants recommended masks (1.8%) and 53 control participants (2.1%). The between-group difference was −0.3 percentage point (95% CI, −1.2 to 0.4 percentage point; P = 0.38) (odds ratio, 0.82 [CI, 0.54 to 1.23]; P = 0.33). Multiple imputation accounting for loss to follow-up yielded similar results. Although the difference observed was not statistically significant, the 95% CIs are compatible with a 46% reduction to a 23% increase in infection.
The recommendation to wear surgical masks to supplement other public health measures did not reduce the SARS-CoV-2 infection rate among wearers by more than 50% in a community with modest infection rates, some degree of social distancing, and uncommon general mask use. The data were compatible with lesser degrees of self-protection.
https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817

So based on this study, there is not much of a difference between wearing a mask (non-N95 or better) and not wearing a mask. And we all know most people aren't wearing an N95 mask. So unless the draconian mask rules dictate the use of a N95 mask, they are pretty much useless.
Study does not cover exhaled virus thru a mask, which is the reason mask are worn.
ImageImageImageImage
ImageImageImageImage
User avatar
SDHornet
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 15635
Joined: Tue Mar 31, 2009 12:50 pm
I am a fan of: Sacramento State Hornets

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by SDHornet »

Gil Dobie wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 2:40 pm
SDHornet wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:54 pm

A Danish study which the summary indicates surgical masks were used.




https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817

So based on this study, there is not much of a difference between wearing a mask (non-N95 or better) and not wearing a mask. And we all know most people aren't wearing an N95 mask. So unless the draconian mask rules dictate the use of a N95 mask, they are pretty much useless.
Study does not cover exhaled virus thru a mask, which is the reason mask are worn.
We'll take this battle over to the china virus mega thread. :coffee:
houndawg
Level5
Level5
Posts: 18031
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:14 pm
I am a fan of: SIU
A.K.A.: houndawg
Location: Egypt

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by houndawg »

UNI88 wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:17 am
kalm wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 8:40 am

Z is right except “he” is a she.

And what does left and right have to do with this?
Z is right.

I made the leap based on past posts that Z thinks that many of "idiots" are on the left. Maybe I was wrong to make that assumption about Z but my point stands - there are plenty of idiots running around wrapping their cars, trucks, boats, houses, etc. in American Flags and Trump signs and calling themselves "Murican patriots. The "right way" to lead these idiots to slaughter is with inflammatory tweets.
No need to slaughter the sheep when you can continue to milk them.

Best way to milk the sheep is to tell them the election was rigged and you need them to send you money so you can prove it. :coffee:
Subvert the dominant paradigm
houndawg
Level5
Level5
Posts: 18031
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:14 pm
I am a fan of: SIU
A.K.A.: houndawg
Location: Egypt

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by houndawg »

SDHornet wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:54 pm
Gil Dobie wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 5:37 am

Studies only address inhaling virus, which is not why mask are recommended as part of the protocol.

Show me one study that shows 100% of the virus escapes thru a mask, during an exhale, sneeze, cough, or just talking, when wearing a proper mask correctly, and I will quit talking about masks. Here is your chance. This is an open challenge to anyone.
A Danish study which the summary indicates surgical masks were used.
A total of 3030 participants were randomly assigned to the recommendation to wear masks, and 2994 were assigned to control; 4862 completed the study. Infection with SARS-CoV-2 occurred in 42 participants recommended masks (1.8%) and 53 control participants (2.1%). The between-group difference was −0.3 percentage point (95% CI, −1.2 to 0.4 percentage point; P = 0.38) (odds ratio, 0.82 [CI, 0.54 to 1.23]; P = 0.33). Multiple imputation accounting for loss to follow-up yielded similar results. Although the difference observed was not statistically significant, the 95% CIs are compatible with a 46% reduction to a 23% increase in infection.
The recommendation to wear surgical masks to supplement other public health measures did not reduce the SARS-CoV-2 infection rate among wearers by more than 50% in a community with modest infection rates, some degree of social distancing, and uncommon general mask use. The data were compatible with lesser degrees of self-protection.
https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817

So based on this study, there is not much of a difference between wearing a mask (non-N95 or better) and not wearing a mask. And we all know most people aren't wearing an N95 mask. So unless the draconian mask rules dictate the use of a N95 mask, they are pretty much useless.
Here's a guy that never lost sight of the fact that this whole thing is a sham perpetrated by the Democrats. You're an inspiration to us all.
Subvert the dominant paradigm
User avatar
SDHornet
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 15635
Joined: Tue Mar 31, 2009 12:50 pm
I am a fan of: Sacramento State Hornets

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by SDHornet »

houndawg wrote: Thu Dec 24, 2020 4:27 am
SDHornet wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:54 pm

A Danish study which the summary indicates surgical masks were used.




https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-6817

So based on this study, there is not much of a difference between wearing a mask (non-N95 or better) and not wearing a mask. And we all know most people aren't wearing an N95 mask. So unless the draconian mask rules dictate the use of a N95 mask, they are pretty much useless.
Here's a guy that never lost sight of the fact that this whole thing is a sham perpetrated by the Democrats. You're an inspiration to us all.
The virus is real, but a lot closer to "just the flu" than "bubonic plague". It's the outrage and fear porn that is fake. Not hard to figure this out. :coffee:
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Level5
Level5
Posts: 27767
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by Gil Dobie »

SDHornet wrote: Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:04 am
houndawg wrote: Thu Dec 24, 2020 4:27 am

Here's a guy that never lost sight of the fact that this whole thing is a sham perpetrated by the Democrats. You're an inspiration to us all.
The virus is real, but a lot closer to "just the flu" than "bubonic plague". It's the outrage and fear porn that is fake. Not hard to figure this out. :coffee:
You and AZ are good guys, but there's the fear porn from the right that tells us covid is going to take down America, mask are a threat to our freedom ex.
ImageImageImageImage
ImageImageImageImage
User avatar
SDHornet
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 15635
Joined: Tue Mar 31, 2009 12:50 pm
I am a fan of: Sacramento State Hornets

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by SDHornet »

Gil Dobie wrote: Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:08 am
SDHornet wrote: Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:04 am

The virus is real, but a lot closer to "just the flu" than "bubonic plague". It's the outrage and fear porn that is fake. Not hard to figure this out. :coffee:
You and AZ are good guys, but there's the fear porn from the right that tells us covid is going to take down America, mask are a threat to our freedom ex.
The over reaction to the China Virus will take down America. Plenty of small businesses are already gone for good because of these draconian measures.
User avatar
AZGrizFan
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 55643
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 4:40 pm
I am a fan of: Sexual Chocolate
Location: Just to the right of center

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by AZGrizFan »

SDHornet wrote: Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:17 am
Gil Dobie wrote: Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:08 am

You and AZ are good guys, but there's the fear porn from the right that tells us covid is going to take down America, mask are a threat to our freedom ex.
The over reaction to the China Virus will take down America. Plenty of small businesses are already gone for good because of these draconian measures.
Less private small business, less freedom, more government dependence, more government overreach....yeah. It’s a great formula for success. Proven world wide.
"Ah fuck. You are right." KYJelly, 11/6/12
"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12
Image
houndawg
Level5
Level5
Posts: 18031
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:14 pm
I am a fan of: SIU
A.K.A.: houndawg
Location: Egypt

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by houndawg »

SDHornet wrote: Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:17 am
Gil Dobie wrote: Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:08 am

You and AZ are good guys, but there's the fear porn from the right that tells us covid is going to take down America, mask are a threat to our freedom ex.
The over reaction to the China Virus will take down America. Plenty of small businesses are already gone for good because of these draconian measures.
300,000 dead and the nation running out of ICU beds with another 100,000 dead by the end of January. :coffee:
Subvert the dominant paradigm
houndawg
Level5
Level5
Posts: 18031
Joined: Tue Oct 14, 2008 1:14 pm
I am a fan of: SIU
A.K.A.: houndawg
Location: Egypt

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by houndawg »

AZGrizFan wrote: Sun Dec 27, 2020 12:13 pm
SDHornet wrote: Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:17 am

The over reaction to the China Virus will take down America. Plenty of small businesses are already gone for good because of these draconian measures.
Less private small business, less freedom, more government dependence, more government overreach....yeah. It’s a great formula for success. Proven world wide.
Accidents happen. Small bidnizes were fucked even if the gubmint did even less than they already haven't. :coffee:
Subvert the dominant paradigm
User avatar
UNI88
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 10876
Joined: Mon Aug 25, 2008 8:30 am
I am a fan of: UNI
A.K.A.: Unification88
Location: Fence Sitter & Ball-Sack Splitter

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by UNI88 »

houndawg wrote: Wed Dec 30, 2020 4:16 pm
SDHornet wrote: Sun Dec 27, 2020 11:17 am
The over reaction to the China Virus will take down America. Plenty of small businesses are already gone for good because of these draconian measures.
300,000 dead and the nation running out of ICU beds with another 100,000 dead by the end of January. :coffee:
It's a good thing that those big evil, capitalist drug companies were able to develop vaccines so quickly. The special committee appointed by Chairman Bernie and his socialist government would still be sitting around with their thumbs up their asses. :-P
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 10606
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: Facebook is a Doomsday Machine

Post by SeattleGriz »

kalm wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 6:27 pm Interesting read and historical call backs.

Overblown hysterics or legitimate threat?


Of the many things humans are consistently terrible at doing, seeing the future is somewhere near the top of the list. This flaw became a preoccupation among Megadeath Intellectuals such as Herman Kahn and his fellow economists, mathematicians, and former military officers at the Rand Corporation in the 1960s.

Kahn and his colleagues helped invent modern futurism, which was born of the existential dread that the bomb ushered in, and hardened by the understanding that most innovation is horizontal in nature—a copy of what already exists, rather than wholly new. Real invention is extraordinarily rare, and far more disruptive.

The logician and philosopher Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, who overlapped with Kahn at Rand and would later co-found the Institute for the Future, arrived in California after having fled the Nazis, an experience that gave his desire to peer into the future a particular kind of urgency. He argued that the acceleration of technological change had established the need for a new epistemological approach to fields such as engineering, medicine, the social sciences, and so on. “No longer does it take generations for a new pattern of living conditions to evolve,” he wrote, “but we are going through several major adjustments in our lives, and our children will have to adopt continual adaptation as a way of life.” In 1965, he wrote a book called Social Technology that aimed to create a scientific methodology for predicting the future.


In those same years, Kahn was dreaming up his own hypothetical machine to provide a philosophical framework for the new threats humanity faced. He called it the Doomsday Machine, and also the Doomsday-in-a-Hurry Machine, and also the Homicide Pact Machine. Stanley Kubrick famously borrowed the concept for the 1964 film Dr. Strangelove, the cinematic apotheosis of the fatalism that came with living on hair-trigger alert for nuclear annihilation.

Today’s fatalism about the brokenness of the internet feels similar. We’re still in the infancy of this century’s triple digital revolution of the internet, smartphones, and the social web, and we find ourselves in a dangerous and unstable informational environment, powerless to resist forces of manipulation and exploitation that we know are exerted on us but remain mostly invisible. The Doomsday Machine offers a lesson: We should not accept this current arrangement. No single machine should be able to control so many people.
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/ ... ne/617384/
Not to derail this, but in regard to the bolded above, I have been wanting to take a TRIZ class. It's a Russian improvement methodology. Stands for Theory of Inventive Problem Solving (obvious Russian translation as the acronym doesn't match).

It came about because a guy working in a Russian patent office noticed that all new patents were really variations of old ideas - horizontal in nature. They also all seem to fall in something like 7 different categories.

The gist is you take a current problem, and align it with old inventions to come to your solution.
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
Post Reply