2020 Election Predictions

Political discussions
Ibanez
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 60482
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 5:16 pm
I am a fan of: Coastal Carolina

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by Ibanez »

kalm wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:59 am
SeattleGriz wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:40 am

The Conservative Treehouse absolutely nailed Russia collusion and how it happened...2 years before.


You're the one who's looking for different news sources. Don't have to choose mine. Just saying independent news sources seem to be the way to go.

I will say I do visit some Never Trumper sites for a check.
Even Mark Levin thinks the Conk Treehouse is bat shit crazy. :lol:

I’ve actually wandered back to our local paper the Spokesman Review. It’s straight forward local reporting and dry AP stories.
The FB comments section is very active and includes reporters and local business leaders. It seems to piss off both sides equally.

I’m also back more to mainstream large organizations with the resources to (as Jelly pointed out long ago) have boots on the ground and real journalists.

Huffpo and Yahoo news are outrageously sensationalistic...as bad if not worse than the infotainment networks.
Charleston has the Post and Courier which is usually referred to a Communist rag. :lol:
Turns out I might be a little gay. 89Hen 11/7/17
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59305
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by kalm »

Ibanez wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 6:54 am
kalm wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:59 am

Even Mark Levin thinks the Conk Treehouse is bat shit crazy. :lol:

I’ve actually wandered back to our local paper the Spokesman Review. It’s straight forward local reporting and dry AP stories.
The FB comments section is very active and includes reporters and local business leaders. It seems to piss off both sides equally.

I’m also back more to mainstream large organizations with the resources to (as Jelly pointed out long ago) have boots on the ground and real journalists.

Huffpo and Yahoo news are outrageously sensationalistic...as bad if not worse than the infotainment networks.
Charleston has the Post and Courier which is usually referred to a Communist rag. :lol:
Socialist Review
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30939
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by Gil Dobie »

If my math is correct, Biden 298, Trump 240

Biden resigns amid Bobulinski investigation, Harris becomes president before term is complete.
Image
User avatar
GannonFan
Level5
Level5
Posts: 18038
Joined: Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:51 am
I am a fan of: Delaware
A.K.A.: Non-Partisan Hack

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by GannonFan »

Gil Dobie wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 7:08 am If my math is correct, Biden 298, Trump 240

Biden resigns amid Bobulinski investigation, Harris becomes president before term is complete.
No way he resigns over that. He has the elderly/poor health/diminished mental capacity card in his hip pocket, he'll bow out or will be 25th'd out long before any investigation (and let's be honest, there won't be an investigation) uncovers wrong doing. He's been in Washington politics non-stop since the early 1970's, no way does he let an ethics/criminal investigation bring him down. But I agree, I see really zero chance he finishes out his first term.
Proud Member of the Blue Hen Nation
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30939
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by Gil Dobie »

GannonFan wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 7:20 am
Gil Dobie wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 7:08 am If my math is correct, Biden 298, Trump 240

Biden resigns amid Bobulinski investigation, Harris becomes president before term is complete.
No way he resigns over that. He has the elderly/poor health/diminished mental capacity card in his hip pocket, he'll bow out or will be 25th'd out long before any investigation (and let's be honest, there won't be an investigation) uncovers wrong doing. He's been in Washington politics non-stop since the early 1970's, no way does he let an ethics/criminal investigation bring him down. But I agree, I see really zero chance he finishes out his first term.
Thought I would add a little spice to the conversation.
Image
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 16534
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by SeattleGriz »

Ibanez wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 6:51 am
SeattleGriz wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:40 am

The Conservative Treehouse absolutely nailed Russia collusion and how it happened...2 years before.


You're the one who's looking for different news sources. Don't have to choose mine. Just saying independent news sources seem to be the way to go.

I will say I do visit some Never Trumper sites for a check.
I kid you mostly for CTH. :lol: I like Reuters, but even they aren't immune to bias. Humans will be human.
Likewise...that and 4D chess.
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
User avatar
SDHornet
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 19443
Joined: Tue Mar 31, 2009 12:50 pm
I am a fan of: Sacramento State Hornets

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by SDHornet »

houndawg wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:45 am
SDHornet wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 11:54 am

Hunter laptop scandal, plus the fact that Biden has enriched himself during his career as a politician. Yeah no different than any other scumbag career politician, but the narratives are that Biden isn't like that even though it's obvious that he is.
True, but its easy to pass off a narrative like that when the oponent is a straight-up criminal enterprise
Wrong again houndy, that narrative only still has legs because of the media blatantly covering for Biden during this Hunter scandal. It's quite obvious to anyone with a pulse at this point.
User avatar
SDHornet
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 19443
Joined: Tue Mar 31, 2009 12:50 pm
I am a fan of: Sacramento State Hornets

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by SDHornet »

GannonFan wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 7:20 am
Gil Dobie wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 7:08 am If my math is correct, Biden 298, Trump 240

Biden resigns amid Bobulinski investigation, Harris becomes president before term is complete.
No way he resigns over that. He has the elderly/poor health/diminished mental capacity card in his hip pocket, he'll bow out or will be 25th'd out long before any investigation (and let's be honest, there won't be an investigation) uncovers wrong doing. He's been in Washington politics non-stop since the early 1970's, no way does he let an ethics/criminal investigation bring him down. But I agree, I see really zero chance he finishes out his first term.
Agreed.
HI54UNI
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 12387
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 9:39 pm
I am a fan of: Firing Mark Farley
A.K.A.: Bikinis for JSO
Location: The Panther State

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by HI54UNI »

Trump wins same states he won last time. May pick up one more. Senate stays R. House stays D. Margin of control in both Senate and House narrow.

Nothing gets done for the next two years except approving more judges.
If fascism ever comes to America, it will come in the name of liberalism. Ronald Reagan, 1975.

Progressivism is cancer

All my posts are satire
User avatar
AZGrizFan
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59959
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 4:40 pm
I am a fan of: Sexual Chocolate
Location: Just to the right of center

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by AZGrizFan »

HI54UNI wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 6:44 pm Trump wins same states he won last time. May pick up one more. Senate stays R. House stays D. Margin of control in both Senate and House narrow.

Nothing gets done for the next two years except approving more judges.
This is how I see it as well.
"Ah fuck. You are right." KYJelly, 11/6/12
"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12
Image
Baldy
Level4
Level4
Posts: 9609
Joined: Sun Feb 22, 2009 8:38 pm
I am a fan of: Georgia Southern

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by Baldy »

houndawg wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:23 am
Pwns wrote: Tue Oct 27, 2020 9:06 am This is purely anecdotal but I know someone on the board of elections in a purple county in Georgia who is saying they're getting lots of Biden Ballots that are all GOP on the down-ballot races.

I'd flip Florida and Arizona on Jelly's map to Trump and say the GOP keeps the senate majority.
I suspect the tale is apocryphal but the fact that Georgia is even in play to the point where they can't even worry about masking the voter suppression..... :ohno:
Now explain why Biden is having to fight for his home state of Pennsylvania...and Minnesota and Michigan and Wisconsin. You gonna blame that on the voter suppression myth too? :lol:
User avatar
89Hen
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 39223
Joined: Tue Jul 17, 2007 1:13 pm
I am a fan of: High Horses
A.K.A.: The Almighty Arbiter

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by 89Hen »

AZGrizFan wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 8:17 pm
HI54UNI wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 6:44 pm Trump wins same states he won last time. May pick up one more. Senate stays R. House stays D. Margin of control in both Senate and House narrow.

Nothing gets done for the next two years except approving more judges.
This is how I see it as well.
I hope you're both right.
Image
User avatar
GannonFan
Level5
Level5
Posts: 18038
Joined: Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:51 am
I am a fan of: Delaware
A.K.A.: Non-Partisan Hack

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by GannonFan »

Baldy wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 5:42 am
houndawg wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:23 am

I suspect the tale is apocryphal but the fact that Georgia is even in play to the point where they can't even worry about masking the voter suppression..... :ohno:
Now explain why Biden is having to fight for his home state of Pennsylvania...and Minnesota and Michigan and Wisconsin. You gonna blame that on the voter suppression myth too? :lol:
Biden has to fight for PA because while he was born in Scranton, he's really from Delaware in terms of all practical purposes. He also has to fight for PA because PA is really divided. And he has to fight for it because he screwed up letting fracking become an issue. I don't think the political calculus has changed in PA since the last election, the Dems have run the same kind of campaign here, just changed out the person running. It might be enough.
Proud Member of the Blue Hen Nation
User avatar
Skjellyfetti
Anal
Anal
Posts: 14411
Joined: Tue Oct 07, 2008 9:56 pm
I am a fan of: Appalachian

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by Skjellyfetti »

Baldy wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 5:42 am Now explain why Biden is having to fight for his home state of Pennsylvania...and Minnesota and Michigan and Wisconsin. You gonna blame that on the voter suppression myth too? :lol:
Why is Trump getting trounced in his home state of New York and having to fight for Georgia? You gonna blame that on mail in voting fraud?
"The unmasking thing was all created by Devin Nunes"
- Richard Burr, (R-NC)
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 16534
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by SeattleGriz »

AZGrizFan wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 8:17 pm
HI54UNI wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 6:44 pm Trump wins same states he won last time. May pick up one more. Senate stays R. House stays D. Margin of control in both Senate and House narrow.

Nothing gets done for the next two years except approving more judges.
This is how I see it as well.
I see my crack analysis has turned you around from just a few days ago. :lol: 8-)
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
User avatar
GannonFan
Level5
Level5
Posts: 18038
Joined: Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:51 am
I am a fan of: Delaware
A.K.A.: Non-Partisan Hack

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by GannonFan »

Skjellyfetti wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 10:24 am
Baldy wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 5:42 am Now explain why Biden is having to fight for his home state of Pennsylvania...and Minnesota and Michigan and Wisconsin. You gonna blame that on the voter suppression myth too? :lol:
Why is Trump getting trounced in his home state of New York and having to fight for Georgia? You gonna blame that on mail in voting fraud?
Isn't Mir-a-Lago in Florida? Have they been going to the wrong state for the past 4 years? :coffee:
Proud Member of the Blue Hen Nation
User avatar
Skjellyfetti
Anal
Anal
Posts: 14411
Joined: Tue Oct 07, 2008 9:56 pm
I am a fan of: Appalachian

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by Skjellyfetti »

Baldy counts PA as Biden's home state because he was born in Scranton, but moved to Delaware in primary school.

I'd assume he'd count NY as Trump's home state if he's at all logically consistent since Trump was born in New York and was his primary residence from birth into his 70s.
Last edited by Skjellyfetti on Fri Oct 30, 2020 10:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
"The unmasking thing was all created by Devin Nunes"
- Richard Burr, (R-NC)
Baldy
Level4
Level4
Posts: 9609
Joined: Sun Feb 22, 2009 8:38 pm
I am a fan of: Georgia Southern

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by Baldy »

Skjellyfetti wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 10:24 am
Baldy wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 5:42 am Now explain why Biden is having to fight for his home state of Pennsylvania...and Minnesota and Michigan and Wisconsin. You gonna blame that on the voter suppression myth too? :lol:
Why is Trump getting trounced in his home state of New York and having to fight for Georgia? You gonna blame that on mail in voting fraud?
Why is Biden in Minnesota today, and why will he and Obama be together in Michigan tomorrow, or are the Conks suppressing the vote in those states too?
User avatar
Skjellyfetti
Anal
Anal
Posts: 14411
Joined: Tue Oct 07, 2008 9:56 pm
I am a fan of: Appalachian

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by Skjellyfetti »

Baldy wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 10:40 am Why is Biden in Minnesota today, and why will he and Obama be together in Michigan tomorrow?
Clinton won Minnesota by 1.5% in 2016. It was always looked at as a battleground in 2020. Not surprising.

Trump won Michigan in 2016. Biden is trying to take the electoral votes from Trump there. Not surprising.


Why is Trump campaigning in Iowa (where he won by 9.4% in 2016) and Jawjuh in the final days?


Out of these 4 states - Minnesota, Michigan, North Carolina, and Georgia - Trump is defending 47 EVs and Biden is defending 10, btw.
"The unmasking thing was all created by Devin Nunes"
- Richard Burr, (R-NC)
User avatar
UNI88
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 19955
Joined: Mon Aug 25, 2008 8:30 am
I am a fan of: UNI
Location: the foggy, woggy banks Of the Limpopo River

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by UNI88 »

SeattleGriz wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 10:25 am
AZGrizFan wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 8:17 pm
This is how I see it as well.
I see my crack analysis has turned you around from just a few days ago. :lol: 8-)
Whose crack did you analyze? ;)
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 16534
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by SeattleGriz »

UNI88 wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 11:00 am
SeattleGriz wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 10:25 am

I see my crack analysis has turned you around from just a few days ago. :lol: 8-)
Whose crack did you analyze? ;)
If I'm wrong, it's sure going to look like that's where I got my analysis!
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
Baldy
Level4
Level4
Posts: 9609
Joined: Sun Feb 22, 2009 8:38 pm
I am a fan of: Georgia Southern

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by Baldy »

Skjellyfetti wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 10:43 am
Baldy wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 10:40 am Why is Biden in Minnesota today, and why will he and Obama be together in Michigan tomorrow?
Clinton won Minnesota by 1.5% in 2016. It was always looked at as a battleground in 2020. Not surprising.

Trump won Michigan in 2016. Biden is trying to take the electoral votes from Trump there. Not surprising.


Why is Trump campaigning in Iowa (where he won by 9.4% in 2016) and Jawjuh in the final days?


Out of these 4 states - Minnesota, Michigan, North Carolina, and Georgia - Trump is defending 47 EVs and Biden is defending 10, btw.
Maybe because it's close? :shock: :silly:
User avatar
Skjellyfetti
Anal
Anal
Posts: 14411
Joined: Tue Oct 07, 2008 9:56 pm
I am a fan of: Appalachian

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by Skjellyfetti »

Just curious you think that Biden having to defend Minnesota is a bad sign... but, Trump having to defend Jawjuh and Iowa doesn't seem to be.
"The unmasking thing was all created by Devin Nunes"
- Richard Burr, (R-NC)
User avatar
SDHornet
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 19443
Joined: Tue Mar 31, 2009 12:50 pm
I am a fan of: Sacramento State Hornets

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by SDHornet »

HI54UNI wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 6:44 pm Trump wins same states he won last time. May pick up one more. Senate stays R. House stays D. Margin of control in both Senate and House narrow.

Nothing gets done for the next two years except approving more judges.
I would be good with this outcome.
User avatar
89Hen
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 39223
Joined: Tue Jul 17, 2007 1:13 pm
I am a fan of: High Horses
A.K.A.: The Almighty Arbiter

Re: 2020 Election Predictions

Post by 89Hen »

Skjellyfetti wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 10:43 am Clinton won Minnesota by 1.5% in 2016.
Saw somebody analyzing MN yesterday, was very interesting to see the county map 2012 to 2016.

Obama won 27 counties in 2012
Clinton won 9 counties in 2016
Image
Post Reply