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Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 4:54 pm
by BDKJMU
"The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney earning 50% of the vote and President Obama attracting 43% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

This is the first time Romney has reached the 50% level of support and is his largest lead ever over the president. It comes a week after a disappointing jobs report that raised new questions about the state of the economy. See tracking history.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) give the president good or excellent marks for his handling of the economy. Forty-eight percent (48%) say he’s doing a poor job. Consumer confidence has slipped four points since last week’s government report on job creation and unemployment. The number who believe their personal finances are getting better slipped from 30% a week ago to 28% today. The number who fear their finances are getting worse increased from 43% before the jobs report to 47% today........................................................................................"

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_ ... cking_poll" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 5:41 pm
by kalm
AP and Reuters have Obama up 8 and 7.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -1171.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 5:43 pm
by Ibanez
The guy on Calhoun and Coming (no homo), you know the one preaching while jiggling his bells, says it doesn't matter because the world will end soon after.


Just as well.

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 6:39 pm
by Cap'n Cat
BDKJMU wrote:"The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney earning 50% of the vote and President Obama attracting 43% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

This is the first time Romney has reached the 50% level of support and is his largest lead ever over the president. It comes a week after a disappointing jobs report that raised new questions about the state of the economy. See tracking history.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) give the president good or excellent marks for his handling of the economy. Forty-eight percent (48%) say he’s doing a poor job. Consumer confidence has slipped four points since last week’s government report on job creation and unemployment. The number who believe their personal finances are getting better slipped from 30% a week ago to 28% today. The number who fear their finances are getting worse increased from 43% before the jobs report to 47% today........................................................................................"

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_ ... cking_poll" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;



Landslide, Obama....


Image

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 6:41 pm
by SeattleGriz
kalm wrote:AP and Reuters have Obama up 8 and 7.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -1171.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Dammit! Beat me to it. Only I was going to say how I just couldn't wait for AP and Reuters to prove them wrong.

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 6:44 pm
by BDKJMU
kalm wrote:AP and Reuters have Obama up 8 and 7.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -1171.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
AP and Reuters are a poll of the general population, including unregistered & unlikely voters. Any poll that includes unregistered & unlikely voters is going to skew high donk

Rasmussen is registered, likely voters, and has the best track record in recent Presidential elections. Fordham Univ study of 23 polls after the 08' election had Rasmussen on top. Believe that was the case for 04' too.
http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics ... ection.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 6:56 pm
by Cap'n Cat
BDKJMU wrote:
kalm wrote:AP and Reuters have Obama up 8 and 7.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -1171.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
AP and Reuters are a poll of the general population, including unregistered & unlikely voters. Any poll that includes unregistered & unlikely voters is going to skew high donk

Rasmussen is registered, likely voters, and has the best track record in recent Presidential elections. Fordham Univ study of 23 polls after the 08' election had Rasmussen on top. Believe that was the case for 04' too.
http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics ... ection.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Wasted breath, ConkBoy.

Image

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 6:58 pm
by kalm
BDKJMU wrote:
kalm wrote:AP and Reuters have Obama up 8 and 7.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -1171.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
AP and Reuters are a poll of the general population, including unregistered & unlikely voters. Any poll that includes unregistered & unlikely voters is going to skew high donk

Rasmussen is registered, likely voters, and has the best track record in recent Presidential elections. Fordham Univ study of 23 polls after the 08' election had Rasmussen on top. Believe that was the case for 04' too.
http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics ... ection.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Rasmussen is widely known for skewing right

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 7:00 pm
by D1B
BDKJMU wrote:
kalm wrote:AP and Reuters have Obama up 8 and 7.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -1171.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
AP and Reuters are a poll of the general population, including unregistered & unlikely voters. Any poll that includes unregistered & unlikely voters is going to skew high donk

Rasmussen is registered, likely voters, and has the best track record in recent Presidential elections. Fordham Univ study of 23 polls after the 08' election had Rasmussen on top. Believe that was the case for 04' too.
http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics ... ection.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Fordham :lol:

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 7:01 pm
by D1B
BDKJMU wrote:
kalm wrote:AP and Reuters have Obama up 8 and 7.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -1171.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
AP and Reuters are a poll of the general population, including unregistered & unlikely voters. Any poll that includes unregistered & unlikely voters is going to skew high donk

Rasmussen is registered, likely voters, and has the best track record in recent Presidential elections. Fordham Univ study of 23 polls after the 08' election had Rasmussen on top. Believe that was the case for 04' too.
http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics ... ection.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Fordham :lol:

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 7:01 pm
by BDKJMU
kalm wrote:
BDKJMU wrote:
AP and Reuters are a poll of the general population, including unregistered & unlikely voters. Any poll that includes unregistered & unlikely voters is going to skew high donk

Rasmussen is registered, likely voters, and has the best track record in recent Presidential elections. Fordham Univ study of 23 polls after the 08' election had Rasmussen on top. Believe that was the case for 04' too.
http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics ... ection.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Rasmussen is widely known for being accurate in presidential election polling
FIFY

The only way Rasmussen skews right is that registered & likely voters skew right of the general population.

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 7:16 pm
by BlueHen86
It's May. Polls mean nothing now.

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 7:25 pm
by Cap'n Cat
BDKJMU wrote:
kalm wrote:
Rasmussen is widely known for being accurate in presidential election polling
FIFY

The only way Rasmussen skews right is that registered & likely voters skew right of the general population.

BJUNK: See you at Obama's re-inauguration party, bitch. Dude's running against a fvcking dust bunny.


:coffee:

Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 8:32 pm
by CID1990
Polls schmolls. Obama wins in November, but these polls are like broken clocks.

The Smut Brothers and SK.... lube buddies and political savants forever.


Also Sodomy

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 8:57 pm
by Cap'n Cat
CID1990 wrote:Polls schmolls. Obama wins in November, but these polls are like broken clocks.

The Smut Brothers and SK and my mom.... lube buddies and political savants forever.


Also Sodomy


FIFY

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 9:13 pm
by AZGrizFan
BlueHen86 wrote:It's May. Polls mean nothing now.
This.

Saw an analysis yesterday that paints a pretty bleak picture for Romney...Obama only needs to win Ohio and Florida and all the obvious states and he's reelected.....it's an uphill battle for Romney no matter what the popular vote says.

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Fri May 11, 2012 9:18 pm
by Cap'n Cat
AZGrizFan wrote:
BlueHen86 wrote:It's May. Polls mean nothing now.
This.

Saw an analysis yesterday that paints a pretty bleak picture for Romney...Obama only needs to win Ohio and Florida and all the obvious states and he's reelected.....it's an uphill battle for Romney no matter what the popular vote says.

Just accept it, Muffy. Fall in line.


:coffee:

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Sat May 12, 2012 4:46 am
by JohnStOnge
Obama will win because he has more charisma, sounds better when speaking, and is more telegenic. I would love to be wrong but I think you can pretty much predict who is going to win a Presidential election in the United States using those factors if either candidate has a clear advantage in all three. Well, you've got to have money too but Obama's going to have the advantage there as well.

Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Sat May 12, 2012 5:55 am
by CID1990
Cap'n Cat wrote:
CID1990 wrote:Polls schmolls. Obama wins in November, but these polls are like broken clocks.

The Smut Brothers and SK and my mom.... lube buddies and political savants forever.


Also Sodomy


FIFY
Dude you could only hope to worship at the altar of brain dead liberalism that is my mother. She's so open minded that her brain fell out of her head years ago. She'd vote for Hitler if he had a (D) beside his name.


Also Sodomy

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Sat May 12, 2012 7:41 am
by Skjellyfetti
BDKJMU wrote:
Rasmussen is registered, likely voters, and has the best track record in recent Presidential elections. Fordham Univ study of 23 polls after the 08' election had Rasmussen on top. Believe that was the case for 04' too.
http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics ... ection.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Likely voter models become more and more accurate the closer to the election you get.

That Fordham survey looks at a single poll... the FINAL poll... right before the election.... when likely voter models mean a whole lot more.



Edit: It's also a complete joke that Rasmussen only gives access to his crosstabs to "platinum members." What a fucking joke. :lol:





I have an open bet with anyone that wants to wager straight up on the 2012 election winner. You seem pretty confident that Romney legitimately has a 7 point national lead. It's statistically almost impossible to win the popular vote by that much and not win the electoral college. If you are confident that this poll has meaning on the election in November, feel free to take me up on the offer. JMU hat vs. App hat?

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Sat May 12, 2012 11:33 am
by Baldy
Skjellyfetti wrote: Edit: It's also a complete joke that Rasmussen only gives access to his crosstabs to "platinum members." What a fucking joke. :lol:
Typical fucking liberal with their hand out wanting something for free. :lol:

Re: Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Sat May 12, 2012 11:22 pm
by eagleskins
Romney has zero shot to win with the redneck bible beaters. His only chance was to lock up the south, but no way does the average NASCAR fan go vote for a mormon

Romney 50%, Obama 43%

Posted: Sun May 13, 2012 5:26 am
by CID1990
eagleskins wrote:Romney has zero shot to win with the redneck bible beaters. His only chance was to lock up the south, but no way does the average NASCAR fan go vote for a mormon
They do when his opponent is a black Muslin.


Also Sodomy