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If the economy is no better, he loses. 9+% unemployment he loses. 8+% he probably loses. 7+% he's in a fight. The last president re-elected with unemployment over 7.2% was FDR in 1936.GannonFan wrote:If the economy is no better this time next year, he'll be in for a serious fight, almost regardless of who the GOP comes up with. If he can nudge the economy enough, then he'll win (although no one wins in landslides anymore - he'll still lose 48% of the vote). It's all about the economy, stupid.
He's in for a fight anyway, unless the economy begins to improve significantly. Too many entrenched partisans on both sides for it not to be close. As always, it's going to depend on the centrists as to which way this goes.BDKJMU wrote:If the economy is no better, he loses. 9+% unemployment he loses. 8+% he probably loses. 7+% he's in a fight. The last president re-elected with unemployment over 7.2% was FDR in 1936.GannonFan wrote:If the economy is no better this time next year, he'll be in for a serious fight, almost regardless of who the GOP comes up with. If he can nudge the economy enough, then he'll win (although no one wins in landslides anymore - he'll still lose 48% of the vote). It's all about the economy, stupid.
And last Rasmussen right now has his job approval among independents at 42%...GannonFan wrote:He's in for a fight anyway, unless the economy begins to improve significantly. Too many entrenched partisans on both sides for it not to be close. As always, it's going to depend on the centrists as to which way this goes.BDKJMU wrote:
If the economy is no better, he loses. 9+% unemployment he loses. 8+% he probably loses. 7+% he's in a fight. The last president re-elected with unemployment over 7.2% was FDR in 1936.
The GOP still needs to find someone people could vote for. Otherwise it will be '04 all over again - Bush largely unpopular, but throw out a dreadful candidate like Kerry and Bush won by default.BDKJMU wrote:And last Rasmussen right now has his job approval among independents at 42%...GannonFan wrote:
He's in for a fight anyway, unless the economy begins to improve significantly. Too many entrenched partisans on both sides for it not to be close. As always, it's going to depend on the centrists as to which way this goes.
This is my fear...GannonFan wrote:The GOP still needs to find someone people could vote for. Otherwise it will be '04 all over again - Bush largely unpopular, but throw out a dreadful candidate like Kerry and Bush won by default.BDKJMU wrote:
And last Rasmussen right now has his job approval among independents at 42%...
Bachmann has as much chance of getting the nod as you do. And she's hotter.Cap'n Cat wrote:No serious challengers. Smart, can dance circles around Conklodyte pretenders. Hoping Bachmann wins the Conk nomination.
Speaking as a person who doesn’t blindly vote along party lines…this….Col Hogan wrote:This is my fear...GannonFan wrote:
The GOP still needs to find someone people could vote for. Otherwise it will be '04 all over again - Bush largely unpopular, but throw out a dreadful candidate like Kerry and Bush won by default.