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President Obama leads each Republican contender in swing states. That’s according to a Fox News Swing State Poll that also suggests a significant shift in the battleground landscape.

The new poll, released Wednesday, shows Obama leads Mitt Romney, Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich in swing-state matchups by about the same margin as he does nationally.

The registered-voter poll was conducted across 10 states where Obama had small margins of victory in 2008 and are considered decisive in the upcoming presidential election.

These swing states fall into three regional tiers. The Rocky Mountain tier includes Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico. The Rust Belt tier includes Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And the Dixie tier includes North Carolina, Florida and Virginia.

Across these states, Santorum performs about as well as Romney in matchups with the president.

The swing-state voters back Obama over Romney by 8 percentage points and Santorum by 9 points.

Obama tops Paul by 12 points in the poll. Gingrich lags farthest behind Obama, as voters in these key states prefer the president to the former Speaker by 20 points. In the most recent Fox News national poll -- released Friday -- registered voters give Obama a 13-point edge over Gingrich.

Overall, swing-state voters look much like the national electorate, as both give Obama mixed reviews on his job performance, are dissatisfied with the direction of the country, and remain pessimistic about the nation’s economy.

However, there are significant variations by region.

Voters in the Dixie tier are generally more upbeat than voters in the other tiers and nationally. These Southern-state voters are more likely to approve of Obama’s job performance, be satisfied with the way things are going in the country, and think the economy has started to improve.

That translates into more support for the president at the ballot box. Obama currently holds a 14-point lead over Romney in the Dixie states, and an 18-point edge over Santorum.

Desperate for jobs, youth flee Obama
The Washington Examiner ^

America’s youth vote, which turned out in record numbers in 2008 and gave a historically high percentage of their support to President Obama, has soured on him because they are having a hard time finding work and, as a result, are putting off major decisions like getting married and starting a family

Obama, who won 66 percent of the 24 million voters age 18-29 in 2008, has seen that support slashed. And in a new poll from Generation Opportunity, a nonprofit that seeks to engage younger voters, only 31 percent approve of Obama’s handling of youth unemployment, a number that threatens to rob him of the voter group that pushed him to victory.

“Ironically for President Obama,” said the group’s president, Paul Conway, “the hardcore reality is that young voters are now very dissatisfied with the direction of the country and are becoming more vocal in their demands for real jobs rather than promises of more unpaid internships and unproven programs.”

And, he added, their anger coupled with their social media savvy could be a threat to Obama. “These vocal young voters are even more digitally connected--and politically potent--for 2012 than they were in 2008,” Conway told Washington Secrets.

But it’s not just Obama that the millennials are upset with. Some 56 percent believe the leadership is wrong in Washington, 69 percent say political leaders do not reflect their interests, 54 percent say the country is on the wrong track and three quarters want federal spending cut.

(Excerpt) Read more at campaign2012.washingtonexaminer.com ...

Skjellyfetti wrote:Winning swing states > youth vote


And, Obama will win the youth vote, anyway. Unless... maybe... Ron Paul is the Republican nominee.

Bronco wrote:-

Desperate for jobs, youth flee Obama
The Washington Examiner ^

America’s youth vote, which turned out in record numbers in 2008 and gave a historically high percentage of their support to President Obama, has soured on him because they are having a hard time finding work and, as a result, are putting off major decisions like getting married and starting a family

Obama, who won 66 percent of the 24 million voters age 18-29 in 2008, has seen that support slashed. And in a new poll from Generation Opportunity, a nonprofit that seeks to engage younger voters, only 31 percent approve of Obama’s handling of youth unemployment, a number that threatens to rob him of the voter group that pushed him to victory.

“Ironically for President Obama,” said the group’s president, Paul Conway, “the hardcore reality is that young voters are now very dissatisfied with the direction of the country and are becoming more vocal in their demands for real jobs rather than promises of more unpaid internships and unproven programs.”

And, he added, their anger coupled with their social media savvy could be a threat to Obama. “These vocal young voters are even more digitally connected--and politically potent--for 2012 than they were in 2008,” Conway told Washington Secrets.

But it’s not just Obama that the millennials are upset with. Some 56 percent believe the leadership is wrong in Washington, 69 percent say political leaders do not reflect their interests, 54 percent say the country is on the wrong track and three quarters want federal spending cut.

(Excerpt) Read more at campaign2012.washingtonexaminer.com ...

AZGrizFan wrote:
It's only February.

Skjellyfetti wrote:

AZGrizFan wrote:
It's only February.

Care to make a wager, ole man?

mainejeff wrote: Yeah.......they'll head to the polls in droves for Mitt, Newt or Rick.

AZGrizFan wrote:

Skjellyfetti wrote:
Care to make a wager, ole man?

With this group of misfits we have left? No thanks.

But a lot can (and probably WILL) happen in the next 10 months. It's a lifetime in political circles.

Bronco wrote:Reagan...Carter was said to be a toss up right up to election day

The youngsters right now have a large bill from the Dem spending spree they’ll have to pay off over their lifetime.
Do they want to double or triple that bill?
Wonder if they realize this…probably not.

I don’t blame them for being suckered the 1st time… but really no excuse if they vote for him again.

BHO has offered what seemed cheap at the time student loans that will be coming due soon and without a good job or any job how will they pay it back? Parents that co-signed will also be very happy
Bummer they can’t be discharged by bankruptcy
Maybe the wealthy can be taxed to pay them off

Lot of learning between now and election day

Bronco wrote:-

Desperate for jobs, youth flee Obama
The Washington Examiner ^

America’s youth vote, which turned out in record numbers in 2008 and gave a historically high percentage of their support to President Obama, has soured on him because they are having a hard time finding work and, as a result, are putting off major decisions like getting married and starting a family

Obama, who won 66 percent of the 24 million voters age 18-29 in 2008, has seen that support slashed. And in a new poll from Generation Opportunity, a nonprofit that seeks to engage younger voters, only 31 percent approve of Obama’s handling of youth unemployment, a number that threatens to rob him of the voter group that pushed him to victory.

“Ironically for President Obama,” said the group’s president, Paul Conway, “the hardcore reality is that young voters are now very dissatisfied with the direction of the country and are becoming more vocal in their demands for real jobs rather than promises of more unpaid internships and unproven programs.”

And, he added, their anger coupled with their social media savvy could be a threat to Obama. “These vocal young voters are even more digitally connected--and politically potent--for 2012 than they were in 2008,” Conway told Washington Secrets.

But it’s not just Obama that the millennials are upset with. Some 56 percent believe the leadership is wrong in Washington, 69 percent say political leaders do not reflect their interests, 54 percent say the country is on the wrong track and three quarters want federal spending cut.

(Excerpt) Read more at campaign2012.washingtonexaminer.com ...

AZGrizFan wrote:

Skjellyfetti wrote:
Care to make a wager, ole man?

With this group of misfits we have left? No thanks.

But a lot can (and probably WILL) happen in the next 10 months. It's a lifetime in political circles.

Ivytalk wrote:

AZGrizFan wrote:
With this group of misfits we have left? No thanks.

But a lot can (and probably WILL) happen in the next 10 months. It's a lifetime in political circles.

This. But Obama is a cold, calculating, ruthless graduate of the Al Davis/Saul Alinsky School of Politics who will do anything to win. The American electorate basically votes its pocketbooks. If employment and macroeconomic trends are up, he will win. If those trends tank far enough in advance for the sheeple to notice, he may yet lose. Since 1952, the major parties have basically traded 8-year Presidencies, except for the 12-year Republican run from 1980 to 1992 and the Carter window of 1976-80.

"Ya know, Republicans have created this completely fictional President. His name is Barack X and he's an Islamo-Socialist revolutionary who's coming for your guns, raising your taxes, slashing the military, apologizing to other countries and taking his cues from Europe --- or worse yet, Saul Alinksy!
And this is how politics has changed. You used to have to run against an actual candidate. But now, you just recreate him inside the bubble and run against your new fictional candidate. That's how Bush won in 2004: By running against John Kerry --- a French war criminal.

And speaking of Bush, I know conservatives are saying, "Oh, Bill, come on, Democrats did the same thing to him!" No. Say what you will about the Left's hatred of Bush, at least we were hating on the real guy.

We didn't invent a bogey-man who tanked the economy, took us to war on false pretenses and tortured prisoners. That was the actual guy!

But run down the list of complaints about Fantasy Obama: He wants to raise your taxes, even though he's lowered them; confiscate your guns, even though he's never mentioned it; and read terrorists their rights --- yeah, like he did Tuesday in Somalia...
...
You see the difference is, the Republicans hatred of Obama is based on a paranoid feeling about what he might do, what he's thinking, what he secretly wants to change. Anger with Bush was based on what he actually did. What Bush was thinking didn't matter, because he wasn't."

kalm wrote:

Ivytalk wrote:
This. But Obama is a cold, calculating, ruthless graduate of the Al Davis/Saul Alinsky School of Politics who will do anything to win. The American electorate basically votes its pocketbooks. If employment and macroeconomic trends are up, he will win. If those trends tank far enough in advance for the sheeple to notice, he may yet lose. Since 1952, the major parties have basically traded 8-year Presidencies, except for the 12-year Republican run from 1980 to 1992 and the Carter window of 1976-80.

Bill Maher: "Who the **** is Saul Alinksy?"

"Ya know, Republicans have created this completely fictional President. His name is Barack X and he's an Islamo-Socialist revolutionary who's coming for your guns, raising your taxes, slashing the military, apologizing to other countries and taking his cues from Europe --- or worse yet, Saul Alinksy!
And this is how politics has changed. You used to have to run against an actual candidate. But now, you just recreate him inside the bubble and run against your new fictional candidate. That's how Bush won in 2004: By running against John Kerry --- a French war criminal.

And speaking of Bush, I know conservatives are saying, "Oh, Bill, come on, Democrats did the same thing to him!" No. Say what you will about the Left's hatred of Bush, at least we were hating on the real guy.

We didn't invent a bogey-man who tanked the economy, took us to war on false pretenses and tortured prisoners. That was the actual guy!

But run down the list of complaints about Fantasy Obama: He wants to raise your taxes, even though he's lowered them; confiscate your guns, even though he's never mentioned it; and read terrorists their rights --- yeah, like he did Tuesday in Somalia...
...
You see the difference is, the Republicans hatred of Obama is based on a paranoid feeling about what he might do, what he's thinking, what he secretly wants to change. Anger with Bush was based on what he actually did. What Bush was thinking didn't matter, because he wasn't."

kalm wrote:

Ivytalk wrote:
This. But Obama is a cold, calculating, ruthless graduate of the Al Davis/Saul Alinsky School of Politics who will do anything to win. The American electorate basically votes its pocketbooks. If employment and macroeconomic trends are up, he will win. If those trends tank far enough in advance for the sheeple to notice, he may yet lose. Since 1952, the major parties have basically traded 8-year Presidencies, except for the 12-year Republican run from 1980 to 1992 and the Carter window of 1976-80.

Bill Maher: "Who the Fuck is Saul Alinksy?"

"Ya know, Republicans have created this completely fictional President. His name is Barack X and he's an Islamo-Socialist revolutionary who's coming for your guns, raising your taxes, slashing the military, apologizing to other countries and taking his cues from Europe --- or worse yet, Saul Alinksy!
And this is how politics has changed. You used to have to run against an actual candidate. But now, you just recreate him inside the bubble and run against your new fictional candidate. That's how Bush won in 2004: By running against John Kerry --- a French war criminal.

And speaking of Bush, I know conservatives are saying, "Oh, Bill, come on, Democrats did the same thing to him!" No. Say what you will about the Left's hatred of Bush, at least we were hating on the real guy.

We didn't invent a bogey-man who tanked the economy, took us to war on false pretenses and tortured prisoners. That was the actual guy!

But run down the list of complaints about Fantasy Obama: He wants to raise your taxes, even though he's lowered them; confiscate your guns, even though he's never mentioned it; and read terrorists their rights --- yeah, like he did Tuesday in Somalia...
...
You see the difference is, the Republicans hatred of Obama is based on a paranoid feeling about what he might do, what he's thinking, what he secretly wants to change. Anger with Bush was based on what he actually did. What Bush was thinking didn't matter, because he wasn't."

Cap'n Cat wrote:IT and Z,
There is nothing wrong with Obama other than the color of his skin. You can't stand seeing a black man be successful. The first non-controversial president in ages - nothing sticks to him, no matter how hard Conks try. Rove can't do it, Limbaugh's tried, Coulter has given up and has even endorsed that no-mind, Romney. Give it up and find someone to run against him in his third term.

Cap'n Cat wrote:IT and Z,
There is nothing wrong with Obama other than the color of his skin. You can't stand seeing a black man be successful. The first non-controversial president in ages - nothing sticks to him, no matter how hard Conks try. Rove can't do it, Limbaugh's tried, Coulter has given up and has even endorsed that no-mind, Romney. Give it up and find someone to run against him in his third term.

AZGrizFan wrote:

Cap'n Cat wrote:IT and Z,
There is nothing wrong with Obama other than the color of his skin. You can't stand seeing a black man be successful. The first non-controversial president in ages - nothing sticks to him, no matter how hard Conks try. Rove can't do it, Limbaugh's tried, Coulter has given up and has even endorsed that no-mind, Romney. Give it up and find someone to run against him in his third term.

OK, Bill....Maher. He plays the race card at every opportunity too.

AZGrizFan wrote:

Cap'n Cat wrote:IT and Z,
There is nothing wrong with Obama other than the color of his skin. You can't stand seeing a black man be successful. The first non-controversial president in ages - nothing sticks to him, no matter how hard Conks try. Rove can't do it, Limbaugh's tried, Coulter has given up and has even endorsed that no-mind, Romney. Give it up and find someone to run against him in his third term.

OK, Bill....Maher. He plays the race card at every opportunity too.