The postmortems and specific time frame studies will be fascinating and challenging considering all of the variables.UNI88 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 25, 2021 1:23 pmI'd love to see some stats and an apples-to-apples comparison on infections, hospitalizations and deaths by state over the last 3-6 months to see if things are really that much better to justify the sudden change in reducing restrictions in Donk runs states.
Date of first infection. A “last three months” comparison between locations has to take into account disease timeline, baseline numbers, initial mitigating restrictions. For example, one state’s surge was just starting prior to enhanced mandates and voluntary social distancing while another is half way through the surge. Also, the later the outbreak the more likely prevention and treatments were improved and implemented reducing hospitalizations and deaths.
Population density. Still seems to play a big roll in total cases.
Location. Proximity and travel between states with different restrictions/level of compliance, level of enforcement. EG Spokane County has tougher restrictions while neighboring N. Idaho has virtually none with a ton of commerce and travel between the two.
Demographics. Extended family driven cultures. Greater respect for the elderly (CID mentioned this regarding Asia), at risk elderly populations that voluntarily isolate regardless of state imposed restrictions.
If you look at the CDC tracker going back to last January, no state escapes it. Assuming blue states have stronger restrictions, Illinois and R.I. are the only solidly blue states in the top two groups of highest infection rates. CA, TX, and FL are all in the same range.
The economic outcome studies tied to lockdowns and cases (long term effects and costs will obviously take awhile to unravel and become clear as will the health effects caused by lockdowns).
At this point, no one has avoided the crisis and there’s no decisive evidence that the lockdown cure is worse than the affliction.
Bad leadership from both sides continues to haunt us. Hypocrisy and inconsistency of mandates. Lockdowns without consistent relief stimulus for effected business owners, landlords, and workers.
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracke ... sesper100k