NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
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NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
NCAA SRS used to help determine the seedings and field explained:
"The NCAA Division I Football Championship Committee will use the NCAA Simple Rating System (NCAA SRS) as a tool forevaluating teams for selection into the 24-team championship.
The NCAA SRS is a ranking system used to gauge team quality. Within the NCAA SRS, the rating of a team will be calculatedlargely by two components: a strength-of-schedule measure (SOS) and a win-loss differential (WL).
A team’s SOS measure is simply the average NCAA SRS rating of that team’s opponents for the season.
A team’s WL measure factors whether a game was won or lost; the location of the game (home/away/neutral site); and the NCAA (sub)division of the opponent.
1. In a game between two FCS teams played at a neutral site, the winning team gets one point and the losing team loses one point.
2. In a game between two FCS teams played at a non-neutral site, a home win counts 0.75 for the home team and -0.75 for the losing team. A road team win counts 1.25 for the visiting team and -1.25 for the home team. In other words, there is a bonus/penalty of +/- 0.25 for the home/away teams depending on the outcome.
3. An additional bonus/penalty of +/- 0.1 is added/deducted for games that FCS teams play against FBS/non-Division I opponents. For instance, a home FCS win against a Division II opponent counts only as +0.65 points (0.75 for a home win - 0.1 penalty for playing a Division II opponent). In addition, a road FCS win against an FBS opponent counts +1.35 points for the FCS team (1.25 points for a road win + 0.1 bonus for beating an FBS opponent).
4. The WL measure is then doubled to equalize the contributions of the WL factor and SOS factor toward a team’s NCAA SRS rating.
5. Margin of victory will be factored into a team’s NCAA SRS rating. This component is capped at 21 points.
The teams’ ratings are independent in that one team’s rating depends on its opponents’ ratings, which depend on their opponents’ ratings, etc., based on the “network” of college football games played each week during the football season. The NCAA SRS will also standardize the data in order to equalize the variance in total number of games played (i.e., 11 or 12 regular-season games).
Games against Division III or non-NCAA opponents are not factored into any team’s NCAA SRS rating.
The time of the season in which a game is played (early-season versus late-season games) is also not factored into a team’s NCAA SRS rating.
The NCAA SRS will not “force select” any teams into the championship; rather, it is one of several resources thatthe Division I Football Championship Committee will have at its disposal when debating the merits of teams under consideration for championship selection.
The NCAA Division I Football Championship Committee will begin reviewing NCAA SRS data during the later portion of the football season as it prepares for champion
EDITED TO UPDATE FOR THE 2017/2018 PROCEDURES
http://www.ncaa.org/sites/default/files ... 170914.pdf
"The NCAA Division I Football Championship Committee will use the NCAA Simple Rating System (NCAA SRS) as a tool forevaluating teams for selection into the 24-team championship.
The NCAA SRS is a ranking system used to gauge team quality. Within the NCAA SRS, the rating of a team will be calculatedlargely by two components: a strength-of-schedule measure (SOS) and a win-loss differential (WL).
A team’s SOS measure is simply the average NCAA SRS rating of that team’s opponents for the season.
A team’s WL measure factors whether a game was won or lost; the location of the game (home/away/neutral site); and the NCAA (sub)division of the opponent.
1. In a game between two FCS teams played at a neutral site, the winning team gets one point and the losing team loses one point.
2. In a game between two FCS teams played at a non-neutral site, a home win counts 0.75 for the home team and -0.75 for the losing team. A road team win counts 1.25 for the visiting team and -1.25 for the home team. In other words, there is a bonus/penalty of +/- 0.25 for the home/away teams depending on the outcome.
3. An additional bonus/penalty of +/- 0.1 is added/deducted for games that FCS teams play against FBS/non-Division I opponents. For instance, a home FCS win against a Division II opponent counts only as +0.65 points (0.75 for a home win - 0.1 penalty for playing a Division II opponent). In addition, a road FCS win against an FBS opponent counts +1.35 points for the FCS team (1.25 points for a road win + 0.1 bonus for beating an FBS opponent).
4. The WL measure is then doubled to equalize the contributions of the WL factor and SOS factor toward a team’s NCAA SRS rating.
5. Margin of victory will be factored into a team’s NCAA SRS rating. This component is capped at 21 points.
The teams’ ratings are independent in that one team’s rating depends on its opponents’ ratings, which depend on their opponents’ ratings, etc., based on the “network” of college football games played each week during the football season. The NCAA SRS will also standardize the data in order to equalize the variance in total number of games played (i.e., 11 or 12 regular-season games).
Games against Division III or non-NCAA opponents are not factored into any team’s NCAA SRS rating.
The time of the season in which a game is played (early-season versus late-season games) is also not factored into a team’s NCAA SRS rating.
The NCAA SRS will not “force select” any teams into the championship; rather, it is one of several resources thatthe Division I Football Championship Committee will have at its disposal when debating the merits of teams under consideration for championship selection.
The NCAA Division I Football Championship Committee will begin reviewing NCAA SRS data during the later portion of the football season as it prepares for champion
EDITED TO UPDATE FOR THE 2017/2018 PROCEDURES
http://www.ncaa.org/sites/default/files ... 170914.pdf
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
The committee's 1st top 10 released LAST Thur:
NCAA Division I Football Championship Committee Top 10
(records through Oct. 28)
1. James Madison (8-0)
2. North Dakota State (8-0)
3. Jacksonville State (7-1)
4. Central Arkansas (7-1)
5. South Dakota (7-1)
6. Sam Houston State (7-1)
7. Elon (7-1)
8. Wofford (7-1)
9. Northern Arizona (6-2)
10. South Dakota State (6-2)
http://www.ncaa.com/news/football/artic ... rst-top-10
NCAA Division I Football Championship Committee Top 10
(records through Oct. 28)
1. James Madison (8-0)
2. North Dakota State (8-0)
3. Jacksonville State (7-1)
4. Central Arkansas (7-1)
5. South Dakota (7-1)
6. Sam Houston State (7-1)
7. Elon (7-1)
8. Wofford (7-1)
9. Northern Arizona (6-2)
10. South Dakota State (6-2)
http://www.ncaa.com/news/football/artic ... rst-top-10
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
Last week's rankings, updated records:
1 James Madison (9-0)-Won.
2 North Dakota State (8-1)- Lost #8 SDSU 33-21.
3 Jacksonville State (8-1)- Won 59-23 over now 2-7 Murray St.
4 Central Arkansas (8-1)- Won 42-14 over now 1-8 Lamar.
5 South Dakota (7-2)- Lost 34-29 to now 5-4 UNI.
6 Sam Houston State (8-1)- Won 57-20 over now 1-8 Incarnate Word.
7 Elon (8-1)- Won in OT over now 3-6 TU.
8 Wofford (8-1)- Won in OT over now 2-8 UTC.
9 Northern Arizona (6-3)- Lost to now 6-3 Montana.
10 South Dakota State (7-2)- Beat #2 NDSU 33-21.
1 James Madison (9-0)-Won.
2 North Dakota State (8-1)- Lost #8 SDSU 33-21.
3 Jacksonville State (8-1)- Won 59-23 over now 2-7 Murray St.
4 Central Arkansas (8-1)- Won 42-14 over now 1-8 Lamar.
5 South Dakota (7-2)- Lost 34-29 to now 5-4 UNI.
6 Sam Houston State (8-1)- Won 57-20 over now 1-8 Incarnate Word.
7 Elon (8-1)- Won in OT over now 3-6 TU.
8 Wofford (8-1)- Won in OT over now 2-8 UTC.
9 Northern Arizona (6-3)- Lost to now 6-3 Montana.
10 South Dakota State (7-2)- Beat #2 NDSU 33-21.
..peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard..
JMU Football: 2022 & 2023 Sun Belt East Champions...But you have to go home now. We have to have peace…
..I know how you feel, but go home, and go home in peace.
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
BDKJMU wrote:Last week's rankings, updated records:
1 James Madison (9-0)-Won.
2 North Dakota State (8-1)- Lost #8 SDSU 33-21.
3 Jacksonville State (8-1)- Won 59-23 over now 2-7 Murray St.
4 Central Arkansas (8-1)- Won 42-14 over now 1-8 Lamar.
5 South Dakota (7-2)- Lost 34-29 to now 5-4 UNI.
6 Sam Houston State (8-1)- Won 57-20 over now 1-8 Incarnate Word.
7 Elon (8-1)- Won in OT over now 3-6 TU.
8 Wofford (8-1)- Won in OT over now 2-8 UTC.
9 Northern Arizona (6-3)- Lost to now 6-3 Montana.
10 South Dakota State (7-2)- Beat #2 NDSU 33-21.
NAU and possibly USD out, who possibly replaces them?
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
GD double post
Last edited by BDKJMU on Thu Nov 09, 2017 8:31 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
SUU (7-/2/5-1)Wildcat Ryan wrote:NAU and possibly USD out, who possibly replaces them?BDKJMU wrote:Last week's rankings, updated records:
1 James Madison (9-0)-Won.
2 North Dakota State (8-1)- Lost #8 SDSU 33-21.
3 Jacksonville State (8-1)- Won 59-23 over now 2-7 Murray St.
4 Central Arkansas (8-1)- Won 42-14 over now 1-8 Lamar.
5 South Dakota (7-2)- Lost 34-29 to now 5-4 UNI.
6 Sam Houston State (8-1)- Won 57-20 over now 1-8 Incarnate Word.
7 Elon (8-1)- Won in OT over now 3-6 TU.
8 Wofford (8-1)- Won in OT over now 2-8 UTC.
9 Northern Arizona (6-3)- Lost to now 6-3 Montana.
10 South Dakota State (7-2)- Beat #2 NDSU 33-21.
SBU (7-2/6-1)
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
Am I correct in surmising that being "out" of this ranking at this point means nothing more than not getting a seed? Outside of a complete slide for NAU, they SHOULD still make the playoffs, right?
SuperHornet's Athletics Hall of Fame includes Jacksonville State kicker Ashley Martin, the first girl to score in a Division I football game. She kicked 3 PATs in a 2001 game for J-State.
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
SuperHornet wrote:Am I correct in surmising that being "out" of this ranking at this point means nothing more than not getting a seed? Outside of a complete slide for NAU, they SHOULD still make the playoffs, right?
Unless NAU chokes and loses their last two games they should be in, but even then there is no guarantee that a 7-4 NAU will get in.
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
A 8-3 NAU will get in. A 7-4 NAU won’t get in. If a 7-4 gets in out of the Big Sky (unlikely) it will be EWU..Wildcat Ryan wrote:SuperHornet wrote:Am I correct in surmising that being "out" of this ranking at this point means nothing more than not getting a seed? Outside of a complete slide for NAU, they SHOULD still make the playoffs, right?
Unless NAU chokes and loses their last two games they should be in, but even then there is no guarantee that a 7-4 NAU will get in.
..peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard..
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
BDKJMU wrote:A 8-3 NAU will get in. A 7-4 NAU won’t get in. If a 7-4 gets in out of the Big Sky (unlikely) it will be EWU..Wildcat Ryan wrote:
Unless NAU chokes and loses their last two games they should be in, but even then there is no guarantee that a 7-4 NAU will get in.
I agree.
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
Week 11 (2nd rankings)
http://www.ncaa.com/news/football/artic ... state-lead
Remaining:
1. JMU (9-0) 11/11 UR (5-4), 11/18 #6 Elon (8-1)
2. JSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Tenn Martin (5-4), 11/18 Tenn State (5-4)
3. UCA (8-1) 11/11 @ Incarnate Word (1-8), 11/18 Abilene Christian (2-7)
4. NDSU (8-1) 11/11 #9 SD (7-2), 11/18 @ ILSU (6-3)
5. SHSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Abilene Christian (2-7), 11/18 Houston Baptist (1-8)
6. Elon (8-1) 11/11 @ UNH (6-3), 11/18 #1 JMU
7. SDSU (7-2) 11/11 ILSU (6-3), 11/18 @ #9 SD (7-2)
8. Wofford (8-1) 11/11 @ VMI (0-10), 11/18 @ S Carolina (6-3)
9. SD (7-2) 11/11 @ #1 NDSU (8-1), 11/18 #7 SDSU (7-2)
10. NC A&T (9-0) (11/11 Svannah State (2-7), 11/18 @ NC Central (7-2/5-1). Winner goes to Celebration Bowl to face SWAC winner. If NC A&T loses, then @ 10-1 (win over UNCC & a Div II) they'll get an At large.
Next likely 3:
SUU (7-2): 11/11 @ UC Davis (5-4), 11/18 NAU (6-3)
SBU (7-2) 11/11 Wagner (3-6), 11/18 @ Maine (4-4)
Weber State (7-2): 11/11 @ Portland State (0-9), 11/18 Idaho State (4-6)
http://www.ncaa.com/news/football/artic ... state-lead
Remaining:
1. JMU (9-0) 11/11 UR (5-4), 11/18 #6 Elon (8-1)
2. JSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Tenn Martin (5-4), 11/18 Tenn State (5-4)
3. UCA (8-1) 11/11 @ Incarnate Word (1-8), 11/18 Abilene Christian (2-7)
4. NDSU (8-1) 11/11 #9 SD (7-2), 11/18 @ ILSU (6-3)
5. SHSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Abilene Christian (2-7), 11/18 Houston Baptist (1-8)
6. Elon (8-1) 11/11 @ UNH (6-3), 11/18 #1 JMU
7. SDSU (7-2) 11/11 ILSU (6-3), 11/18 @ #9 SD (7-2)
8. Wofford (8-1) 11/11 @ VMI (0-10), 11/18 @ S Carolina (6-3)
9. SD (7-2) 11/11 @ #1 NDSU (8-1), 11/18 #7 SDSU (7-2)
10. NC A&T (9-0) (11/11 Svannah State (2-7), 11/18 @ NC Central (7-2/5-1). Winner goes to Celebration Bowl to face SWAC winner. If NC A&T loses, then @ 10-1 (win over UNCC & a Div II) they'll get an At large.
Next likely 3:
SUU (7-2): 11/11 @ UC Davis (5-4), 11/18 NAU (6-3)
SBU (7-2) 11/11 Wagner (3-6), 11/18 @ Maine (4-4)
Weber State (7-2): 11/11 @ Portland State (0-9), 11/18 Idaho State (4-6)
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JMU Football: 2022 & 2023 Sun Belt East Champions...But you have to go home now. We have to have peace…
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
3. UCA (8-1) 11/11 @ Incarnate Word (1-8), 11/18 Abilene Christian (2-7)
5. SHSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Abilene Christian (2-7), 11/18 Houston Baptist (1-8)
Pathetic.
5. SHSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Abilene Christian (2-7), 11/18 Houston Baptist (1-8)
Pathetic.
Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
That's a very tender JMU moment right there
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
SUU has a better resume than USD, SHSU, and Wofford.BDKJMU wrote:Week 11 (2nd rankings)
http://www.ncaa.com/news/football/artic ... state-lead
Remaining:
1. JMU (9-0) 11/11 UR (5-4), 11/18 #6 Elon (8-1)
2. JSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Tenn Martin (5-4), 11/18 Tenn State (5-4)
3. UCA (8-1) 11/11 @ Incarnate Word (1-8), 11/18 Abilene Christian (2-7)
4. NDSU (8-1) 11/11 #9 SD (7-2), 11/18 @ ILSU (6-3)
5. SHSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Abilene Christian (2-7), 11/18 Houston Baptist (1-8)
6. Elon (8-1) 11/11 @ UNH (6-3), 11/18 #1 JMU
7. SDSU (7-2) 11/11 ILSU (6-3), 11/18 @ #9 SD (7-2)
8. Wofford (8-1) 11/11 @ VMI (0-10), 11/18 @ S Carolina (6-3)
9. SD (7-2) 11/11 @ #1 NDSU (8-1), 11/18 #7 SDSU (7-2)
10. NC A&T (9-0) (11/11 Svannah State (2-7), 11/18 @ NC Central (7-2/5-1). Winner goes to Celebration Bowl to face SWAC winner. If NC A&T loses, then @ 10-1 (win over UNCC & a Div II) they'll get an At large.
Next likely 3:
SUU (7-2): 11/11 @ UC Davis (5-4), 11/18 NAU (6-3)
SBU (7-2) 11/11 Wagner (3-6), 11/18 @ Maine (4-4)
Weber State (7-2): 11/11 @ Portland State (0-9), 11/18 Idaho State (4-6)
NDSU should be 2.
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
Probably true. Getting thumped by Sac St really hurt them though..kalm wrote:SUU has a better resume than USD, SHSU, and Wofford.BDKJMU wrote:Week 11 (2nd rankings)
http://www.ncaa.com/news/football/artic ... state-lead
Remaining:
1. JMU (9-0) 11/11 UR (5-4), 11/18 #6 Elon (8-1)
2. JSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Tenn Martin (5-4), 11/18 Tenn State (5-4)
3. UCA (8-1) 11/11 @ Incarnate Word (1-8), 11/18 Abilene Christian (2-7)
4. NDSU (8-1) 11/11 #9 SD (7-2), 11/18 @ ILSU (6-3)
5. SHSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Abilene Christian (2-7), 11/18 Houston Baptist (1-8)
6. Elon (8-1) 11/11 @ UNH (6-3), 11/18 #1 JMU
7. SDSU (7-2) 11/11 ILSU (6-3), 11/18 @ #9 SD (7-2)
8. Wofford (8-1) 11/11 @ VMI (0-10), 11/18 @ S Carolina (6-3)
9. SD (7-2) 11/11 @ #1 NDSU (8-1), 11/18 #7 SDSU (7-2)
10. NC A&T (9-0) (11/11 Svannah State (2-7), 11/18 @ NC Central (7-2/5-1). Winner goes to Celebration Bowl to face SWAC winner. If NC A&T loses, then @ 10-1 (win over UNCC & a Div II) they'll get an At large.
Next likely 3:
SUU (7-2): 11/11 @ UC Davis (5-4), 11/18 NAU (6-3)
SBU (7-2) 11/11 Wagner (3-6), 11/18 @ Maine (4-4)
Weber State (7-2): 11/11 @ Portland State (0-9), 11/18 Idaho State (4-6)
NDSU should be 2.
-Elon I think will lose @ UNH (-5 on 5dimes) and to JMU and won't be seeded.
-SD will lose to at least one, if not both NDSU and SDSU and won't be seeded.
-NC A&T will either be in the Celebration Bowl, or lose to NC Central and get an At Large.
-SDSU could lose one of their last 2. If that happens they won't be seeded.
-IF SUU wins their last 2 (NAU will be a tough one) I think they will end up the #7 or #8 seed..
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
A loss to a 5-4 team that has the 21st rated SoS without your starting QB shouldn't really hurt unless the committee is not paying attention to this season.BDKJMU wrote:Probably true. Getting thumped by Sac St really hurt them though..kalm wrote:
SUU has a better resume than USD, SHSU, and Wofford.
NDSU should be 2.
-Elon I think will lose @ UNH (-5 on 5dimes) and to JMU and won't be seeded.
-SD will lose to at least one, if not both NDSU and SDSU and won't be seeded.
-NC A&T will either be in the Celebration Bowl, or lose to NC Central and get an At Large.
-SDSU could lose one of their last 2. If that happens they won't be seeded.
-IF SUU wins their last 2 (NAU will be a tough one) I think they will end up the #7 or #8 seed..
That's their only FCS loss. Wofford lost to a 6-3 Samford who the next week lost to a 2-8 Chatty.
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
Is there a way for JMU to lose and not get a home game so we don't have to witness those douchey streamers?
OR....we could have them get a 1 seed and have them lose immediately to some Patriot or SWAC or IVY, or like a shitty BSC, school...like 45-0. No streamers ever.
OR....we could have them get a 1 seed and have them lose immediately to some Patriot or SWAC or IVY, or like a shitty BSC, school...like 45-0. No streamers ever.
"What I'm saying is: You might have taken care of your wolf problem, but everyone around town is going to think of you as the crazy son of a bitch who bought land mines to get rid of wolves."
Justin Halpern
Justin Halpern
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
If I had to do it it would be:kalm wrote:A loss to a 5-4 team that has the 21st rated SoS without your starting QB shouldn't really hurt unless the committee is not paying attention to this season.BDKJMU wrote: Probably true. Getting thumped by Sac St really hurt them though..
-Elon I think will lose @ UNH (-5 on 5dimes) and to JMU and won't be seeded.
-SD will lose to at least one, if not both NDSU and SDSU and won't be seeded.
-NC A&T will either be in the Celebration Bowl, or lose to NC Central and get an At Large.
-SDSU could lose one of their last 2. If that happens they won't be seeded.
-IF SUU wins their last 2 (NAU will be a tough one) I think they will end up the #7 or #8 seed..
That's their only FCS loss. Wofford lost to a 6-3 Samford who the next week lost to a 2-8 Chatty.
1. JMU
2. JSU
3. UCA
4. NDSU (if they win their last 2 I'd move them up to #2 or #3, but I'd love for them to stay at #4 and JMU be able to host them in the semis).
5. SDSU
6. Elon (Until they lose. 7 of 8 wins by 8 points or less; 4 by 3 points of less, 1 in OT).
7. SUU
8. Wofford. (Like Elon, 7 of 8 wins by a TD or less, 4 by 3 points or less, 2 in OT).
9. SD (Going to lose at least one of last 2 and drop out).
10. SBU
11. SHSU
12. Webber
Last edited by BDKJMU on Sat Nov 11, 2017 7:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
..peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard..
JMU Football: 2022 & 2023 Sun Belt East Champions...But you have to go home now. We have to have peace…
..I know how you feel, but go home, and go home in peace.
- BDKJMU
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
If JMU makes & hosts the semis (esp if was NDSU) the streamers will be flying so thick they will block out the sun...or stadium lights.grizzaholic wrote:Is there a way for JMU to lose and not get a home game so we don't have to witness those douchey streamers?
OR....we could have them get a 1 seed and have them lose immediately to some Patriot or SWAC or IVY, or like a shitty BSC, school...like 45-0. No streamers ever.
..peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard..
JMU Football: 2022 & 2023 Sun Belt East Champions...But you have to go home now. We have to have peace…
..I know how you feel, but go home, and go home in peace.
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- One Man Wolfpack
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
Possibly top 3 dumbest things ever.BDKJMU wrote:If JMU makes & hosts the semis (esp if was NDSU) the streamers will be flying so thick they will block out the sun...or stadium lights.grizzaholic wrote:Is there a way for JMU to lose and not get a home game so we don't have to witness those douchey streamers?
OR....we could have them get a 1 seed and have them lose immediately to some Patriot or SWAC or IVY, or like a shitty BSC, school...like 45-0. No streamers ever.
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"What I'm saying is: You might have taken care of your wolf problem, but everyone around town is going to think of you as the crazy son of a bitch who bought land mines to get rid of wolves."
Justin Halpern
Justin Halpern
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Re: NCAA Football Committe Playoff Rankings
Lets go Aggies!!!!BDKJMU wrote:Week 11 (2nd rankings)
http://www.ncaa.com/news/football/artic ... state-lead
Remaining:
1. JMU (9-0) 11/11 UR (5-4), 11/18 #6 Elon (8-1)
2. JSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Tenn Martin (5-4), 11/18 Tenn State (5-4)
3. UCA (8-1) 11/11 @ Incarnate Word (1-8), 11/18 Abilene Christian (2-7)
4. NDSU (8-1) 11/11 #9 SD (7-2), 11/18 @ ILSU (6-3)
5. SHSU (8-1) 11/11 @ Abilene Christian (2-7), 11/18 Houston Baptist (1-8)
6. Elon (8-1) 11/11 @ UNH (6-3), 11/18 #1 JMU
7. SDSU (7-2) 11/11 ILSU (6-3), 11/18 @ #9 SD (7-2)
8. Wofford (8-1) 11/11 @ VMI (0-10), 11/18 @ S Carolina (6-3)
9. SD (7-2) 11/11 @ #1 NDSU (8-1), 11/18 #7 SDSU (7-2)
10. NC A&T (9-0) (11/11 Svannah State (2-7), 11/18 @ NC Central (7-2/5-1). Winner goes to Celebration Bowl to face SWAC winner. If NC A&T loses, then @ 10-1 (win over UNCC & a Div II) they'll get an At large.
Next likely 3:
SUU (7-2): 11/11 @ UC Davis (5-4), 11/18 NAU (6-3)
SBU (7-2) 11/11 Wagner (3-6), 11/18 @ Maine (4-4)
Weber State (7-2): 11/11 @ Portland State (0-9), 11/18 Idaho State (4-6)