Perry's Job Growth Success: Libs Validate; Frustrate
Posted: Wed Aug 17, 2011 11:00 am
In an attempt to discredit Governor Perry's economic and job growth claims, Lib operative/editor Matthias Shapiro at Political Math dug through the raw economic data and found...
Liberal cannot discredit Rick Perry
August 17, 2011
by Don Surber
http://blogs.dailymail.com/donsurber/archives/40402

Liberal cannot discredit Rick Perry
August 17, 2011
by Don Surber
http://blogs.dailymail.com/donsurber/archives/40402
MoveOnBarack.orgTexas leads the nation in job production because of 17+ years of Republican governors — George W. Bush and Rick Perry — and conservative legislatures.
They have kept taxes and regulations low.
When it comes to the economy, Rick Perry runs rings around President Obama.
The left cannot stand the facts and so Matthias Shapiro at Political Math spent 4 hours pouring over records to find some way of discrediting Rick Perry’s job performance.
Seriously, 4 hours.
And he failed to find the magic hole in the Texas economy that discredits Rick Perry’s economic development efforts.
From Matthias Shapiro: “Note: If you are going to comment and you want to introduce some new objection to the Texas job numbers, you MUST provide original data. I spent about 4 hours digging through raw data to write this post. I don’t want you to point to some pundit or blog post and take it on their authority, because I’ve already researched several idiot pundits who are talking directly out of their asses when it comes to the data. I want you to point to the raw data that I can examine for myself. This means links. I refuse to waste any more of my time on speculative bullshit or ‘Well, I’ll wager that the Texas jobs don’t really count because…’ If you’re willing to wager, take that money and put it towards finding the actual data. In short, put up or shut up.”
The assertions he knocked down:
1. “Texas has an unemployment rate of 8.2%. That’s hardly exceptional.”
But Matthias Shapiro wrote: “We can see that Texas has grown the fastest, having increased jobs by 2.2% since the recession started. I want to take a moment and point out that second place is held by North Dakota. I added North Dakota to my list of states to show something very important. North Dakota currently has the lowest unemployment rate of any state at 3.2%. And yet Texas is adding jobs at a faster rate than North Dakota. How can this be? The reason is that people are flocking to Texas in massive numbers. Starting at the beginning of the recession (December 2007), let’s look at how this set of states have grown in their labor force.”
I would add that Barack Obama would love to have the unemployment rate down to 8.2%. That would mean 1.4 million more people would be employed.
2. “Sure Texas has lots of jobs but they’re mostly low-paying/minimum wage jobs.”
But this is not true. He wrote: “Texas median hourly wage is $15.14 — almost exactly in the middle of the pack (28th out of 51 regions). Given that they’ve seen exceptional job growth (and these other states have not) this does not seem exceptionally low.”
I would add that newly created jobs are lower paying compared to old jobs. Also, Texas is a right-to-work state.
3. “Texas is oil country and the recent energy boom is responsible for the incredible jobs increase.”
That is a valid point. TGIF — Thank God It’s Fracking.
But many other states — most notably New York state — are banning or severely restricting fracking.
This is the summation of his argument against Perrynomics:
I’ll leave you with my personal favorite chart. I mentioned at the beginning that Texas is seeing high unemployment in a large part because they’re growing so damn fast. The problem with this from a charts and graphs perspective is that it leaves worse states off the hook, making them look better than they actually are. Looking at unemployment alone, we would conclude that Wisconsin has a better economy than Texas. But Wisconsin is still 120K short of it’s pre-recession numbers. The only reason they look better than Texas is because 32,000 people fled the state.
During that time, 739,000 people fled into Texas. Anyone who takes that data and pretends that this is somehow bad news for Texas is simply not being honest. At the worst, I’d call it a good problem to have.
So, to give something of a better feeling for the economic situation across states, this chart takes the population of the states I selected above and judges the current job situation against the population as it stood at the beginning of the recession.
Using that metric, Texas would have a very low unemployment rate of 2.3%. But the fact that unemployment in the United States is fluid means that the unemployed flock to a place where there are jobs, which inflates its unemployment rate (at least in the short term). It’s not a bad thing for Texas… it just looks bad at first glance.
And… that’s it.
You may have noticed that I don’t mention Rick Perry very much here. That is because Rick Perry is, in my opinion, ancillary to this entire discussion. He was governor while these these numbers happened, so good for him. Maybe that means these jobs they are his “fault.” Maybe the job situation is the result of his policies. Or maybe Texas is simply the least bad option in a search for a favorable economic climate.
So in the end, even though Matthias Shapiro knocked down all the false claims, he could not quite bring himself to credit the governor.
It seems pretty clear to me.
Rick Perry has been governor of Texas for more than a decade. In that decade, Texas has grown so fast and so vigorously that it is adding 4 congressional seats in 2012, a reward for economic success.
Barack Obama is from Illinois, where he toiled in the state legislature for a decade. Illinois lost another congressional seat.