583 Years Left for Earth

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Col Hogan
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583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Col Hogan »

At least, that’s what Stephen Hawking says...or types...
Humans will turn the planet into a giant ball of fire by the year 2600, said physicist Stephen Hawking.

Overcrowding and energy consumption will render Earth uninhabitable in just a few centuries, Hawking said via video on Sunday at the Tencent WE Summit in Beijing.
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/07/stephen ... ter%7Cmain

Hawking types that humans better start looking for a new planet to settle down and ruin...
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Gil Dobie »

Good name for a sports team, the Fighting Hawkings.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by 93henfan »

Wow, he thinks we’ll last that long at the rate we’re going? He’s an optimist.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by JohnStOnge »

I don't know about the specifics of how long we have but I do believe that if we want to sustain our species a time will come when we will need to find other worlds to spread out onto.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Col Hogan »

Party like its 2599

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“Tolerance and Apathy are the last virtues of a dying society.” Aristotle

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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Pwns »

Does he not know that during the Mesozoic era the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere was 10x larger than today?
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by JohnStOnge »

Pwns wrote:Does he not know that during the Mesozoic era the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere was 10x larger than today?
I think just the sheer rate of population growth is a bigger issue than CO2.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?

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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by CID1990 »

JohnStOnge wrote:
Pwns wrote:Does he not know that during the Mesozoic era the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere was 10x larger than today?
I think just the sheer rate of population growth is a bigger issue than CO2.
YEP

Any discussion of just about ANY hot topic- AGW, economics, violent crime, nationalism, etc etc etc cannot be taken seriously without a concurrent discussion about what we are going to do about population growth


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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by kalm »

I give us about 5 years...

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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Grizalltheway »

JohnStOnge wrote:I don't know about the specifics of how long we have but I do believe that if we want to sustain our species a time will come when we will need to find other worlds to spread out onto.
Better figure out a way to travel (much) faster than light, because the nearest planet that even vaguely resembles earth is going to be thousands of light years away.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Ivytalk »

JohnStOnge wrote:
Pwns wrote:Does he not know that during the Mesozoic era the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere was 10x larger than today?
I think just the sheer rate of population growth is a bigger issue than CO2.
You believe that old Population Bomb bullshyt? That’s so 1968. :coffee:
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Chizzang »

Pwns wrote:Does he not know that during the Mesozoic era the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere was 10x larger than today?
The life on earth at that time was suited for the CO2 in the atmosphere...
Almost nothing alive today is suited for that

66 Million years is a long time
583 isn't

God's going to need to intelligently design us faster now for that atmosphere
He can do it - we all know that... I'm counting on it
Last edited by Chizzang on Tue Nov 07, 2017 8:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by GannonFan »

CID1990 wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:
I think just the sheer rate of population growth is a bigger issue than CO2.
YEP

Any discussion of just about ANY hot topic- AGW, economics, violent crime, nationalism, etc etc etc cannot be taken seriously without a concurrent discussion about what we are going to do about population growth


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I agree with this. Population will be the biggest issue. Planet is only so big.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Pwns »

Chizzang wrote:
Pwns wrote:Does he not know that during the Mesozoic era the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere was 10x larger than today?
The life on earth at that time was suited for the CO2 in the atmosphere...
Almost nothing alive today is suited for that

66 Million years is a long time
583 isn't

God's going to need to intelligently design us faster now for that atmosphere
He can do it - we all know that... I'm counting on it
How much a difference does that make in average temperature? A single-digit amount in degrees Celsius? I don't doubt the possibility that CO2 emissions can be problematic and maybe change climate conditions faster than many living things can adapt, but the idea that the planet is going to be an oven like Venus or a "ball of fire" is silly nonsense.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by CID1990 »

Chizzang wrote:
Pwns wrote:
God's going to need to intelligently design us faster now for that atmosphere
He can do it - we all know that... I'm counting on it
:lol:

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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Gil Dobie »

Until Hawking says when the world will end, while pictured on the cover of Sports Illustrated, STFU.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by ASUG8 »

It won't take that long IMO. We're due for some cataclysmic event, i.e. a meteor strike, supervolcano, or incurable disease. In the meantime people are living longer forcing more urban density, food supplies are struggling to keep up for developing nations, potable water is harder to come by (even in the western US), producing enough power is tougher, and we're burning through natural resources and rare earths at an alarming rate. By the time we have the technology available to move people off planet en masse we may not have the resources to build the vehicles.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Chizzang »

We ain't leaving this solar system...
Our choices are our own moon and Mars... and that's it

We aren't built to be in space for very long periods - gravity is a huge part of our DNA
and leaving this solar system even at 100X the speed of light won't get us anywhere anytime soon...
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by GannonFan »

Chizzang wrote:We ain't leaving this solar system...
Our choices are our own moon and Mars... and that's it

We aren't built to be in space for very long periods - gravity is a huge part of our DNA
and leaving this solar system even at 100X the speed of light won't get us anywhere anytime soon...
Let's get to it. We should have been working on a Moon base awhile ago.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Grizalltheway »

GannonFan wrote:
Chizzang wrote:We ain't leaving this solar system...
Our choices are our own moon and Mars... and that's it

We aren't built to be in space for very long periods - gravity is a huge part of our DNA
and leaving this solar system even at 100X the speed of light won't get us anywhere anytime soon...
Let's get to it. We should have been working on a Moon base awhile ago.
Earth is as close to perfect for harboring life as it gets. If we as a species can't find a way to persist here indefinitely, do we really deserve to persist at all? :geek:
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by 93henfan »

GannonFan wrote:
Chizzang wrote:We ain't leaving this solar system...
Our choices are our own moon and Mars... and that's it

We aren't built to be in space for very long periods - gravity is a huge part of our DNA
and leaving this solar system even at 100X the speed of light won't get us anywhere anytime soon...
Let's get to it. We should have been working on a Moon base awhile ago.
Who says we haven't been? :coffee:

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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by CAA Flagship »

Grizalltheway wrote:
GannonFan wrote:
Let's get to it. We should have been working on a Moon base awhile ago.
Earth is as close to perfect for harboring life as it gets. If we as a species can't find a way to persist here indefinitely, do we really deserve to persist at all? :geek:
If you resist to persist, I will be happy to assist.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Silenoz »

Chizzang wrote:
Pwns wrote:Does he not know that during the Mesozoic era the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere was 10x larger than today?
The life on earth at that time was suited for the CO2 in the atmosphere...
Almost nothing alive today is suited for that

66 Million years is a long time
583 isn't

God's going to need to intelligently design us faster now for that atmosphere
He can do it - we all know that... I'm counting on it
I'm sure he'll figure it out. Faith for the win
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Grizalltheway »

CAA Flagship wrote:
Grizalltheway wrote: Earth is as close to perfect for harboring life as it gets. If we as a species can't find a way to persist here indefinitely, do we really deserve to persist at all? :geek:
If you resist to persist, I will be happy to assist.
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Re: 583 Years Left for Earth

Post by Pwns »

Chizzang wrote:We ain't leaving this solar system...
Our choices are our own moon and Mars... and that's it

We aren't built to be in space for very long periods - gravity is a huge part of our DNA
and leaving this solar system even at 100X the speed of light won't get us anywhere anytime soon...
I have a feeling the physics is going to be much more challenging than the physiology. You can use a centripetal force to create gravity. I have no idea how you travel hundreds of trillions of miles without basically having a voyage that will have to span generations, unless there's some property of space we don't know about that can be exploited.
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