QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Football Championship Subdivision discussions
Post Reply
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 13702
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

One good thing about this year's playoff so far: this is only the second intraconference matchup (JMU/Delaware being the first). Now, there's a good chance we'll have two intraconference battles in the semis, but anyway…

Davis has been super-streaky scoring team all season as they've often gone on big runs after spotting the other team a modest lead. Their meeting with Eastern Washington in Cheney went in the reverse direction, however, as the Aggies allowed EWU to close the game on a 59-10 run after Davis took a 10-0 lead. I don't think this matchup will be that ugly, especially since 2 Eagle defenders have gone down for the season in the meantime, but UCD's lack of sharp play against UNI suggests they won't pull the upset either.

Here's my assessment of the matchups & my pick for the game:


      • Quarterbacks -- UC Davis

        Running Backs - EWU

        Receivers/TEs - UC Davis

        Offensive Line - EWU


        Defensive Line - EWU

        Linebackers --- UC Davis

        Secondary ---- EWU


        Kicking ------ EWU

        Punting ------ (push)

        Return Teams - (push)

        Kickoffs ------ UC Davis





        • UC Davis 31-45 EWU
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30939
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Gil Dobie »

EWU scores the 45 and wins
Image
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59305
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by kalm »

Mvemjsunpx wrote:One good thing about this year's playoff so far: this is only the second intraconference matchup (JMU/Delaware being the first). Now, there's a good chance we'll have two intraconference battles in the semis, but anyway…

Davis has been super-streaky scoring team all season as they've often gone on big runs after spotting the other team a modest lead. Their meeting with Eastern Washington in Cheney went in the reverse direction, however, as the Aggies allowed EWU to close the game on a 59-10 run after Davis took a 10-0 lead. I don't think this matchup will be that ugly, especially since 2 Eagle defenders have gone down for the season in the meantime, but UCD's lack of sharp play against UNI suggests they won't pull the upset either.

Here's my assessment of the matchups & my pick for the game:


      • Quarterbacks -- UC Davis

        Running Backs - EWU

        Receivers/TEs - UC Davis

        Offensive Line - EWU


        Defensive Line - EWU

        Linebackers --- UC Davis

        Secondary ---- EWU


        Kicking ------ EWU

        Punting ------ (push)

        Return Teams - (push)

        Kickoffs ------ UC Davis





        • UC Davis 31-45 EWU
Nice work.

We've been down as many as 11 starters total in various times this season but looking at this week's two-deep we seem to be getting healthier and the backups at those three positions have had quite a bit of playing time now.

Roldan Alcobendas is averaging 45.79 ypp which would place him #2 in FCS but he's not on the NCAA's stats page for some reason. He has 39 attempts and there are some on there with less. Perhaps they close the stats after the regular season on that site? Davis's punter is solid too but a few yards shy of that.

I would love a 14 point win but I think this will be a tight one.
Image
Image
Image
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 13702
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

kalm wrote:Nice work.

We've been down as many as 11 starters total in various times this season but looking at this week's two-deep we seem to be getting healthier and the backups at those three positions have had quite a bit of playing time now.
Fettig & Calhoun are done for the season according to an article I read, just to clarify which two I was referring to.
Roldan Alcobendas is averaging 45.79 ypp which would place him #2 in FCS but he's not on the NCAA's stats page for some reason. He has 39 attempts and there are some on there with less. Perhaps they close the stats after the regular season on that site? Davis's punter is solid too but a few yards shy of that.
EWU's punt coverage is questionable, so the net advantage is less than a yard. Davis also has a better In-20:Touchback ratio. So, in other words: Alcobendas is the better punter, but the overall punt teams are about equal.

(I always look at conference/team scorebook pages, just so you know, not NCAA stat rankings)
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 59305
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by kalm »

Mvemjsunpx wrote:
kalm wrote:Nice work.

We've been down as many as 11 starters total in various times this season but looking at this week's two-deep we seem to be getting healthier and the backups at those three positions have had quite a bit of playing time now.
Fettig & Calhoun are done for the season according to an article I read, so those are the two I was referring to.
Roldan Alcobendas is averaging 45.79 ypp which would place him #2 in FCS but he's not on the NCAA's stats page for some reason. He has 39 attempts and there are some on there with less. Perhaps they close the stats after the regular season on that site? Davis's punter is solid too but a few yards shy of that.
EWU's punt coverage is questionable, so the net advantage is less than a yard. Davis also has a better In-20:Touchback ratio.

(I always look at conference/team scorebook pages, BTW, not NCAA stat rankings)
Yep and gotcha. Great use of the net stat with punting btw. As an aside, I'd love to see someone compile a yards per possession or points per possession stat. Or maybe even the same for TOP. It can be very telling when comparing defenses. Davis, for example has poor numbers but they might be top 20 defense when considering how many possessions and minutes they give opponents.

Sophomore Chris Ojoh has filled in great for Calhoun leading the team in tackles over the last 4 games at nearly 10 per game. Fettig is the bigger loss and the other starting safety Prunty has been banged up but is listed. DE Keenan Williams is questionable and that's where Nicholls attacked in the first half before we brought over help.

I like to use the conference and teams sites too. Depending on the school they can be very good.
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
dbackjon
Moderator Team
Moderator Team
Posts: 45610
Joined: Sat Jul 14, 2007 9:20 am
I am a fan of: Northern Arizona
A.K.A.: He/Him
Location: Scottsdale

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by dbackjon »

EWU by 14
:thumb:
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30939
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Gil Dobie »

UCD looking good.
Image
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30939
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Gil Dobie »

These 2 teams look so much better than the BBQ.
Image
User avatar
Silenoz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 3848
Joined: Fri Nov 13, 2009 10:10 am
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Silenoz »

Gil Dobie wrote:These 2 teams look so much better than the BBQ.
One game a season does not make
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30939
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Gil Dobie »

Silenoz wrote:
Gil Dobie wrote:These 2 teams look so much better than the BBQ.
One game a season does not make
Didn't say they looked better all season young Griz.
Image
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 13702
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

14-14 at the half after Davis decided they didn't want to score inside the 5. :?
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30939
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Gil Dobie »

Bill Fette review? Nope
Image
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 13702
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

Lance Babb scores on his first catch of the season as the Aggies cash in an EWU pick.

21-14 Davis, early-3Q
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 13702
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

Still 21-14 Aggies, end-3Q

EWU about to punt…
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30939
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Gil Dobie »

Drew Brees commercial #321
Image
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 13702
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

Now 21-21 and Eastern has a 1st. & goal
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 13702
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

Webster gets a short TD catch.

28-21 Eagles, 7:12 4Q
User avatar
dbackjon
Moderator Team
Moderator Team
Posts: 45610
Joined: Sat Jul 14, 2007 9:20 am
I am a fan of: Northern Arizona
A.K.A.: He/Him
Location: Scottsdale

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by dbackjon »

Gil Dobie wrote:These 2 teams look so much better than the BBQ.

NAU played all three. Beat BBQ. Lost to EWU at home, UC-D on the road.



Hmmm - how many teams played 3 of the Quarterfinalists this year during the regular season?
:thumb:
User avatar
andy7171
Firefly
Firefly
Posts: 27951
Joined: Wed Jul 18, 2007 6:12 am
I am a fan of: Wiping.
A.K.A.: HE HATE ME
Location: Eastern Palouse

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by andy7171 »

Holy shit. They got 2 points.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
"Elaine, you're from Baltimore, right?"
"Yes, well, Towson actually."
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 13702
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

Davis scores and gets a 2PC

29-28 Aggies with a minute+ to go


That's one of the very few times that 2PC gamble has worked this season.
User avatar
Gil Dobie
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 30939
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:45 pm
I am a fan of: Norse Dakota State
Location: Historic Leduc Estate

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Gil Dobie »

Wild ending.
Image
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 13702
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

Davis's defense decides to play flag football and EWU gets a long TD run. 2PC picked.

34-29 Eagles, 26 seconds left…
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 13702
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

Sack fumble. Game over. Eags win 34-29.

The Aggie defense played great for 59 minutes, then played terrible on that final drive.
User avatar
JohnStOnge
Egalitarian
Egalitarian
Posts: 20313
Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2010 5:47 pm
I am a fan of: McNeese State
A.K.A.: JohnStOnge

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by JohnStOnge »

I'd be really, really pissed off by the collapse of the defense right at the end if I were a Cal Davis fan. That was ridiculous.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?

Deep Purple: No One Came
Image
User avatar
SuperHornet
SuperHornet
SuperHornet
Posts: 20264
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 7:24 pm
I am a fan of: Sac State
Location: Twentynine Palms, CA

Re: QF - (6) Davis @ (3) EWU

Post by SuperHornet »

JohnStOnge wrote:I'd be really, really pissed off by the collapse of the defense right at the end if I were a Cal Davis fan. That was ridiculous.
Tell that to New England, which apparently forgot about the possibility of someone pulling off a cognate of the Cal Play when out of convenient Hail Mary distance. The ONLY time to play the Prevent Defense is when it's obvious that the Hail Mary is coming. Letting an offense run wild under DBs playing 30-50 yards off the ball is inviting disaster. The only thing a Prevent Defense prevents is yourself from winning.

:ohno:
Image

SuperHornet's Athletics Hall of Fame includes Jacksonville State kicker Ashley Martin, the first girl to score in a Division I football game. She kicked 3 PATs in a 2001 game for J-State.
Post Reply